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The Chroma 3 Collection + The Vanguard Collection

Classified → Covert

Average profit +2.38$

Invest 120.99$

Average return 123.37$

ROI +2.0%

Chance of profit 90%

With float: invest 130.50 $, profit −7.13 $

float premium: none: float doesn't matter

To build: medium

Check:

To calculator I have items + a third collection

Buy on Sell on

How to build

100% of lots fit ≈ enough for 3 contracts · medium (by listings)

×9

AUG | Fleet Flock

Well-Worn

any lot

112.31 $

at 12.48

Steam

×1

SCAR-20 | Cardiac

Well-Worn

any lot

8.68 $

at 8.68

Steam

Set · 10 pcs 120.99 $ +2.38 (+2.0%)

0% of lots fit: not enough for a contract, the price is understated

×7

AUG | Fleet Flock

Battle-Scarred

buy 0.4500–0.4846

86.14 $

at 12.31

Steam

×2

AUG | Fleet Flock

Well-Worn

buy 0.3800–0.3844

24.96 $

at 12.48

Steam

×1

SCAR-20 | Cardiac

Well-Worn

buy 0.3800–0.3844

8.68 $

at 8.68

Steam

Set · 10 pcs 119.78 $ +3.59 (+3.0%)

0% of lots fit: not enough for a contract, the price is understated

×7

AUG | Fleet Flock

Battle-Scarred

buy 0.4500–0.4846

86.14 $

at 12.31

Steam

×1

AUG | Fleet Flock

Well-Worn

buy 0.3800–0.3844

12.48 $

at 12.48

Steam

×2

SCAR-20 | Cardiac

Well-Worn

buy 0.3800–0.3844

17.36 $

at 8.68

Steam

Set · 10 pcs 115.98 $ +2.14 (+1.9%)

What you get 4 outcomes

Profitable outcome 45%
Losing outcome 10%
About break-even 45%

in profit

best

PP-Bizon | Judgement of Anubis

Field-Tested

float up to 0.225000

153.90 $ 45.00%

Steam

about break-even

M4A1-S | Chantico's Fire

Well-Worn

float up to 0.445500

141.93 $ 45.00%

Steam

at a loss

worst

AK-47 | Wasteland Rebel

Field-Tested

float up to 0.342500

86.80 $ 5.00%

Steam

at a loss

P2000 | Fire Elemental

Field-Tested

float up to 0.270000

88.26 $ 5.00%

Steam

Craft variants

Variant 1 this one The Chroma 3 Collection + The Vanguard Collection

Variant 2 The Fever Collection instead of The Vanguard Collection Variant 3 The Dead Hand Collection instead of The Vanguard Collection Variant 4 The Prisma 2 Collection instead of The Vanguard Collection Variant 5 The Gallery Collection instead of The Vanguard Collection Variant 6 The Dreams & Nightmares Collection instead of The Vanguard Collection

In a week, when the outcome can be sold from outcome price history

In a bad week −13.26 $ a worse week happens one time in ten

In a typical week −2.87 $ historical median

If you repeat 10 000 simulations over the outcome odds

Attempts: 10

I already have items Enter their float and the site will pick what to buy

Mix in a collection

Items of this craft's collections of the right rarity fit: The Chroma 3 Collection and The Vanguard Collection — and of the mixed-in collection: enter its items with float, your own or ones you want to buy. Its share in the set equals its share in the chances. Your own items are counted in the profit at market price, because you could sell them. The money needed to buy the rest is shown separately.

Third collection Add a third collection to the craft's two and see whether it gets more profitable

All splits of inputs across three collections are tried (1/1/8, 5/3/2 and the rest) and all outcome wears. The best set is shown for each collection. “Find the best” first quickly scores all collections and then calculates exactly the five best by the quick score.

Similar 3 crafts almost like this one

One of three things counts as similar. The same set with a different wear of cheap outcomes: profit and investment differ by less than 0,5%. The same nine items with a different tenth: profit differs by no more than 10%, investment by 20%. The same main half, whose outcomes make the profit, with a different filler: profit lower by no more than a quarter, investment cheaper by no more than a quarter.

Craft 3111156 · The Chroma 3 Collection + The Danger Zone Collection · profit 2.51$ · invest 117.32$
sells slowly rare inputs

MP5-SD | Phosphor (Battle-Scarred) instead of SCAR-20 | Cardiac (Well-Worn); M4A1-S | Chantico's Fire: Battle-Scarred instead of Well-Worn
Craft 3111724 · The Chroma 3 Collection + The Kilowatt Collection · profit 2.49$ · invest 116.18$
sells slowly rare inputs

Zeus x27 | Olympus (Field-Tested) instead of SCAR-20 | Cardiac (Well-Worn); AUG | Fleet Flock (Well-Worn): float at most 0.444842 instead of 0.450000
Craft 3111101 · The Chroma 3 Collection + The Clutch Collection · profit 2.32$ · invest 116.42$
sells slowly rare inputs

USP-S | Cortex (Field-Tested) instead of SCAR-20 | Cardiac (Well-Worn)

How to read these numbers

Fees. Steam adds 15% to the seller's price, so the seller gets the listing price divided by 1,15. Multiplying by 0,85 is wrong.

The outcome can only be sold after a week. Inputs bought on Steam go into the contract right away. The outcome can also be crafted further without waiting, but Sell it is possible only after seven days. Over a week the price may change, so the amount shown remains an estimate at calculation time.

Prices are conservative. Sales are counted at the lower of the listing price and the sale price. Purchases are counted at the cheapest listing, which is a lower bound. You cannot buy ten at that price: each next listing costs more. «Check floats on Steam» shows the real purchase price.

The Chroma 3 Collection + The Vanguard Collection

How to build i Ways to build 5 ways: the best first, then from the most accessible. Click a tab and the numbers below are recalculated for that way.

What you get 4 outcomes

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How to build