The Breakout Collection + The Falchion Collection

StatTrak™ Covert → knife or gloves · Items in the contract: 5

Average profit −13 029.05₴

Invest 40 298.80₴

Average return 27 269.75₴

ROI −32.3%

Chance of profit 18%

With float: invest 43 981.19 ₴, profit −16 711.44 ₴

float premium: 28 ₴ (0.1%)

To build: no data

The gain is understated: 1 outcome has no price, that is 6.2% of the chance

Sell on CSFloat / Market.CSGO: without them the profit is −28 770.11 ₴

Check:

To calculator I have items

Buy on Sell on

How to build

share of fitting lots unknown assemble: no data

×4

StatTrak™ P90 | Asiimov

Well-Worn

buy 0.3800–0.4371

37 274.78 ₴

at 9 318.69

Steam

×1

StatTrak™ AWP | Hyper Beast

Battle-Scarred

buy 0.4500–0.8992

3 024.03 ₴

at 3 024.03

Steam

Set · 5 pcs 40 298.80 ₴ −13 029.05 (−32.3%)

What you get 26 outcomes

Profitable outcome 18%
Losing outcome 75%
Above the Steam cap 6%

Order

in profit

best

★ StatTrak™ Butterfly Knife | Fade

Factory New

float up to 0.044799

83 692.11 ₴ 6.15%

sell on CSFloat pricier variants exist lots by number

Steam

in profit

★ StatTrak™ Butterfly Knife | Slaughter

Minimal Wear

float up to 0.149999

52 704.69 ₴ 6.15%

sell on CSFloat pricier variants exist lots by number

Steam

at a loss

★ StatTrak™ Butterfly Knife | Blue Steel

Battle-Scarred

float up to 0.559999

31 544.29 ₴ 6.15%

sell on CSFloat pricier variants exist lots by number

Steam

at a loss

★ StatTrak™ Butterfly Knife | Stained

Battle-Scarred

float up to 0.559999

40 932.98 ₴ 6.15%

price without deals price cut pricier variants exist lots by number

Steam

at a loss

★ StatTrak™ Butterfly Knife | Case Hardened

Battle-Scarred

float up to 0.559999

42 419.94 ₴ 6.15%

price without deals pricier variants exist lots by number

Steam

at a loss

★ StatTrak™ Butterfly Knife | Forest DDPAT

Battle-Scarred

float up to 0.474399

23 098.47 ₴ 6.15%

price without deals pricier variants exist lots by number

Steam

★ StatTrak™ Butterfly Knife | Boreal Forest

Battle-Scarred

float up to 0.474399

not on Steam: above the cap 6.15%

pricier variants exist lots by number

Steam

at a loss

★ StatTrak™ Butterfly Knife | Crimson Web

Battle-Scarred

float up to 0.474399

26 444.86 ₴ 6.15%

sell on CSFloat price cut pricier variants exist lots by number

Steam

at a loss

★ StatTrak™ Butterfly Knife | Night

Battle-Scarred

float up to 0.474399

27 855.35 ₴ 6.15%

price without deals pricier variants exist lots by number

Steam

at a loss

★ StatTrak™ Butterfly Knife | Scorched

Battle-Scarred

float up to 0.474399

18 986.60 ₴ 6.15%

sell on CSFloat pricier variants exist lots by number

Steam

at a loss

★ StatTrak™ Butterfly Knife | Safari Mesh

Battle-Scarred

float up to 0.474399

31 147.18 ₴ 6.15%

price without deals price cut pricier variants exist lots by number

Steam

at a loss

★ StatTrak™ Butterfly Knife | Urban Masked

Battle-Scarred

float up to 0.474399

29 333.12 ₴ 6.15%

price without deals pricier variants exist lots by number

Steam

in profit

★ StatTrak™ Butterfly Knife

no wear

46 134.99 ₴ 6.15%

sell on CSFloat pricier variants exist lots by number

Steam

at a loss

★ StatTrak™ Falchion Knife | Fade

Factory New

float up to 0.044799

14 004.40 ₴ 1.54%

price without deals pricier variants exist lots by number

Steam

at a loss

★ StatTrak™ Falchion Knife | Slaughter

Minimal Wear

float up to 0.149999

13 473.60 ₴ 1.54%

price without deals pricier variants exist lots by number

Steam

at a loss

★ StatTrak™ Falchion Knife | Blue Steel

Battle-Scarred

float up to 0.559999

8 199.51 ₴ 1.54%

price without deals pricier variants exist lots by number

Steam

at a loss

★ StatTrak™ Falchion Knife | Stained

Battle-Scarred

float up to 0.559999

4 558.54 ₴ 1.54%

