The Breakout Collection + The Operation Riptide Collection

StatTrak™ Covert → knife or gloves · Items in the contract: 5

Average profit −12 585.55₴

Invest 41 111.30₴

Average return 28 525.75₴

ROI −30.6%

Chance of profit 20%

With float: invest 45 055.11 ₴, profit −16 529.36 ₴

float premium: none: float doesn't matter

To build: medium

The gain is understated: 1 outcome has no price, that is 6.2% of the chance

Sell on CSFloat: without them the profit is −25 505.50 ₴

Check:

To calculator I have items + a third collection

Buy on Sell on

How to build

100% of lots fit ≈ enough for 3 contracts · medium (by listings)

×2

StatTrak™ P90 | Asiimov

Well-Worn

any lot

18 637.39 ₴

at 9 318.69

Steam

×2

StatTrak™ P90 | Asiimov

Battle-Scarred

any lot

18 682.85 ₴

at 9 341.42

Steam

×1

StatTrak™ Desert Eagle | Ocean Drive

Field-Tested

any lot

3 791.06 ₴

at 3 791.06

Steam

Set · 5 pcs 41 111.30 ₴ −12 585.55 (−30.6%)

What you get 43 outcomes

Profitable outcome 19%
Losing outcome 74%
About break-even 1%
Above the Steam cap 6%

