The Fracture Collection + The Falchion Collection

StatTrak™ Covert → knife or gloves · Items in the contract: 5

Average profit −12 921.61₴

Invest 20 369.69₴

Average return 7 448.07₴

ROI −63.4%

Chance of profit 2%

With float: invest at least 45 023.73 ₴, profit at most −37 575.66 ₴

float premium: at least 24 336 ₴

Hard to build: not enough fitting lots for a single contract

The gain is understated: 1 outcome has no price, that is 6.2% of the chance

Check:

To calculator I have items

Buy on Sell on

How to build

Less than 1% of lots fit: not enough for a contract

×1

StatTrak™ AK-47 | Legion of Anubis

Factory New

buy 0.0000–0.0070

3 799.60 ₴

at 3 799.60

Steam

×3

StatTrak™ AWP | Hyper Beast

Field-Tested

buy 0.1500–0.1732

10 252.07 ₴

at 3 417.36

Steam

×1

StatTrak™ AWP | Hyper Beast

Minimal Wear

buy 0.0700–0.0781

6 318.01 ₴

at 6 318.01

Steam

Set · 5 pcs 20 369.69 ₴ −12 921.61 (−63.4%)

What you get 65 outcomes

Profitable outcome 2%
Losing outcome 92%
Above the Steam cap 6%

Order

at a loss

★ StatTrak™ Falchion Knife | Fade

Factory New

float up to 0.009729

14 004.40 ₴ 6.15%

price without deals pricier variants exist lots by number

Steam

at a loss

★ StatTrak™ Falchion Knife | Slaughter

Factory New

float up to 0.040405

15 194.14 ₴ 6.15%

price without deals pricier variants exist lots by number

Steam

at a loss

★ StatTrak™ Falchion Knife | Blue Steel

Minimal Wear

float up to 0.121621

13 439.71 ₴ 6.15%

price without deals pricier variants exist lots by number

Steam

at a loss

★ StatTrak™ Falchion Knife | Stained

Minimal Wear

float up to 0.121621

5 721.85 ₴ 6.15%

price without deals pricier variants exist lots by number

Steam

at a loss

★ StatTrak™ Falchion Knife | Case Hardened

Minimal Wear

float up to 0.121621

10 129.43 ₴ 6.15%

price without deals pricier variants exist lots by number

Steam

at a loss

★ StatTrak™ Falchion Knife | Forest DDPAT

Minimal Wear

float up to 0.149999

3 785.72 ₴ 6.15%

price without deals pricier variants exist lots by number

Steam

at a loss

★ StatTrak™ Falchion Knife | Boreal Forest

Minimal Wear

float up to 0.149999

7 571.44 ₴ 6.15%

price without deals pricier variants exist lots by number

Steam

★ StatTrak™ Falchion Knife | Crimson Web

Minimal Wear

float up to 0.149999

not on Steam: above the cap 6.15%

pricier variants exist lots by number

Steam

at a loss

★ StatTrak™ Falchion Knife | Night

Minimal Wear

float up to 0.149999

7 343.72 ₴ 6.15%

price without deals pricier variants exist lots by number

Steam

at a loss

★ StatTrak™ Falchion Knife | Scorched

Minimal Wear

float up to 0.149999

8 174.07 ₴ 6.15%

price without deals pricier variants exist lots by number

Steam

at a loss

★ StatTrak™ Falchion Knife | Safari Mesh

Minimal Wear

float up to 0.149999

6 427.36 ₴ 6.15%

price without deals pricier variants exist lots by number

Steam

at a loss

★ StatTrak™ Falchion Knife | Urban Masked

Minimal Wear

float up to 0.149999

8 349.16 ₴ 6.15%

price without deals pricier variants exist lots by number

Steam

at a loss

★ StatTrak™ Falchion Knife

no wear

7 277.32 ₴ 6.15%

price without deals pricier variants exist lots by number

Steam

at a loss

★ StatTrak™ Survival Knife | Fade

Factory New

float up to 0.009729

8 257.91 ₴ 0.38%

pricier variants exist lots by number

Steam

at a loss

★ StatTrak™ Survival Knife | Slaughter

Factory New

float up to 0.040405

9 081.94 ₴ 0.38%

price without deals pricier variants exist lots by number

Steam

at a loss

★ StatTrak™ Survival Knife | Blue Steel

Minimal Wear

float up to 0.121621

5 145.05 ₴ 0.38%

price without deals pricier variants exist lots by number

Steam

at a loss

★ StatTrak™ Survival Knife | Stained

Minimal Wear

float up to 0.121621

4 210.63 ₴ 0.38%

