The Kilowatt Collection + The Breakout Collection

StatTrak™ Covert → knife or gloves · Items in the contract: 5

Average profit −11 569.48₴

Invest 32 227.50₴

Average return 20 658.02₴

ROI −35.9%

Chance of profit 23%

With float: invest at least 70 504.47 ₴, profit at most −49 846.45 ₴

float premium: at least 38 014 ₴

Hard to build: not enough fitting lots for a single contract

The gain is understated: 2 outcomes have no price, that is 6.2% of the chance

Sell on CSFloat: without them the profit is −17 435.75 ₴

Check:

To calculator I have items

Buy on Sell on

How to build

0% of lots fit: not enough for a contract

×3

StatTrak™ AWP | Chrome Cannon

Minimal Wear

buy 0.0700–0.0809

8 930.75 ₴

at 2 976.92

Steam

×1

StatTrak™ P90 | Asiimov

Minimal Wear

buy 0.0700–0.0809

11 065.96 ₴

at 11 065.96

Steam

×1

StatTrak™ M4A1-S | Cyrex

Factory New

buy 0.0000–0.0095

12 230.80 ₴

at 12 230.80

Steam

Set · 5 pcs 32 227.50 ₴ −11 569.48 (−35.9%)

The gain is understated: 2 outcomes have no price, that is 9.2% of the chance

0% of lots fit: not enough for a contract

×2

StatTrak™ AWP | Chrome Cannon

Minimal Wear

buy 0.0700–0.0797

5 953.83 ₴

at 2 976.92

Steam

×2

StatTrak™ P90 | Asiimov

Minimal Wear

buy 0.0700–0.0797

22 131.91 ₴

at 11 065.96

Steam

×1

StatTrak™ M4A1-S | Cyrex

Factory New

buy 0.0000–0.0085

12 230.80 ₴

at 12 230.80

Steam

Set · 5 pcs 40 316.54 ₴ −13 205.82 (−32.8%)

The gain is understated: 2 outcomes have no price, that is 12.3% of the chance

0% of lots fit: not enough for a contract

×1

StatTrak™ AWP | Chrome Cannon

Minimal Wear

buy 0.0700–0.0786

2 976.92 ₴

at 2 976.92

Steam

×3

StatTrak™ P90 | Asiimov

Minimal Wear

buy 0.0700–0.0786

33 197.87 ₴

at 11 065.96

Steam

×1

StatTrak™ M4A1-S | Cyrex

Factory New

buy 0.0000–0.0075

12 230.80 ₴

at 12 230.80

Steam

Set · 5 pcs 48 405.58 ₴ −14 842.16 (−30.7%)

What you get 26 outcomes

Profitable outcome 23%
Losing outcome 65%
About break-even 6%
Above the Steam cap 6%

