The Fracture Collection + The Falchion Collection

StatTrak™ Covert → knife or gloves · Items in the contract: 5

Average profit −129 527.87₸

Invest 204 188.30₸

Average return 74 660.43₸

ROI −63.4%

Chance of profit 2%

With float: invest at least 451 323.55 ₸, profit at most −376 663.12 ₸

float premium: at least 243 949 ₸

Hard to build: not enough fitting lots for a single contract

The gain is understated: 1 outcome has no price, that is 6.2% of the chance

Check:

To calculator I have items

Buy on Sell on

How to build

Less than 1% of lots fit: not enough for a contract

×1

StatTrak™ AK-47 | Legion of Anubis

Factory New

buy 0.0000–0.0070

38 087.70 ₸

at 38 087.70

Steam

×3

StatTrak™ AWP | Hyper Beast

Field-Tested

buy 0.1500–0.1732

102 768.03 ₸

at 34 256.01

Steam

×1

StatTrak™ AWP | Hyper Beast

Minimal Wear

buy 0.0700–0.0781

63 332.56 ₸

at 63 332.56

Steam

Set · 5 pcs 204 188.30 ₸ −129 527.87 (−63.4%)

What you get 65 outcomes

Profitable outcome 2%
Losing outcome 92%
Above the Steam cap 6%

Order

at a loss

★ StatTrak™ Falchion Knife | Fade

Factory New

float up to 0.009729

140 381.81 ₸ 6.15%

price without deals pricier variants exist lots by number

Steam

at a loss

★ StatTrak™ Falchion Knife | Slaughter

Factory New

float up to 0.040405

152 307.98 ₸ 6.15%

price without deals pricier variants exist lots by number

Steam

at a loss

★ StatTrak™ Falchion Knife | Blue Steel

Minimal Wear

float up to 0.121621

134 721.37 ₸ 6.15%

price without deals pricier variants exist lots by number

Steam

at a loss

★ StatTrak™ Falchion Knife | Stained

Minimal Wear

float up to 0.121621

57 356.56 ₸ 6.15%

price without deals pricier variants exist lots by number

Steam

at a loss

★ StatTrak™ Falchion Knife | Case Hardened

Minimal Wear

float up to 0.121621

101 538.64 ₸ 6.15%

price without deals pricier variants exist lots by number

Steam

at a loss

★ StatTrak™ Falchion Knife | Forest DDPAT

Minimal Wear

float up to 0.149999

37 948.52 ₸ 6.15%

price without deals pricier variants exist lots by number

Steam

at a loss

★ StatTrak™ Falchion Knife | Boreal Forest

Minimal Wear

float up to 0.149999

75 897.09 ₸ 6.15%

price without deals pricier variants exist lots by number

Steam

★ StatTrak™ Falchion Knife | Crimson Web

Minimal Wear

float up to 0.149999

not on Steam: above the cap 6.15%

pricier variants exist lots by number

Steam

at a loss

★ StatTrak™ Falchion Knife | Night

Minimal Wear

float up to 0.149999

73 614.35 ₸ 6.15%

price without deals pricier variants exist lots by number

Steam

at a loss

★ StatTrak™ Falchion Knife | Scorched

Minimal Wear

float up to 0.149999

81 937.94 ₸ 6.15%

price without deals pricier variants exist lots by number

Steam

at a loss

★ StatTrak™ Falchion Knife | Safari Mesh

Minimal Wear

float up to 0.149999

64 428.62 ₸ 6.15%

price without deals pricier variants exist lots by number

Steam

at a loss

★ StatTrak™ Falchion Knife | Urban Masked

Minimal Wear

float up to 0.149999

83 692.99 ₸ 6.15%

price without deals pricier variants exist lots by number

Steam

at a loss

★ StatTrak™ Falchion Knife

no wear

72 948.74 ₸ 6.15%

price without deals pricier variants exist lots by number

Steam

at a loss

★ StatTrak™ Survival Knife | Fade

Factory New

float up to 0.009729

82 778.35 ₸ 0.38%

pricier variants exist lots by number

Steam

at a loss

★ StatTrak™ Survival Knife | Slaughter

Factory New

float up to 0.040405

91 038.45 ₸ 0.38%

price without deals pricier variants exist lots by number

Steam

at a loss

★ StatTrak™ Survival Knife | Blue Steel

Minimal Wear

float up to 0.121621

51 574.63 ₸ 0.38%

price without deals pricier variants exist lots by number

Steam

at a loss

★ StatTrak™ Survival Knife | Stained

Minimal Wear

float up to 0.121621

