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The Dreams & Nightmares Collection + The Fever Collection

Classified → Covert

Prices by float: ночной проверки нет, числа ниже — оценка с учётом float

Average profit at most · with float −73.69$

Invest at least 184.79$

Average return 111.10$

ROI −39.9%

Chance of profit 0%

With float: invest at least 184.79 $, profit at most −73.69 $

float premium: at least 102 $

Hard to build: not enough fitting lots for a single contract

A more profitable set was dropped: +38.10 $ по средним

Check:

To calculator I have items + a third collection

Buy on Sell on

How to build

0% of lots fit: not enough for a contract, the price is understated

×2

Dual Berettas | Melondrama

Minimal Wear

buy 0.0700–0.0770

15.22 $

at 7.61

Steam

×1

MP7 | Abyssal Apparition

Factory New

buy 0.0000–0.0062

15.17 $

at 15.17

Steam

×7

UMP-45 | K.O. Factory

Minimal Wear

buy 0.0700–0.0770

46.43 $

at 6.63

Steam

Set · 10 pcs 76.82 $ +34.28 (+44.6%)

0% of lots fit: not enough for a contract, the price is understated

×1

Dual Berettas | Melondrama

Minimal Wear

buy 0.0700–0.0770

7.61 $

at 7.61

Steam

×1

MP7 | Abyssal Apparition

Factory New

buy 0.0000–0.0062

15.17 $

at 15.17

Steam

×8

UMP-45 | K.O. Factory

Minimal Wear

buy 0.0700–0.0770

53.06 $

at 6.63

Steam

Set · 10 pcs 75.84 $ +36.19 (+47.7%)

0% of lots fit: not enough for a contract, the price is understated

×3

Dual Berettas | Melondrama

Minimal Wear

buy 0.0700–0.0770

22.82 $

at 7.61

Steam

×1

MP7 | Abyssal Apparition

Factory New

buy 0.0000–0.0062

15.17 $

at 15.17

Steam

×6

UMP-45 | K.O. Factory

Minimal Wear

buy 0.0700–0.0770

39.80 $

at 6.63

Steam

Set · 10 pcs 77.79 $ +32.37 (+41.6%)

0% of lots fit: not enough for a contract, the price is understated

×4

Dual Berettas | Melondrama

Minimal Wear

buy 0.0700–0.0770

30.43 $

at 7.61

Steam

×1

MP7 | Abyssal Apparition

Factory New

buy 0.0000–0.0062

15.17 $

at 15.17

Steam

×5

UMP-45 | K.O. Factory

Minimal Wear

buy 0.0700–0.0770

33.17 $

at 6.63

Steam

Set · 10 pcs 78.77 $ +30.46 (+38.7%)

What you get 4 outcomes

Profitable outcome 65%
Losing outcome 35%

in profit

best

AWP | Printstream

Factory New

float up to 0.069999

178.09 $ 35.00%

Steam

at a loss

worst

FAMAS | Bad Trip

Factory New

float up to 0.069999

83.89 $ 35.00%

Steam

in profit

AK-47 | Nightwish

Factory New

float up to 0.069999

117.46 $ 15.00%

Steam

in profit

MP9 | Starlight Protector

Factory New

float up to 0.055999

123.02 $ 15.00%

Steam

Craft variants

Variant 1 this one The Dreams & Nightmares Collection + The Fever Collection

Variant 2 The Shadow Collection instead of The Dreams & Nightmares Collection Variant 3 The Spy Tech Collection instead of The Dreams & Nightmares Collection Variant 4 The Operation Riptide Collection instead of The Dreams & Nightmares Collection Variant 5 The Horizon Collection instead of The Fever Collection Variant 6 The Overpass 2024 Collection instead of The Dreams & Nightmares Collection

In a week, when the outcome can be sold from outcome price history

In a bad week +20.48 $ a worse week happens one time in ten

In a typical week +29.57 $ historical median

If you repeat 10 000 simulations over the outcome odds

Attempts: 10

I already have items Enter their float and the site will pick what to buy

Mix in a collection

Items of this craft's collections of the right rarity fit: The Dreams & Nightmares Collection and The Fever Collection — and of the mixed-in collection: enter its items with float, your own or ones you want to buy. Its share in the set equals its share in the chances. Your own items are counted in the profit at market price, because you could sell them. The money needed to buy the rest is shown separately.