Order

in profit

best

★ StatTrak™ Butterfly Knife | Fade

Factory New

float up to 0.053732

83 692.11 ₴ 6.15%

sell on CSFloat pricier variants exist lots by number

Steam

in profit

★ StatTrak™ Butterfly Knife | Slaughter

Field-Tested

float up to 0.177913

65 392.59 ₴ 6.15%

price without deals pricier variants exist lots by number

Steam

at a loss

★ StatTrak™ Butterfly Knife | Blue Steel

Battle-Scarred

float up to 0.671652

31 544.29 ₴ 6.15%

sell on CSFloat pricier variants exist lots by number

Steam

at a loss

★ StatTrak™ Butterfly Knife | Stained

Battle-Scarred

float up to 0.671652

40 932.98 ₴ 6.15%

price without deals price cut pricier variants exist lots by number

Steam

at a loss

★ StatTrak™ Butterfly Knife | Case Hardened

Battle-Scarred

float up to 0.671652

42 419.94 ₴ 6.15%

price without deals pricier variants exist lots by number

Steam

at a loss

★ StatTrak™ Butterfly Knife | Forest DDPAT

Battle-Scarred

float up to 0.557022

23 098.47 ₴ 6.15%

price without deals pricier variants exist lots by number

Steam

★ StatTrak™ Butterfly Knife | Boreal Forest

Battle-Scarred

float up to 0.557022

not on Steam: above the cap 6.15%

pricier variants exist lots by number

Steam

at a loss

★ StatTrak™ Butterfly Knife | Crimson Web

Battle-Scarred

float up to 0.557022

26 444.86 ₴ 6.15%

sell on CSFloat price cut pricier variants exist lots by number

Steam

at a loss

★ StatTrak™ Butterfly Knife | Night

Battle-Scarred

float up to 0.557022

27 855.35 ₴ 6.15%

price without deals pricier variants exist lots by number

Steam

at a loss

★ StatTrak™ Butterfly Knife | Scorched

Battle-Scarred

float up to 0.557022

18 986.60 ₴ 6.15%

sell on CSFloat pricier variants exist lots by number

Steam

at a loss

★ StatTrak™ Butterfly Knife | Safari Mesh

Battle-Scarred

float up to 0.557022

31 147.18 ₴ 6.15%

price without deals price cut pricier variants exist lots by number

Steam

at a loss

★ StatTrak™ Butterfly Knife | Urban Masked

Battle-Scarred

float up to 0.557022

29 333.12 ₴ 6.15%

price without deals pricier variants exist lots by number

Steam

in profit

★ StatTrak™ Butterfly Knife

no wear

46 134.99 ₴ 6.15%

sell on CSFloat pricier variants exist lots by number

Steam

in profit

★ StatTrak™ Butterfly Knife | Gamma Doppler

Factory New

float up to 0.053732

68 594.17 ₴ 0.67%

sell on CSFloat pricier variants exist lots by number 5 phases, price averaged

Steam

at a loss

★ StatTrak™ Butterfly Knife | Freehand

Field-Tested

float up to 0.322393

35 876.79 ₴ 0.67%

price without deals pricier variants exist lots by number

Steam

at a loss

★ StatTrak™ Butterfly Knife | Lore

Battle-Scarred

float up to 0.671652

30 387.70 ₴ 0.67%

price without deals pricier variants exist lots by number

Steam

about break-even

★ StatTrak™ Butterfly Knife | Autotronic

Battle-Scarred

float up to 0.570904

47 672.15 ₴ 0.67%

price without deals pricier variants exist lots by number

Steam

at a loss

★ StatTrak™ Butterfly Knife | Black Laminate

Battle-Scarred

float up to 0.671652

33 846.58 ₴ 0.67%

price without deals price cut pricier variants exist lots by number

Steam

at a loss

★ StatTrak™ Butterfly Knife | Bright Water

Field-Tested

float up to 0.335826

27 855.35 ₴ 0.67%

price without deals pricier variants exist lots by number

Steam

at a loss

★ StatTrak™ Falchion Knife | Gamma Doppler

Factory New

float up to 0.053732

13 755.36 ₴ 0.67%

price without deals pricier variants exist lots by number 5 phases, price averaged

Steam

at a loss

★ StatTrak™ Falchion Knife | Freehand

Field-Tested

float up to 0.322393

4 025.00 ₴ 0.67%

pricier variants exist lots by number

Steam

at a loss

★ StatTrak™ Falchion Knife | Lore

Well-Worn

float up to 0.436573

5 345.38 ₴ 0.67%

price without deals price cut pricier variants exist lots by number

Steam

at a loss

★ StatTrak™ Falchion Knife | Autotronic

Battle-Scarred

float up to 0.570904

4 904.48 ₴ 0.67%

pricier variants exist lots by number

Steam

at a loss

★ StatTrak™ Falchion Knife | Black Laminate

Battle-Scarred

float up to 0.671652

3 321.40 ₴ 0.67%

pricier variants exist lots by number

Steam

at a loss

★ StatTrak™ Falchion Knife | Bright Water

Field-Tested

float up to 0.335826

3 267.04 ₴ 0.67%

pricier variants exist lots by number

Steam

at a loss

★ StatTrak™ Shadow Daggers | Gamma Doppler

Factory New

float up to 0.053732

5 441.50 ₴ 0.67%

pricier variants exist lots by number 5 phases, price averaged

Steam

at a loss

★ StatTrak™ Shadow Daggers | Freehand

Field-Tested

float up to 0.322393

2 430.13 ₴ 0.67%

pricier variants exist lots by number

Steam

at a loss

★ StatTrak™ Shadow Daggers | Lore

Battle-Scarred

float up to 0.671652

3 007.31 ₴ 0.67%

price cut pricier variants exist lots by number

Steam

at a loss

★ StatTrak™ Shadow Daggers | Autotronic

Battle-Scarred

float up to 0.570904

2 526.50 ₴ 0.67%

price without deals price cut pricier variants exist lots by number

Steam

at a loss

worst

★ StatTrak™ Shadow Daggers | Black Laminate

Battle-Scarred

float up to 0.671652

1 907.10 ₴ 0.67%

price without deals price cut pricier variants exist lots by number

Steam

at a loss

★ StatTrak™ Shadow Daggers | Bright Water

Field-Tested

float up to 0.335826

2 256.99 ₴ 0.67%

price without deals pricier variants exist lots by number

Steam

at a loss

★ StatTrak™ Bowie Knife | Gamma Doppler

Factory New

float up to 0.053732

12 410.60 ₴ 0.67%

price without deals pricier variants exist lots by number 5 phases, price averaged

