The Fever Collection + The CS20 Collection

Covert → knife or gloves · Items in the contract: 5

Prices by float: ночной проверки нет, числа ниже — оценка с учётом float

Average profit at most · with float −19 304.36₴

Invest at least 33 353.39₴

Average return 14 049.04₴

ROI −57.9%

Chance of profit 6%

With float: invest at least 33 353.39 ₴, profit at most −19 304.36 ₴

float premium: at least 18 580 ₴

Hard to build: not enough fitting lots for a single contract

The gain is understated: 2 outcomes have no price, that is 12.3% of the chance

Sell on CSFloat: without them the profit is −1 687.91 ₴

Check:

To calculator I have items + a third collection

Buy on Sell on

How to build

1% of lots fit: not enough for a contract

×1

FAMAS | Bad Trip

Factory New

buy 0.0000–0.0075

4 076.93 ₴

at 4 076.93

Steam

×4

FAMAS | Commemoration

Factory New

buy 0.0000–0.0075

10 379.37 ₴

at 2 594.84

Steam

Set · 5 pcs 14 456.31 ₴ −407.27 (−2.8%)

What you get 41 outcomes

Profitable outcome 17%
Losing outcome 58%
About break-even 13%
Above the Steam cap 12%

Order

at a loss

★ Classic Knife | Fade

Factory New

float up to 0.001081

14 000.12 ₴ 6.15%

price without deals pricier variants exist lots by number

Steam

at a loss

★ Classic Knife | Slaughter

Factory New

float up to 0.013378

10 597.11 ₴ 6.15%

price without deals pricier variants exist lots by number

Steam

at a loss

★ Classic Knife | Blue Steel

Factory New

float up to 0.013513

15 432.83 ₴ 6.15%

price without deals pricier variants exist lots by number

Steam

at a loss

★ Classic Knife | Stained

Factory New

float up to 0.013513

12 997.03 ₴ 6.15%

price without deals pricier variants exist lots by number

Steam

in profit

★ Classic Knife | Case Hardened

Factory New

float up to 0.013513

30 055.52 ₴ 6.15%

price without deals pricier variants exist lots by number

Steam

at a loss

★ Classic Knife | Forest DDPAT

Factory New

float up to 0.069999

6 917.63 ₴ 6.15%

sell on CSFloat pricier variants exist lots by number

Steam

about break-even

★ Classic Knife | Boreal Forest

Factory New

float up to 0.069999

16 890.15 ₴ 6.15%

price without deals pricier variants exist lots by number

Steam

in profit

best

★ Classic Knife | Crimson Web

Factory New

float up to 0.069999

80 278.67 ₴ 6.15%

price without deals pricier variants exist lots by number

Steam

at a loss

★ Classic Knife | Scorched

Factory New

float up to 0.069999

11 929.97 ₴ 6.15%

sell on CSFloat pricier variants exist lots by number

Steam

about break-even

★ Classic Knife | Safari Mesh

Factory New

float up to 0.069999

16 439.36 ₴ 6.15%

price without deals pricier variants exist lots by number

Steam

★ Classic Knife | Night Stripe

Factory New

float up to 0.069999

not on Steam: above the cap 6.15%

pricier variants exist lots by number

Steam

★ Classic Knife | Urban Masked

Factory New

float up to 0.069999

not on Steam: above the cap 6.15%

pricier variants exist lots by number

Steam

at a loss

★ Classic Knife

no wear

10 309.76 ₴ 6.15%

price without deals pricier variants exist lots by number

Steam

at a loss

★ Survival Knife | Doppler

Factory New

float up to 0.001081

9 591.46 ₴ 0.71%

pricier variants exist lots by number 7 phases, price averaged

Steam

at a loss

★ Survival Knife | Marble Fade

Factory New

float up to 0.001081

6 861.24 ₴ 0.71%

pricier variants exist lots by number

Steam

at a loss

★ Survival Knife | Tiger Tooth

Factory New

float up to 0.001081

5 053.23 ₴ 0.71%

pricier variants exist lots by number

Steam

at a loss

★ Survival Knife | Damascus Steel

Factory New

float up to 0.006756

3 874.83 ₴ 0.71%

price without deals pricier variants exist lots by number

Steam

at a loss

★ Survival Knife | Rust Coat

Well-Worn

float up to 0.408108

2 321.37 ₴ 0.71%

pricier variants exist lots by number

Steam

at a loss

