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The 2021 Mirage Collection + The Dust 2 Collection

Industrial Grade → Mil-Spec Grade

Prices by float: ночной проверки нет, числа ниже — оценка с учётом float

Average profit at most · with float −20.09₴

Invest at least 138.92₴

Average return 118.83₴

ROI −14.5%

Chance of profit 20%

With float: invest at least 138.92 ₴, profit at most −20.09 ₴

float premium: at least 73 ₴

Hard to build: not enough fitting lots for a single contract

A more profitable set was dropped: +111.70 ₴ по средним

Check:

To calculator I have items + a third collection

Buy on Sell on

How to build

Less than 1% of lots fit: not enough for a contract, the price is understated

×2

Souvenir FAMAS | CaliCamo

Field-Tested

buy 0.1500–0.1618

26.03 ₴

at 13.01

souvenirSteam

×4

MAC-10 | Palm

Field-Tested

buy 0.1500–0.1618

6.19 ₴

at 1.55

Steam

×4

Five-SeveN | Orange Peel

Minimal Wear

buy 0.0700–0.0741

28.23 ₴

at 7.06

Steam

Set · 10 pcs 60.44 ₴ +58.38 (+96.6%)

Less than 1% of lots fit: not enough for a contract, the price is understated

×4

Souvenir FAMAS | CaliCamo

Field-Tested

buy 0.1500–0.1647

52.05 ₴

at 13.01

souvenirSteam

×5

Souvenir P90 | Verdant Growth

Factory New

buy 0.0000–0.0044

262.09 ₴

at 52.42

souvenirSteam

×1

Five-SeveN | Orange Peel

Minimal Wear

buy 0.0700–0.0751

7.06 ₴

at 7.06

Steam

Set · 10 pcs 321.20 ₴ +110.31 (+34.3%)

Less than 1% of lots fit: not enough for a contract, the price is understated

×5

Souvenir CZ75-Auto | Midnight Palm

Minimal Wear

buy 0.0700–0.0750

154.33 ₴

at 30.87

souvenirSteam

×3

FAMAS | CaliCamo

Minimal Wear

buy 0.0700–0.0750

106.93 ₴

at 35.64

Steam

×2

Five-SeveN | Orange Peel

Minimal Wear

buy 0.0700–0.0750

14.11 ₴

at 7.06

Steam

Set · 10 pcs 275.37 ₴ +111.46 (+40.5%)

Less than 1% of lots fit: not enough for a contract, the price is understated

×3

Souvenir FAMAS | CaliCamo

Field-Tested

buy 0.1500–0.1636

39.04 ₴

at 13.01

souvenirSteam

×2

FAMAS | CaliCamo

Minimal Wear

buy 0.0700–0.0747

71.29 ₴

at 35.64

Steam

×5

Five-SeveN | Orange Peel

Minimal Wear

buy 0.0700–0.0747

35.28 ₴

at 7.06

Steam

Set · 10 pcs 145.61 ₴ +107.22 (+73.6%)

Less than 1% of lots fit: not enough for a contract, the price is understated

×3

Souvenir FAMAS | CaliCamo

Field-Tested

buy 0.1500–0.1636

39.04 ₴

at 13.01

souvenirSteam

×2

Tec-9 | VariCamo

Minimal Wear

buy 0.0700–0.0747

5.75 ₴

at 2.88

Steam

×5

Five-SeveN | Orange Peel

Minimal Wear

buy 0.0700–0.0747

35.28 ₴

at 7.06

Steam

Set · 10 pcs 80.08 ₴ +83.42 (+104.2%)