price without deals pricier variants exist lots by number

Steam

at a loss

★ StatTrak™ Survival Knife | Case Hardened

Minimal Wear

float up to 0.121621

7 597.07 ₴ 0.38%

pricier variants exist lots by number

Steam

at a loss

★ StatTrak™ Survival Knife | Forest DDPAT

Minimal Wear

float up to 0.149999

3 000.35 ₴ 0.38%

price without deals pricier variants exist lots by number

Steam

at a loss

★ StatTrak™ Survival Knife | Boreal Forest

Minimal Wear

float up to 0.149999

3 834.73 ₴ 0.38%

price without deals pricier variants exist lots by number

Steam

at a loss

★ StatTrak™ Survival Knife | Crimson Web

Minimal Wear

float up to 0.149999

8 173.53 ₴ 0.38%

price without deals pricier variants exist lots by number

Steam

at a loss

★ StatTrak™ Survival Knife | Scorched

Minimal Wear

float up to 0.149999

3 086.85 ₴ 0.38%

pricier variants exist lots by number

Steam

at a loss

★ StatTrak™ Survival Knife | Safari Mesh

Minimal Wear

float up to 0.149999

3 159.48 ₴ 0.38%

price without deals pricier variants exist lots by number

Steam

at a loss

★ StatTrak™ Survival Knife | Night Stripe

Minimal Wear

float up to 0.149999

3 699.56 ₴ 0.38%

price without deals pricier variants exist lots by number

Steam

at a loss

★ StatTrak™ Survival Knife | Urban Masked

Minimal Wear

float up to 0.149999

4 195.47 ₴ 0.38%

price without deals pricier variants exist lots by number

Steam

at a loss

★ StatTrak™ Paracord Knife | Fade

Factory New

float up to 0.009729

8 919.48 ₴ 0.38%

pricier variants exist lots by number

Steam

at a loss

★ StatTrak™ Paracord Knife | Slaughter

Factory New

float up to 0.040405

8 735.82 ₴ 0.38%

pricier variants exist lots by number

Steam

at a loss

★ StatTrak™ Paracord Knife | Blue Steel

Minimal Wear

float up to 0.121621

5 171.18 ₴ 0.38%

pricier variants exist lots by number

Steam

at a loss

★ StatTrak™ Paracord Knife | Stained

Minimal Wear

float up to 0.121621

4 860.66 ₴ 0.38%

price without deals pricier variants exist lots by number

Steam

at a loss

★ StatTrak™ Paracord Knife | Case Hardened

Minimal Wear

float up to 0.121621

6 330.91 ₴ 0.38%

pricier variants exist lots by number

Steam

at a loss

★ StatTrak™ Paracord Knife | Forest DDPAT

Minimal Wear

float up to 0.149999

4 054.52 ₴ 0.38%

price without deals pricier variants exist lots by number

Steam

at a loss

★ StatTrak™ Paracord Knife | Boreal Forest

Minimal Wear

float up to 0.149999

3 758.98 ₴ 0.38%

price without deals pricier variants exist lots by number

Steam

at a loss

★ StatTrak™ Paracord Knife | Crimson Web

Minimal Wear

float up to 0.149999

8 664.51 ₴ 0.38%

price without deals pricier variants exist lots by number

Steam

at a loss

★ StatTrak™ Paracord Knife | Scorched

Minimal Wear

float up to 0.149999

4 001.24 ₴ 0.38%

price without deals pricier variants exist lots by number

Steam

at a loss

★ StatTrak™ Paracord Knife | Safari Mesh

Minimal Wear

float up to 0.149999

4 224.86 ₴ 0.38%

price without deals pricier variants exist lots by number

Steam

at a loss

★ StatTrak™ Paracord Knife | Night Stripe

Minimal Wear

float up to 0.149999

4 463.13 ₴ 0.38%

price without deals pricier variants exist lots by number

Steam

at a loss

★ StatTrak™ Paracord Knife | Urban Masked

Minimal Wear

float up to 0.149999

4 738.70 ₴ 0.38%

price without deals pricier variants exist lots by number

Steam

at a loss

★ StatTrak™ Nomad Knife | Fade

Factory New

float up to 0.009729

16 100.03 ₴ 0.38%

price without deals pricier variants exist lots by number

Steam

at a loss

★ StatTrak™ Nomad Knife | Slaughter

Factory New

float up to 0.040405

14 181.12 ₴ 0.38%

price without deals pricier variants exist lots by number

Steam

at a loss

★ StatTrak™ Nomad Knife | Blue Steel

Minimal Wear

