The Breakout Collection + The CS20 Collection

StatTrak™ Covert → knife or gloves · Items in the contract: 5

Prices by float: ночной проверки нет, числа ниже — оценка с учётом float

Average profit · with float −330.24$

Invest 946.24$

Average return 616.01$

ROI −34.9%

Chance of profit 18%

With float: invest 946.24 $, profit −330.24 $

float premium: none: float doesn't matter

To build: medium

The gain is understated: 1 outcome has no price, that is 6.2% of the chance

Sell on CSFloat: without them the profit is −525.63 $

Check:

To calculator I have items

Buy on Sell on

How to build

100% of lots fit ≈ enough for 2 contracts · medium (by listings)

×4

StatTrak™ P90 | Asiimov

Well-Worn

any lot

825.98 $

at 206.50

Steam

×1

StatTrak™ FAMAS | Commemoration

Battle-Scarred

any lot

39.29 $

at 39.29

Steam

Set · 5 pcs 865.27 $ −249.26 (−28.8%)

What you get 26 outcomes

Profitable outcome 18%
Losing outcome 75%
Above the Steam cap 6%

Order

in profit

best

★ StatTrak™ Butterfly Knife | Fade

Factory New

float up to 0.047304

1 854.56 $ 6.15%

sell on CSFloat pricier variants exist lots by number

Steam

in profit

★ StatTrak™ Butterfly Knife | Slaughter

Field-Tested

float up to 0.157826

1 449.06 $ 6.15%

price without deals pricier variants exist lots by number

Steam

at a loss

★ StatTrak™ Butterfly Knife | Blue Steel

Battle-Scarred

float up to 0.591304

699.00 $ 6.15%

sell on CSFloat pricier variants exist lots by number

Steam

at a loss

★ StatTrak™ Butterfly Knife | Stained

Battle-Scarred

float up to 0.591304

907.05 $ 6.15%

price without deals price cut pricier variants exist lots by number

Steam

at a loss

★ StatTrak™ Butterfly Knife | Case Hardened

Battle-Scarred

float up to 0.591304

940.00 $ 6.15%

price without deals pricier variants exist lots by number

Steam

at a loss

★ StatTrak™ Butterfly Knife | Forest DDPAT

Battle-Scarred

float up to 0.497565

511.85 $ 6.15%

price without deals pricier variants exist lots by number

Steam

★ StatTrak™ Butterfly Knife | Boreal Forest

Battle-Scarred

float up to 0.497565

not on Steam: above the cap 6.15%

pricier variants exist lots by number

Steam

at a loss

★ StatTrak™ Butterfly Knife | Crimson Web

Battle-Scarred

float up to 0.497565

586.00 $ 6.15%

sell on CSFloat price cut pricier variants exist lots by number

Steam

at a loss

★ StatTrak™ Butterfly Knife | Night

Battle-Scarred

float up to 0.497565

617.26 $ 6.15%

price without deals pricier variants exist lots by number

Steam

at a loss

★ StatTrak™ Butterfly Knife | Scorched

Battle-Scarred

float up to 0.497565

420.73 $ 6.15%

sell on CSFloat pricier variants exist lots by number

Steam

at a loss

★ StatTrak™ Butterfly Knife | Safari Mesh

Battle-Scarred

float up to 0.497565

690.20 $ 6.15%

price without deals price cut pricier variants exist lots by number

Steam

at a loss

★ StatTrak™ Butterfly Knife | Urban Masked

Battle-Scarred

float up to 0.497565

650.00 $ 6.15%

price without deals pricier variants exist lots by number

Steam

in profit

★ StatTrak™ Butterfly Knife

no wear

1 022.32 $ 6.15%

sell on CSFloat pricier variants exist lots by number

Steam

at a loss

★ StatTrak™ Classic Knife | Fade

Factory New

float up to 0.047304

579.88 $ 1.54%

price without deals pricier variants exist lots by number

Steam

at a loss

★ StatTrak™ Classic Knife | Slaughter

Field-Tested

float up to 0.157826

229.43 $ 1.54%

price without deals pricier variants exist lots by number

Steam

at a loss

★ StatTrak™ Classic Knife | Blue Steel

Battle-Scarred

float up to 0.591304

150.01 $ 1.54%

price without deals price cut pricier variants exist lots by number

Steam

at a loss

★ StatTrak™ Classic Knife | Stained

Battle-Scarred

float up to 0.591304

122.65 $ 1.54%

price without deals pricier variants exist lots by number

Steam

at a loss

★ StatTrak™ Classic Knife | Case Hardened

Battle-Scarred

float up to 0.591304

190.00 $ 1.54%

