The Danger Zone Collection + The Falchion Collection

StatTrak™ Covert → knife or gloves · Items in the contract: 5

Average profit −12 359.02₴

Invest 20 798.18₴

Average return 8 439.16₴

ROI −59.4%

Chance of profit 4%

With float: invest at least 45 949.29 ₴, profit at most −37 510.12 ₴

float premium: at least 24 775 ₴

Hard to build: not enough fitting lots for a single contract

The gain is understated: 1 outcome has no price, that is 6.2% of the chance

Sell on Market.CSGO: without them the profit is −12 404.79 ₴

Check:

To calculator I have items

Buy on Sell on

How to build

Less than 1% of lots fit: not enough for a contract

×1

StatTrak™ AWP | Neo-Noir

Factory New

buy 0.0000–0.0067

4 228.10 ₴

at 4 228.10

Steam

×3

StatTrak™ AWP | Hyper Beast

Field-Tested

buy 0.1500–0.1722

10 252.07 ₴

at 3 417.36

Steam

×1

StatTrak™ AWP | Hyper Beast

Minimal Wear

buy 0.0700–0.0777

6 318.01 ₴

at 6 318.01

Steam

Set · 5 pcs 20 798.18 ₴ −12 359.02 (−59.4%)

What you get 65 outcomes

Profitable outcome 3%
Losing outcome 90%
About break-even 1%
Above the Steam cap 6%