★ Survival Knife | Ultraviolet

Factory New

float up to 0.069999

7 777.47 ₴ 0.71%

price without deals pricier variants exist lots by number

Steam

at a loss

★ Paracord Knife | Doppler

Factory New

float up to 0.001081

9 220.75 ₴ 0.71%

pricier variants exist lots by number 7 phases, price averaged

Steam

at a loss

★ Paracord Knife | Marble Fade

Factory New

float up to 0.001081

6 584.24 ₴ 0.71%

pricier variants exist lots by number

Steam

at a loss

★ Paracord Knife | Tiger Tooth

Factory New

float up to 0.001081

5 145.96 ₴ 0.71%

pricier variants exist lots by number

Steam

at a loss

★ Paracord Knife | Damascus Steel

Factory New

float up to 0.006756

3 480.84 ₴ 0.71%

pricier variants exist lots by number

Steam

at a loss

worst

★ Paracord Knife | Rust Coat

Well-Worn

float up to 0.408108

2 316.86 ₴ 0.71%

pricier variants exist lots by number

Steam

in profit

★ Paracord Knife | Ultraviolet

Factory New

float up to 0.069999

17 856.88 ₴ 0.71%

price without deals pricier variants exist lots by number

Steam

in profit

★ Nomad Knife | Doppler

Factory New

float up to 0.001081

21 226.75 ₴ 0.71%

price without deals pricier variants exist lots by number 7 phases, price averaged

Steam

at a loss

★ Nomad Knife | Marble Fade

Factory New

float up to 0.001081

12 449.32 ₴ 0.71%

pricier variants exist lots by number

Steam

at a loss

★ Nomad Knife | Tiger Tooth

Factory New

float up to 0.001081

9 840.85 ₴ 0.71%

pricier variants exist lots by number

Steam

at a loss

★ Nomad Knife | Damascus Steel

Factory New

float up to 0.006756

6 893.47 ₴ 0.71%

pricier variants exist lots by number

Steam

at a loss

★ Nomad Knife | Rust Coat

Well-Worn

float up to 0.408108

6 154.69 ₴ 0.71%

price without deals pricier variants exist lots by number

Steam

in profit

★ Nomad Knife | Ultraviolet

Factory New

float up to 0.069999

22 056.14 ₴ 0.71%

price without deals pricier variants exist lots by number

Steam

in profit

★ Skeleton Knife | Doppler

Factory New

float up to 0.001081

31 589.59 ₴ 0.71%

price without deals pricier variants exist lots by number 7 phases, price averaged

Steam

in profit

★ Skeleton Knife | Marble Fade

Factory New

float up to 0.001081

20 040.28 ₴ 0.71%

pricier variants exist lots by number

Steam

about break-even

★ Skeleton Knife | Tiger Tooth

Factory New

float up to 0.001081

17 375.99 ₴ 0.71%

price without deals pricier variants exist lots by number

Steam

at a loss

★ Skeleton Knife | Damascus Steel

Factory New

float up to 0.006756

12 983.23 ₴ 0.71%

pricier variants exist lots by number

Steam

at a loss

★ Skeleton Knife | Rust Coat

Well-Worn

float up to 0.408108

8 999.91 ₴ 0.71%

price without deals pricier variants exist lots by number

Steam

in profit

★ Skeleton Knife | Ultraviolet

Factory New

float up to 0.069999

20 569.22 ₴ 0.71%

sell on CSFloat pricier variants exist lots by number

Steam

at a loss

★ Paracord Knife

no wear

2 506.72 ₴ 0.71%

pricier variants exist lots by number

Steam

at a loss

★ Survival Knife

no wear

2 621.02 ₴ 0.71%

pricier variants exist lots by number

Steam

at a loss

★ Nomad Knife

no wear

6 092.16 ₴ 0.71%

pricier variants exist lots by number

Steam

at a loss

★ Skeleton Knife

no wear

11 406.95 ₴ 0.71%

pricier variants exist lots by number

Steam

float markup by input how many times more the lots with the needed float cost

FAMAS | Bad Trip (Factory New) × 1 11% of the wear range fits at least ×2.16 4 076.93 → 8 806.18 ₴

FAMAS | Commemoration (Factory New) × 4 11% of the wear range fits at least ×2.37 10 379.37 → 24 547.22 ₴

The markup is taken from a check of Steam 25–26.09.2026 listings. It shows how many times the needed number of cheapest listings with a fitting float cost more than the cheapest listing of this wear. It depends on the width of the float window and on the number of items.