42 207.87 ₸ 0.38%

price without deals pricier variants exist lots by number

Steam

at a loss

★ StatTrak™ Survival Knife | Case Hardened

Minimal Wear

float up to 0.121621

76 153.94 ₸ 0.38%

pricier variants exist lots by number

Steam

at a loss

★ StatTrak™ Survival Knife | Forest DDPAT

Minimal Wear

float up to 0.149999

30 075.92 ₸ 0.38%

price without deals pricier variants exist lots by number

Steam

at a loss

★ StatTrak™ Survival Knife | Boreal Forest

Minimal Wear

float up to 0.149999

38 439.82 ₸ 0.38%

price without deals pricier variants exist lots by number

Steam

at a loss

★ StatTrak™ Survival Knife | Crimson Web

Minimal Wear

float up to 0.149999

81 932.47 ₸ 0.38%

price without deals pricier variants exist lots by number

Steam

at a loss

★ StatTrak™ Survival Knife | Scorched

Minimal Wear

float up to 0.149999

30 942.99 ₸ 0.38%

pricier variants exist lots by number

Steam

at a loss

★ StatTrak™ Survival Knife | Safari Mesh

Minimal Wear

float up to 0.149999

31 671.03 ₸ 0.38%

price without deals pricier variants exist lots by number

Steam

at a loss

★ StatTrak™ Survival Knife | Night Stripe

Minimal Wear

float up to 0.149999

37 084.84 ₸ 0.38%

price without deals pricier variants exist lots by number

Steam

at a loss

★ StatTrak™ Survival Knife | Urban Masked

Minimal Wear

float up to 0.149999

42 055.96 ₸ 0.38%

price without deals pricier variants exist lots by number

Steam

at a loss

★ StatTrak™ Paracord Knife | Fade

Factory New

float up to 0.009729

89 410.02 ₸ 0.38%

pricier variants exist lots by number

Steam

at a loss

★ StatTrak™ Paracord Knife | Slaughter

Factory New

float up to 0.040405

87 568.93 ₸ 0.38%

pricier variants exist lots by number

Steam

at a loss

★ StatTrak™ Paracord Knife | Blue Steel

Minimal Wear

float up to 0.121621

51 836.56 ₸ 0.38%

pricier variants exist lots by number

Steam

at a loss

★ StatTrak™ Paracord Knife | Stained

Minimal Wear

float up to 0.121621

48 723.85 ₸ 0.38%

price without deals pricier variants exist lots by number

Steam

at a loss

★ StatTrak™ Paracord Knife | Case Hardened

Minimal Wear

float up to 0.121621

63 461.81 ₸ 0.38%

pricier variants exist lots by number

Steam

at a loss

★ StatTrak™ Paracord Knife | Forest DDPAT

Minimal Wear

float up to 0.149999

40 643.02 ₸ 0.38%

price without deals pricier variants exist lots by number

Steam

at a loss

★ StatTrak™ Paracord Knife | Boreal Forest

Minimal Wear

float up to 0.149999

37 680.53 ₸ 0.38%

price without deals pricier variants exist lots by number

Steam

at a loss

★ StatTrak™ Paracord Knife | Crimson Web

Minimal Wear

float up to 0.149999

86 854.16 ₸ 0.38%

price without deals pricier variants exist lots by number

Steam

at a loss

★ StatTrak™ Paracord Knife | Scorched

Minimal Wear

float up to 0.149999

40 108.95 ₸ 0.38%

price without deals pricier variants exist lots by number

Steam

at a loss

★ StatTrak™ Paracord Knife | Safari Mesh

Minimal Wear

float up to 0.149999

42 350.55 ₸ 0.38%

price without deals pricier variants exist lots by number

Steam

at a loss

★ StatTrak™ Paracord Knife | Night Stripe

Minimal Wear

float up to 0.149999

44 738.93 ₸ 0.38%

price without deals pricier variants exist lots by number

Steam

at a loss

★ StatTrak™ Paracord Knife | Urban Masked

Minimal Wear

float up to 0.149999

47 501.33 ₸ 0.38%

price without deals pricier variants exist lots by number

Steam

at a loss

★ StatTrak™ Nomad Knife | Fade

Factory New

float up to 0.009729

161 388.67 ₸ 0.38%

price without deals pricier variants exist lots by number

Steam

at a loss

★ StatTrak™ Nomad Knife | Slaughter

Factory New

float up to 0.040405

142 153.31 ₸ 0.38%

price without deals pricier variants exist lots by number

Steam

at a loss

★ StatTrak™ Nomad Knife | Blue Steel

