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The Breakout Collection + The Vanguard Collection

Mil-Spec Grade → Restricted

Average profit +3 029.57₸

Invest 3 985.95₸

Average return 7 015.52₸

ROI +76.0%

Chance of profit 25%

With float: invest at least 9 211.78 ₸, profit at most −2 196.26 ₸

float premium: at least 5 348 ₸

Hard to build: not enough fitting lots for a single contract

A more profitable set was dropped: +5 750.84 ₸ по средним

Check:

To calculator I have items + a third collection

Buy on Sell on

How to build

Less than 1% of lots fit: not enough for a contract, the price is understated

×5

Negev | Desert-Strike

Factory New

buy 0.0000–0.0043

1 297.35 ₸

at 259.47

Steam

×3

MAG-7 | Firestarter

Field-Tested

buy 0.1500–0.1643

1 310.84 ₸

at 436.95

Steam

×2

UMP-45 | Delusion

Minimal Wear

buy 0.0700–0.0749

1 377.76 ₸

at 688.88

Steam

Set · 10 pcs 3 985.95 ₸ +3 029.57 (+76.0%)

Less than 1% of lots fit: not enough for a contract, the price is understated

×3

Negev | Desert-Strike

Factory New

buy 0.0000–0.0058

778.41 ₸

at 259.47

Steam

×4

MP9 | Dart

Minimal Wear

buy 0.0700–0.0767

2 184.57 ₸

at 546.14

Steam

×3

UMP-45 | Delusion

Minimal Wear

buy 0.0700–0.0767

2 066.64 ₸

at 688.88

Steam

Set · 10 pcs 5 029.62 ₸ +4 331.35 (+86.1%)

Less than 1% of lots fit: not enough for a contract, the price is understated

×1

P2000 | Ivory

Minimal Wear

buy 0.0700–0.0758

228.17 ₸

at 228.17

Steam

×3

Negev | Desert-Strike

Factory New

buy 0.0000–0.0051

778.41 ₸

at 259.47

Steam

×4

MP9 | Dart

Minimal Wear

buy 0.0700–0.0758

2 184.57 ₸

at 546.14

Steam

×2

UMP-45 | Delusion

Minimal Wear

buy 0.0700–0.0758

1 377.76 ₸

at 688.88

Steam

Set · 10 pcs 4 568.91 ₸ +3 619.36 (+79.2%)

Less than 1% of lots fit: not enough for a contract, the price is understated

×1

Negev | Desert-Strike

Factory New

buy 0.0000–0.0047

259.47 ₸

at 259.47

Steam

×2

MAG-7 | Firestarter

Field-Tested

buy 0.1500–0.1657

873.89 ₸

at 436.95

Steam

×7

UMP-45 | Delusion

Minimal Wear

buy 0.0700–0.0754

4 822.15 ₸

at 688.88

Steam

Set · 10 pcs 5 955.52 ₸ +5 750.84 (+96.6%)

What you get 8 outcomes

Profitable outcome 25%
Losing outcome 75%

at a loss

PP-Bizon | Osiris

Factory New

float up to 0.043749

1 406.87 ₸ 12.50%

Steam

at a loss

worst

CZ75-Auto | Tigris

Minimal Wear

float up to 0.087499

1 130.42 ₸ 12.50%

Steam

at a loss

Nova | Koi

Factory New

float up to 0.026249

1 409.82 ₸ 12.50%

Steam

at a loss

P250 | Supernova

Factory New

float up to 0.034999

1 352.08 ₸ 12.50%

Steam

at a loss

Glock-18 | Grinder

Factory New

float up to 0.040124

4 170.86 ₸ 12.50%

Steam

in profit

best

M4A4 | Griffin

Factory New

float up to 0.069999

40 726.46 ₸ 12.50%

Steam

in profit

M4A1-S | Basilisk

Factory New

float up to 0.059499

13 116.02 ₸ 12.50%

Steam

at a loss

Sawed-Off | Highwayman

Minimal Wear

float up to 0.087499

1 230.43 ₸ 12.50%

Steam

Craft variants

Variant 1 this one The Breakout Collection + The Vanguard Collection

Variant 2 The Train 2025 Collection instead of The Vanguard Collection Variant 3 only The Vanguard Collection Variant 4 The Wildfire Collection instead of The Breakout Collection Variant 5 The Winter Offensive Collection instead of The Breakout Collection Variant 6 The eSports 2013 Collection instead of The Breakout Collection

In a week, when the outcome can be sold from outcome price history

In a bad week +1 594.84 ₸ a worse week happens one time in ten

In a typical week +2 387.83 ₸ historical median

If you repeat 10 000 simulations over the outcome odds

Attempts: 10

I already have items Enter their float and the site will pick what to buy

Mix in a collection

Items of this craft's collections of the right rarity fit: The Breakout Collection and The Vanguard Collection — and of the mixed-in collection: enter its items with float, your own or ones you want to buy. Its share in the set equals its share in the chances. Your own items are counted in the profit at market price, because you could sell them. The money needed to buy the rest is shown separately.