Order

at a loss

★ StatTrak™ Falchion Knife | Fade

Factory New

float up to 0.009729

14 004.40 ₴ 6.15%

price without deals pricier variants exist lots by number

Steam

at a loss

★ StatTrak™ Falchion Knife | Slaughter

Factory New

float up to 0.040405

15 194.14 ₴ 6.15%

price without deals pricier variants exist lots by number

Steam

at a loss

★ StatTrak™ Falchion Knife | Blue Steel

Minimal Wear

float up to 0.121621

13 439.71 ₴ 6.15%

price without deals pricier variants exist lots by number

Steam

at a loss

★ StatTrak™ Falchion Knife | Stained

Minimal Wear

float up to 0.121621

5 721.85 ₴ 6.15%

price without deals pricier variants exist lots by number

Steam

at a loss

★ StatTrak™ Falchion Knife | Case Hardened

Minimal Wear

float up to 0.121621

10 129.43 ₴ 6.15%

price without deals pricier variants exist lots by number

Steam

at a loss

★ StatTrak™ Falchion Knife | Forest DDPAT

Minimal Wear

float up to 0.149999

3 785.72 ₴ 6.15%

price without deals pricier variants exist lots by number

Steam

at a loss

★ StatTrak™ Falchion Knife | Boreal Forest

Minimal Wear

float up to 0.149999

7 571.44 ₴ 6.15%

price without deals pricier variants exist lots by number

Steam

★ StatTrak™ Falchion Knife | Crimson Web

Minimal Wear

float up to 0.149999

not on Steam: above the cap 6.15%

pricier variants exist lots by number

Steam

at a loss

★ StatTrak™ Falchion Knife | Night

Minimal Wear

float up to 0.149999

7 343.72 ₴ 6.15%

price without deals pricier variants exist lots by number

Steam

at a loss

★ StatTrak™ Falchion Knife | Scorched

Minimal Wear

float up to 0.149999

8 174.07 ₴ 6.15%

price without deals pricier variants exist lots by number

Steam

at a loss

★ StatTrak™ Falchion Knife | Safari Mesh

Minimal Wear

float up to 0.149999

6 427.36 ₴ 6.15%

price without deals pricier variants exist lots by number

Steam

at a loss

★ StatTrak™ Falchion Knife | Urban Masked

Minimal Wear

float up to 0.149999

8 349.16 ₴ 6.15%

price without deals pricier variants exist lots by number

Steam

at a loss

★ StatTrak™ Falchion Knife

no wear

7 277.32 ₴ 6.15%

price without deals pricier variants exist lots by number

Steam

at a loss

★ StatTrak™ Navaja Knife | Fade

Factory New

float up to 0.009729

7 000.06 ₴ 0.38%

price without deals pricier variants exist lots by number

Steam

at a loss

★ StatTrak™ Navaja Knife | Slaughter

Factory New

float up to 0.040405

9 928.38 ₴ 0.38%

price without deals pricier variants exist lots by number

Steam

at a loss

★ StatTrak™ Navaja Knife | Blue Steel

Minimal Wear

float up to 0.121621

6 362.55 ₴ 0.38%

price without deals pricier variants exist lots by number

Steam

at a loss

★ StatTrak™ Navaja Knife | Stained

Minimal Wear

float up to 0.121621

4 513.47 ₴ 0.38%

price without deals pricier variants exist lots by number

Steam

at a loss

★ StatTrak™ Navaja Knife | Case Hardened

Minimal Wear

float up to 0.121621

5 176.60 ₴ 0.38%

pricier variants exist lots by number

Steam

at a loss

★ StatTrak™ Navaja Knife | Forest DDPAT

Minimal Wear

float up to 0.149999

2 851.66 ₴ 0.38%

price without deals pricier variants exist lots by number

Steam

at a loss

★ StatTrak™ Navaja Knife | Boreal Forest

Minimal Wear

float up to 0.149999

3 300.45 ₴ 0.38%

price without deals pricier variants exist lots by number

Steam

at a loss

★ StatTrak™ Navaja Knife | Crimson Web

Minimal Wear

float up to 0.149999

5 954.71 ₴ 0.38%

price without deals pricier variants exist lots by number

Steam

at a loss

★ StatTrak™ Navaja Knife | Scorched

Minimal Wear

float up to 0.149999

3 415.85 ₴ 0.38%

price without deals pricier variants exist lots by number

Steam

at a loss

worst

★ StatTrak™ Navaja Knife | Safari Mesh

Minimal Wear

float up to 0.149999

1 822.72 ₴ 0.38%

pricier variants exist lots by number

Steam

at a loss

★ StatTrak™ Navaja Knife | Night Stripe

Minimal Wear

float up to 0.149999

3 596.43 ₴ 0.38%

price without deals pricier variants exist lots by number

Steam

at a loss

★ StatTrak™ Navaja Knife | Urban Masked

Minimal Wear

float up to 0.149999

3 007.76 ₴ 0.38%

pricier variants exist lots by number

Steam

in profit

★ StatTrak™ Stiletto Knife | Fade

Factory New

float up to 0.009729

27 338.19 ₴ 0.38%

price without deals pricier variants exist lots by number

Steam

in profit

★ StatTrak™ Stiletto Knife | Slaughter

Factory New

float up to 0.040405

26 174.16 ₴ 0.38%

price without deals pricier variants exist lots by number

Steam

at a loss

★ StatTrak™ Stiletto Knife | Blue Steel

Minimal Wear

float up to 0.121621

17 391.30 ₴ 0.38%

price without deals pricier variants exist lots by number

Steam

at a loss