What you get 7 outcomes

Profitable outcome 20%
Losing outcome 80%

at a loss

worst

PP-Bizon | Brass

Minimal Wear

float up to 0.116666

21.67 ₴ 26.67%

Steam

at a loss

M4A1-S | VariCamo

Factory New

float up to 0.069999

58.24 ₴ 26.67%

Steam

at a loss

SG 553 | Damascus Steel

Minimal Wear

float up to 0.116666

21.85 ₴ 26.67%

Steam

in profit

M249 | Humidor

Factory New

float up to 0.058333

187.16 ₴ 5.00%

price without deals

Steam

in profit

MP9 | Music Box

Factory New

float up to 0.064166

339.36 ₴ 5.00%

Steam

in profit

SG 553 | Desert Blossom

Factory New

float up to 0.057166

187.96 ₴ 5.00%

price without deals

Steam

in profit

best

USP-S | Purple DDPAT

Factory New

float up to 0.064166

1 475.91 ₴ 5.00%

Steam

Craft variants

Variant 1 this one The 2021 Mirage Collection + The Dust 2 Collection

Variant 2 The Train 2025 Collection instead of The Dust 2 Collection Variant 3 The Ancient Collection instead of The Dust 2 Collection Variant 4 The Bank Collection instead of The Dust 2 Collection Variant 5 The Train 2025 Collection instead of The 2021 Mirage Collection Variant 6 The Overpass 2024 Collection instead of The Dust 2 Collection

In a week, when the outcome can be sold from outcome price history

In a bad week +36.22 ₴ a worse week happens one time in ten

In a typical week +49.82 ₴ historical median

If you repeat 10 000 simulations over the outcome odds

Attempts: 10

I already have items Enter their float and the site will pick what to buy

Mix in a collection

Items of this craft's collections of the right rarity fit: The 2021 Mirage Collection and The Dust 2 Collection — and of the mixed-in collection: enter its items with float, your own or ones you want to buy. Its share in the set equals its share in the chances. Your own items are counted in the profit at market price, because you could sell them. The money needed to buy the rest is shown separately.

Third collection Add a third collection to the craft's two and see whether it gets more profitable

All splits of inputs across three collections are tried (1/1/8, 5/3/2 and the rest) and all outcome wears. The best set is shown for each collection. “Find the best” first quickly scores all collections and then calculates exactly the five best by the quick score.

Similar 11 crafts almost like this one

One of three things counts as similar. The same set with a different wear of cheap outcomes: profit and investment differ by less than 0,5%. The same nine items with a different tenth: profit differs by no more than 10%, investment by 20%. The same main half, whose outcomes make the profit, with a different filler: profit lower by no more than a quarter, investment cheaper by no more than a quarter.