float up to 0.121621

12 661.20 ₴ 0.38%

price without deals pricier variants exist lots by number

Steam

at a loss

★ StatTrak™ Nomad Knife | Stained

Minimal Wear

float up to 0.121621

11 443.70 ₴ 0.38%

price without deals pricier variants exist lots by number

Steam

at a loss

★ StatTrak™ Nomad Knife | Case Hardened

Minimal Wear

float up to 0.121621

17 148.78 ₴ 0.38%

price without deals pricier variants exist lots by number

Steam

at a loss

★ StatTrak™ Nomad Knife | Forest DDPAT

Minimal Wear

float up to 0.149999

6 027.45 ₴ 0.38%

price without deals pricier variants exist lots by number

Steam

at a loss

★ StatTrak™ Nomad Knife | Boreal Forest

Minimal Wear

float up to 0.149999

6 538.99 ₴ 0.38%

price without deals pricier variants exist lots by number

Steam

at a loss

★ StatTrak™ Nomad Knife | Crimson Web

Minimal Wear

float up to 0.149999

13 653.97 ₴ 0.38%

price without deals pricier variants exist lots by number

Steam

at a loss

★ StatTrak™ Nomad Knife | Scorched

Minimal Wear

float up to 0.149999

7 784.52 ₴ 0.38%

price without deals pricier variants exist lots by number

Steam

at a loss

★ StatTrak™ Nomad Knife | Safari Mesh

Minimal Wear

float up to 0.149999

5 398.64 ₴ 0.38%

price without deals pricier variants exist lots by number

Steam

at a loss

★ StatTrak™ Nomad Knife | Night Stripe

Minimal Wear

float up to 0.149999

6 837.01 ₴ 0.38%

price without deals pricier variants exist lots by number

Steam

at a loss

★ StatTrak™ Nomad Knife | Urban Masked

Minimal Wear

float up to 0.149999

6 279.51 ₴ 0.38%

price without deals pricier variants exist lots by number

Steam

in profit

★ StatTrak™ Skeleton Knife | Fade

Factory New

float up to 0.009729

30 973.07 ₴ 0.38%

price without deals pricier variants exist lots by number

Steam

in profit

★ StatTrak™ Skeleton Knife | Slaughter

Factory New

float up to 0.040405

27 077.17 ₴ 0.38%

price without deals pricier variants exist lots by number

Steam

at a loss

★ StatTrak™ Skeleton Knife | Blue Steel

Minimal Wear

float up to 0.121621

22 036.80 ₴ 0.38%

price without deals pricier variants exist lots by number

Steam

at a loss

★ StatTrak™ Skeleton Knife | Stained

Minimal Wear

float up to 0.121621

13 593.08 ₴ 0.38%

price without deals pricier variants exist lots by number

Steam

in profit

★ StatTrak™ Skeleton Knife | Case Hardened

Minimal Wear

float up to 0.121621

25 769.46 ₴ 0.38%

price without deals pricier variants exist lots by number

Steam

at a loss

★ StatTrak™ Skeleton Knife | Forest DDPAT

Minimal Wear

float up to 0.149999

12 791.72 ₴ 0.38%

price without deals pricier variants exist lots by number

Steam

at a loss

★ StatTrak™ Skeleton Knife | Boreal Forest

Minimal Wear

float up to 0.149999

12 478.95 ₴ 0.38%

price without deals pricier variants exist lots by number

Steam

in profit

best

★ StatTrak™ Skeleton Knife | Crimson Web

Minimal Wear

float up to 0.149999

35 451.83 ₴ 0.38%

price without deals pricier variants exist lots by number

Steam

at a loss

★ StatTrak™ Skeleton Knife | Scorched

Minimal Wear

float up to 0.149999

11 201.53 ₴ 0.38%

price without deals pricier variants exist lots by number

Steam

at a loss

★ StatTrak™ Skeleton Knife | Safari Mesh

Minimal Wear

float up to 0.149999

9 883.23 ₴ 0.38%

price without deals pricier variants exist lots by number

Steam

at a loss

★ StatTrak™ Skeleton Knife | Night Stripe

Minimal Wear

float up to 0.149999

11 413.66 ₴ 0.38%

price without deals pricier variants exist lots by number

Steam

at a loss

★ StatTrak™ Skeleton Knife | Urban Masked

Minimal Wear

float up to 0.149999

15 309.56 ₴ 0.38%

price without deals pricier variants exist lots by number

Steam

at a loss

★ StatTrak™ Paracord Knife

no wear

3 089.73 ₴ 0.38%