Minimal Wear

float up to 0.121621

126 917.49 ₸ 0.38%

price without deals pricier variants exist lots by number

Steam

at a loss

★ StatTrak™ Nomad Knife | Stained

Minimal Wear

float up to 0.121621

114 713.11 ₸ 0.38%

price without deals pricier variants exist lots by number

Steam

at a loss

★ StatTrak™ Nomad Knife | Case Hardened

Minimal Wear

float up to 0.121621

171 901.53 ₸ 0.38%

price without deals pricier variants exist lots by number

Steam

at a loss

★ StatTrak™ Nomad Knife | Forest DDPAT

Minimal Wear

float up to 0.149999

60 419.89 ₸ 0.38%

price without deals pricier variants exist lots by number

Steam

at a loss

★ StatTrak™ Nomad Knife | Boreal Forest

Minimal Wear

float up to 0.149999

65 547.67 ₸ 0.38%

price without deals pricier variants exist lots by number

Steam

at a loss

★ StatTrak™ Nomad Knife | Crimson Web

Minimal Wear

float up to 0.149999

136 869.13 ₸ 0.38%

price without deals pricier variants exist lots by number

Steam

at a loss

★ StatTrak™ Nomad Knife | Scorched

Minimal Wear

float up to 0.149999

78 032.99 ₸ 0.38%

price without deals pricier variants exist lots by number

Steam

at a loss

★ StatTrak™ Nomad Knife | Safari Mesh

Minimal Wear

float up to 0.149999

54 116.62 ₸ 0.38%

price without deals pricier variants exist lots by number

Steam

at a loss

★ StatTrak™ Nomad Knife | Night Stripe

Minimal Wear

float up to 0.149999

68 535.07 ₸ 0.38%

price without deals pricier variants exist lots by number

Steam

at a loss

★ StatTrak™ Nomad Knife | Urban Masked

Minimal Wear

float up to 0.149999

62 946.63 ₸ 0.38%

price without deals pricier variants exist lots by number

Steam

in profit

★ StatTrak™ Skeleton Knife | Fade

Factory New

float up to 0.009729

310 477.97 ₸ 0.38%

price without deals pricier variants exist lots by number

Steam

in profit

★ StatTrak™ Skeleton Knife | Slaughter

Factory New

float up to 0.040405

271 424.93 ₸ 0.38%

price without deals pricier variants exist lots by number

Steam

at a loss

★ StatTrak™ Skeleton Knife | Blue Steel

Minimal Wear

float up to 0.121621

220 899.65 ₸ 0.38%

price without deals pricier variants exist lots by number

Steam

at a loss

★ StatTrak™ Skeleton Knife | Stained

Minimal Wear

float up to 0.121621

136 258.69 ₸ 0.38%

price without deals pricier variants exist lots by number

Steam

in profit

★ StatTrak™ Skeleton Knife | Case Hardened

Minimal Wear

float up to 0.121621

258 316.34 ₸ 0.38%

price without deals pricier variants exist lots by number

Steam

at a loss

★ StatTrak™ Skeleton Knife | Forest DDPAT

Minimal Wear

float up to 0.149999

128 225.77 ₸ 0.38%

price without deals pricier variants exist lots by number

Steam

at a loss

★ StatTrak™ Skeleton Knife | Boreal Forest

Minimal Wear

float up to 0.149999

125 090.60 ₸ 0.38%

price without deals pricier variants exist lots by number

Steam

in profit

best

★ StatTrak™ Skeleton Knife | Crimson Web

Minimal Wear

float up to 0.149999

355 373.62 ₸ 0.38%

price without deals pricier variants exist lots by number

Steam

at a loss

★ StatTrak™ Skeleton Knife | Scorched

Minimal Wear

float up to 0.149999

112 285.56 ₸ 0.38%

price without deals pricier variants exist lots by number

Steam

at a loss

★ StatTrak™ Skeleton Knife | Safari Mesh

Minimal Wear

float up to 0.149999

99 070.78 ₸ 0.38%

price without deals pricier variants exist lots by number

Steam

at a loss

★ StatTrak™ Skeleton Knife | Night Stripe

Minimal Wear

float up to 0.149999

114 411.91 ₸ 0.38%

price without deals pricier variants exist lots by number

Steam

at a loss

★ StatTrak™ Skeleton Knife | Urban Masked

Minimal Wear

float up to 0.149999

153 464.95 ₸ 0.38%

price without deals pricier variants exist lots by number

Steam

at a loss

★ StatTrak™ Paracord Knife

no wear

