The Operation Broken Fang Collection + The Revolution Collection

Covert → knife or gloves · Items in the contract: 5

Prices by float: ночной проверки нет, числа ниже — оценка с учётом float

Average profit at most · with float −202 879.70₸

Invest at least 609 652.93₸

Average return 406 773.24₸

ROI −33.3%

Chance of profit 16%

With float: invest at least 609 652.93 ₸, profit at most −202 879.70 ₸

float premium: at least 335 201 ₸

To build: medium

The gain is understated: 1 outcome has no price, that is 0.8% of the chance

Sell on CSFloat: without them the profit is −126 582.48 ₸

Check:

To calculator I have items + a third collection

Buy on Sell on

How to build

4% of lots fit: not enough for a contract

×1

Glock-18 | Neo-Noir

Factory New

buy 0.0000–0.0180

90 476.69 ₸

at 90 476.69

Steam

×4

AK-47 | Head Shot

Factory New

buy 0.0000–0.0123

175 147.25 ₸

at 43 786.81

Steam

Set · 5 pcs 265 623.94 ₸ +141 149.29 (+53.1%)

The gain is understated: 1 outcome has no price, that is 1.7% of the chance

Profit on prices without sales: without them at least −58 096 ₸

5% of lots fit: not enough for a contract

×2

Glock-18 | Neo-Noir

Factory New

buy 0.0000–0.0189

180 953.38 ₸

at 90 476.69

Steam

×3

AK-47 | Head Shot

Factory New

buy 0.0000–0.0098

131 360.44 ₸

at 43 786.81

Steam

Set · 5 pcs 312 313.82 ₸ +85 521.14 (+27.4%)

What you get 48 outcomes

Profitable outcome 57%
Losing outcome 42%
Above the Steam cap 1%

Order

at a loss

★ Hand Wraps | Duct Tape

Factory New

float up to 0.069999

119 881.86 ₸ 3.33%

Steam

in profit

★ Hand Wraps | Cobalt Skulls

Factory New

float up to 0.069999

471 410.74 ₸ 3.33%

sell on CSFloat

Steam

in profit

★ Hand Wraps | Overprint

Factory New

float up to 0.069999

452 373.06 ₸ 3.33%

price without deals

Steam

at a loss

★ Hand Wraps | Arboreal

Factory New

float up to 0.069999

129 649.25 ₸ 3.33%

price without deals

Steam

in profit

★ Moto Gloves | Turtle

Factory New

float up to 0.069999

349 751.37 ₸ 3.33%

price without deals

Steam

in profit

★ Moto Gloves | POW!