price without deals pricier variants exist lots by number

Steam

at a loss

worst

★ StatTrak™ Survival Knife

no wear

2 730.68 ₴ 0.38%

pricier variants exist lots by number

Steam

at a loss

★ StatTrak™ Nomad Knife

no wear

6 700.11 ₴ 0.38%

pricier variants exist lots by number

Steam

at a loss

★ StatTrak™ Skeleton Knife

no wear

12 358.34 ₴ 0.38%

price without deals pricier variants exist lots by number

Steam

float markup by input how many times more the lots with the needed float cost

StatTrak™ AK-47 | Legion of Anubis (Factory New) × 1 10% of the wear range fits at least ×2.16 3 799.60 → 8 207.14 ₴

StatTrak™ AWP | Hyper Beast (Field-Tested) × 3 10% of the wear range fits at least ×2.26 10 252.07 → 23 169.68 ₴

StatTrak™ AWP | Hyper Beast (Minimal Wear) × 1 10% of the wear range fits at least ×2.16 6 318.01 → 13 646.91 ₴

The markup is taken from a check of Steam 25–26.09.2026 listings. It shows how many times the needed number of cheapest listings with a fitting float cost more than the cheapest listing of this wear. It depends on the width of the float window and on the number of items.

Average float of the set

average normalized 0.121621522

outcomes come out up to 0.009729, 0.040405, 0.121621, 0.121621, 0.121621, 0.149999, 0.149999, 0.149999, 0.149999, 0.149999, 0.149999, 0.149999, 0.000000, 0.009729, 0.040405, 0.121621, 0.121621, 0.121621, 0.149999, 0.149999, 0.149999, 0.149999, 0.149999, 0.149999, 0.149999, 0.009729, 0.040405, 0.121621, 0.121621, 0.121621, 0.149999, 0.149999, 0.149999, 0.149999, 0.149999, 0.149999, 0.149999, 0.009729, 0.040405, 0.121621, 0.121621, 0.121621, 0.149999, 0.149999, 0.149999, 0.149999, 0.149999, 0.149999, 0.149999, 0.009729, 0.040405, 0.121621, 0.121621, 0.121621, 0.149999, 0.149999, 0.149999, 0.149999, 0.149999, 0.149999, 0.149999, 0.000000, 0.000000, 0.000000, 0.000000

How to read float

«No higher than» — is a guarantee. The limits are calculated together: take all items with the float at the upper bound and you get exactly the result shown. With a lower float the result will be better.

f′ — the same float, brought to 0–1 by the skin's own range. CSFloat counts the same way.

I already have items

No other variants in this recount

In a week, when the outcome can be sold from outcome price history

In a bad week −14 214.14 ₴ a worse week happens one time in ten

In a typical week −13 038.37 ₴ historical median

If you repeat 10 000 simulations over the outcome odds

Attempts: 10

I already have items Enter their float and the site will pick what to buy

Mix in a collection

Items of this craft's collections of the right rarity fit: The Falchion Collection and The Fracture Collection — and of the mixed-in collection: enter its items with float, your own or ones you want to buy. Its share in the set equals its share in the chances. Your own items are counted in the profit at market price, because you could sell them. The money needed to buy the rest is shown separately.

Third collection Add a third collection to the craft's two and see whether it gets more profitable

All splits of inputs across three collections are tried (1/1/8, 5/3/2 and the rest) and all outcome wears. The best set is shown for each collection. “Find the best” first quickly scores all collections and then calculates exactly the five best by the quick score.

Similar 9 crafts almost like this one

One of three things counts as similar. The same set with a different wear of cheap outcomes: profit and investment differ by less than 0,5%. The same nine items with a different tenth: profit differs by no more than 10%, investment by 20%. The same main half, whose outcomes make the profit, with a different filler: profit lower by no more than a quarter, investment cheaper by no more than a quarter.

