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The Dreams & Nightmares Collection + The Horizon Collection

Classified → Covert

Prices by float: ночной проверки нет, числа ниже — оценка с учётом float

Average profit at most · with float −3 996.58₴

Invest at least 10 730.22₴

Average return 6 733.64₴

ROI −37.2%

Chance of profit 0%

With float: invest at least 10 730.22 ₴, profit at most −3 996.58 ₴

float premium: at least 6 024 ₴

Hard to build: not enough fitting lots for a single contract

A more profitable set was dropped: +2 789.63 ₴ по средним

Check:

To calculator I have items + a third collection

Buy on Sell on

How to build

Less than 1% of lots fit: not enough for a contract, the price is understated

×3

Dual Berettas | Melondrama

Minimal Wear

buy 0.0700–0.0747

1 029.93 ₴

at 343.31

Steam

×2

MP7 | Abyssal Apparition

Factory New

buy 0.0000–0.0041

1 368.87 ₴

at 684.43

Steam

×5

Sawed-Off | Devourer

Minimal Wear

buy 0.0700–0.0747

2 177.07 ₴

at 435.41

Steam

Set · 10 pcs 4 575.87 ₴ +2 157.77 (+47.2%)

Less than 1% of lots fit: not enough for a contract, the price is understated

×5

Dual Berettas | Melondrama

Minimal Wear

buy 0.0700–0.0783

1 716.55 ₴

at 343.31

Steam

×2

MP7 | Abyssal Apparition

Factory New

buy 0.0000–0.0072

1 368.87 ₴

at 684.43

Steam

×3

Sawed-Off | Devourer

Minimal Wear

buy 0.0700–0.0783

1 306.24 ₴

at 435.41

Steam

Set · 10 pcs 4 391.66 ₴ +1 535.74 (+35.0%)

Profit on prices without sales: without them at least −768 ₴

≈2% of lots fit: not enough for a contract, the price is understated

×2

MP7 | Abyssal Apparition

Factory New

buy 0.0000–0.0066

1 368.87 ₴

at 684.43

Steam

×7

Sawed-Off | Devourer

Minimal Wear

buy 0.0700–0.0775

3 047.90 ₴

at 435.41

Steam

×1

Sawed-Off | Devourer

Factory New

buy 0.0000–0.0066

912.07 ₴

at 912.07

Steam

Set · 10 pcs 5 328.84 ₴ +2 614.15 (+49.1%)

Profit on prices without sales: without them at least −1 015 ₴

≈2% of lots fit: not enough for a contract, the price is understated

×1

MP7 | Abyssal Apparition

Factory New

buy 0.0000–0.0064

684.43 ₴

at 684.43

Steam

×7

Sawed-Off | Devourer

Minimal Wear

buy 0.0700–0.0774

3 047.90 ₴

at 435.41

Steam

×2

Sawed-Off | Devourer

Factory New

buy 0.0000–0.0064

1 824.13 ₴

at 912.07

Steam

Set · 10 pcs 5 556.47 ₴ +2 789.63 (+50.2%)

Less than 1% of lots fit: not enough for a contract, the price is understated

×4

Dual Berettas | Melondrama

Minimal Wear

buy 0.0700–0.0765

1 373.24 ₴

at 343.31

Steam

×2

MP7 | Abyssal Apparition

Factory New

buy 0.0000–0.0056

1 368.87 ₴

at 684.43

Steam

×4

Sawed-Off | Devourer

Minimal Wear

buy 0.0700–0.0765

1 741.66 ₴

at 435.41

Steam

Set · 10 pcs 4 483.77 ₴ +1 846.76 (+41.2%)

What you get 4 outcomes

Profitable outcome 75%
Losing outcome 0%
About break-even 25%

about break-even

worst

AK-47 | Nightwish

Factory New

float up to 0.069999

5 300.23 ₴ 25.00%

Steam

in profit

MP9 | Starlight Protector

Factory New

float up to 0.055999

5 551.32 ₴ 25.00%

Steam

in profit

best

AK-47 | Neon Rider

Factory New

float up to 0.055999

10 400.54 ₴ 25.00%

Steam

in profit

Desert Eagle | Code Red

Factory New

float up to 0.069999

9 722.65 ₴ 25.00%

price without deals

Steam

Craft variants

Variant 1 this one The Dreams & Nightmares Collection + The Horizon Collection

Variant 2 The Recoil Collection instead of The Dreams & Nightmares Collection Variant 3 The Revolution Collection instead of The Dreams & Nightmares Collection Variant 4 The Spy Tech Collection instead of The Horizon Collection Variant 5 The Operation Riptide Collection instead of The Horizon Collection Variant 6 The Fever Collection instead of The Horizon Collection