Factory New

float up to 0.069999

339 416.97 ₸ 3.33%

price without deals

Steam

in profit

★ Moto Gloves | Polygon

Factory New

float up to 0.069999

439 146.53 ₸ 3.33%

price without deals

Steam

at a loss

★ Moto Gloves | Transport

Factory New

float up to 0.069999

165 112.70 ₸ 3.33%

price without deals

Steam

in profit

★ Driver Gloves | Imperial Plaid

Factory New

float up to 0.069999

367 149.42 ₸ 3.33%

sell on CSFloat

Steam

in profit

★ Driver Gloves | King Snake

Factory New

float up to 0.069999

920 565.06 ₸ 3.33%

sell on CSFloat

Steam

at a loss

★ Driver Gloves | Overtake

Factory New

float up to 0.069999

242 016.86 ₸ 3.33%

price without deals

Steam

at a loss

★ Driver Gloves | Racing Green

Factory New

float up to 0.069999

95 230.78 ₸ 3.33%

price without deals

Steam

in profit

★ Specialist Gloves | Fade

Factory New

float up to 0.069999

717 389.35 ₸ 3.33%

sell on CSFloat pricier variants exist lots by number

Steam

at a loss

★ Specialist Gloves | Buckshot

Factory New

float up to 0.069999

131 100.64 ₸ 3.33%

price without deals

Steam

in profit

★ Specialist Gloves | Crimson Web

Factory New

float up to 0.069999

422 084.76 ₸ 3.33%

sell on CSFloat pricier variants exist lots by number

Steam

in profit

★ Specialist Gloves | Mogul

Factory New

float up to 0.069999

369 930.88 ₸ 3.33%

price without deals

Steam

in profit

★ Sport Gloves | Omega

Factory New

float up to 0.069999

561 725.63 ₸ 3.33%

sell on CSFloat

Steam

in profit

best

★ Sport Gloves | Vice

Factory New

float up to 0.069999

2 645 889.47 ₸ 3.33%

sell on CSFloat

Steam

in profit

★ Sport Gloves | Amphibious

Factory New

float up to 0.069999

904 732.25 ₸ 3.33%

sell on CSFloat

Steam

at a loss

★ Sport Gloves | Bronze Morph

Factory New

float up to 0.069999

242 140.53 ₸ 3.33%

price without deals

Steam

at a loss

★ Hydra Gloves | Emerald

Factory New

float up to 0.069999

111 691.35 ₸ 3.33%

Steam

at a loss

★ Hydra Gloves | Case Hardened

Factory New

float up to 0.069999

242 074.00 ₸ 3.33%

price without deals pricier variants exist lots by number

Steam

at a loss

worst

★ Hydra Gloves | Mangrove

Factory New

float up to 0.069999

69 039.76 ₸ 3.33%

price without deals

Steam

at a loss

★ Hydra Gloves | Rattler

Factory New

float up to 0.069999

73 744.14 ₸ 3.33%

price without deals

Steam

at a loss

★ Hand Wraps | Desert Shamagh

Factory New

float up to 0.069999

121 336.10 ₸ 0.83%

price without deals

Steam

in profit

★ Hand Wraps | CAUTION!

Factory New

float up to 0.069999

441 063.66 ₸ 0.83%

price without deals

Steam

at a loss

★ Hand Wraps | Giraffe

Factory New

float up to 0.069999

117 860.57 ₸ 0.83%

price without deals

Steam

at a loss

★ Hand Wraps | Constrictor

Factory New

float up to 0.069999

156 066.04 ₸ 0.83%

price without deals

Steam

in profit

★ Moto Gloves | Blood Pressure

Factory New

float up to 0.069999

405 635.01 ₸ 0.83%

price without deals

Steam

in profit

★ Moto Gloves | Finish Line

Factory New

float up to 0.069999

480 188.10 ₸ 0.83%

price without deals

Steam

at a loss

★ Moto Gloves | 3rd Commando Company

Factory New

float up to 0.069999

174 137.18 ₸ 0.83%

price without deals

Steam

in profit

★ Moto Gloves | Smoke Out

Factory New

float up to 0.069999

472 638.28 ₸ 0.83%

price without deals

Steam

in profit

★ Driver Gloves | Snow Leopard

Factory New

float up to 0.069999

787 221.12 ₸ 0.83%

sell on CSFloat

Steam

in profit

★ Driver Gloves | Queen Jaguar

Factory New

float up to 0.069999

451 910.06 ₸ 0.83%

price without deals

Steam

in profit

★ Driver Gloves | Rezan the Red

Factory New

float up to 0.069999

499 999.93 ₸ 0.83%

price without deals

Steam

in profit

★ Driver Gloves | Black Tie

Factory New

float up to 0.069999

483 516.03 ₸ 0.83%

sell on CSFloat

Steam

in profit

★ Specialist Gloves | Field Agent

Factory New

float up to 0.069999

371 510.21 ₸ 0.83%

sell on CSFloat

Steam

in profit

★ Specialist Gloves | Marble Fade

Factory New

float up to 0.069999

761 929.34 ₸ 0.83%

sell on CSFloat pricier variants exist lots by number

Steam

in profit

★ Specialist Gloves | Lt. Commander

Factory New

float up to 0.069999

437 198.70 ₸ 0.83%

price without deals

Steam

in profit

★ Specialist Gloves | Tiger Strike

Factory New

float up to 0.069999

432 009.63 ₸ 0.83%

sell on CSFloat

Steam

in profit

★ Sport Gloves | Scarlet Shamagh

Factory New

float up to 0.069999

433 316.98 ₸ 0.83%

sell on CSFloat

Steam

in profit

★ Sport Gloves | Big Game

Factory New

float up to 0.069999

294 038.00 ₸ 0.83%

sell on CSFloat

Steam

in profit

★ Sport Gloves | Nocts

Factory New

float up to 0.069999

1 176 151.94 ₸ 0.83%

sell on CSFloat

Steam

★ Sport Gloves | Slingshot

Factory New

float up to 0.069999

not on Steam: above the cap 0.83%

Steam

at a loss

★ Broken Fang Gloves | Needle Point

Factory New

float up to 0.069999

104 043.97 ₸ 0.83%

price without deals

Steam

in profit

★ Broken Fang Gloves | Jade

Factory New

float up to 0.069999

608 700.70 ₸ 0.83%

price without deals

Steam

at a loss

★ Broken Fang Gloves | Yellow-banded

Factory New

float up to 0.069999

185 725.99 ₸ 0.83%

price without deals

Steam

at a loss

★ Broken Fang Gloves | Unhinged

Factory New

float up to 0.069999

242 016.86 ₸ 0.83%

price without deals

Steam

Craft variants

Variant 1 this one The Operation Broken Fang Collection + The Revolution Collection

