The Breakout Collection + The Gamma Collection

StatTrak™ Covert → knife or gloves · Items in the contract: 5

Average profit −11 693.47₴

Invest 39 377.64₴

Average return 27 684.16₴

ROI −29.7%

Chance of profit 18%

With float: invest 40 090.38 ₴, profit −12 406.21 ₴

float premium: none: float doesn't matter

To build: easy

The gain is understated: 2 outcomes have no price, that is 5.9% of the chance

Sell on CSFloat: without them the profit is −22 313.87 ₴

Check:

To calculator I have items + a third collection

Buy on Sell on

How to build

100% of lots fit ≈ enough for 5 contracts · easy (by listings)

×2

StatTrak™ P90 | Asiimov

Well-Worn

any lot

18 637.39 ₴

at 9 318.69

Steam

×1

StatTrak™ P90 | Asiimov

Battle-Scarred

any lot

9 341.42 ₴

at 9 341.42

Steam

×2

StatTrak™ M4A1-S | Mecha Industries

Field-Tested

any lot

11 398.82 ₴

at 5 699.41

Steam

Set · 5 pcs 39 377.64 ₴ −11 693.47 (−29.7%)

What you get 43 outcomes

Profitable outcome 18%
Losing outcome 76%
Above the Steam cap 6%

Order

in profit

★ StatTrak™ Butterfly Knife | Fade

Factory New

float up to 0.046852

83 692.11 ₴ 4.62%

sell on CSFloat pricier variants exist lots by number

Steam

in profit

★ StatTrak™ Butterfly Knife | Slaughter

Field-Tested

float up to 0.156413

65 392.59 ₴ 4.62%

price without deals pricier variants exist lots by number

Steam

at a loss

★ StatTrak™ Butterfly Knife | Blue Steel

Battle-Scarred

float up to 0.585652

31 544.29 ₴ 4.62%

sell on CSFloat pricier variants exist lots by number

Steam

at a loss

★ StatTrak™ Butterfly Knife | Stained

Battle-Scarred

float up to 0.585652

40 932.98 ₴ 4.62%

price without deals price cut pricier variants exist lots by number

Steam

at a loss

★ StatTrak™ Butterfly Knife | Case Hardened

Battle-Scarred

float up to 0.585652

42 419.94 ₴ 4.62%

price without deals pricier variants exist lots by number

Steam

at a loss

★ StatTrak™ Butterfly Knife | Forest DDPAT

Battle-Scarred

float up to 0.493382

23 098.47 ₴ 4.62%

price without deals pricier variants exist lots by number

Steam

★ StatTrak™ Butterfly Knife | Boreal Forest

Battle-Scarred

float up to 0.493382

not on Steam: above the cap 4.62%

pricier variants exist lots by number

Steam

at a loss

★ StatTrak™ Butterfly Knife | Crimson Web

Battle-Scarred

float up to 0.493382

26 444.86 ₴ 4.62%

sell on CSFloat price cut pricier variants exist lots by number

Steam

at a loss

★ StatTrak™ Butterfly Knife | Night

Battle-Scarred

float up to 0.493382

27 855.35 ₴ 4.62%

price without deals pricier variants exist lots by number

Steam

at a loss

★ StatTrak™ Butterfly Knife | Scorched

Battle-Scarred

float up to 0.493382

18 986.60 ₴ 4.62%

sell on CSFloat pricier variants exist lots by number

Steam

at a loss

★ StatTrak™ Butterfly Knife | Safari Mesh

Battle-Scarred

float up to 0.493382

31 147.18 ₴ 4.62%

price without deals price cut pricier variants exist lots by number

Steam

at a loss

★ StatTrak™ Butterfly Knife | Urban Masked

Battle-Scarred

float up to 0.493382

29 333.12 ₴ 4.62%

price without deals pricier variants exist lots by number

Steam

in profit

★ StatTrak™ Butterfly Knife

no wear

46 134.99 ₴ 4.62%

sell on CSFloat pricier variants exist lots by number

Steam

at a loss

★ StatTrak™ Bayonet | Gamma Doppler

Factory New

float up to 0.046852

32 970.64 ₴ 1.33%

price without deals pricier variants exist lots by number 5 phases, price averaged

