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The Harlequin Collection + The Shadow Collection

Mil-Spec Grade → Restricted

Average profit +323.96₽

Invest 387.00₽

Average return 710.96₽

ROI +83.7%

Chance of profit 80%

With float: invest at least 950.79 ₽, profit at most −239.82 ₽

float premium: at least 557 ₽

Hard to build: not enough fitting lots for a single contract

A more profitable set was dropped: +324.22 ₽ по средним

Check:

To calculator I have items + a third collection

Buy on Sell on

How to build

Less than 1% of lots fit: not enough for a contract, the price is understated

×2

Zeus x27 | Earth Mandala

Factory New

buy 0.0000–0.0053

135.64 ₽

at 67.82

Steam

×8

SCAR-20 | Green Marine

Minimal Wear

buy 0.0700–0.0761

251.36 ₽

at 31.42

Steam

Set · 10 pcs 387.00 ₽ +323.96 (+83.7%)

Less than 1% of lots fit: not enough for a contract, the price is understated

×4

UMP-45 | Warm Blooded

Minimal Wear

buy 0.0700–0.0785

144.48 ₽

at 36.12

Steam

×3

Zeus x27 | Earth Mandala

Factory New

buy 0.0000–0.0075

203.46 ₽

at 67.82

Steam

×3

SCAR-20 | Green Marine

Minimal Wear

buy 0.0700–0.0785

94.26 ₽

at 31.42

Steam

Set · 10 pcs 442.20 ₽ +205.76 (+46.5%)

Less than 1% of lots fit: not enough for a contract, the price is understated

×5

UMP-45 | Warm Blooded

Minimal Wear

buy 0.0700–0.0775

180.60 ₽

at 36.12

Steam

×3

Zeus x27 | Earth Mandala

Factory New

buy 0.0000–0.0066

203.46 ₽

at 67.82

Steam

×2

SCAR-20 | Green Marine

Minimal Wear

buy 0.0700–0.0775

62.84 ₽

at 31.42

Steam

Set · 10 pcs 446.90 ₽ +188.46 (+42.2%)

Less than 1% of lots fit: not enough for a contract, the price is understated

×6

UMP-45 | Warm Blooded

Minimal Wear

buy 0.0700–0.0765

216.72 ₽

at 36.12

Steam

×3

Zeus x27 | Earth Mandala

Factory New

buy 0.0000–0.0057

203.46 ₽

at 67.82

Steam

×1

SCAR-20 | Green Marine

Minimal Wear

buy 0.0700–0.0765

31.42 ₽

at 31.42

Steam

Set · 10 pcs 451.60 ₽ +171.16 (+37.9%)

Less than 1% of lots fit: not enough for a contract, the price is understated

×1

Zeus x27 | Earth Mandala

Factory New

buy 0.0000–0.0052

67.82 ₽

at 67.82

Steam

×8

SCAR-20 | Green Marine

Minimal Wear

buy 0.0700–0.0759

251.36 ₽

at 31.42

Steam

×1

MAC-10 | Rangeen

Factory New

buy 0.0000–0.0052

80.16 ₽

at 80.16

Steam

Set · 10 pcs 399.34 ₽ +324.22 (+81.2%)

What you get 6 outcomes

Profitable outcome 60%
Losing outcome 20%
About break-even 20%

in profit

best

Galil AR | Stone Cold

Factory New

float up to 0.069999

2 230.56 ₽ 20.00%

Steam

at a loss

worst

M249 | Nebula Crusader

Minimal Wear

float up to 0.077777

204.55 ₽ 20.00%

Steam

about break-even

MP7 | Special Delivery

Factory New

float up to 0.048222

454.37 ₽ 20.00%

price without deals

Steam

in profit

P250 | Wingshot

Factory New

float up to 0.069999

496.88 ₽ 20.00%

Steam

in profit

AWP | Exothermic

Factory New

float up to 0.054444

726.78 ₽ 10.00%

Steam

in profit

USP-S | Sleeping Potion

Factory New

float up to 0.054444

676.59 ₽ 10.00%

Steam

Craft variants

Variant 1 this one The Harlequin Collection + The Shadow Collection

Variant 2 The Train 2025 Collection instead of The Harlequin Collection Variant 3 The Train 2025 Collection instead of The Shadow Collection Variant 4 The Vanguard Collection instead of The Harlequin Collection Variant 5 The Vanguard Collection instead of The Shadow Collection Variant 6 The Prisma Collection instead of The Shadow Collection

