The Prisma Collection + The Breakout Collection

StatTrak™ Covert → knife or gloves · Items in the contract: 5

Prices by float: ночной проверки нет, числа ниже — оценка с учётом float

Average profit · with float −14 822.31₴

Invest 43 434.62₴

Average return 28 612.30₴

ROI −34.1%

Chance of profit 18%

With float: invest 43 434.62 ₴, profit −14 822.31 ₴

float premium: none: float doesn't matter

To build: medium

The gain is understated: 1 outcome has no price, that is 6.2% of the chance

Sell on CSFloat: without them the profit is −24 219.38 ₴

Check:

To calculator I have items

Buy on Sell on

How to build

100% of lots fit ≈ enough for 3 contracts · medium (by listings)

×1

StatTrak™ Five-SeveN | Angry Mob

Minimal Wear

any lot

3 039.65 ₴

at 3 039.65

Steam

×2

StatTrak™ P90 | Asiimov

Well-Worn

any lot

18 637.39 ₴

at 9 318.69

Steam

×2

StatTrak™ P90 | Asiimov

Battle-Scarred

any lot

18 682.85 ₴

at 9 341.42

Steam

Set · 5 pcs 40 359.89 ₴ −11 747.58 (−29.1%)

What you get 41 outcomes

Profitable outcome 19%
Losing outcome 75%
Above the Steam cap 6%

Order

in profit

best

★ StatTrak™ Butterfly Knife | Fade

Factory New

float up to 0.051080

83 692.11 ₴ 6.15%

sell on CSFloat pricier variants exist lots by number

Steam

in profit

★ StatTrak™ Butterfly Knife | Slaughter

Field-Tested

float up to 0.169627

65 392.59 ₴ 6.15%

price without deals pricier variants exist lots by number

Steam

at a loss

★ StatTrak™ Butterfly Knife | Blue Steel

Battle-Scarred

float up to 0.638509

31 544.29 ₴ 6.15%

sell on CSFloat pricier variants exist lots by number

Steam

at a loss

★ StatTrak™ Butterfly Knife | Stained

Battle-Scarred

float up to 0.638509

40 932.98 ₴ 6.15%

price without deals price cut pricier variants exist lots by number

Steam

at a loss

★ StatTrak™ Butterfly Knife | Case Hardened

Battle-Scarred

float up to 0.638509

42 419.94 ₴ 6.15%

price without deals pricier variants exist lots by number

Steam

at a loss

★ StatTrak™ Butterfly Knife | Forest DDPAT

Battle-Scarred

float up to 0.532496

23 098.47 ₴ 6.15%

price without deals pricier variants exist lots by number

Steam

★ StatTrak™ Butterfly Knife | Boreal Forest

Battle-Scarred

float up to 0.532496

not on Steam: above the cap 6.15%

pricier variants exist lots by number

Steam

at a loss

★ StatTrak™ Butterfly Knife | Crimson Web

Battle-Scarred

float up to 0.532496

26 444.86 ₴ 6.15%

sell on CSFloat price cut pricier variants exist lots by number

Steam

at a loss

★ StatTrak™ Butterfly Knife | Night

Battle-Scarred

float up to 0.532496

27 855.35 ₴ 6.15%

price without deals pricier variants exist lots by number

Steam

at a loss

★ StatTrak™ Butterfly Knife | Scorched

Battle-Scarred

float up to 0.532496

18 986.60 ₴ 6.15%

sell on CSFloat pricier variants exist lots by number

Steam

at a loss

★ StatTrak™ Butterfly Knife | Safari Mesh

Battle-Scarred

float up to 0.532496

31 147.18 ₴ 6.15%

price without deals price cut pricier variants exist lots by number

Steam

at a loss

★ StatTrak™ Butterfly Knife | Urban Masked

Battle-Scarred

float up to 0.532496

29 333.12 ₴ 6.15%

price without deals pricier variants exist lots by number

Steam

in profit

★ StatTrak™ Butterfly Knife

no wear

46 134.99 ₴ 6.15%

sell on CSFloat pricier variants exist lots by number

Steam

at a loss

★ StatTrak™ Navaja Knife | Doppler

Factory New

float up to 0.051080

7 836.56 ₴ 0.71%

price without deals pricier variants exist lots by number 7 phases, price averaged