Variant 2 The Glove Collection instead of The Revolution Collection Variant 3 The Glove Collection instead of The Operation Broken Fang Collection Variant 4 The Operation Hydra Collection instead of The Operation Broken Fang Collection Variant 5 The Clutch Collection instead of The Operation Broken Fang Collection Variant 6 The Phoenix Collection instead of The Revolution Collection

In a week, when the outcome can be sold from outcome price history

In a bad week +121 040.74 ₸ a worse week happens one time in ten

In a typical week +137 438.60 ₸ historical median

1% of outcomes (by probability) have less than two weeks of price history, their price is taken as of today.

If you repeat 10 000 simulations over the outcome odds

Attempts: 10

I already have items Enter their float and the site will pick what to buy

Mix in a collection

Items of this craft's collections of the right rarity fit: The Operation Broken Fang Collection and The Revolution Collection — and of the mixed-in collection: enter its items with float, your own or ones you want to buy. Its share in the set equals its share in the chances. Your own items are counted in the profit at market price, because you could sell them. The money needed to buy the rest is shown separately.

Third collection Add a third collection to the craft's two and see whether it gets more profitable

All splits of inputs across three collections are tried (1/1/8, 5/3/2 and the rest) and all outcome wears. The best set is shown for each collection. “Find the best” first quickly scores all collections and then calculates exactly the five best by the quick score.

Similar 29 crafts almost like this one

One of three things counts as similar. The same set with a different wear of cheap outcomes: profit and investment differ by less than 0,5%. The same nine items with a different tenth: profit differs by no more than 10%, investment by 20%. The same main half, whose outcomes make the profit, with a different filler: profit lower by no more than a quarter, investment cheaper by no more than a quarter.

Craft 3087230 · The eSports 2013 Winter Collection + The Revolution Collection · profit 143 369.26₸ · invest 238 200.24₸
no outcome price marketplace price sells slowly rare inputs pricier variants exist

M4A4 | X-Ray (Factory New) instead of Glock-18 | Neo-Noir (Factory New); AK-47 | Head Shot (Factory New): float at most 0.009213 instead of 0.012385
Craft 3087231 · The Revolution Collection + The eSports 2013 Winter Collection · profit 143 369.26₸ · invest 238 200.24₸
no outcome price marketplace price sells slowly rare inputs pricier variants exist

M4A4 | X-Ray (Factory New) instead of Glock-18 | Neo-Noir (Factory New); AK-47 | Head Shot (Factory New): float at most 0.009213 instead of 0.012385
Craft 3085952 · The Revolution Collection + The Breakout Collection · profit 143 116.60₸ · invest 276 685.89₸
no outcome price marketplace price sells slowly rare inputs pricier variants exist

M4A1-S | Cyrex (Factory New) instead of Glock-18 | Neo-Noir (Factory New); AK-47 | Head Shot (Factory New): float at most 0.011261 instead of 0.012385
Craft 3085953 · The Breakout Collection + The Revolution Collection · profit 143 116.60₸ · invest 276 685.89₸
no outcome price marketplace price sells slowly rare inputs pricier variants exist

M4A1-S | Cyrex (Factory New) instead of Glock-18 | Neo-Noir (Factory New); AK-47 | Head Shot (Factory New): float at most 0.011261 instead of 0.012385
Craft 3087226 · The Wildfire Collection + The Revolution Collection · profit 143 097.47₸ · invest 217 672.88₸
no outcome price marketplace price sells slowly rare inputs pricier variants exist

M4A4 | The Battlestar (Factory New) instead of Glock-18 | Neo-Noir (Factory New); AK-47 | Head Shot (Factory New): float at most 0.011477 instead of 0.012385
Craft 3087227 · The Revolution Collection + The Wildfire Collection · profit 143 097.47₸ · invest 217 672.88₸
no outcome price marketplace price sells slowly rare inputs pricier variants exist

M4A4 | The Battlestar (Factory New) instead of Glock-18 | Neo-Noir (Factory New); AK-47 | Head Shot (Factory New): float at most 0.011477 instead of 0.012385
Craft 3087152 · The Revolution Collection + The Prisma Collection · profit 142 132.86₸ · invest 216 849.89₸
marketplace price sells slowly rare inputs pricier variants exist