Steam

at a loss

★ StatTrak™ Bayonet | Freehand

Field-Tested

float up to 0.281113

12 690.70 ₴ 1.33%

price without deals price cut pricier variants exist lots by number

Steam

at a loss

★ StatTrak™ Bayonet | Lore

Well-Worn

float up to 0.380673

15 700.85 ₴ 1.33%

price without deals price cut pricier variants exist lots by number

Steam

at a loss

★ StatTrak™ Bayonet | Black Laminate

Battle-Scarred

float up to 0.585652

9 056.23 ₴ 1.33%

price without deals price cut pricier variants exist lots by number

Steam

at a loss

★ StatTrak™ Bayonet | Autotronic

Battle-Scarred

float up to 0.497804

11 784.21 ₴ 1.33%

sell on CSFloat pricier variants exist lots by number

Steam

at a loss

★ StatTrak™ Bayonet | Bright Water

Field-Tested

float up to 0.292826

8 638.08 ₴ 1.33%

price without deals pricier variants exist lots by number

Steam

at a loss

★ StatTrak™ Flip Knife | Gamma Doppler

Factory New

float up to 0.046852

29 107.89 ₴ 1.33%

price without deals pricier variants exist lots by number 5 phases, price averaged

Steam

at a loss

★ StatTrak™ Flip Knife | Freehand

Field-Tested

float up to 0.281113

7 343.72 ₴ 1.33%

price without deals pricier variants exist lots by number

Steam

at a loss

★ StatTrak™ Flip Knife | Lore

Well-Worn

float up to 0.380673

9 536.41 ₴ 1.33%

sell on CSFloat price cut pricier variants exist lots by number

Steam

at a loss

★ StatTrak™ Flip Knife | Black Laminate

Battle-Scarred

float up to 0.585652

6 893.47 ₴ 1.33%

price without deals pricier variants exist lots by number

Steam

at a loss

★ StatTrak™ Flip Knife | Autotronic

Battle-Scarred

float up to 0.497804

8 977.60 ₴ 1.33%

price without deals pricier variants exist lots by number

Steam

at a loss

★ StatTrak™ Flip Knife | Bright Water

Field-Tested

float up to 0.292826

8 329.67 ₴ 1.33%

price without deals price cut pricier variants exist lots by number

Steam

at a loss

★ StatTrak™ Gut Knife | Gamma Doppler

Factory New

float up to 0.046852

11 648.38 ₴ 1.33%

price without deals pricier variants exist lots by number 5 phases, price averaged

Steam

at a loss

★ StatTrak™ Gut Knife | Freehand

Field-Tested

float up to 0.281113

3 646.53 ₴ 1.33%

price without deals pricier variants exist lots by number

Steam

at a loss

★ StatTrak™ Gut Knife | Lore

Well-Worn

float up to 0.380673

5 122.42 ₴ 1.33%

price without deals price cut pricier variants exist lots by number

Steam

at a loss

worst

★ StatTrak™ Gut Knife | Black Laminate

Battle-Scarred

float up to 0.585652

3 152.36 ₴ 1.33%

price without deals pricier variants exist lots by number

Steam

at a loss

★ StatTrak™ Gut Knife | Autotronic

Battle-Scarred

float up to 0.497804

4 904.44 ₴ 1.33%

pricier variants exist lots by number

Steam

at a loss

★ StatTrak™ Gut Knife | Bright Water

Field-Tested

float up to 0.292826

3 242.19 ₴ 1.33%

price without deals pricier variants exist lots by number

Steam

in profit

★ StatTrak™ Karambit | Gamma Doppler

Factory New

float up to 0.046852

75 609.28 ₴ 1.33%

sell on CSFloat pricier variants exist lots by number 5 phases, price averaged

Steam

at a loss

★ StatTrak™ Karambit | Freehand

Field-Tested

float up to 0.281113

40 125.36 ₴ 1.33%

price without deals price cut pricier variants exist lots by number

Steam

★ StatTrak™ Karambit | Lore

Well-Worn

float up to 0.380673

not on Steam: above the cap 1.33%

pricier variants exist lots by number

Steam

at a loss

★ StatTrak™ Karambit | Black Laminate

Battle-Scarred

float up to 0.585652

41 529.37 ₴ 1.33%

price without deals pricier variants exist lots by number

Steam

in profit

★ StatTrak™ Karambit | Autotronic

Battle-Scarred

float up to 0.497804

50 134.32 ₴ 1.33%

price without deals price cut pricier variants exist lots by number

Steam

at a loss

★ StatTrak™ Karambit | Bright Water

Field-Tested

float up to 0.292826

36 211.90 ₴ 1.33%

price without deals price cut pricier variants exist lots by number

Steam

in profit

best

★ StatTrak™ M9 Bayonet | Gamma Doppler

Factory New

float up to 0.046852

84 410.96 ₴ 1.33%

price without deals pricier variants exist lots by number 5 phases, price averaged