30 971.83 ₸ 0.38%

price without deals pricier variants exist lots by number

Steam

at a loss

worst

★ StatTrak™ Survival Knife

no wear

27 372.68 ₸ 0.38%

pricier variants exist lots by number

Steam

at a loss

★ StatTrak™ Nomad Knife

no wear

67 162.72 ₸ 0.38%

pricier variants exist lots by number

Steam

at a loss

★ StatTrak™ Skeleton Knife

no wear

123 881.53 ₸ 0.38%

price without deals pricier variants exist lots by number

Steam

float markup by input how many times more the lots with the needed float cost

StatTrak™ AK-47 | Legion of Anubis (Factory New) × 1 10% of the wear range fits at least ×2.16 38 087.70 → 82 269.44 ₸

StatTrak™ AWP | Hyper Beast (Field-Tested) × 3 10% of the wear range fits at least ×2.26 102 768.03 → 232 255.76 ₸

StatTrak™ AWP | Hyper Beast (Minimal Wear) × 1 10% of the wear range fits at least ×2.16 63 332.56 → 136 798.33 ₸

The markup is taken from a check of Steam 25–26.09.2026 listings. It shows how many times the needed number of cheapest listings with a fitting float cost more than the cheapest listing of this wear. It depends on the width of the float window and on the number of items.

Average float of the set

average normalized 0.121621522

outcomes come out up to 0.009729, 0.040405, 0.121621, 0.121621, 0.121621, 0.149999, 0.149999, 0.149999, 0.149999, 0.149999, 0.149999, 0.149999, 0.000000, 0.009729, 0.040405, 0.121621, 0.121621, 0.121621, 0.149999, 0.149999, 0.149999, 0.149999, 0.149999, 0.149999, 0.149999, 0.009729, 0.040405, 0.121621, 0.121621, 0.121621, 0.149999, 0.149999, 0.149999, 0.149999, 0.149999, 0.149999, 0.149999, 0.009729, 0.040405, 0.121621, 0.121621, 0.121621, 0.149999, 0.149999, 0.149999, 0.149999, 0.149999, 0.149999, 0.149999, 0.009729, 0.040405, 0.121621, 0.121621, 0.121621, 0.149999, 0.149999, 0.149999, 0.149999, 0.149999, 0.149999, 0.149999, 0.000000, 0.000000, 0.000000, 0.000000

How to read float

«No higher than» — is a guarantee. The limits are calculated together: take all items with the float at the upper bound and you get exactly the result shown. With a lower float the result will be better.

f′ — the same float, brought to 0–1 by the skin's own range. CSFloat counts the same way.

I already have items

No other variants in this recount

In a week, when the outcome can be sold from outcome price history

In a bad week −142 484.28 ₸ a worse week happens one time in ten

In a typical week −130 698.27 ₸ historical median

If you repeat 10 000 simulations over the outcome odds

Attempts: 10

I already have items Enter their float and the site will pick what to buy

Mix in a collection

Items of this craft's collections of the right rarity fit: The Falchion Collection and The Fracture Collection — and of the mixed-in collection: enter its items with float, your own or ones you want to buy. Its share in the set equals its share in the chances. Your own items are counted in the profit at market price, because you could sell them. The money needed to buy the rest is shown separately.

Third collection Add a third collection to the craft's two and see whether it gets more profitable

All splits of inputs across three collections are tried (1/1/8, 5/3/2 and the rest) and all outcome wears. The best set is shown for each collection. “Find the best” first quickly scores all collections and then calculates exactly the five best by the quick score.

Similar 9 crafts almost like this one

One of three things counts as similar. The same set with a different wear of cheap outcomes: profit and investment differ by less than 0,5%. The same nine items with a different tenth: profit differs by no more than 10%, investment by 20%. The same main half, whose outcomes make the profit, with a different filler: profit lower by no more than a quarter, investment cheaper by no more than a quarter.