price without deals pricier variants exist lots by number

Steam

at a loss

★ StatTrak™ Classic Knife | Forest DDPAT

Battle-Scarred

float up to 0.497565

106.62 $ 1.54%

price without deals pricier variants exist lots by number

Steam

at a loss

★ StatTrak™ Classic Knife | Boreal Forest

Battle-Scarred

float up to 0.497565

117.47 $ 1.54%

price without deals price cut pricier variants exist lots by number

Steam

at a loss

★ StatTrak™ Classic Knife | Crimson Web

Battle-Scarred

float up to 0.497565

280.56 $ 1.54%

price without deals pricier variants exist lots by number

Steam

at a loss

★ StatTrak™ Classic Knife | Scorched

Battle-Scarred

float up to 0.497565

102.42 $ 1.54%

price without deals pricier variants exist lots by number

Steam

at a loss

worst

★ StatTrak™ Classic Knife | Safari Mesh

Battle-Scarred

float up to 0.497565

83.95 $ 1.54%

price without deals price cut pricier variants exist lots by number

Steam

at a loss

★ StatTrak™ Classic Knife | Night Stripe

Battle-Scarred

float up to 0.497565

115.37 $ 1.54%

price without deals price cut pricier variants exist lots by number

Steam

at a loss

★ StatTrak™ Classic Knife | Urban Masked

Battle-Scarred

float up to 0.497565

84.53 $ 1.54%

price without deals price cut pricier variants exist lots by number

Steam

at a loss

★ StatTrak™ Classic Knife

no wear

163.55 $ 1.54%

pricier variants exist lots by number

Steam

No other variants in this recount

In a week, when the outcome can be sold from outcome price history

In a bad week −295.00 $ a worse week happens one time in ten

In a typical week −252.01 $ historical median

If you repeat 10 000 simulations over the outcome odds

Attempts: 10

I already have items Enter their float and the site will pick what to buy

Mix in a collection

Items of this craft's collections of the right rarity fit: The Breakout Collection and The CS20 Collection — and of the mixed-in collection: enter its items with float, your own or ones you want to buy. Its share in the set equals its share in the chances. Your own items are counted in the profit at market price, because you could sell them. The money needed to buy the rest is shown separately.

Third collection Add a third collection to the craft's two and see whether it gets more profitable

All splits of inputs across three collections are tried (1/1/8, 5/3/2 and the rest) and all outcome wears. The best set is shown for each collection. “Find the best” first quickly scores all collections and then calculates exactly the five best by the quick score.

Similar 9 crafts almost like this one

One of three things counts as similar. The same set with a different wear of cheap outcomes: profit and investment differ by less than 0,5%. The same nine items with a different tenth: profit differs by no more than 10%, investment by 20%. The same main half, whose outcomes make the profit, with a different filler: profit lower by no more than a quarter, investment cheaper by no more than a quarter.

Craft 3088452 · The CS20 Collection + The Breakout Collection · profit −249.26$ · invest 865.27$
no outcome price marketplace price sells slowly rare inputs pricier variants exist
Craft 3088657 · The Kilowatt Collection + The Breakout Collection · profit −255.66$ · invest 855.82$
no outcome price marketplace price sells slowly rare inputs pricier variants exist

StatTrak™ AWP | Chrome Cannon (Battle-Scarred) instead of StatTrak™ FAMAS | Commemoration (Battle-Scarred)
Craft 3088662 · The Breakout Collection + The Kilowatt Collection · profit −255.66$ · invest 855.82$
no outcome price marketplace price sells slowly rare inputs pricier variants exist

StatTrak™ AWP | Chrome Cannon (Battle-Scarred) instead of StatTrak™ FAMAS | Commemoration (Battle-Scarred)
Craft 3088453 · The CS20 Collection + The Breakout Collection · profit −256.03$ · invest 865.27$
no outcome price marketplace price sells slowly rare inputs pricier variants exist