★ StatTrak™ Stiletto Knife | Stained

Minimal Wear

float up to 0.121621

11 997.24 ₴ 0.38%

price without deals pricier variants exist lots by number

Steam

about break-even

★ StatTrak™ Stiletto Knife | Case Hardened

Minimal Wear

float up to 0.121621

24 522.22 ₴ 0.38%

price without deals pricier variants exist lots by number

Steam

at a loss

★ StatTrak™ Stiletto Knife | Forest DDPAT

Minimal Wear

float up to 0.149999

7 282.40 ₴ 0.38%

price without deals pricier variants exist lots by number

Steam

at a loss

★ StatTrak™ Stiletto Knife | Boreal Forest

Minimal Wear

float up to 0.149999

7 784.61 ₴ 0.38%

pricier variants exist lots by number

Steam

about break-even

★ StatTrak™ Stiletto Knife | Crimson Web

Minimal Wear

float up to 0.149999

23 978.65 ₴ 0.38%

price without deals pricier variants exist lots by number

Steam

at a loss

★ StatTrak™ Stiletto Knife | Scorched

Minimal Wear

float up to 0.149999

12 527.08 ₴ 0.38%

sell on Market.CSGO pricier variants exist lots by number

Steam

at a loss

★ StatTrak™ Stiletto Knife | Safari Mesh

Minimal Wear

float up to 0.149999

7 079.29 ₴ 0.38%

price without deals pricier variants exist lots by number

Steam

at a loss

★ StatTrak™ Stiletto Knife | Night Stripe

Minimal Wear

float up to 0.149999

12 915.13 ₴ 0.38%

price without deals pricier variants exist lots by number

Steam

at a loss

★ StatTrak™ Stiletto Knife | Urban Masked

Minimal Wear

float up to 0.149999

19 072.83 ₴ 0.38%

price without deals pricier variants exist lots by number

Steam

at a loss

★ StatTrak™ Ursus Knife | Fade

Factory New

float up to 0.009729

14 629.37 ₴ 0.38%

price without deals pricier variants exist lots by number

Steam

at a loss

★ StatTrak™ Ursus Knife | Slaughter

Factory New

float up to 0.040405

15 194.14 ₴ 0.38%

price without deals pricier variants exist lots by number

Steam

at a loss

★ StatTrak™ Ursus Knife | Blue Steel

Minimal Wear

float up to 0.121621

10 310.23 ₴ 0.38%

price without deals pricier variants exist lots by number

Steam

at a loss

★ StatTrak™ Ursus Knife | Stained

Minimal Wear

float up to 0.121621

5 686.84 ₴ 0.38%

price without deals pricier variants exist lots by number

Steam

at a loss

★ StatTrak™ Ursus Knife | Case Hardened

Minimal Wear

float up to 0.121621

8 969.85 ₴ 0.38%

price without deals pricier variants exist lots by number

Steam

at a loss

★ StatTrak™ Ursus Knife | Forest DDPAT

Minimal Wear

float up to 0.149999

6 154.69 ₴ 0.38%

price without deals pricier variants exist lots by number

Steam

at a loss

★ StatTrak™ Ursus Knife | Boreal Forest

Minimal Wear

float up to 0.149999

3 545.79 ₴ 0.38%

pricier variants exist lots by number

Steam

at a loss

★ StatTrak™ Ursus Knife | Crimson Web

Minimal Wear

float up to 0.149999

14 850.04 ₴ 0.38%

price without deals pricier variants exist lots by number

Steam

at a loss

★ StatTrak™ Ursus Knife | Scorched

Minimal Wear

float up to 0.149999

4 808.16 ₴ 0.38%

price without deals pricier variants exist lots by number

Steam

at a loss

★ StatTrak™ Ursus Knife | Safari Mesh

Minimal Wear

float up to 0.149999

4 072.79 ₴ 0.38%

price without deals pricier variants exist lots by number

Steam

at a loss

★ StatTrak™ Ursus Knife | Night Stripe

Minimal Wear

float up to 0.149999

6 530.34 ₴ 0.38%

price without deals pricier variants exist lots by number

Steam

at a loss

★ StatTrak™ Ursus Knife | Urban Masked

Minimal Wear

float up to 0.149999

8 773.51 ₴ 0.38%

price without deals pricier variants exist lots by number

Steam

in profit

★ StatTrak™ Talon Knife | Fade

Factory New

float up to 0.009729

54 153.80 ₴ 0.38%

price without deals pricier variants exist lots by number

Steam

in profit

★ StatTrak™ Talon Knife | Slaughter

Factory New

float up to 0.040405

44 902.16 ₴ 0.38%

price without deals pricier variants exist lots by number

Steam

in profit

★ StatTrak™ Talon Knife | Blue Steel

Minimal Wear

float up to 0.121621

30 387.70 ₴ 0.38%

price without deals pricier variants exist lots by number

Steam

in profit

★ StatTrak™ Talon Knife | Stained

Minimal Wear

float up to 0.121621

28 543.25 ₴ 0.38%

price without deals pricier variants exist lots by number

Steam

in profit

★ StatTrak™ Talon Knife | Case Hardened

Minimal Wear

float up to 0.121621

44 788.01 ₴ 0.38%

price without deals pricier variants exist lots by number

Steam

at a loss

★ StatTrak™ Talon Knife | Forest DDPAT

Minimal Wear

float up to 0.149999

12 162.81 ₴ 0.38%

pricier variants exist lots by number

Steam

at a loss

★ StatTrak™ Talon Knife | Boreal Forest

Minimal Wear

float up to 0.149999

17 780.90 ₴ 0.38%

price without deals pricier variants exist lots by number

Steam