Steam

at a loss

★ StatTrak™ Navaja Knife | Marble Fade

Factory New

float up to 0.051080

5 640.11 ₴ 0.71%

price without deals pricier variants exist lots by number

Steam

at a loss

★ StatTrak™ Navaja Knife | Tiger Tooth

Factory New

float up to 0.051080

3 735.22 ₴ 0.71%

pricier variants exist lots by number

Steam

at a loss

★ StatTrak™ Navaja Knife | Damascus Steel

Field-Tested

float up to 0.319254

2 621.02 ₴ 0.71%

pricier variants exist lots by number

Steam

at a loss

worst

★ StatTrak™ Navaja Knife | Rust Coat

Battle-Scarred

float up to 0.783105

2 439.11 ₴ 0.71%

price without deals pricier variants exist lots by number

Steam

at a loss

★ StatTrak™ Navaja Knife | Ultraviolet

Battle-Scarred

float up to 0.532496

2 595.24 ₴ 0.71%

price without deals price cut pricier variants exist lots by number

Steam

at a loss

★ StatTrak™ Stiletto Knife | Doppler

Factory New

float up to 0.051080

31 364.36 ₴ 0.71%

price without deals pricier variants exist lots by number 7 phases, price averaged

Steam

at a loss

★ StatTrak™ Stiletto Knife | Marble Fade

Factory New

float up to 0.051080

15 000.44 ₴ 0.71%

pricier variants exist lots by number

Steam

at a loss

★ StatTrak™ Stiletto Knife | Tiger Tooth

Factory New

float up to 0.051080

17 960.96 ₴ 0.71%

price without deals pricier variants exist lots by number

Steam

at a loss

★ StatTrak™ Stiletto Knife | Damascus Steel

Field-Tested

float up to 0.319254

12 056.07 ₴ 0.71%

price without deals price cut pricier variants exist lots by number

Steam

at a loss

★ StatTrak™ Stiletto Knife | Rust Coat

Battle-Scarred

float up to 0.783105

7 274.89 ₴ 0.71%

price without deals pricier variants exist lots by number

Steam

at a loss

★ StatTrak™ Stiletto Knife | Ultraviolet

Battle-Scarred

float up to 0.532496

8 773.27 ₴ 0.71%

price without deals price cut pricier variants exist lots by number

Steam

at a loss

★ StatTrak™ Ursus Knife | Doppler

Factory New

float up to 0.051080

16 647.45 ₴ 0.71%

price without deals pricier variants exist lots by number 7 phases, price averaged

