The Operation Hydra Collection + The Dead Hand Collection

Covert → knife or gloves · Items in the contract: 5

Prices by float: ночной проверки нет, числа ниже — оценка с учётом float

Average profit at most · with float −530 958.70₸

Invest at least 1 407 456.56₸

Average return 876 497.86₸

ROI −37.7%

Chance of profit 11%

With float: invest at least 1 407 456.56 ₸, profit at most −530 958.70 ₸

float premium: at least 798 282 ₸

Hard to build: not enough fitting lots for a single contract

A more profitable set was dropped: +322 172.43 ₸ по средним

The gain is understated: 4 outcomes have no price, that is 6.1% of the chance

Sell on CSFloat / Market.CSGO: without them the profit is −435 837.66 ₸

Check:

To calculator I have items + a third collection

Buy on Sell on

How to build

≈3% of lots fit: not enough for a contract

×1

Five-SeveN | Hyper Beast

Factory New

buy 0.0000–0.0135

258 145.69 ₸

at 258 145.69

Steam

×4

Glock-18 | Fully Tuned

Factory New

buy 0.0000–0.0135

359 349.63 ₸

at 89 837.41

Steam

Set · 5 pcs 617 495.32 ₸ +259 002.54 (+41.9%)

What you get 46 outcomes

Profitable outcome 44%
Losing outcome 34%
About break-even 16%
Above the Steam cap 6%

Order

about break-even

★ Driver Gloves | Brocade Crane

Factory New

float up to 0.069999

600 122.46 ₸ 3.64%

sell on CSFloat

Steam

in profit

★ Driver Gloves | Brocade Flowers

Factory New

float up to 0.069999

922 390.64 ₸ 3.64%

price without deals

Steam

in profit

★ Driver Gloves | Dragon Fists

Factory New

float up to 0.069999

775 726.87 ₸ 3.64%

price without deals

Steam

★ Driver Gloves | Garden

Factory New

float up to 0.069999

not on Steam: above the cap 3.64%

Steam

about break-even

★ Driver Gloves | Hand Sweaters

Factory New

float up to 0.069999

688 278.66 ₸ 3.64%

price without deals

Steam

at a loss

★ Driver Gloves | Plum Quill

Factory New

float up to 0.069999

439 733.59 ₸ 3.64%

price without deals

Steam

at a loss

★ Driver Gloves | Seigaiha

Factory New

float up to 0.069999

542 844.51 ₸ 3.64%

price without deals

Steam

in profit

★ Driver Gloves | Wave Chaser

Factory New

float up to 0.069999

789 311.03 ₸ 3.64%

sell on CSFloat

Steam

in profit

★ Specialist Gloves | Lime Polycam

Factory New

float up to 0.069999

808 830.62 ₸ 3.64%

sell on CSFloat

Steam

in profit

★ Specialist Gloves | Cloud Chaser

Factory New

float up to 0.069999

668 597.12 ₸ 3.64%

sell on CSFloat

Steam

about break-even

★ Specialist Gloves | Blackbook

Factory New

float up to 0.069999

632 860.21 ₸ 3.64%

sell on CSFloat

Steam

at a loss

★ Specialist Gloves | Chocolate Chesterfield

Factory New

float up to 0.069999

368 678.38 ₸ 3.64%

sell on CSFloat

Steam

in profit

★ Specialist Gloves | Pillow Punchers

Factory New

float up to 0.069999

2 013 029.25 ₸ 3.64%

sell on CSFloat

Steam

about break-even

★ Specialist Gloves | Sunburst

Factory New

float up to 0.069999

642 889.20 ₸ 3.64%

sell on CSFloat

Steam

at a loss

★ Specialist Gloves | Big Swell

Factory New

float up to 0.069999

542 839.37 ₸ 3.64%

sell on CSFloat

Steam

in profit

★ Sport Gloves | Violet Beadwork

Factory New

float up to 0.069999

728 001.85 ₸ 3.64%

sell on CSFloat

Steam

in profit

★ Sport Gloves | Frosty

Factory New

float up to 0.069999

785 546.42 ₸ 3.64%

price without deals

Steam

at a loss

★ Sport Gloves | Blaze

Factory New

float up to 0.069999

389 034.87 ₸ 3.64%

sell on CSFloat

Steam

at a loss

★ Sport Gloves | Creme Pinstripe

Factory New

float up to 0.069999

332 484.59 ₸ 3.64%

sell on CSFloat

Steam

at a loss

★ Sport Gloves | Red Racer

Factory New

float up to 0.069999

610 696.82 ₸ 3.64%

price without deals

Steam

in profit

★ Sport Gloves | Ultra Violent

Factory New

float up to 0.069999

1 909 889.82 ₸ 3.64%

sell on CSFloat

Steam

in profit

★ Sport Gloves | Occult

Factory New

float up to 0.069999

770 632.84 ₸ 3.64%

sell on CSFloat

Steam

★ Hand Wraps | Spruce DDPAT

Factory New

float up to 0.069999

not on Steam: above the cap 0.83%

Steam

at a loss

★ Hand Wraps | Badlands

Factory New

float up to 0.069999

608 013.68 ₸ 0.83%

price without deals

Steam

at a loss

★ Hand Wraps | Leather

Factory New

float up to 0.069999

396 720.60 ₸ 0.83%

sell on CSFloat

Steam

at a loss

★ Hand Wraps | Slaughter

Factory New

float up to 0.069999

521 808.85 ₸ 0.83%

sell on CSFloat pricier variants exist lots by number

Steam

at a loss

★ Moto Gloves | Eclipse

Factory New

float up to 0.069999

296 299.81 ₸ 0.83%

sell on CSFloat

Steam

in profit

★ Moto Gloves | Spearmint

Factory New

float up to 0.069999

2 465 395.38 ₸ 0.83%

sell on CSFloat

Steam

about break-even

★ Moto Gloves | Boom!