in profit

★ StatTrak™ Talon Knife | Crimson Web

Minimal Wear

float up to 0.149999

44 684.94 ₴ 0.38%

price without deals pricier variants exist lots by number

Steam

at a loss

★ StatTrak™ Talon Knife | Scorched

Minimal Wear

float up to 0.149999

20 754.57 ₴ 0.38%

price without deals pricier variants exist lots by number

Steam

at a loss

★ StatTrak™ Talon Knife | Safari Mesh

Minimal Wear

float up to 0.149999

12 813.21 ₴ 0.38%

price without deals pricier variants exist lots by number

Steam

in profit

best

★ StatTrak™ Talon Knife | Night Stripe

Minimal Wear

float up to 0.149999

81 229.94 ₴ 0.38%

price without deals pricier variants exist lots by number

Steam

at a loss

★ StatTrak™ Talon Knife | Urban Masked

Minimal Wear

float up to 0.149999

22 146.61 ₴ 0.38%

price without deals pricier variants exist lots by number

Steam

at a loss

★ StatTrak™ Ursus Knife

no wear

4 052.47 ₴ 0.38%

price without deals pricier variants exist lots by number

Steam

at a loss

★ StatTrak™ Navaja Knife

no wear

2 722.05 ₴ 0.38%

price without deals pricier variants exist lots by number

Steam

at a loss

★ StatTrak™ Stiletto Knife

no wear

9 622.73 ₴ 0.38%

price without deals pricier variants exist lots by number

Steam

at a loss

★ StatTrak™ Talon Knife

no wear

14 194.46 ₴ 0.38%

pricier variants exist lots by number

Steam

float markup by input how many times more the lots with the needed float cost

StatTrak™ AWP | Neo-Noir (Factory New) × 1 10% of the wear range fits at least ×2.16 4 228.10 → 9 132.69 ₴

StatTrak™ AWP | Hyper Beast (Field-Tested) × 3 10% of the wear range fits at least ×2.26 10 252.07 → 23 169.68 ₴

StatTrak™ AWP | Hyper Beast (Minimal Wear) × 1 10% of the wear range fits at least ×2.16 6 318.01 → 13 646.91 ₴

The markup is taken from a check of Steam 25–26.09.2026 listings. It shows how many times the needed number of cheapest listings with a fitting float cost more than the cheapest listing of this wear. It depends on the width of the float window and on the number of items.

Average float of the set

average normalized 0.121621522

outcomes come out up to 0.009729, 0.040405, 0.121621, 0.121621, 0.121621, 0.149999, 0.149999, 0.149999, 0.149999, 0.149999, 0.149999, 0.149999, 0.000000, 0.009729, 0.040405, 0.121621, 0.121621, 0.121621, 0.149999, 0.149999, 0.149999, 0.149999, 0.149999, 0.149999, 0.149999, 0.009729, 0.040405, 0.121621, 0.121621, 0.121621, 0.149999, 0.149999, 0.149999, 0.149999, 0.149999, 0.149999, 0.149999, 0.009729, 0.040405, 0.121621, 0.121621, 0.121621, 0.149999, 0.149999, 0.149999, 0.149999, 0.149999, 0.149999, 0.149999, 0.009729, 0.040405, 0.121621, 0.121621, 0.121621, 0.149999, 0.149999, 0.149999, 0.149999, 0.149999, 0.149999, 0.149999, 0.000000, 0.000000, 0.000000, 0.000000

How to read float

«No higher than» — is a guarantee. The limits are calculated together: take all items with the float at the upper bound and you get exactly the result shown. With a lower float the result will be better.

f′ — the same float, brought to 0–1 by the skin's own range. CSFloat counts the same way.

I already have items

No other variants in this recount

In a week, when the outcome can be sold from outcome price history

In a bad week −13 733.37 ₴ a worse week happens one time in ten

In a typical week −12 428.28 ₴ historical median

If you repeat 10 000 simulations over the outcome odds

Attempts: 10

I already have items Enter their float and the site will pick what to buy

Mix in a collection

Items of this craft's collections of the right rarity fit: The Danger Zone Collection and The Falchion Collection — and of the mixed-in collection: enter its items with float, your own or ones you want to buy. Its share in the set equals its share in the chances. Your own items are counted in the profit at market price, because you could sell them. The money needed to buy the rest is shown separately.

Third collection Add a third collection to the craft's two and see whether it gets more profitable

All splits of inputs across three collections are tried (1/1/8, 5/3/2 and the rest) and all outcome wears. The best set is shown for each collection. “Find the best” first quickly scores all collections and then calculates exactly the five best by the quick score.

Similar 9 crafts almost like this one

One of three things counts as similar. The same set with a different wear of cheap outcomes: profit and investment differ by less than 0,5%. The same nine items with a different tenth: profit differs by no more than 10%, investment by 20%. The same main half, whose outcomes make the profit, with a different filler: profit lower by no more than a quarter, investment cheaper by no more than a quarter.