Craft 3090643 · The Gamma Collection + The Falchion Collection · profit −11 981.81₴ · invest 22 888.52₴
no outcome price marketplace price sells slowly rare inputs pricier variants exist

StatTrak™ Glock-18 | Wasteland Rebel (Factory New) instead of StatTrak™ AK-47 | Legion of Anubis (Factory New); StatTrak™ AWP | Hyper Beast (Field-Tested): float at most 0.172525 instead of 0.173292; StatTrak™ AWP | Hyper Beast (Minimal Wear): float at most 0.077835 instead of 0.078101
Craft 3090651 · The Falchion Collection + The Gamma Collection · profit −11 981.81₴ · invest 22 888.52₴
no outcome price marketplace price sells slowly rare inputs pricier variants exist

StatTrak™ Glock-18 | Wasteland Rebel (Factory New) instead of StatTrak™ AK-47 | Legion of Anubis (Factory New); StatTrak™ AWP | Hyper Beast (Field-Tested): float at most 0.172525 instead of 0.173292; StatTrak™ AWP | Hyper Beast (Minimal Wear): float at most 0.077835 instead of 0.078101
Craft 3090664 · The Huntsman Collection + The Falchion Collection · profit −12 112.85₴ · invest 20 025.19₴
no outcome price marketplace price sells slowly rare inputs pricier variants exist

StatTrak™ M4A4 | Desert-Strike (Factory New) instead of StatTrak™ AK-47 | Legion of Anubis (Factory New)
Craft 3090668 · The Falchion Collection + The Huntsman Collection · profit −12 112.85₴ · invest 20 025.19₴
no outcome price marketplace price sells slowly rare inputs pricier variants exist

StatTrak™ M4A4 | Desert-Strike (Factory New) instead of StatTrak™ AK-47 | Legion of Anubis (Factory New)
Craft 3090152 · The Falchion Collection + The Danger Zone Collection · profit −12 359.02₴ · invest 20 798.18₴
no outcome price marketplace price sells slowly rare inputs pricier variants exist

StatTrak™ AWP | Neo-Noir (Factory New) instead of StatTrak™ AK-47 | Legion of Anubis (Factory New); StatTrak™ AWP | Hyper Beast (Field-Tested): float at most 0.172268 instead of 0.173292; StatTrak™ AWP | Hyper Beast (Minimal Wear): float at most 0.077745 instead of 0.078101
Craft 3090156 · The Danger Zone Collection + The Falchion Collection · profit −12 359.02₴ · invest 20 798.18₴
no outcome price marketplace price sells slowly rare inputs pricier variants exist

StatTrak™ AWP | Neo-Noir (Factory New) instead of StatTrak™ AK-47 | Legion of Anubis (Factory New); StatTrak™ AWP | Hyper Beast (Field-Tested): float at most 0.172268 instead of 0.173292; StatTrak™ AWP | Hyper Beast (Minimal Wear): float at most 0.077745 instead of 0.078101
Craft 3088946 · The Falchion Collection + The CS20 Collection · profit −12 738.75₴ · invest 20 524.12₴
no outcome price marketplace price sells slowly rare inputs pricier variants exist

StatTrak™ FAMAS | Commemoration (Factory New) instead of StatTrak™ AK-47 | Legion of Anubis (Factory New); StatTrak™ AWP | Hyper Beast (Field-Tested): float at most 0.172268 instead of 0.173292; StatTrak™ AWP | Hyper Beast (Minimal Wear): float at most 0.077745 instead of 0.078101
Craft 3088952 · The CS20 Collection + The Falchion Collection · profit −12 738.75₴ · invest 20 524.12₴
no outcome price marketplace price sells slowly rare inputs pricier variants exist

StatTrak™ FAMAS | Commemoration (Factory New) instead of StatTrak™ AK-47 | Legion of Anubis (Factory New); StatTrak™ AWP | Hyper Beast (Field-Tested): float at most 0.172268 instead of 0.173292; StatTrak™ AWP | Hyper Beast (Minimal Wear): float at most 0.077745 instead of 0.078101
Craft 3090612 · The Falchion Collection + The Fracture Collection · profit −12 921.62₴ · invest 20 369.69₴
no outcome price sells slowly rare inputs pricier variants exist

How to read these numbers

Fees. Steam adds 15% to the seller's price, so the seller gets the listing price divided by 1,15. Multiplying by 0,85 is wrong.

The outcome can only be sold after a week. Inputs bought on Steam go into the contract right away. The outcome can also be crafted further without waiting, but Sell it is possible only after seven days. Over a week the price may change, so the amount shown remains an estimate at calculation time.

Prices are conservative. Sales are counted at the lower of the listing price and the sale price. Purchases are counted at the cheapest listing, which is a lower bound. You cannot buy ten at that price: each next listing costs more. «Check floats on Steam» shows the real purchase price.

The Fracture Collection + The Falchion Collection

How to build i Ways to build 1 way: the best first, then from the most accessible. Click a tab and the numbers below are recalculated for that way.

What you get 65 outcomes

More

How to build