Third collection Add a third collection to the craft's two and see whether it gets more profitable

All splits of inputs across three collections are tried (1/1/8, 5/3/2 and the rest) and all outcome wears. The best set is shown for each collection. “Find the best” first quickly scores all collections and then calculates exactly the five best by the quick score.

Similar 16 crafts almost like this one

One of three things counts as similar. The same set with a different wear of cheap outcomes: profit and investment differ by less than 0,5%. The same nine items with a different tenth: profit differs by no more than 10%, investment by 20%. The same main half, whose outcomes make the profit, with a different filler: profit lower by no more than a quarter, investment cheaper by no more than a quarter.

Craft 3107877 · The Breakout Collection + The Vanguard Collection · profit 3 840.24₸ · invest 4 667.29₸
sells slowly rare inputs

Sawed-Off | Highwayman: Factory New instead of Minimal Wear; CZ75-Auto | Tigris: Factory New instead of Minimal Wear; Negev | Desert-Strike (Factory New): 4 pcs instead of 5; Negev | Desert-Strike (Factory New): float at most 0.003674 instead of 0.004365; MAG-7 | Firestarter (Field-Tested): 2 pcs instead of 3; MAG-7 | Firestarter (Field-Tested): float at most 0.162072 instead of 0.164343; UMP-45 | Delusion (Minimal Wear): 4 pcs instead of 2; UMP-45 | Delusion (Minimal Wear): float at most 0.074199 instead of 0.074988
Craft 3125753 · The Harlequin Collection + The Vanguard Collection · profit 3 753.89₸ · invest 4 352.16₸
rare inputs

UMP-45 | Warm Blooded (Minimal Wear), Zeus x27 | Earth Mandala (Factory New) instead of Negev | Desert-Strike (Factory New); MAG-7 | Firestarter (Field-Tested): 1 pcs instead of 3; MAG-7 | Firestarter (Field-Tested): float at most 0.163348 instead of 0.164343; UMP-45 | Delusion (Minimal Wear): 4 pcs instead of 2; UMP-45 | Delusion (Minimal Wear): float at most 0.074642 instead of 0.074988
Craft 3129897 · The Overpass 2024 Collection + The Vanguard Collection · profit 3 656.24₸ · invest 3 943.62₸
rare inputs

Glock-18 | Teal Graf (Factory New) instead of Negev | Desert-Strike (Factory New); MAG-7 | Firestarter (Field-Tested): float at most 0.162624 instead of 0.164343; UMP-45 | Delusion (Minimal Wear): float at most 0.074391 instead of 0.074988
Craft 3129898 · The Overpass 2024 Collection + The Vanguard Collection · profit 3 452.05₸ · invest 3 943.62₸
rare inputs

Glock-18 | Teal Graf (Factory New) instead of Negev | Desert-Strike (Factory New)
Craft 3108984 · The CS20 Collection + The Vanguard Collection · profit 3 434.71₸ · invest 4 073.19₸
rare inputs

SCAR-20 | Assault (Factory New) instead of Negev | Desert-Strike (Factory New); Sawed-Off | Highwayman: Factory New instead of Minimal Wear; MAG-7 | Firestarter (Field-Tested): 2 pcs instead of 3; MAG-7 | Firestarter (Field-Tested): float at most 0.166624 instead of 0.164343; UMP-45 | Delusion (Minimal Wear): 3 pcs instead of 2; UMP-45 | Delusion (Minimal Wear): float at most 0.075782 instead of 0.074988
Craft 3108985 · The CS20 Collection + The Vanguard Collection · profit 3 403.32₸ · invest 3 821.26₸
rare inputs

SCAR-20 | Assault (Factory New) instead of Negev | Desert-Strike (Factory New); MAG-7 | Firestarter (Field-Tested): float at most 0.165057 instead of 0.164343; UMP-45 | Delusion (Minimal Wear): float at most 0.075237 instead of 0.074988
Craft 3123527 · The Gamma Collection + The Vanguard Collection · profit 3 337.60₸ · invest 3 819.34₸
rare inputs

Nova | Exo (Factory New) instead of Negev | Desert-Strike (Factory New)
Craft 3129896 · The Overpass 2024 Collection + The Vanguard Collection · profit 3 306.27₸ · invest 3 505.74₸
rare inputs

Glock-18 | Teal Graf (Factory New) instead of Negev | Desert-Strike (Factory New); MAG-7 | Firestarter (Field-Tested): float at most 0.163623 instead of 0.164343; UMP-45 | Delusion (Minimal Wear): 1 pcs instead of 2; UMP-45 | Delusion (Minimal Wear): float at most 0.074738 instead of 0.074988
Craft 3133648 · The Snakebite Collection + The Vanguard Collection · profit 3 285.23₸ · invest 3 940.12₸
rare inputs