Craft 3098341 · The 2021 Mirage Collection + The Sport & Field Collection · profit 70.81₴ · invest 52.49₴
Tec-9 | Tiger Stencil (Minimal Wear), MP5-SD | Savannah Halftone (Field-Tested) instead of MAC-10 | Palm (Field-Tested), Five-SeveN | Orange Peel (Minimal Wear); Souvenir FAMAS | CaliCamo (Field-Tested): float at most 0.164411 instead of 0.161877
Craft 3097410 · The 2021 Mirage Collection + The Boreal Collection · profit 67.32₴ · invest 69.48₴
P90 | Mustard Gas (Minimal Wear), MAC-10 | Acid Hex (Factory New) instead of MAC-10 | Palm (Field-Tested), Five-SeveN | Orange Peel (Minimal Wear); Souvenir FAMAS | CaliCamo (Field-Tested): float at most 0.164411 instead of 0.161877
Craft 3097300 · The 2021 Mirage Collection + The Arabesque Collection · profit 67.12₴ · invest 67.31₴
SCAR-20 | Sirocco Script (Field-Tested), PP-Bizon | Traitor (Minimal Wear) instead of MAC-10 | Palm (Field-Tested), Five-SeveN | Orange Peel (Minimal Wear); Souvenir FAMAS | CaliCamo (Field-Tested): float at most 0.164411 instead of 0.161877
Craft 3098340 · The 2021 Mirage Collection + The Sport & Field Collection · profit 65.09₴ · invest 52.49₴
Tec-9 | Tiger Stencil (Minimal Wear), MP5-SD | Savannah Halftone (Field-Tested) instead of MAC-10 | Palm (Field-Tested), Five-SeveN | Orange Peel (Minimal Wear); Souvenir FAMAS | CaliCamo (Field-Tested): float at most 0.165196 instead of 0.161877
Craft 3098362 · The 2021 Mirage Collection + The Spy Tech Collection · profit 63.52₴ · invest 66.43₴
FAMAS | Corp Defense (Field-Tested), MP7 | Base-2 (Minimal Wear) instead of MAC-10 | Palm (Field-Tested), Five-SeveN | Orange Peel (Minimal Wear); Souvenir FAMAS | CaliCamo (Field-Tested): float at most 0.169610 instead of 0.161877
Craft 3098385 · The 2021 Mirage Collection + The Train 2025 Collection · profit 63.06₴ · invest 60.54₴
CZ75-Auto | Copper Fiber (Minimal Wear), Nova | Rain Station (Factory New) instead of MAC-10 | Palm (Field-Tested), Five-SeveN | Orange Peel (Minimal Wear); Souvenir FAMAS | CaliCamo (Field-Tested): float at most 0.164411 instead of 0.161877
Craft 3098130 · The 2021 Mirage Collection + The Radiant Collection · profit 62.47₴ · invest 60.54₴
FAMAS | Grey Ghost (Minimal Wear), SG 553 | Basket Halftone (Factory New) instead of MAC-10 | Palm (Field-Tested), Five-SeveN | Orange Peel (Minimal Wear); Souvenir FAMAS | CaliCamo (Field-Tested): float at most 0.164411 instead of 0.161877
Craft 3097849 · The 2021 Mirage Collection + The Harlequin Collection · profit 59.58₴ · invest 68.57₴
XM1014 | XoooM (Minimal Wear), XM1014 | XoooM (Factory New) instead of MAC-10 | Palm (Field-Tested), Five-SeveN | Orange Peel (Minimal Wear); Souvenir FAMAS | CaliCamo (Field-Tested): float at most 0.164411 instead of 0.161877
Craft 3098131 · The 2021 Mirage Collection + The Radiant Collection · profit 57.98₴ · invest 60.54₴
FAMAS | Grey Ghost (Minimal Wear), SG 553 | Basket Halftone (Factory New) instead of MAC-10 | Palm (Field-Tested), Five-SeveN | Orange Peel (Minimal Wear); Souvenir FAMAS | CaliCamo (Field-Tested): float at most 0.164411 instead of 0.161877
Craft 3097345 · The 2021 Mirage Collection + The Ascent Collection · profit 57.15₴ · invest 62.28₴
Nova | Turquoise Pour (Minimal Wear), XM1014 | Gum Wall Camo (Factory New) instead of MAC-10 | Palm (Field-Tested), Five-SeveN | Orange Peel (Minimal Wear); Souvenir FAMAS | CaliCamo (Field-Tested): float at most 0.168451 instead of 0.161877
Craft 3097346 · The 2021 Mirage Collection + The Ascent Collection · profit 56.92₴ · invest 65.70₴
XM1014 | Gum Wall Camo (Minimal Wear), XM1014 | Gum Wall Camo (Factory New) instead of MAC-10 | Palm (Field-Tested), Five-SeveN | Orange Peel (Minimal Wear); Souvenir FAMAS | CaliCamo (Field-Tested): float at most 0.164411 instead of 0.161877

How to read these numbers

Fees. Steam adds 15% to the seller's price, so the seller gets the listing price divided by 1,15. Multiplying by 0,85 is wrong.

The outcome can only be sold after a week. Inputs bought on Steam go into the contract right away. The outcome can also be crafted further without waiting, but Sell it is possible only after seven days. Over a week the price may change, so the amount shown remains an estimate at calculation time.

Prices are conservative. Sales are counted at the lower of the listing price and the sale price. Purchases are counted at the cheapest listing, which is a lower bound. You cannot buy ten at that price: each next listing costs more. «Check floats on Steam» shows the real purchase price.

The 2021 Mirage Collection + The Dust 2 Collection

How to build i Ways to build 5 ways: the best first, then from the most accessible. Click a tab and the numbers below are recalculated for that way.

What you get 7 outcomes

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How to build