Steam

at a loss

★ StatTrak™ M9 Bayonet | Freehand

Field-Tested

float up to 0.281113

26 388.46 ₴ 1.33%

price without deals price cut pricier variants exist lots by number

Steam

at a loss

★ StatTrak™ M9 Bayonet | Lore

Well-Worn

float up to 0.380673

34 876.05 ₴ 1.33%

price without deals price cut pricier variants exist lots by number

Steam

at a loss

★ StatTrak™ M9 Bayonet | Black Laminate

Battle-Scarred

float up to 0.585652

25 322.99 ₴ 1.33%

price without deals price cut pricier variants exist lots by number

Steam

at a loss

★ StatTrak™ M9 Bayonet | Autotronic

Battle-Scarred

float up to 0.497804

37 456.53 ₴ 1.33%

price without deals pricier variants exist lots by number

Steam

at a loss

★ StatTrak™ M9 Bayonet | Bright Water

Field-Tested

float up to 0.292826

23 246.67 ₴ 1.33%

price without deals pricier variants exist lots by number

Steam

float markup by input how many times more the lots with the needed float cost

StatTrak™ P90 | Asiimov (Well-Worn) × 2 100% of the wear range fits ×1.02 18 637.39 → 18 939.31 ₴

StatTrak™ P90 | Asiimov (Battle-Scarred) × 1 100% of the wear range fits ×1.01 9 341.42 → 9 428.30 ₴

StatTrak™ M4A1-S | Mecha Industries (Field-Tested) × 2 100% of the wear range fits ×1.03 11 398.82 → 11 722.55 ₴

The markup is taken from a check of Steam 25–26.09.2026 listings. It shows how many times the needed number of cheapest listings with a fitting float cost more than the cheapest listing of this wear. It depends on the width of the float window and on the number of items.

Average float of the set

average normalized 0.585652174

outcomes come out up to 0.046852, 0.156413, 0.585652, 0.585652, 0.585652, 0.493382, 0.493382, 0.493382, 0.493382, 0.493382, 0.493382, 0.493382, 0.000000, 0.046852, 0.281113, 0.380673, 0.585652, 0.497804, 0.292826, 0.046852, 0.281113, 0.380673, 0.585652, 0.497804, 0.292826, 0.046852, 0.281113, 0.380673, 0.585652, 0.497804, 0.292826, 0.046852, 0.281113, 0.380673, 0.585652, 0.497804, 0.292826, 0.046852, 0.281113, 0.380673, 0.585652, 0.497804, 0.292826

How to read float

«No higher than» — is a guarantee. The limits are calculated together: take all items with the float at the upper bound and you get exactly the result shown. With a lower float the result will be better.

f′ — the same float, brought to 0–1 by the skin's own range. CSFloat counts the same way.

I already have items

Craft variants

Variant 1 this one The Breakout Collection + The Gamma Collection

Variant 2 The Dreams & Nightmares Collection instead of The Breakout Collection Variant 3 The Operation Riptide Collection instead of The Breakout Collection

In a week, when the outcome can be sold from outcome price history

In a bad week −13 705.72 ₴ a worse week happens one time in ten

In a typical week −11 847.02 ₴ historical median

1% of outcomes (by probability) have less than two weeks of price history, their price is taken as of today.

If you repeat 10 000 simulations over the outcome odds

Attempts: 10

I already have items Enter their float and the site will pick what to buy

Mix in a collection

Items of this craft's collections of the right rarity fit: The Breakout Collection and The Gamma Collection — and of the mixed-in collection: enter its items with float, your own or ones you want to buy. Its share in the set equals its share in the chances. Your own items are counted in the profit at market price, because you could sell them. The money needed to buy the rest is shown separately.

Third collection Add a third collection to the craft's two and see whether it gets more profitable

All splits of inputs across three collections are tried (1/1/8, 5/3/2 and the rest) and all outcome wears. The best set is shown for each collection. “Find the best” first quickly scores all collections and then calculates exactly the five best by the quick score.

How to read these numbers

Fees. Steam adds 15% to the seller's price, so the seller gets the listing price divided by 1,15. Multiplying by 0,85 is wrong.

The outcome can only be sold after a week. Inputs bought on Steam go into the contract right away. The outcome can also be crafted further without waiting, but Sell it is possible only after seven days. Over a week the price may change, so the amount shown remains an estimate at calculation time.

Prices are conservative. Sales are counted at the lower of the listing price and the sale price. Purchases are counted at the cheapest listing, which is a lower bound. You cannot buy ten at that price: each next listing costs more. «Check floats on Steam» shows the real purchase price.

The Breakout Collection + The Gamma Collection

How to build i Ways to build 3 ways: the best first, then from the most accessible. Click a tab and the numbers below are recalculated for that way.

What you get 43 outcomes

More

How to build