In a week, when the outcome can be sold from outcome price history

In a bad week +205.83 ₽ a worse week happens one time in ten

In a typical week +290.35 ₽ historical median

If you repeat 10 000 simulations over the outcome odds

Attempts: 10

I already have items Enter their float and the site will pick what to buy

Mix in a collection

Items of this craft's collections of the right rarity fit: The Harlequin Collection and The Shadow Collection — and of the mixed-in collection: enter its items with float, your own or ones you want to buy. Its share in the set equals its share in the chances. Your own items are counted in the profit at market price, because you could sell them. The money needed to buy the rest is shown separately.

Third collection Add a third collection to the craft's two and see whether it gets more profitable

All splits of inputs across three collections are tried (1/1/8, 5/3/2 and the rest) and all outcome wears. The best set is shown for each collection. “Find the best” first quickly scores all collections and then calculates exactly the five best by the quick score.

Similar 15 crafts almost like this one

One of three things counts as similar. The same set with a different wear of cheap outcomes: profit and investment differ by less than 0,5%. The same nine items with a different tenth: profit differs by no more than 10%, investment by 20%. The same main half, whose outcomes make the profit, with a different filler: profit lower by no more than a quarter, investment cheaper by no more than a quarter.

Craft 3132452 · The Revolver Case Collection + The Shadow Collection · profit 387.31₽ · invest 353.17₽
sells slowly rare inputs

SCAR-20 | Outbreak (Factory New) instead of Zeus x27 | Earth Mandala (Factory New); M249 | Nebula Crusader: Factory New instead of Minimal Wear; SCAR-20 | Green Marine (Minimal Wear): 7 pcs instead of 8; SCAR-20 | Green Marine (Minimal Wear): float at most 0.076249 instead of 0.076147
Craft 3133077 · The Shadow Collection + The Snakebite Collection · profit 374.56₽ · invest 334.33₽
sells slowly rare inputs

UMP-45 | Oscillator (Factory New) instead of Zeus x27 | Earth Mandala (Factory New); M249 | Nebula Crusader: Factory New instead of Minimal Wear; SCAR-20 | Green Marine (Minimal Wear): 7 pcs instead of 8; SCAR-20 | Green Marine (Minimal Wear): float at most 0.076249 instead of 0.076147
Craft 3129746 · The Overpass 2024 Collection + The Shadow Collection · profit 346.99₽ · invest 343.26₽
sells slowly rare inputs

Glock-18 | Teal Graf (Factory New) instead of Zeus x27 | Earth Mandala (Factory New); SCAR-20 | Green Marine (Minimal Wear): float at most 0.075761 instead of 0.076147
Craft 3131464 · The Radiant Collection + The Shadow Collection · profit 334.22₽ · invest 367.54₽
sells slowly rare inputs

M4A1-S | Rose Hex (Factory New) instead of Zeus x27 | Earth Mandala (Factory New); SCAR-20 | Green Marine (Minimal Wear): float at most 0.075761 instead of 0.076147
Craft 3105024 · The Ascent Collection + The Shadow Collection · profit 328.55₽ · invest 402.67₽
sells slowly rare inputs

MP9 | Cobalt Paisley (Minimal Wear), P90 | Reef Grief (Factory New) instead of Zeus x27 | Earth Mandala (Factory New); SCAR-20 | Green Marine (Minimal Wear): 7 pcs instead of 8; SCAR-20 | Green Marine (Minimal Wear): float at most 0.074360 instead of 0.076147
Craft 3133106 · The Shadow Collection + The Spectrum 2 Collection · profit 314.44₽ · invest 316.10₽
sells slowly rare inputs

SCAR-20 | Jungle Slipstream (Factory New) instead of Zeus x27 | Earth Mandala (Factory New); SCAR-20 | Green Marine (Minimal Wear): float at most 0.075761 instead of 0.076147
Craft 3114061 · The Clutch Collection + The Shadow Collection · profit 312.65₽ · invest 310.82₽
sells slowly rare inputs