Craft 3090643 · The Gamma Collection + The Falchion Collection · profit −120 107.16₸ · invest 229 437.42₸
no outcome price marketplace price sells slowly rare inputs pricier variants exist

StatTrak™ Glock-18 | Wasteland Rebel (Factory New) instead of StatTrak™ AK-47 | Legion of Anubis (Factory New); StatTrak™ AWP | Hyper Beast (Field-Tested): float at most 0.172525 instead of 0.173292; StatTrak™ AWP | Hyper Beast (Minimal Wear): float at most 0.077835 instead of 0.078101
Craft 3090651 · The Falchion Collection + The Gamma Collection · profit −120 107.16₸ · invest 229 437.42₸
no outcome price marketplace price sells slowly rare inputs pricier variants exist

StatTrak™ Glock-18 | Wasteland Rebel (Factory New) instead of StatTrak™ AK-47 | Legion of Anubis (Factory New); StatTrak™ AWP | Hyper Beast (Field-Tested): float at most 0.172525 instead of 0.173292; StatTrak™ AWP | Hyper Beast (Minimal Wear): float at most 0.077835 instead of 0.078101
Craft 3090664 · The Huntsman Collection + The Falchion Collection · profit −121 420.73₸ · invest 200 735.05₸
no outcome price marketplace price sells slowly rare inputs pricier variants exist

StatTrak™ M4A4 | Desert-Strike (Factory New) instead of StatTrak™ AK-47 | Legion of Anubis (Factory New)
Craft 3090668 · The Falchion Collection + The Huntsman Collection · profit −121 420.73₸ · invest 200 735.05₸
no outcome price marketplace price sells slowly rare inputs pricier variants exist

StatTrak™ M4A4 | Desert-Strike (Factory New) instead of StatTrak™ AK-47 | Legion of Anubis (Factory New)
Craft 3090152 · The Falchion Collection + The Danger Zone Collection · profit −123 888.33₸ · invest 208 483.59₸
no outcome price marketplace price sells slowly rare inputs pricier variants exist

StatTrak™ AWP | Neo-Noir (Factory New) instead of StatTrak™ AK-47 | Legion of Anubis (Factory New); StatTrak™ AWP | Hyper Beast (Field-Tested): float at most 0.172268 instead of 0.173292; StatTrak™ AWP | Hyper Beast (Minimal Wear): float at most 0.077745 instead of 0.078101
Craft 3090156 · The Danger Zone Collection + The Falchion Collection · profit −123 888.33₸ · invest 208 483.59₸
no outcome price marketplace price sells slowly rare inputs pricier variants exist

StatTrak™ AWP | Neo-Noir (Factory New) instead of StatTrak™ AK-47 | Legion of Anubis (Factory New); StatTrak™ AWP | Hyper Beast (Field-Tested): float at most 0.172268 instead of 0.173292; StatTrak™ AWP | Hyper Beast (Minimal Wear): float at most 0.077745 instead of 0.078101
Craft 3088946 · The Falchion Collection + The CS20 Collection · profit −127 694.86₸ · invest 205 736.38₸
no outcome price marketplace price sells slowly rare inputs pricier variants exist

StatTrak™ FAMAS | Commemoration (Factory New) instead of StatTrak™ AK-47 | Legion of Anubis (Factory New); StatTrak™ AWP | Hyper Beast (Field-Tested): float at most 0.172268 instead of 0.173292; StatTrak™ AWP | Hyper Beast (Minimal Wear): float at most 0.077745 instead of 0.078101
Craft 3088952 · The CS20 Collection + The Falchion Collection · profit −127 694.86₸ · invest 205 736.38₸
no outcome price marketplace price sells slowly rare inputs pricier variants exist

StatTrak™ FAMAS | Commemoration (Factory New) instead of StatTrak™ AK-47 | Legion of Anubis (Factory New); StatTrak™ AWP | Hyper Beast (Field-Tested): float at most 0.172268 instead of 0.173292; StatTrak™ AWP | Hyper Beast (Minimal Wear): float at most 0.077745 instead of 0.078101
Craft 3090612 · The Falchion Collection + The Fracture Collection · profit −129 527.90₸ · invest 204 188.30₸
no outcome price sells slowly rare inputs pricier variants exist

How to read these numbers

Fees. Steam adds 15% to the seller's price, so the seller gets the listing price divided by 1,15. Multiplying by 0,85 is wrong.

The outcome can only be sold after a week. Inputs bought on Steam go into the contract right away. The outcome can also be crafted further without waiting, but Sell it is possible only after seven days. Over a week the price may change, so the amount shown remains an estimate at calculation time.

Prices are conservative. Sales are counted at the lower of the listing price and the sale price. Purchases are counted at the cheapest listing, which is a lower bound. You cannot buy ten at that price: each next listing costs more. «Check floats on Steam» shows the real purchase price.

The Fracture Collection + The Falchion Collection

How to build i Ways to build 1 way: the best first, then from the most accessible. Click a tab and the numbers below are recalculated for that way.

What you get 65 outcomes

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How to build