Third collection Add a third collection to the craft's two and see whether it gets more profitable

All splits of inputs across three collections are tried (1/1/8, 5/3/2 and the rest) and all outcome wears. The best set is shown for each collection. “Find the best” first quickly scores all collections and then calculates exactly the five best by the quick score.

Similar 6 crafts almost like this one

One of three things counts as similar. The same set with a different wear of cheap outcomes: profit and investment differ by less than 0,5%. The same nine items with a different tenth: profit differs by no more than 10%, investment by 20%. The same main half, whose outcomes make the profit, with a different filler: profit lower by no more than a quarter, investment cheaper by no more than a quarter.

Craft 3119603 · The Fever Collection + The Gamma Collection · profit 45.23$ · invest 79.54$
sells slowly rare inputs

UMP-45 | K.O. Factory (Field-Tested), SCAR-20 | Bloodsport (Factory New) instead of Dual Berettas | Melondrama (Minimal Wear), MP7 | Abyssal Apparition (Factory New); UMP-45 | K.O. Factory (Minimal Wear): float at most 0.074359 instead of 0.077088
Craft 3108250 · The CS20 Collection + The Fever Collection · profit 38.92$ · invest 71.67$
sells slowly rare inputs

P90 | Nostalgia (Factory New), UMP-45 | K.O. Factory (Field-Tested) instead of Dual Berettas | Melondrama (Minimal Wear), MP7 | Abyssal Apparition (Factory New); UMP-45 | K.O. Factory (Minimal Wear): float at most 0.074634 instead of 0.077088
Craft 3119516 · The Fever Collection + The Fracture Collection · profit 37.52$ · invest 65.51$
sells slowly

UMP-45 | K.O. Factory (Field-Tested), XM1014 | Entombed (Factory New) instead of Dual Berettas | Melondrama (Minimal Wear), MP7 | Abyssal Apparition (Factory New); UMP-45 | K.O. Factory (Minimal Wear): float at most 0.074485 instead of 0.077088
Craft 3119984 · The Fever Collection + The Recoil Collection · profit 37.28$ · invest 70.28$
sells slowly

Sawed-Off | Kiss♥Love (Minimal Wear), P250 | Visions (Factory New) instead of Dual Berettas | Melondrama (Minimal Wear), MP7 | Abyssal Apparition (Factory New); UMP-45 | K.O. Factory (Minimal Wear): 8 pcs instead of 7; UMP-45 | K.O. Factory (Minimal Wear): float at most 0.076829 instead of 0.077088
Craft 3119905 · The Fever Collection + The Prisma 2 Collection · profit 36.87$ · invest 77.02$
sells slowly rare inputs

UMP-45 | K.O. Factory (Factory New), MAG-7 | Justice (Minimal Wear) instead of Dual Berettas | Melondrama (Minimal Wear), MP7 | Abyssal Apparition (Factory New)
Craft 3120011 · The Fever Collection + The Revolution Collection · profit 35.35$ · invest 67.06$
sells slowly rare inputs

P2000 | Wicked Sick (Minimal Wear), AWP | Duality (Factory New) instead of Dual Berettas | Melondrama (Minimal Wear), MP7 | Abyssal Apparition (Factory New); UMP-45 | K.O. Factory (Minimal Wear): 6 pcs instead of 7; UMP-45 | K.O. Factory (Minimal Wear): float at most 0.076934 instead of 0.077088

How to read these numbers

Fees. Steam adds 15% to the seller's price, so the seller gets the listing price divided by 1,15. Multiplying by 0,85 is wrong.

The outcome can only be sold after a week. Inputs bought on Steam go into the contract right away. The outcome can also be crafted further without waiting, but Sell it is possible only after seven days. Over a week the price may change, so the amount shown remains an estimate at calculation time.

Prices are conservative. Sales are counted at the lower of the listing price and the sale price. Purchases are counted at the cheapest listing, which is a lower bound. You cannot buy ten at that price: each next listing costs more. «Check floats on Steam» shows the real purchase price.

The Dreams & Nightmares Collection + The Fever Collection

How to build i Ways to build 5 ways: the best first, then from the most accessible. Click a tab and the numbers below are recalculated for that way.

What you get 4 outcomes

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How to build