Steam

at a loss

★ StatTrak™ Bowie Knife | Freehand

Field-Tested

float up to 0.322393

3 596.73 ₴ 0.67%

pricier variants exist lots by number

Steam

at a loss

★ StatTrak™ Bowie Knife | Lore

Battle-Scarred

float up to 0.671652

4 470.13 ₴ 0.67%

pricier variants exist lots by number

Steam

at a loss

★ StatTrak™ Bowie Knife | Autotronic

Battle-Scarred

float up to 0.570904

4 336.74 ₴ 0.67%

price without deals price cut pricier variants exist lots by number

Steam

at a loss

★ StatTrak™ Bowie Knife | Black Laminate

Battle-Scarred

float up to 0.671652

2 956.77 ₴ 0.67%

price without deals price cut pricier variants exist lots by number

Steam

at a loss

★ StatTrak™ Bowie Knife | Bright Water

Field-Tested

float up to 0.335826

2 750.53 ₴ 0.67%

pricier variants exist lots by number

Steam

at a loss

★ StatTrak™ Huntsman Knife | Gamma Doppler

Factory New

float up to 0.053732

11 648.38 ₴ 0.67%

price without deals pricier variants exist lots by number 5 phases, price averaged

Steam

at a loss

★ StatTrak™ Huntsman Knife | Freehand

Field-Tested

float up to 0.322393

4 035.58 ₴ 0.67%

pricier variants exist lots by number

Steam

at a loss

★ StatTrak™ Huntsman Knife | Lore

Well-Worn

float up to 0.436573

5 237.07 ₴ 0.67%

price without deals price cut pricier variants exist lots by number

Steam

at a loss

★ StatTrak™ Huntsman Knife | Autotronic

Battle-Scarred

float up to 0.570904

4 386.76 ₴ 0.67%

price without deals price cut pricier variants exist lots by number

Steam

at a loss

★ StatTrak™ Huntsman Knife | Black Laminate

Battle-Scarred

float up to 0.671652

3 596.43 ₴ 0.67%

price without deals price cut pricier variants exist lots by number

Steam

at a loss

★ StatTrak™ Huntsman Knife | Bright Water

Field-Tested

float up to 0.335826

3 089.66 ₴ 0.67%

pricier variants exist lots by number

Steam

float markup by input how many times more the lots with the needed float cost

StatTrak™ P90 | Asiimov (Well-Worn) × 2 100% of the wear range fits ×1.02 18 637.39 → 18 939.31 ₴

StatTrak™ P90 | Asiimov (Battle-Scarred) × 2 100% of the wear range fits ×1.15 18 682.85 → 21 457.25 ₴

StatTrak™ Desert Eagle | Ocean Drive (Field-Tested) × 1 100% of the wear range fits ×1.23 3 791.06 → 4 658.83 ₴

The markup is taken from a check of Steam 25–26.09.2026 listings. It shows how many times the needed number of cheapest listings with a fitting float cost more than the cheapest listing of this wear. It depends on the width of the float window and on the number of items.

Average float of the set

average normalized 0.671652174

outcomes come out up to 0.053732, 0.177913, 0.671652, 0.671652, 0.671652, 0.557022, 0.557022, 0.557022, 0.557022, 0.557022, 0.557022, 0.557022, 0.000000, 0.053732, 0.322393, 0.671652, 0.570904, 0.671652, 0.335826, 0.053732, 0.322393, 0.436573, 0.570904, 0.671652, 0.335826, 0.053732, 0.322393, 0.671652, 0.570904, 0.671652, 0.335826, 0.053732, 0.322393, 0.671652, 0.570904, 0.671652, 0.335826, 0.053732, 0.322393, 0.436573, 0.570904, 0.671652, 0.335826

How to read float

«No higher than» — is a guarantee. The limits are calculated together: take all items with the float at the upper bound and you get exactly the result shown. With a lower float the result will be better.

f′ — the same float, brought to 0–1 by the skin's own range. CSFloat counts the same way.

I already have items

Craft variants

Variant 1 this one The Breakout Collection + The Operation Riptide Collection

Variant 2 The Gamma Collection instead of The Breakout Collection

In a week, when the outcome can be sold from outcome price history

In a bad week −14 675.14 ₴ a worse week happens one time in ten

In a typical week −12 701.39 ₴ historical median

If you repeat 10 000 simulations over the outcome odds

Attempts: 10

I already have items Enter their float and the site will pick what to buy

Mix in a collection

Items of this craft's collections of the right rarity fit: The Breakout Collection and The Operation Riptide Collection — and of the mixed-in collection: enter its items with float, your own or ones you want to buy. Its share in the set equals its share in the chances. Your own items are counted in the profit at market price, because you could sell them. The money needed to buy the rest is shown separately.