★ StatTrak™ Butterfly Knife | Slaughter: Minimal Wear instead of Field-Tested; ★ StatTrak™ Classic Knife | Slaughter: Minimal Wear instead of Field-Tested; StatTrak™ FAMAS | Commemoration (Battle-Scarred): float at most 0.480645 instead of 0.500000; StatTrak™ P90 | Asiimov (Well-Worn): float at most 0.422903 instead of 0.450000
Craft 3088460 · The Breakout Collection + The CS20 Collection · profit −256.03$ · invest 865.27$
no outcome price marketplace price sells slowly rare inputs pricier variants exist

★ StatTrak™ Butterfly Knife | Slaughter: Minimal Wear instead of Field-Tested; ★ StatTrak™ Classic Knife | Slaughter: Minimal Wear instead of Field-Tested; StatTrak™ P90 | Asiimov (Well-Worn): float at most 0.422903 instead of 0.450000; StatTrak™ FAMAS | Commemoration (Battle-Scarred): float at most 0.480645 instead of 0.500000
Craft 3088659 · The Kilowatt Collection + The Breakout Collection · profit −262.68$ · invest 855.82$
no outcome price marketplace price sells slowly rare inputs pricier variants exist

StatTrak™ AWP | Chrome Cannon (Battle-Scarred) instead of StatTrak™ FAMAS | Commemoration (Battle-Scarred); ★ StatTrak™ Butterfly Knife | Slaughter: Minimal Wear instead of Field-Tested; StatTrak™ P90 | Asiimov (Well-Worn): float at most 0.449999 instead of 0.450000
Craft 3088664 · The Breakout Collection + The Kilowatt Collection · profit −262.68$ · invest 855.82$
no outcome price marketplace price sells slowly rare inputs pricier variants exist

StatTrak™ AWP | Chrome Cannon (Battle-Scarred) instead of StatTrak™ FAMAS | Commemoration (Battle-Scarred); ★ StatTrak™ Butterfly Knife | Slaughter: Minimal Wear instead of Field-Tested; StatTrak™ P90 | Asiimov (Well-Worn): float at most 0.449999 instead of 0.450000
Craft 3088507 · The Danger Zone Collection + The Breakout Collection · profit −268.33$ · invest 885.70$
no outcome price marketplace price sells slowly rare inputs pricier variants exist

StatTrak™ AWP | Neo-Noir (Well-Worn) instead of StatTrak™ FAMAS | Commemoration (Battle-Scarred); ★ StatTrak™ Butterfly Knife | Slaughter: Minimal Wear instead of Field-Tested; StatTrak™ P90 | Asiimov (Well-Worn): float at most 0.449999 instead of 0.450000
Craft 3088512 · The Breakout Collection + The Danger Zone Collection · profit −268.33$ · invest 885.70$
no outcome price marketplace price sells slowly rare inputs pricier variants exist

StatTrak™ AWP | Neo-Noir (Well-Worn) instead of StatTrak™ FAMAS | Commemoration (Battle-Scarred); ★ StatTrak™ Butterfly Knife | Slaughter: Minimal Wear instead of Field-Tested; StatTrak™ P90 | Asiimov (Well-Worn): float at most 0.449999 instead of 0.450000

How to read these numbers

Fees. Steam adds 15% to the seller's price, so the seller gets the listing price divided by 1,15. Multiplying by 0,85 is wrong.

The outcome can only be sold after a week. Inputs bought on Steam go into the contract right away. The outcome can also be crafted further without waiting, but Sell it is possible only after seven days. Over a week the price may change, so the amount shown remains an estimate at calculation time.

Prices are conservative. Sales are counted at the lower of the listing price and the sale price. Purchases are counted at the cheapest listing, which is a lower bound. You cannot buy ten at that price: each next listing costs more. «Check floats on Steam» shows the real purchase price.

The Breakout Collection + The CS20 Collection

How to build i Ways to build 1 way: the best first, then from the most accessible. Click a tab and the numbers below are recalculated for that way.

What you get 26 outcomes

More

How to build