price without deals price cut pricier variants exist lots by number

Steam

at a loss

★ StatTrak™ Falchion Knife | Case Hardened

Battle-Scarred

float up to 0.559999

9 580.70 ₴ 1.54%

price without deals pricier variants exist lots by number

Steam

at a loss

worst

★ StatTrak™ Falchion Knife | Forest DDPAT

Battle-Scarred

float up to 0.474399

3 324.11 ₴ 1.54%

price without deals price cut pricier variants exist lots by number

Steam

at a loss

★ StatTrak™ Falchion Knife | Boreal Forest

Battle-Scarred

float up to 0.474399

4 281.51 ₴ 1.54%

price without deals price cut pricier variants exist lots by number

Steam

at a loss

★ StatTrak™ Falchion Knife | Crimson Web

Battle-Scarred

float up to 0.474399

7 084.20 ₴ 1.54%

price without deals price cut pricier variants exist lots by number

Steam

at a loss

★ StatTrak™ Falchion Knife | Night

Battle-Scarred

float up to 0.474399

6 209.45 ₴ 1.54%

sell on Market.CSGO price cut pricier variants exist lots by number

Steam

at a loss

★ StatTrak™ Falchion Knife | Scorched

Battle-Scarred

float up to 0.474399

3 446.85 ₴ 1.54%

pricier variants exist lots by number

Steam

at a loss

★ StatTrak™ Falchion Knife | Safari Mesh

Battle-Scarred

float up to 0.474399

3 760.07 ₴ 1.54%

price without deals pricier variants exist lots by number

Steam

at a loss

★ StatTrak™ Falchion Knife | Urban Masked

Battle-Scarred

float up to 0.474399

3 631.42 ₴ 1.54%

price without deals price cut pricier variants exist lots by number

Steam

at a loss

★ StatTrak™ Falchion Knife

no wear

7 277.32 ₴ 1.54%

price without deals pricier variants exist lots by number

Steam

No other variants in this recount

In a week, when the outcome can be sold from outcome price history

In a bad week −14 837.86 ₴ a worse week happens one time in ten

In a typical week −13 107.59 ₴ historical median

If you repeat 10 000 simulations over the outcome odds

Attempts: 10

I already have items Enter their float and the site will pick what to buy

Mix in a collection

Items of this craft's collections of the right rarity fit: The Breakout Collection and The Falchion Collection — and of the mixed-in collection: enter its items with float, your own or ones you want to buy. Its share in the set equals its share in the chances. Your own items are counted in the profit at market price, because you could sell them. The money needed to buy the rest is shown separately.

Third collection Add a third collection to the craft's two and see whether it gets more profitable

All splits of inputs across three collections are tried (1/1/8, 5/3/2 and the rest) and all outcome wears. The best set is shown for each collection. “Find the best” first quickly scores all collections and then calculates exactly the five best by the quick score.

Similar 9 crafts almost like this one

One of three things counts as similar. The same set with a different wear of cheap outcomes: profit and investment differ by less than 0,5%. The same nine items with a different tenth: profit differs by no more than 10%, investment by 20%. The same main half, whose outcomes make the profit, with a different filler: profit lower by no more than a quarter, investment cheaper by no more than a quarter.

Craft 3088638 · The Horizon Collection + The Breakout Collection · profit −12 438.23₴ · invest 40 298.80₴
no outcome price marketplace price sells slowly rare inputs pricier variants exist

StatTrak™ Desert Eagle | Code Red (Battle-Scarred) instead of StatTrak™ AWP | Hyper Beast (Battle-Scarred); StatTrak™ P90 | Asiimov (Well-Worn): float at most 0.449999 instead of 0.437175
Craft 3088643 · The Breakout Collection + The Horizon Collection · profit −12 438.23₴ · invest 40 298.80₴
no outcome price marketplace price sells slowly rare inputs pricier variants exist