Third collection Add a third collection to the craft's two and see whether it gets more profitable

All splits of inputs across three collections are tried (1/1/8, 5/3/2 and the rest) and all outcome wears. The best set is shown for each collection. “Find the best” first quickly scores all collections and then calculates exactly the five best by the quick score.

Similar 7 crafts almost like this one

One of three things counts as similar. The same set with a different wear of cheap outcomes: profit and investment differ by less than 0,5%. The same nine items with a different tenth: profit differs by no more than 10%, investment by 20%. The same main half, whose outcomes make the profit, with a different filler: profit lower by no more than a quarter, investment cheaper by no more than a quarter.

Craft 3088721 · The Prisma Collection + The Breakout Collection · profit −11 747.58₴ · invest 40 359.89₴
no outcome price marketplace price sells slowly rare inputs pricier variants exist

StatTrak™ Five-SeveN | Angry Mob (Minimal Wear) instead of StatTrak™ Desert Eagle | Ocean Drive (Field-Tested)
Craft 3088728 · The Breakout Collection + The Prisma Collection · profit −11 747.58₴ · invest 40 359.89₴
no outcome price marketplace price sells slowly rare inputs pricier variants exist

StatTrak™ Five-SeveN | Angry Mob (Minimal Wear) instead of StatTrak™ Desert Eagle | Ocean Drive (Field-Tested)
Craft 3088520 · The Dreams & Nightmares Collection + The Breakout Collection · profit −11 796.20₴ · invest 40 321.95₴
no outcome price marketplace price sells slowly rare inputs pricier variants exist

StatTrak™ AK-47 | Nightwish (Field-Tested) instead of StatTrak™ Desert Eagle | Ocean Drive (Field-Tested)
Craft 3088532 · The Breakout Collection + The Dreams & Nightmares Collection · profit −11 796.20₴ · invest 40 321.95₴
no outcome price marketplace price sells slowly rare inputs pricier variants exist

StatTrak™ AK-47 | Nightwish (Field-Tested) instead of StatTrak™ Desert Eagle | Ocean Drive (Field-Tested)
Craft 3087856 · The Breakout Collection + The Arms Deal 3 Collection · profit −12 461.22₴ · invest 42 031.97₴
no outcome price marketplace price sells slowly rare inputs pricier variants exist

StatTrak™ CZ75-Auto | Victoria (Minimal Wear) instead of StatTrak™ Desert Eagle | Ocean Drive (Field-Tested)
Craft 3087863 · The Arms Deal 3 Collection + The Breakout Collection · profit −12 461.22₴ · invest 42 031.97₴
no outcome price marketplace price sells slowly rare inputs pricier variants exist

StatTrak™ CZ75-Auto | Victoria (Minimal Wear) instead of StatTrak™ Desert Eagle | Ocean Drive (Field-Tested)
Craft 3088667 · The Operation Riptide Collection + The Breakout Collection · profit −12 585.55₴ · invest 41 111.30₴
no outcome price marketplace price sells slowly rare inputs pricier variants exist

How to read these numbers

Fees. Steam adds 15% to the seller's price, so the seller gets the listing price divided by 1,15. Multiplying by 0,85 is wrong.

The outcome can only be sold after a week. Inputs bought on Steam go into the contract right away. The outcome can also be crafted further without waiting, but Sell it is possible only after seven days. Over a week the price may change, so the amount shown remains an estimate at calculation time.

Prices are conservative. Sales are counted at the lower of the listing price and the sale price. Purchases are counted at the cheapest listing, which is a lower bound. You cannot buy ten at that price: each next listing costs more. «Check floats on Steam» shows the real purchase price.

The Breakout Collection + The Operation Riptide Collection

How to build i Ways to build 1 way: the best first, then from the most accessible. Click a tab and the numbers below are recalculated for that way.

What you get 43 outcomes

More

How to build