Steam

at a loss

★ StatTrak™ Ursus Knife | Marble Fade

Factory New

float up to 0.051080

9 776.36 ₴ 0.71%

price without deals pricier variants exist lots by number

Steam

at a loss

★ StatTrak™ Ursus Knife | Tiger Tooth

Factory New

float up to 0.051080

8 479.53 ₴ 0.71%

price without deals pricier variants exist lots by number

Steam

at a loss

★ StatTrak™ Ursus Knife | Damascus Steel

Field-Tested

float up to 0.319254

4 255.54 ₴ 0.71%

price without deals pricier variants exist lots by number

Steam

at a loss

★ StatTrak™ Ursus Knife | Rust Coat

Battle-Scarred

float up to 0.783105

3 690.53 ₴ 0.71%

price without deals pricier variants exist lots by number

Steam

at a loss

★ StatTrak™ Ursus Knife | Ultraviolet

Battle-Scarred

float up to 0.532496

4 467.80 ₴ 0.71%

pricier variants exist lots by number

Steam

in profit

★ StatTrak™ Talon Knife | Doppler

Factory New

float up to 0.051080

49 505.60 ₴ 0.71%

pricier variants exist lots by number 7 phases, price averaged

Steam

at a loss

★ StatTrak™ Talon Knife | Marble Fade

Factory New

float up to 0.051080

31 481.79 ₴ 0.71%

price without deals pricier variants exist lots by number

Steam

at a loss

★ StatTrak™ Talon Knife | Tiger Tooth

Factory New

float up to 0.051080

30 680.87 ₴ 0.71%

price without deals pricier variants exist lots by number

Steam

at a loss

★ StatTrak™ Talon Knife | Damascus Steel

Field-Tested

float up to 0.319254

20 229.68 ₴ 0.71%

price without deals pricier variants exist lots by number

Steam

at a loss

★ StatTrak™ Talon Knife | Rust Coat

Battle-Scarred

float up to 0.783105

16 184.66 ₴ 0.71%

price without deals pricier variants exist lots by number

Steam

at a loss

★ StatTrak™ Talon Knife | Ultraviolet

Battle-Scarred

float up to 0.532496

13 784.92 ₴ 0.71%

price without deals pricier variants exist lots by number

Steam

at a loss

★ StatTrak™ Ursus Knife

no wear

4 052.47 ₴ 0.71%

price without deals pricier variants exist lots by number

Steam

at a loss

★ StatTrak™ Navaja Knife

no wear

2 722.05 ₴ 0.71%

price without deals pricier variants exist lots by number

Steam

at a loss

★ StatTrak™ Stiletto Knife

no wear

9 622.73 ₴ 0.71%

price without deals pricier variants exist lots by number

Steam

at a loss

★ StatTrak™ Talon Knife

no wear

14 194.46 ₴ 0.71%

pricier variants exist lots by number

Steam

float markup by input how many times more the lots with the needed float cost

StatTrak™ Five-SeveN | Angry Mob (Minimal Wear) × 1 100% of the wear range fits ×1.00 3 039.65 → 3 038.43 ₴

StatTrak™ P90 | Asiimov (Well-Worn) × 2 100% of the wear range fits ×1.02 18 637.39 → 18 939.31 ₴

StatTrak™ P90 | Asiimov (Battle-Scarred) × 2 100% of the wear range fits ×1.15 18 682.85 → 21 457.25 ₴

The markup is taken from a check of Steam 25–26.09.2026 listings. It shows how many times the needed number of cheapest listings with a fitting float cost more than the cheapest listing of this wear. It depends on the width of the float window and on the number of items.

Average float of the set

average normalized 0.638509317

outcomes come out up to 0.051080, 0.169627, 0.638509, 0.638509, 0.638509, 0.532496, 0.532496, 0.532496, 0.532496, 0.532496, 0.532496, 0.532496, 0.000000, 0.051080, 0.051080, 0.051080, 0.319254, 0.783105, 0.532496, 0.051080, 0.051080, 0.051080, 0.319254, 0.783105, 0.532496, 0.051080, 0.051080, 0.051080, 0.319254, 0.783105, 0.532496, 0.051080, 0.051080, 0.051080, 0.319254, 0.783105, 0.532496, 0.000000, 0.000000, 0.000000, 0.000000

How to read float

«No higher than» — is a guarantee. The limits are calculated together: take all items with the float at the upper bound and you get exactly the result shown. With a lower float the result will be better.

f′ — the same float, brought to 0–1 by the skin's own range. CSFloat counts the same way.

I already have items

No other variants in this recount

In a week, when the outcome can be sold from outcome price history

In a bad week −13 933.31 ₴ a worse week happens one time in ten

In a typical week −11 881.61 ₴ historical median

If you repeat 10 000 simulations over the outcome odds

Attempts: 10

I already have items Enter their float and the site will pick what to buy

Mix in a collection

Items of this craft's collections of the right rarity fit: The Breakout Collection and The Prisma Collection — and of the mixed-in collection: enter its items with float, your own or ones you want to buy. Its share in the set equals its share in the chances. Your own items are counted in the profit at market price, because you could sell them. The money needed to buy the rest is shown separately.