Five-SeveN | Angry Mob (Factory New) instead of Glock-18 | Neo-Noir (Factory New); AK-47 | Head Shot (Factory New): float at most 0.012446 instead of 0.012385
Craft 3087153 · The Prisma Collection + The Revolution Collection · profit 142 132.86₸ · invest 216 849.89₸
marketplace price sells slowly rare inputs pricier variants exist

Five-SeveN | Angry Mob (Factory New) instead of Glock-18 | Neo-Noir (Factory New); AK-47 | Head Shot (Factory New): float at most 0.012446 instead of 0.012385
Craft 3087012 · The Revolution Collection + The Operation Broken Fang Collection · profit 141 149.28₸ · invest 265 623.94₸
no outcome price marketplace price sells slowly rare inputs pricier variants exist
Craft 3086816 · The Revolution Collection + The Gamma Collection · profit 140 061.63₸ · invest 243 215.56₸
marketplace price sells slowly rare inputs pricier variants exist

Glock-18 | Wasteland Rebel (Factory New) instead of Glock-18 | Neo-Noir (Factory New); AK-47 | Head Shot (Factory New): float at most 0.011546 instead of 0.012385
Craft 3086817 · The Gamma Collection + The Revolution Collection · profit 140 061.63₸ · invest 243 215.56₸
marketplace price sells slowly rare inputs pricier variants exist

Glock-18 | Wasteland Rebel (Factory New) instead of Glock-18 | Neo-Noir (Factory New); AK-47 | Head Shot (Factory New): float at most 0.011546 instead of 0.012385
Craft 3086984 · The Revolution Collection + The Kilowatt Collection · profit 139 452.51₸ · invest 207 642.91₸
marketplace price sells slowly rare inputs pricier variants exist

AWP | Chrome Cannon (Factory New) instead of Glock-18 | Neo-Noir (Factory New); AK-47 | Head Shot (Factory New): float at most 0.013513 instead of 0.012385
Craft 3086985 · The Kilowatt Collection + The Revolution Collection · profit 139 452.51₸ · invest 207 642.91₸
marketplace price sells slowly rare inputs pricier variants exist

AWP | Chrome Cannon (Factory New) instead of Glock-18 | Neo-Noir (Factory New); AK-47 | Head Shot (Factory New): float at most 0.013513 instead of 0.012385
Craft 3086248 · The Revolution Collection + The Chroma Collection · profit 137 920.09₸ · invest 237 573.69₸
no outcome price marketplace price sells slowly rare inputs pricier variants exist

AWP | Man-o'-war (Minimal Wear) instead of Glock-18 | Neo-Noir (Factory New); AK-47 | Head Shot (Factory New): float at most 0.006063 instead of 0.012385
Craft 3086249 · The Chroma Collection + The Revolution Collection · profit 137 920.09₸ · invest 237 573.69₸
no outcome price marketplace price sells slowly rare inputs pricier variants exist

AWP | Man-o'-war (Minimal Wear) instead of Glock-18 | Neo-Noir (Factory New); AK-47 | Head Shot (Factory New): float at most 0.006063 instead of 0.012385
Craft 3085874 · The Revolution Collection + The Arms Deal 3 Collection · profit 136 620.58₸ · invest 244 948.93₸
no outcome price marketplace price sells slowly rare inputs pricier variants exist

CZ75-Auto | Victoria (Factory New) instead of Glock-18 | Neo-Noir (Factory New); AK-47 | Head Shot (Factory New): float at most 0.005233 instead of 0.012385
Craft 3085875 · The Arms Deal 3 Collection + The Revolution Collection · profit 136 620.58₸ · invest 244 948.93₸
no outcome price marketplace price sells slowly rare inputs pricier variants exist

CZ75-Auto | Victoria (Factory New) instead of Glock-18 | Neo-Noir (Factory New); AK-47 | Head Shot (Factory New): float at most 0.005233 instead of 0.012385
Craft 3085792 · The Revolution Collection + The Arms Deal 2 Collection · profit 135 074.08₸ · invest 246 495.42₸
no outcome price marketplace price sells slowly rare inputs pricier variants exist

SSG 08 | Blood in the Water (Factory New) instead of Glock-18 | Neo-Noir (Factory New); AK-47 | Head Shot (Factory New): float at most 0.012251 instead of 0.012385
Craft 3085793 · The Arms Deal 2 Collection + The Revolution Collection · profit 135 074.08₸ · invest 246 495.42₸
no outcome price marketplace price sells slowly rare inputs pricier variants exist

SSG 08 | Blood in the Water (Factory New) instead of Glock-18 | Neo-Noir (Factory New); AK-47 | Head Shot (Factory New): float at most 0.012251 instead of 0.012385
Craft 3086686 · The Revolution Collection + The Fever Collection · profit 134 952.80₸ · invest 216 014.95₸
marketplace price sells slowly rare inputs pricier variants exist