Factory New

float up to 0.069999

728 308.29 ₸ 0.83%

price without deals

Steam

in profit

★ Moto Gloves | Cool Mint

Factory New

float up to 0.069999

1 026 110.96 ₸ 0.83%

sell on Market.CSGO

Steam

at a loss

★ Driver Gloves | Lunar Weave

Factory New

float up to 0.069999

542 839.37 ₸ 0.83%

sell on CSFloat

Steam

at a loss

★ Driver Gloves | Convoy

Factory New

float up to 0.069999

672 544.72 ₸ 0.83%

price without deals

Steam

in profit

★ Driver Gloves | Crimson Weave

Factory New

float up to 0.069999

852 710.13 ₸ 0.83%

sell on CSFloat

Steam

in profit

★ Driver Gloves | Diamondback

Factory New

float up to 0.069999

761 516.59 ₸ 0.83%

price without deals

Steam

at a loss

★ Specialist Gloves | Forest DDPAT

Factory New

float up to 0.069999

262 372.37 ₸ 0.83%

sell on CSFloat

Steam

in profit

★ Specialist Gloves | Emerald Web

Factory New

float up to 0.069999

1 913 866.11 ₸ 0.83%

sell on CSFloat

Steam

★ Specialist Gloves | Crimson Kimono

Factory New

float up to 0.069999

not on Steam: above the cap 0.83%

Steam

★ Specialist Gloves | Foundation

Factory New

float up to 0.069999

not on Steam: above the cap 0.83%

Steam

in profit

best

★ Sport Gloves | Hedge Maze

Factory New

float up to 0.069999

13 254 327.56 ₸ 0.83%

sell on CSFloat

Steam

in profit

★ Sport Gloves | Superconductor

Factory New

float up to 0.069999

3 618 929.06 ₸ 0.83%

sell on CSFloat

Steam

in profit

★ Sport Gloves | Arid

Factory New

float up to 0.069999

1 266 172.78 ₸ 0.83%

sell on CSFloat

Steam

in profit

★ Sport Gloves | Pandora's Box

Factory New

float up to 0.069999

9 680 598.97 ₸ 0.83%

sell on CSFloat

Steam

at a loss

★ Bloodhound Gloves | Charred

Factory New

float up to 0.069999

546 252.91 ₸ 0.83%

price without deals

Steam

at a loss

★ Bloodhound Gloves | Guerrilla

Factory New

float up to 0.069999

257 852.35 ₸ 0.83%

price without deals

Steam

about break-even

★ Bloodhound Gloves | Bronzed

Factory New

float up to 0.069999

700 588.80 ₸ 0.83%

price without deals

Steam

at a loss

worst

★ Bloodhound Gloves | Snakebite

Factory New

float up to 0.069999

160 122.84 ₸ 0.83%

sell on Market.CSGO

Steam

Craft variants

Variant 1 this one The Operation Hydra Collection + The Dead Hand Collection

Variant 2 The Glove Collection instead of The Dead Hand Collection Variant 3 The Glove Collection instead of The Operation Hydra Collection Variant 4 only The Operation Hydra Collection Variant 5 The Clutch Collection instead of The Dead Hand Collection Variant 6 The Arms Deal 3 Collection instead of The Dead Hand Collection

In a week, when the outcome can be sold from outcome price history

In a bad week +250 430.14 ₸ a worse week happens one time in ten

In a typical week +256 701.56 ₸ historical median

7% of outcomes (by probability) have less than two weeks of price history, their price is taken as of today.

If you repeat 10 000 simulations over the outcome odds

Attempts: 10

I already have items Enter their float and the site will pick what to buy

Mix in a collection

Items of this craft's collections of the right rarity fit: The Dead Hand Collection and The Operation Hydra Collection — and of the mixed-in collection: enter its items with float, your own or ones you want to buy. Its share in the set equals its share in the chances. Your own items are counted in the profit at market price, because you could sell them. The money needed to buy the rest is shown separately.

Third collection Add a third collection to the craft's two and see whether it gets more profitable

All splits of inputs across three collections are tried (1/1/8, 5/3/2 and the rest) and all outcome wears. The best set is shown for each collection. “Find the best” first quickly scores all collections and then calculates exactly the five best by the quick score.

Similar 1 craft almost like this one

One of three things counts as similar. The same set with a different wear of cheap outcomes: profit and investment differ by less than 0,5%. The same nine items with a different tenth: profit differs by no more than 10%, investment by 20%. The same main half, whose outcomes make the profit, with a different filler: profit lower by no more than a quarter, investment cheaper by no more than a quarter.

Craft 3086501 · The Dead Hand Collection + The Operation Hydra Collection · profit 259 002.53₸ · invest 617 495.32₸
no outcome price marketplace price sells slowly rare inputs pricier variants exist

How to read these numbers

Fees. Steam adds 15% to the seller's price, so the seller gets the listing price divided by 1,15. Multiplying by 0,85 is wrong.

The outcome can only be sold after a week. Inputs bought on Steam go into the contract right away. The outcome can also be crafted further without waiting, but Sell it is possible only after seven days. Over a week the price may change, so the amount shown remains an estimate at calculation time.

Prices are conservative. Sales are counted at the lower of the listing price and the sale price. Purchases are counted at the cheapest listing, which is a lower bound. You cannot buy ten at that price: each next listing costs more. «Check floats on Steam» shows the real purchase price.

The Operation Hydra Collection + The Dead Hand Collection

How to build i Ways to build 4 ways: the best first, then from the most accessible. Click a tab and the numbers below are recalculated for that way.

What you get 46 outcomes

More

How to build