SG 553 | Heavy Metal (Minimal Wear), UMP-45 | Oscillator (Factory New) instead of Negev | Desert-Strike (Factory New); MAG-7 | Firestarter (Field-Tested): 2 pcs instead of 3; MAG-7 | Firestarter (Field-Tested): float at most 0.161747 instead of 0.164343; UMP-45 | Delusion (Minimal Wear): 3 pcs instead of 2; UMP-45 | Delusion (Minimal Wear): float at most 0.074086 instead of 0.074988
Craft 3132671 · The Revolver Case Collection + The Vanguard Collection · profit 3 250.26₸ · invest 3 901.55₸
rare inputs

SCAR-20 | Outbreak (Factory New) instead of Negev | Desert-Strike (Factory New)
Craft 3130399 · The Phoenix Collection + The Vanguard Collection · profit 3 193.04₸ · invest 4 239.25₸
rare inputs

UMP-45 | Corporal (Minimal Wear) instead of Negev | Desert-Strike (Factory New); MAG-7 | Firestarter (Field-Tested): 2 pcs instead of 3; MAG-7 | Firestarter (Field-Tested): float at most 0.169572 instead of 0.164343; UMP-45 | Delusion (Minimal Wear): 3 pcs instead of 2; UMP-45 | Delusion (Minimal Wear): float at most 0.076807 instead of 0.074988
Craft 3133955 · The Spectrum Collection + The Vanguard Collection · profit 3 167.94₸ · invest 3 952.30₸
rare inputs

Sawed-Off | Zander (Minimal Wear), PP-Bizon | Jungle Slipstream (Factory New) instead of Negev | Desert-Strike (Factory New); MAG-7 | Firestarter (Field-Tested): float at most 0.162899 instead of 0.164343; UMP-45 | Delusion (Minimal Wear): float at most 0.074486 instead of 0.074988
Craft 3133646 · The Snakebite Collection + The Vanguard Collection · profit 3 163.02₸ · invest 3 898.28₸
rare inputs

SG 553 | Heavy Metal (Minimal Wear), UMP-45 | Oscillator (Factory New) instead of Negev | Desert-Strike (Factory New); MAG-7 | Firestarter (Field-Tested): 2 pcs instead of 3; MAG-7 | Firestarter (Field-Tested): float at most 0.164991 instead of 0.164343; UMP-45 | Delusion (Minimal Wear): 3 pcs instead of 2; UMP-45 | Delusion (Minimal Wear): float at most 0.075214 instead of 0.074988
Craft 3133954 · The Spectrum Collection + The Vanguard Collection · profit 3 137.42₸ · invest 4 193.80₸
sells slowly rare inputs

Sawed-Off | Zander (Minimal Wear), PP-Bizon | Jungle Slipstream (Factory New) instead of Negev | Desert-Strike (Factory New); Sawed-Off | Highwayman: Factory New instead of Minimal Wear; MAG-7 | Firestarter (Field-Tested): 2 pcs instead of 3; MAG-7 | Firestarter (Field-Tested): float at most 0.162568 instead of 0.164343; UMP-45 | Delusion (Minimal Wear): 3 pcs instead of 2; UMP-45 | Delusion (Minimal Wear): float at most 0.074371 instead of 0.074988
Craft 3131267 · The Prisma Collection + The Vanguard Collection · profit 3 061.97₸ · invest 4 221.33₸
rare inputs

P90 | Off World (Minimal Wear), MP7 | Mischief (Field-Tested) instead of Negev | Desert-Strike (Factory New); MAG-7 | Firestarter (Field-Tested): 1 pcs instead of 3; MAG-7 | Firestarter (Field-Tested): float at most 0.162727 instead of 0.164343; UMP-45 | Delusion (Minimal Wear): 4 pcs instead of 2; UMP-45 | Delusion (Minimal Wear): float at most 0.074427 instead of 0.074988
Craft 3095420 · The 2018 Inferno Collection + The Vanguard Collection · profit 3 031.32₸ · invest 4 348.93₸
rare inputs pricier variants exist

Sawed-Off | Brake Light (Factory New) instead of Negev | Desert-Strike (Factory New); MAG-7 | Firestarter (Field-Tested): 2 pcs instead of 3; MAG-7 | Firestarter (Field-Tested): float at most 0.179489 instead of 0.164343; UMP-45 | Delusion (Minimal Wear): float at most 0.091827 instead of 0.074988

How to read these numbers

Fees. Steam adds 15% to the seller's price, so the seller gets the listing price divided by 1,15. Multiplying by 0,85 is wrong.

The outcome can only be sold after a week. Inputs bought on Steam go into the contract right away. The outcome can also be crafted further without waiting, but Sell it is possible only after seven days. Over a week the price may change, so the amount shown remains an estimate at calculation time.

Prices are conservative. Sales are counted at the lower of the listing price and the sale price. Purchases are counted at the cheapest listing, which is a lower bound. You cannot buy ten at that price: each next listing costs more. «Check floats on Steam» shows the real purchase price.

The Breakout Collection + The Vanguard Collection

How to build i Ways to build 5 ways: the best first, then from the most accessible. Click a tab and the numbers below are recalculated for that way.

What you get 8 outcomes

More

How to build