StatTrak™ Desert Eagle | Code Red (Battle-Scarred) instead of StatTrak™ AWP | Hyper Beast (Battle-Scarred); StatTrak™ P90 | Asiimov (Well-Worn): float at most 0.449999 instead of 0.437175
Craft 3088539 · The Falchion Collection + The Breakout Collection · profit −12 726.61₴ · invest 40 298.80₴
no outcome price marketplace price sells slowly rare inputs pricier variants exist

★ StatTrak™ Butterfly Knife | Slaughter: Field-Tested instead of Minimal Wear; ★ StatTrak™ Falchion Knife | Slaughter: Field-Tested instead of Minimal Wear; StatTrak™ AWP | Hyper Beast (Battle-Scarred): float at most 1.000000 instead of 0.899236; StatTrak™ P90 | Asiimov (Well-Worn): float at most 0.450000 instead of 0.437175
Craft 3088545 · The Breakout Collection + The Falchion Collection · profit −12 726.61₴ · invest 40 298.80₴
no outcome price marketplace price sells slowly rare inputs pricier variants exist

★ StatTrak™ Butterfly Knife | Slaughter: Field-Tested instead of Minimal Wear; ★ StatTrak™ Falchion Knife | Slaughter: Field-Tested instead of Minimal Wear; StatTrak™ P90 | Asiimov (Well-Worn): float at most 0.450000 instead of 0.437175; StatTrak™ AWP | Hyper Beast (Battle-Scarred): float at most 1.000000 instead of 0.899236
Craft 3088490 · The Chroma Collection + The Breakout Collection · profit −12 953.85₴ · invest 43 593.22₴
no outcome price marketplace price sells slowly rare inputs pricier variants exist

StatTrak™ Galil AR | Chatterbox (Battle-Scarred) instead of StatTrak™ AWP | Hyper Beast (Battle-Scarred); ★ StatTrak™ Butterfly Knife | Slaughter: Field-Tested instead of Minimal Wear; StatTrak™ P90 | Asiimov (Well-Worn): float at most 0.450000 instead of 0.437175
Craft 3088497 · The Breakout Collection + The Chroma Collection · profit −12 953.85₴ · invest 43 593.22₴
no outcome price marketplace price sells slowly rare inputs pricier variants exist

StatTrak™ Galil AR | Chatterbox (Battle-Scarred) instead of StatTrak™ AWP | Hyper Beast (Battle-Scarred); ★ StatTrak™ Butterfly Knife | Slaughter: Field-Tested instead of Minimal Wear; StatTrak™ P90 | Asiimov (Well-Worn): float at most 0.450000 instead of 0.437175
Craft 3088540 · The Falchion Collection + The Breakout Collection · profit −13 029.05₴ · invest 40 298.80₴
no outcome price marketplace price sells slowly rare inputs pricier variants exist
Craft 3088492 · The Chroma Collection + The Breakout Collection · profit −13 274.62₴ · invest 43 593.22₴
no outcome price marketplace price sells slowly rare inputs pricier variants exist

StatTrak™ Galil AR | Chatterbox (Battle-Scarred) instead of StatTrak™ AWP | Hyper Beast (Battle-Scarred); StatTrak™ P90 | Asiimov (Well-Worn): float at most 0.440078 instead of 0.437175
Craft 3088499 · The Breakout Collection + The Chroma Collection · profit −13 274.62₴ · invest 43 593.22₴
no outcome price marketplace price sells slowly rare inputs pricier variants exist

StatTrak™ Galil AR | Chatterbox (Battle-Scarred) instead of StatTrak™ AWP | Hyper Beast (Battle-Scarred); StatTrak™ P90 | Asiimov (Well-Worn): float at most 0.440078 instead of 0.437175

How to read these numbers

Fees. Steam adds 15% to the seller's price, so the seller gets the listing price divided by 1,15. Multiplying by 0,85 is wrong.

The outcome can only be sold after a week. Inputs bought on Steam go into the contract right away. The outcome can also be crafted further without waiting, but Sell it is possible only after seven days. Over a week the price may change, so the amount shown remains an estimate at calculation time.

Prices are conservative. Sales are counted at the lower of the listing price and the sale price. Purchases are counted at the cheapest listing, which is a lower bound. You cannot buy ten at that price: each next listing costs more. «Check floats on Steam» shows the real purchase price.

The Breakout Collection + The Falchion Collection

How to build i Ways to build 1 way: the best first, then from the most accessible. Click a tab and the numbers below are recalculated for that way.

What you get 26 outcomes

More

How to build