to all crafts

The Arms Deal 2 Collection + The Overpass 2024 Collection

Restricted → Classified

Average profit +5.84$

Invest 49.60$

Average return 55.44$

ROI +11.8%

Chance of profit 50%

With float: invest at least 118.75 $, profit at most −63.31 $

float premium: at least 66 $

Hard to build: not enough fitting lots for a single contract

Check:

To calculator I have items + a third collection

Buy on Sell on

How to build

Less than 1% of lots fit: not enough for a contract, the price is understated

×1

Nova | Graphite

Factory New

buy 0.0000–0.0060

8.64 $

at 8.64

Steam

×7

AUG | Eye of Zapems

Minimal Wear

buy 0.0700–0.0769

28.14 $

at 4.02

Steam

×2

XM1014 | Monster Melt

Factory New

buy 0.0000–0.0060

12.82 $

at 6.41

Steam

Set · 10 pcs 49.60 $ +5.84 (+11.8%)

Profit on prices without sales: without them at least −4 $

Less than 1% of lots fit: not enough for a contract, the price is understated

×2

Nova | Graphite

Factory New

buy 0.0000–0.0045

17.27 $

at 8.64

Steam

×7

AUG | Eye of Zapems

Minimal Wear

buy 0.0700–0.0751

28.14 $

at 4.02

Steam

×1

XM1014 | Monster Melt

Factory New

buy 0.0000–0.0045

6.41 $

at 6.41

Steam

Set · 10 pcs 51.83 $ +4.18 (+8.1%)

What you get 4 outcomes

Profitable outcome 50%
Losing outcome 50%

in profit

AWP | Crakow!

Factory New

float up to 0.069999

81.60 $ 45.00%

Steam

at a loss

worst

Zeus x27 | Dragon Snore

Factory New

float up to 0.055999

44.60 $ 45.00%

Steam

at a loss

P90 | Cold Blooded

Factory New

float up to 0.005599

46.00 $ 5.00%

Steam

in profit

best

USP-S | Serum

Factory New

float up to 0.017499

93.31 $ 5.00%

price without deals

Steam

Craft variants

Variant 1 this one The Arms Deal 2 Collection + The Overpass 2024 Collection

Variant 2 The Shadow Collection instead of The Arms Deal 2 Collection Variant 3 The Horizon Collection instead of The Overpass 2024 Collection Variant 4 The Radiant Collection instead of The Arms Deal 2 Collection Variant 5 The Spy Tech Collection instead of The Arms Deal 2 Collection Variant 6 The Revolution Collection instead of The Arms Deal 2 Collection

In a week, when the outcome can be sold from outcome price history

In a bad week −4.26 $ a worse week happens one time in ten

In a typical week +2.81 $ historical median

If you repeat 10 000 simulations over the outcome odds

Attempts: 10

I already have items Enter their float and the site will pick what to buy

Mix in a collection

Items of this craft's collections of the right rarity fit: The Arms Deal 2 Collection and The Overpass 2024 Collection — and of the mixed-in collection: enter its items with float, your own or ones you want to buy. Its share in the set equals its share in the chances. Your own items are counted in the profit at market price, because you could sell them. The money needed to buy the rest is shown separately.

Third collection Add a third collection to the craft's two and see whether it gets more profitable

All splits of inputs across three collections are tried (1/1/8, 5/3/2 and the rest) and all outcome wears. The best set is shown for each collection. “Find the best” first quickly scores all collections and then calculates exactly the five best by the quick score.

Similar 1 craft almost like this one

One of three things counts as similar. The same set with a different wear of cheap outcomes: profit and investment differ by less than 0,5%. The same nine items with a different tenth: profit differs by no more than 10%, investment by 20%. The same main half, whose outcomes make the profit, with a different filler: profit lower by no more than a quarter, investment cheaper by no more than a quarter.

Craft 3098732 · The 2021 Train Collection + The Overpass 2024 Collection · profit 5.60$ · invest 50.77$
sells slowly rare inputs

Nova | Red Quartz (Factory New) instead of Nova | Graphite (Factory New); AUG | Eye of Zapems (Minimal Wear): float at most 0.079683 instead of 0.076916; XM1014 | Monster Melt (Factory New): float at most 0.008473 instead of 0.006051

How to read these numbers

Fees. Steam adds 15% to the seller's price, so the seller gets the listing price divided by 1,15. Multiplying by 0,85 is wrong.

The outcome can only be sold after a week. Inputs bought on Steam go into the contract right away. The outcome can also be crafted further without waiting, but Sell it is possible only after seven days. Over a week the price may change, so the amount shown remains an estimate at calculation time.

Prices are conservative. Sales are counted at the lower of the listing price and the sale price. Purchases are counted at the cheapest listing, which is a lower bound. You cannot buy ten at that price: each next listing costs more. «Check floats on Steam» shows the real purchase price.

The Arms Deal 2 Collection + The Overpass 2024 Collection

How to build i Ways to build 3 ways: the best first, then from the most accessible. Click a tab and the numbers below are recalculated for that way.

What you get 4 outcomes

More

How to build