In a week, when the outcome can be sold from outcome price history

In a bad week +1 304.30 ₴ a worse week happens one time in ten

In a typical week +1 932.90 ₴ historical median

If you repeat 10 000 simulations over the outcome odds

Attempts: 10

I already have items Enter their float and the site will pick what to buy

Mix in a collection

Items of this craft's collections of the right rarity fit: The Dreams & Nightmares Collection and The Horizon Collection — and of the mixed-in collection: enter its items with float, your own or ones you want to buy. Its share in the set equals its share in the chances. Your own items are counted in the profit at market price, because you could sell them. The money needed to buy the rest is shown separately.

Third collection Add a third collection to the craft's two and see whether it gets more profitable

All splits of inputs across three collections are tried (1/1/8, 5/3/2 and the rest) and all outcome wears. The best set is shown for each collection. “Find the best” first quickly scores all collections and then calculates exactly the five best by the quick score.

Similar 3 crafts almost like this one

One of three things counts as similar. The same set with a different wear of cheap outcomes: profit and investment differ by less than 0,5%. The same nine items with a different tenth: profit differs by no more than 10%, investment by 20%. The same main half, whose outcomes make the profit, with a different filler: profit lower by no more than a quarter, investment cheaper by no more than a quarter.

Craft 3120554 · The Fracture Collection + The Horizon Collection · profit 2 197.45₴ · invest 3 520.34₴
sells slowly rare inputs

Glock-18 | Vogue (Minimal Wear), XM1014 | Entombed (Factory New), Sawed-Off | Devourer (Field-Tested) instead of Dual Berettas | Melondrama (Minimal Wear), MP7 | Abyssal Apparition (Factory New); Sawed-Off | Devourer (Minimal Wear): 4 pcs instead of 5; Sawed-Off | Devourer (Minimal Wear): float at most 0.074086 instead of 0.074772
Craft 3126129 · The Horizon Collection + The Recoil Collection · profit 2 181.47₴ · invest 4 047.55₴
sells slowly rare inputs

Sawed-Off | Kiss♥Love (Minimal Wear), P250 | Visions (Factory New) instead of Dual Berettas | Melondrama (Minimal Wear), MP7 | Abyssal Apparition (Factory New); Sawed-Off | Devourer (Minimal Wear): float at most 0.074468 instead of 0.074772
Craft 3126160 · The Horizon Collection + The Revolution Collection · profit 2 119.28₴ · invest 3 686.56₴
sells slowly rare inputs

P2000 | Wicked Sick (Minimal Wear), AWP | Duality (Factory New) instead of Dual Berettas | Melondrama (Minimal Wear), MP7 | Abyssal Apparition (Factory New); Sawed-Off | Devourer (Minimal Wear): 4 pcs instead of 5; Sawed-Off | Devourer (Minimal Wear): float at most 0.076256 instead of 0.074772

How to read these numbers

Fees. Steam adds 15% to the seller's price, so the seller gets the listing price divided by 1,15. Multiplying by 0,85 is wrong.

The outcome can only be sold after a week. Inputs bought on Steam go into the contract right away. The outcome can also be crafted further without waiting, but Sell it is possible only after seven days. Over a week the price may change, so the amount shown remains an estimate at calculation time.

Prices are conservative. Sales are counted at the lower of the listing price and the sale price. Purchases are counted at the cheapest listing, which is a lower bound. You cannot buy ten at that price: each next listing costs more. «Check floats on Steam» shows the real purchase price.

The Dreams & Nightmares Collection + The Horizon Collection

How to build i Ways to build 5 ways: the best first, then from the most accessible. Click a tab and the numbers below are recalculated for that way.

What you get 4 outcomes

More

How to build