Order

at a loss

★ StatTrak™ Kukri Knife | Fade

Factory New

float up to 0.005599

10 129.43 ₴ 4.62%

price without deals pricier variants exist lots by number

Steam

at a loss

★ StatTrak™ Kukri Knife | Slaughter

Factory New

float up to 0.027499

8 153.87 ₴ 4.62%

price without deals pricier variants exist lots by number

Steam

at a loss

★ StatTrak™ Kukri Knife | Blue Steel

Factory New

float up to 0.069999

11 574.62 ₴ 4.62%

price without deals pricier variants exist lots by number

Steam

at a loss

★ StatTrak™ Kukri Knife | Stained

Factory New

float up to 0.069999

8 337.56 ₴ 4.62%

price without deals pricier variants exist lots by number

Steam

in profit

★ StatTrak™ Kukri Knife | Case Hardened

Factory New

float up to 0.069999

42 192.06 ₴ 4.62%

price without deals pricier variants exist lots by number

Steam

at a loss

worst

★ StatTrak™ Kukri Knife | Forest DDPAT

Minimal Wear

float up to 0.111799

2 937.82 ₴ 4.62%

pricier variants exist lots by number

Steam

at a loss

★ StatTrak™ Kukri Knife | Boreal Forest

Minimal Wear

float up to 0.111799

3 795.49 ₴ 4.62%

price without deals pricier variants exist lots by number

Steam

at a loss

★ StatTrak™ Kukri Knife | Crimson Web

Minimal Wear

float up to 0.111799

7 850.42 ₴ 4.62%

price without deals pricier variants exist lots by number

Steam

at a loss

★ StatTrak™ Kukri Knife | Scorched

Minimal Wear

float up to 0.111799

3 895.22 ₴ 4.62%

price without deals pricier variants exist lots by number

Steam

at a loss

★ StatTrak™ Kukri Knife | Safari Mesh

Minimal Wear

float up to 0.111799

2 996.62 ₴ 4.62%

price without deals pricier variants exist lots by number

Steam

at a loss

★ StatTrak™ Kukri Knife | Night Stripe

Minimal Wear

float up to 0.111799

4 507.34 ₴ 4.62%

price without deals pricier variants exist lots by number

Steam

at a loss

★ StatTrak™ Kukri Knife | Urban Masked

Minimal Wear

float up to 0.111799

4 189.90 ₴ 4.62%

pricier variants exist lots by number

Steam

at a loss

★ StatTrak™ Kukri Knife

no wear

5 341.22 ₴ 4.62%

price without deals pricier variants exist lots by number

Steam

in profit

best

★ StatTrak™ Butterfly Knife | Fade

Factory New

float up to 0.005599

83 692.11 ₴ 3.08%

sell on CSFloat pricier variants exist lots by number

Steam

in profit

★ StatTrak™ Butterfly Knife | Slaughter

Factory New

float up to 0.027499

64 717.69 ₴ 3.08%

sell on CSFloat pricier variants exist lots by number

Steam

★ StatTrak™ Butterfly Knife | Blue Steel

Factory New

float up to 0.069999

not on Steam: above the cap 3.08%

pricier variants exist lots by number

Steam

in profit

★ StatTrak™ Butterfly Knife | Stained

Factory New

float up to 0.069999

80 519.18 ₴ 3.08%

price without deals pricier variants exist lots by number

Steam

★ StatTrak™ Butterfly Knife | Case Hardened

Factory New

float up to 0.069999

not on Steam: above the cap 3.08%

pricier variants exist lots by number

Steam

about break-even

★ StatTrak™ Butterfly Knife | Forest DDPAT

Minimal Wear

float up to 0.111799

35 902.39 ₴ 3.08%

price without deals pricier variants exist lots by number

Steam

at a loss

★ StatTrak™ Butterfly Knife | Boreal Forest

Minimal Wear

float up to 0.111799

28 881.73 ₴ 3.08%

price without deals pricier variants exist lots by number

Steam

in profit

★ StatTrak™ Butterfly Knife | Crimson Web

Minimal Wear

float up to 0.111799

77 487.33 ₴ 3.08%

price without deals pricier variants exist lots by number

Steam

in profit

★ StatTrak™ Butterfly Knife | Night

Minimal Wear

float up to 0.111799

56 410.28 ₴ 3.08%

price without deals pricier variants exist lots by number

Steam

at a loss

★ StatTrak™ Butterfly Knife | Scorched

Minimal Wear

float up to 0.111799

32 446.93 ₴ 3.08%

price without deals pricier variants exist lots by number

Steam

at a loss

★ StatTrak™ Butterfly Knife | Safari Mesh

Minimal Wear

float up to 0.111799

31 238.85 ₴ 3.08%

price without deals pricier variants exist lots by number

Steam

about break-even

★ StatTrak™ Butterfly Knife | Urban Masked

Minimal Wear

float up to 0.111799

36 102.54 ₴ 3.08%

price without deals pricier variants exist lots by number

Steam

in profit

★ StatTrak™ Butterfly Knife

no wear

46 134.99 ₴ 3.08%

sell on CSFloat pricier variants exist lots by number

Steam

float markup by input how many times more the lots with the needed float cost

StatTrak™ AWP | Chrome Cannon (Minimal Wear) × 3 14% of the wear range fits at least ×2.26 8 930.75 → 20 183.49 ₴

StatTrak™ P90 | Asiimov (Minimal Wear) × 1 14% of the wear range fits at least ×2.16 11 065.96 → 23 902.47 ₴

StatTrak™ M4A1-S | Cyrex (Factory New) × 1 14% of the wear range fits at least ×2.16 12 230.80 → 26 418.52 ₴

The markup is taken from a check of Steam 25–26.09.2026 listings. It shows how many times the needed number of cheapest listings with a fitting float cost more than the cheapest listing of this wear. It depends on the width of the float window and on the number of items.

Average float of the set

average normalized 0.069999900

outcomes come out up to 0.005599, 0.027499, 0.069999, 0.069999, 0.069999, 0.111799, 0.111799, 0.111799, 0.111799, 0.111799, 0.111799, 0.111799, 0.000000, 0.005599, 0.027499, 0.069999, 0.069999, 0.069999, 0.111799, 0.111799, 0.111799, 0.111799, 0.111799, 0.111799, 0.111799, 0.000000

How to read float

«No higher than» — is a guarantee. The limits are calculated together: take all items with the float at the upper bound and you get exactly the result shown. With a lower float the result will be better.

f′ — the same float, brought to 0–1 by the skin's own range. CSFloat counts the same way.

I already have items

No other variants in this recount

In a week, when the outcome can be sold from outcome price history

In a bad week −13 038.24 ₴ a worse week happens one time in ten

In a typical week −11 862.54 ₴ historical median

If you repeat 10 000 simulations over the outcome odds

Attempts: 10

I already have items Enter their float and the site will pick what to buy

Mix in a collection

Items of this craft's collections of the right rarity fit: The Breakout Collection and The Kilowatt Collection — and of the mixed-in collection: enter its items with float, your own or ones you want to buy. Its share in the set equals its share in the chances. Your own items are counted in the profit at market price, because you could sell them. The money needed to buy the rest is shown separately.

Third collection Add a third collection to the craft's two and see whether it gets more profitable

All splits of inputs across three collections are tried (1/1/8, 5/3/2 and the rest) and all outcome wears. The best set is shown for each collection. “Find the best” first quickly scores all collections and then calculates exactly the five best by the quick score.

How to read these numbers

Fees. Steam adds 15% to the seller's price, so the seller gets the listing price divided by 1,15. Multiplying by 0,85 is wrong.

The outcome can only be sold after a week. Inputs bought on Steam go into the contract right away. The outcome can also be crafted further without waiting, but Sell it is possible only after seven days. Over a week the price may change, so the amount shown remains an estimate at calculation time.

Prices are conservative. Sales are counted at the lower of the listing price and the sale price. Purchases are counted at the cheapest listing, which is a lower bound. You cannot buy ten at that price: each next listing costs more. «Check floats on Steam» shows the real purchase price.

The Kilowatt Collection + The Breakout Collection

How to build i Ways to build 3 ways: the best first, then from the most accessible. Click a tab and the numbers below are recalculated for that way.

What you get 26 outcomes

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How to build