Craft 3090643 · The Gamma Collection + The Falchion Collection · profit −11 981.81₴ · invest 22 888.52₴
no outcome price marketplace price sells slowly rare inputs pricier variants exist

StatTrak™ Glock-18 | Wasteland Rebel (Factory New) instead of StatTrak™ AWP | Neo-Noir (Factory New); StatTrak™ AWP | Hyper Beast (Field-Tested): float at most 0.172525 instead of 0.172268; StatTrak™ AWP | Hyper Beast (Minimal Wear): float at most 0.077835 instead of 0.077745
Craft 3090651 · The Falchion Collection + The Gamma Collection · profit −11 981.81₴ · invest 22 888.52₴
no outcome price marketplace price sells slowly rare inputs pricier variants exist

StatTrak™ Glock-18 | Wasteland Rebel (Factory New) instead of StatTrak™ AWP | Neo-Noir (Factory New); StatTrak™ AWP | Hyper Beast (Field-Tested): float at most 0.172525 instead of 0.172268; StatTrak™ AWP | Hyper Beast (Minimal Wear): float at most 0.077835 instead of 0.077745
Craft 3090664 · The Huntsman Collection + The Falchion Collection · profit −12 112.85₴ · invest 20 025.19₴
no outcome price marketplace price sells slowly rare inputs pricier variants exist

StatTrak™ M4A4 | Desert-Strike (Factory New) instead of StatTrak™ AWP | Neo-Noir (Factory New); StatTrak™ AWP | Hyper Beast (Field-Tested): float at most 0.173292 instead of 0.172268; StatTrak™ AWP | Hyper Beast (Minimal Wear): float at most 0.078101 instead of 0.077745
Craft 3090668 · The Falchion Collection + The Huntsman Collection · profit −12 112.85₴ · invest 20 025.19₴
no outcome price marketplace price sells slowly rare inputs pricier variants exist

StatTrak™ M4A4 | Desert-Strike (Factory New) instead of StatTrak™ AWP | Neo-Noir (Factory New); StatTrak™ AWP | Hyper Beast (Field-Tested): float at most 0.173292 instead of 0.172268; StatTrak™ AWP | Hyper Beast (Minimal Wear): float at most 0.078101 instead of 0.077745
Craft 3090152 · The Falchion Collection + The Danger Zone Collection · profit −12 359.02₴ · invest 20 798.18₴
no outcome price marketplace price sells slowly rare inputs pricier variants exist
Craft 3088946 · The Falchion Collection + The CS20 Collection · profit −12 738.75₴ · invest 20 524.12₴
no outcome price marketplace price sells slowly rare inputs pricier variants exist

StatTrak™ FAMAS | Commemoration (Factory New) instead of StatTrak™ AWP | Neo-Noir (Factory New)
Craft 3088952 · The CS20 Collection + The Falchion Collection · profit −12 738.75₴ · invest 20 524.12₴
no outcome price marketplace price sells slowly rare inputs pricier variants exist

StatTrak™ FAMAS | Commemoration (Factory New) instead of StatTrak™ AWP | Neo-Noir (Factory New)
Craft 3090608 · The Fracture Collection + The Falchion Collection · profit −12 921.62₴ · invest 20 369.69₴
no outcome price sells slowly rare inputs pricier variants exist

StatTrak™ AK-47 | Legion of Anubis (Factory New) instead of StatTrak™ AWP | Neo-Noir (Factory New); StatTrak™ AWP | Hyper Beast (Field-Tested): float at most 0.173292 instead of 0.172268; StatTrak™ AWP | Hyper Beast (Minimal Wear): float at most 0.078101 instead of 0.077745
Craft 3090612 · The Falchion Collection + The Fracture Collection · profit −12 921.62₴ · invest 20 369.69₴
no outcome price sells slowly rare inputs pricier variants exist

StatTrak™ AK-47 | Legion of Anubis (Factory New) instead of StatTrak™ AWP | Neo-Noir (Factory New); StatTrak™ AWP | Hyper Beast (Field-Tested): float at most 0.173292 instead of 0.172268; StatTrak™ AWP | Hyper Beast (Minimal Wear): float at most 0.078101 instead of 0.077745

How to read these numbers

Fees. Steam adds 15% to the seller's price, so the seller gets the listing price divided by 1,15. Multiplying by 0,85 is wrong.

The outcome can only be sold after a week. Inputs bought on Steam go into the contract right away. The outcome can also be crafted further without waiting, but Sell it is possible only after seven days. Over a week the price may change, so the amount shown remains an estimate at calculation time.

Prices are conservative. Sales are counted at the lower of the listing price and the sale price. Purchases are counted at the cheapest listing, which is a lower bound. You cannot buy ten at that price: each next listing costs more. «Check floats on Steam» shows the real purchase price.

The Danger Zone Collection + The Falchion Collection

How to build i Ways to build 1 way: the best first, then from the most accessible. Click a tab and the numbers below are recalculated for that way.

What you get 65 outcomes

More

How to build