FAMAS | Bad Trip (Factory New) instead of Glock-18 | Neo-Noir (Factory New); AK-47 | Head Shot (Factory New): float at most 0.013513 instead of 0.012385
Craft 3086687 · The Fever Collection + The Revolution Collection · profit 134 952.80₸ · invest 216 014.95₸
marketplace price sells slowly rare inputs pricier variants exist

FAMAS | Bad Trip (Factory New) instead of Glock-18 | Neo-Noir (Factory New); AK-47 | Head Shot (Factory New): float at most 0.013513 instead of 0.012385
Craft 3087212 · The Shattered Web Collection + The Revolution Collection · profit 133 611.48₸ · invest 224 499.51₸
no outcome price marketplace price sells slowly rare inputs pricier variants exist

MAC-10 | Stalker (Factory New) instead of Glock-18 | Neo-Noir (Factory New); AK-47 | Head Shot (Factory New): float at most 0.013513 instead of 0.012385
Craft 3087213 · The Revolution Collection + The Shattered Web Collection · profit 133 611.48₸ · invest 224 499.51₸
no outcome price marketplace price sells slowly rare inputs pricier variants exist

MAC-10 | Stalker (Factory New) instead of Glock-18 | Neo-Noir (Factory New); AK-47 | Head Shot (Factory New): float at most 0.013513 instead of 0.012385
Craft 3086596 · The Revolution Collection + The Dreams & Nightmares Collection · profit 131 921.86₸ · invest 228 969.17₸
marketplace price sells slowly rare inputs pricier variants exist

AK-47 | Nightwish (Factory New) instead of Glock-18 | Neo-Noir (Factory New); AK-47 | Head Shot (Factory New): float at most 0.013513 instead of 0.012385
Craft 3086597 · The Dreams & Nightmares Collection + The Revolution Collection · profit 131 921.86₸ · invest 228 969.17₸
marketplace price sells slowly rare inputs pricier variants exist

AK-47 | Nightwish (Factory New) instead of Glock-18 | Neo-Noir (Factory New); AK-47 | Head Shot (Factory New): float at most 0.013513 instead of 0.012385
Craft 3086786 · The Revolution Collection + The Gamma 2 Collection · profit 131 070.97₸ · invest 252 206.22₸
marketplace price sells slowly rare inputs pricier variants exist

FAMAS | Roll Cage (Factory New) instead of Glock-18 | Neo-Noir (Factory New); AK-47 | Head Shot (Factory New): float at most 0.013513 instead of 0.012385
Craft 3086787 · The Gamma 2 Collection + The Revolution Collection · profit 131 070.97₸ · invest 252 206.22₸
marketplace price sells slowly rare inputs pricier variants exist

FAMAS | Roll Cage (Factory New) instead of Glock-18 | Neo-Noir (Factory New); AK-47 | Head Shot (Factory New): float at most 0.013513 instead of 0.012385
Craft 3087220 · The Spectrum Collection + The Revolution Collection · profit 129 671.21₸ · invest 237 714.46₸
marketplace price sells slowly rare inputs pricier variants exist

USP-S | Neo-Noir (Factory New) instead of Glock-18 | Neo-Noir (Factory New); AK-47 | Head Shot (Factory New): float at most 0.012446 instead of 0.012385
Craft 3087221 · The Revolution Collection + The Spectrum Collection · profit 129 671.21₸ · invest 237 714.46₸
marketplace price sells slowly rare inputs pricier variants exist

USP-S | Neo-Noir (Factory New) instead of Glock-18 | Neo-Noir (Factory New); AK-47 | Head Shot (Factory New): float at most 0.012446 instead of 0.012385

How to read these numbers

Fees. Steam adds 15% to the seller's price, so the seller gets the listing price divided by 1,15. Multiplying by 0,85 is wrong.

The outcome can only be sold after a week. Inputs bought on Steam go into the contract right away. The outcome can also be crafted further without waiting, but Sell it is possible only after seven days. Over a week the price may change, so the amount shown remains an estimate at calculation time.

Prices are conservative. Sales are counted at the lower of the listing price and the sale price. Purchases are counted at the cheapest listing, which is a lower bound. You cannot buy ten at that price: each next listing costs more. «Check floats on Steam» shows the real purchase price.

The Operation Broken Fang Collection + The Revolution Collection

How to build i Ways to build 2 ways: the best first, then from the most accessible. Click a tab and the numbers below are recalculated for that way.

What you get 48 outcomes

More

How to build