Third collection Add a third collection to the craft's two and see whether it gets more profitable

All splits of inputs across three collections are tried (1/1/8, 5/3/2 and the rest) and all outcome wears. The best set is shown for each collection. “Find the best” first quickly scores all collections and then calculates exactly the five best by the quick score.

Similar 7 crafts almost like this one

One of three things counts as similar. The same set with a different wear of cheap outcomes: profit and investment differ by less than 0,5%. The same nine items with a different tenth: profit differs by no more than 10%, investment by 20%. The same main half, whose outcomes make the profit, with a different filler: profit lower by no more than a quarter, investment cheaper by no more than a quarter.

Craft 3088728 · The Breakout Collection + The Prisma Collection · profit −11 747.58₴ · invest 40 359.89₴
no outcome price marketplace price sells slowly rare inputs pricier variants exist
Craft 3088520 · The Dreams & Nightmares Collection + The Breakout Collection · profit −11 796.20₴ · invest 40 321.95₴
no outcome price marketplace price sells slowly rare inputs pricier variants exist

StatTrak™ AK-47 | Nightwish (Field-Tested) instead of StatTrak™ Five-SeveN | Angry Mob (Minimal Wear)
Craft 3088532 · The Breakout Collection + The Dreams & Nightmares Collection · profit −11 796.20₴ · invest 40 321.95₴
no outcome price marketplace price sells slowly rare inputs pricier variants exist

StatTrak™ AK-47 | Nightwish (Field-Tested) instead of StatTrak™ Five-SeveN | Angry Mob (Minimal Wear)
Craft 3087856 · The Breakout Collection + The Arms Deal 3 Collection · profit −12 461.22₴ · invest 42 031.97₴
no outcome price marketplace price sells slowly rare inputs pricier variants exist

StatTrak™ CZ75-Auto | Victoria (Minimal Wear) instead of StatTrak™ Five-SeveN | Angry Mob (Minimal Wear)
Craft 3087863 · The Arms Deal 3 Collection + The Breakout Collection · profit −12 461.22₴ · invest 42 031.97₴
no outcome price marketplace price sells slowly rare inputs pricier variants exist

StatTrak™ CZ75-Auto | Victoria (Minimal Wear) instead of StatTrak™ Five-SeveN | Angry Mob (Minimal Wear)
Craft 3088667 · The Operation Riptide Collection + The Breakout Collection · profit −12 585.55₴ · invest 41 111.30₴
no outcome price marketplace price sells slowly rare inputs pricier variants exist

StatTrak™ Desert Eagle | Ocean Drive (Field-Tested) instead of StatTrak™ Five-SeveN | Angry Mob (Minimal Wear)
Craft 3088679 · The Breakout Collection + The Operation Riptide Collection · profit −12 585.55₴ · invest 41 111.30₴
no outcome price marketplace price sells slowly rare inputs pricier variants exist

StatTrak™ Desert Eagle | Ocean Drive (Field-Tested) instead of StatTrak™ Five-SeveN | Angry Mob (Minimal Wear)

How to read these numbers

Fees. Steam adds 15% to the seller's price, so the seller gets the listing price divided by 1,15. Multiplying by 0,85 is wrong.

The outcome can only be sold after a week. Inputs bought on Steam go into the contract right away. The outcome can also be crafted further without waiting, but Sell it is possible only after seven days. Over a week the price may change, so the amount shown remains an estimate at calculation time.

Prices are conservative. Sales are counted at the lower of the listing price and the sale price. Purchases are counted at the cheapest listing, which is a lower bound. You cannot buy ten at that price: each next listing costs more. «Check floats on Steam» shows the real purchase price.

The Prisma Collection + The Breakout Collection

How to build i Ways to build 1 way: the best first, then from the most accessible. Click a tab and the numbers below are recalculated for that way.

What you get 41 outcomes

More

How to build