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The 2021 Mirage Collection + The Dust 2 Collection

Consumer Grade → Industrial Grade

Prices by float: ночной проверки нет, числа ниже — оценка с учётом float

Average profit at most · with float −443.01₸

Invest at least 1 244.80₸

Average return 801.84₸

ROI −35.6%

Chance of profit 18%

With float: invest at least 1 244.80 ₸, profit at most −443.01 ₸

float premium: at least 722 ₸

To build: easy

Check:

To calculator I have items + a third collection

Buy on Sell on

How to build

≈1% of lots fit: the price is understated

×7

Souvenir SSG 08 | Prey

Factory New

buy 0.0000–0.0031

449.68 ₸

at 64.24

souvenirSteam

×3

G3SG1 | Desert Storm

Minimal Wear

buy 0.0700–0.0818

43.43 ₸

at 14.48

Steam

Set · 10 pcs 493.10 ₸ +308.74 (+62.6%)

Less than 1% of lots fit: the price is understated

×4

Souvenir SSG 08 | Prey

Factory New

buy 0.0000–0.0005

256.96 ₸

at 64.24

souvenirSteam

×5

G3SG1 | Desert Storm

Minimal Wear

buy 0.0700–0.0792

72.38 ₸

at 14.48

Steam

×1

G3SG1 | Desert Storm

Factory New

buy 0.0600–0.0603

303.28 ₸

at 303.28

Steam

Set · 10 pcs 632.62 ₸ +294.98 (+46.6%)

What you get 9 outcomes

Profitable outcome 88%
Losing outcome 12%

in profit

CZ75-Auto | Midnight Palm

Factory New

float up to 0.006756

646.27 ₸ 17.50%

price without deals

Steam

in profit

Dual Berettas | Drift Wood

Factory New

float up to 0.008108

705.70 ₸ 17.50%

Steam

in profit

FAMAS | CaliCamo

Factory New

float up to 0.008108

1 149.04 ₸ 17.50%

Steam

in profit

P90 | Verdant Growth

Factory New

float up to 0.006351

608.91 ₸ 17.50%

Steam

in profit

best

AK-47 | Safari Mesh

Factory New

float up to 0.069999

2 556.46 ₸ 6.00%

Steam

in profit

Five-SeveN | Orange Peel

Factory New

float up to 0.069999

1 492.53 ₸ 6.00%

Steam

in profit

MAC-10 | Palm

Factory New

float up to 0.069999

1 721.84 ₸ 6.00%

price without deals

Steam

at a loss

Sawed-Off | Snake Camo

Factory New

float up to 0.069999

386.69 ₸ 6.00%

Steam

at a loss

worst

Tec-9 | VariCamo

Factory New

float up to 0.008108

140.28 ₸ 6.00%

Steam

Craft variants

Variant 1 this one The 2021 Mirage Collection + The Dust 2 Collection

Variant 2 The Safehouse Collection instead of The 2021 Mirage Collection Variant 3 The Train Collection instead of The 2021 Mirage Collection Variant 4 The Lake Collection instead of The 2021 Mirage Collection Variant 5 The Train Collection instead of The Dust 2 Collection Variant 6 The Lake Collection instead of The Dust 2 Collection

In a week, when the outcome can be sold from outcome price history

In a bad week +131.48 ₸ a worse week happens one time in ten

In a typical week +221.12 ₸ historical median

If you repeat 10 000 simulations over the outcome odds

Attempts: 10

I already have items Enter their float and the site will pick what to buy

Mix in a collection

Items of this craft's collections of the right rarity fit: The 2021 Mirage Collection and The Dust 2 Collection — and of the mixed-in collection: enter its items with float, your own or ones you want to buy. Its share in the set equals its share in the chances. Your own items are counted in the profit at market price, because you could sell them. The money needed to buy the rest is shown separately.

Third collection Add a third collection to the craft's two and see whether it gets more profitable

All splits of inputs across three collections are tried (1/1/8, 5/3/2 and the rest) and all outcome wears. The best set is shown for each collection. “Find the best” first quickly scores all collections and then calculates exactly the five best by the quick score.

Similar 3 crafts almost like this one

One of three things counts as similar. The same set with a different wear of cheap outcomes: profit and investment differ by less than 0,5%. The same nine items with a different tenth: profit differs by no more than 10%, investment by 20%. The same main half, whose outcomes make the profit, with a different filler: profit lower by no more than a quarter, investment cheaper by no more than a quarter.

Craft 3096608 · The 2021 Dust 2 Collection + The Dust 2 Collection · profit 385.56₸ · invest 551.17₸
Souvenir Sawed-Off | Parched (Factory New) instead of Souvenir SSG 08 | Prey (Factory New); G3SG1 | Desert Storm (Minimal Wear): 4 pcs instead of 3; G3SG1 | Desert Storm (Minimal Wear): float at most 0.079020 instead of 0.081827
Craft 3102483 · The Anubis Collection + The Dust 2 Collection · profit 341.74₸ · invest 744.54₸
AUG | Snake Pit (Factory New) instead of Souvenir SSG 08 | Prey (Factory New); G3SG1 | Desert Storm (Minimal Wear): 4 pcs instead of 3; G3SG1 | Desert Storm (Minimal Wear): float at most 0.079020 instead of 0.081827
Craft 3099352 · The 2021 Vertigo Collection + The Dust 2 Collection · profit 318.32₸ · invest 1 021.38₸
sells slowly rare inputs

Souvenir XM1014 | Blue Tire (Factory New), G3SG1 | Desert Storm (Factory New) instead of Souvenir SSG 08 | Prey (Factory New); G3SG1 | Desert Storm (Minimal Wear): 6 pcs instead of 3; G3SG1 | Desert Storm (Minimal Wear): float at most 0.074142 instead of 0.081827

How to read these numbers

Fees. Steam adds 15% to the seller's price, so the seller gets the listing price divided by 1,15. Multiplying by 0,85 is wrong.

The outcome can only be sold after a week. Inputs bought on Steam go into the contract right away. The outcome can also be crafted further without waiting, but Sell it is possible only after seven days. Over a week the price may change, so the amount shown remains an estimate at calculation time.

Prices are conservative. Sales are counted at the lower of the listing price and the sale price. Purchases are counted at the cheapest listing, which is a lower bound. You cannot buy ten at that price: each next listing costs more. «Check floats on Steam» shows the real purchase price.

The 2021 Mirage Collection + The Dust 2 Collection

How to build i Ways to build 5 ways: the best first, then from the most accessible. Click a tab and the numbers below are recalculated for that way.

What you get 9 outcomes

More

How to build