Average float of the set

average normalized 0.013513414

outcomes come out up to 0.001081, 0.013378, 0.013513, 0.013513, 0.013513, 0.069999, 0.069999, 0.069999, 0.069999, 0.069999, 0.069999, 0.069999, 0.000000, 0.001081, 0.001081, 0.001081, 0.006756, 0.408108, 0.069999, 0.001081, 0.001081, 0.001081, 0.006756, 0.408108, 0.069999, 0.001081, 0.001081, 0.001081, 0.006756, 0.408108, 0.069999, 0.001081, 0.001081, 0.001081, 0.006756, 0.408108, 0.069999, 0.000000, 0.000000, 0.000000, 0.000000

How to read float

«No higher than» — is a guarantee. The limits are calculated together: take all items with the float at the upper bound and you get exactly the result shown. With a lower float the result will be better.

f′ — the same float, brought to 0–1 by the skin's own range. CSFloat counts the same way.

I already have items

Craft variants

Variant 1 this one The Fever Collection + The CS20 Collection

Variant 2 The Clutch Collection instead of The Fever Collection Variant 3 The Glove Collection instead of The Fever Collection Variant 4 The Revolution Collection instead of The Fever Collection Variant 5 The Revolution Collection instead of The CS20 Collection Variant 6 The Arms Deal 3 Collection instead of The Fever Collection

In a week, when the outcome can be sold from outcome price history

In a bad week −1 922.19 ₴ a worse week happens one time in ten

In a typical week −607.66 ₴ historical median

If you repeat 10 000 simulations over the outcome odds

Attempts: 10

I already have items Enter their float and the site will pick what to buy

Mix in a collection

Items of this craft's collections of the right rarity fit: The CS20 Collection and The Fever Collection — and of the mixed-in collection: enter its items with float, your own or ones you want to buy. Its share in the set equals its share in the chances. Your own items are counted in the profit at market price, because you could sell them. The money needed to buy the rest is shown separately.

Third collection Add a third collection to the craft's two and see whether it gets more profitable

All splits of inputs across three collections are tried (1/1/8, 5/3/2 and the rest) and all outcome wears. The best set is shown for each collection. “Find the best” first quickly scores all collections and then calculates exactly the five best by the quick score.

Similar 3 crafts almost like this one

One of three things counts as similar. The same set with a different wear of cheap outcomes: profit and investment differ by less than 0,5%. The same nine items with a different tenth: profit differs by no more than 10%, investment by 20%. The same main half, whose outcomes make the profit, with a different filler: profit lower by no more than a quarter, investment cheaper by no more than a quarter.

Craft 3085738 · The CS20 Collection + The Arms Deal 2 Collection · profit −395.17₴ · invest 17 497.02₴
no outcome price marketplace price sells slowly rare inputs pricier variants exist

SSG 08 | Blood in the Water (Factory New) instead of FAMAS | Bad Trip (Factory New); FAMAS | Commemoration (Factory New): float at most 0.007490 instead of 0.007507
Craft 3085739 · The Arms Deal 2 Collection + The CS20 Collection · profit −395.17₴ · invest 17 497.02₴
no outcome price marketplace price sells slowly rare inputs pricier variants exist

SSG 08 | Blood in the Water (Factory New) instead of FAMAS | Bad Trip (Factory New); FAMAS | Commemoration (Factory New): float at most 0.007490 instead of 0.007507
Craft 3086001 · The CS20 Collection + The Fever Collection · profit −407.27₴ · invest 14 456.31₴
no outcome price marketplace price sells slowly rare inputs pricier variants exist

How to read these numbers

Fees. Steam adds 15% to the seller's price, so the seller gets the listing price divided by 1,15. Multiplying by 0,85 is wrong.

The outcome can only be sold after a week. Inputs bought on Steam go into the contract right away. The outcome can also be crafted further without waiting, but Sell it is possible only after seven days. Over a week the price may change, so the amount shown remains an estimate at calculation time.

Prices are conservative. Sales are counted at the lower of the listing price and the sale price. Purchases are counted at the cheapest listing, which is a lower bound. You cannot buy ten at that price: each next listing costs more. «Check floats on Steam» shows the real purchase price.

The Fever Collection + The CS20 Collection

How to build i Ways to build 3 ways: the best first, then from the most accessible. Click a tab and the numbers below are recalculated for that way.

What you get 41 outcomes

More

How to build