SG 553 | Aloha (Factory New) instead of Zeus x27 | Earth Mandala (Factory New); SCAR-20 | Green Marine (Minimal Wear): float at most 0.074617 instead of 0.076147
Craft 3108821 · The CS20 Collection + The Shadow Collection · profit 312.12₽ · invest 334.30₽
sells slowly rare inputs

SCAR-20 | Assault (Factory New) instead of Zeus x27 | Earth Mandala (Factory New); SCAR-20 | Green Marine (Minimal Wear): float at most 0.076065 instead of 0.076147
Craft 3123371 · The Gamma Collection + The Shadow Collection · profit 307.30₽ · invest 334.16₽
sells slowly rare inputs

Nova | Exo (Factory New) instead of Zeus x27 | Earth Mandala (Factory New); SCAR-20 | Green Marine (Minimal Wear): float at most 0.075761 instead of 0.076147
Craft 3133078 · The Shadow Collection + The Snakebite Collection · profit 306.84₽ · invest 327.62₽
sells slowly rare inputs

UMP-45 | Oscillator (Factory New) instead of Zeus x27 | Earth Mandala (Factory New); SCAR-20 | Green Marine (Minimal Wear): float at most 0.075761 instead of 0.076147
Craft 3106367 · The Boreal Collection + The Shadow Collection · profit 305.45₽ · invest 303.09₽
sells slowly rare inputs

MP5-SD | Gold Leaf (Minimal Wear), MP5-SD | Gold Leaf (Factory New) instead of Zeus x27 | Earth Mandala (Factory New); M249 | Nebula Crusader: Factory New instead of Minimal Wear; SCAR-20 | Green Marine (Minimal Wear): 6 pcs instead of 8; SCAR-20 | Green Marine (Minimal Wear): float at most 0.074307 instead of 0.076147
Craft 3132453 · The Revolver Case Collection + The Shadow Collection · profit 300.91₽ · invest 340.18₽
sells slowly rare inputs

SCAR-20 | Outbreak (Factory New) instead of Zeus x27 | Earth Mandala (Factory New); SCAR-20 | Green Marine (Minimal Wear): float at most 0.075761 instead of 0.076147
Craft 3133140 · The Shadow Collection + The Spectrum Collection · profit 296.03₽ · invest 342.75₽
sells slowly rare inputs

Sawed-Off | Zander (Minimal Wear), PP-Bizon | Jungle Slipstream (Factory New) instead of Zeus x27 | Earth Mandala (Factory New); SCAR-20 | Green Marine (Minimal Wear): float at most 0.074430 instead of 0.076147
Craft 3130660 · The Prisma 2 Collection + The Shadow Collection · profit 294.04₽ · invest 321.88₽
sells slowly rare inputs

R8 Revolver | Bone Forged (Factory New) instead of Zeus x27 | Earth Mandala (Factory New); SCAR-20 | Green Marine (Minimal Wear): float at most 0.076021 instead of 0.076147
Craft 3133172 · The Shadow Collection + The Sport & Field Collection · profit 291.46₽ · invest 365.50₽
sells slowly rare inputs pricier variants exist

P250 | Small Game (Factory New) instead of Zeus x27 | Earth Mandala (Factory New); SCAR-20 | Green Marine (Minimal Wear): float at most 0.076222 instead of 0.076147

How to read these numbers

Fees. Steam adds 15% to the seller's price, so the seller gets the listing price divided by 1,15. Multiplying by 0,85 is wrong.

The outcome can only be sold after a week. Inputs bought on Steam go into the contract right away. The outcome can also be crafted further without waiting, but Sell it is possible only after seven days. Over a week the price may change, so the amount shown remains an estimate at calculation time.

Prices are conservative. Sales are counted at the lower of the listing price and the sale price. Purchases are counted at the cheapest listing, which is a lower bound. You cannot buy ten at that price: each next listing costs more. «Check floats on Steam» shows the real purchase price.

The Harlequin Collection + The Shadow Collection

How to build i Ways to build 5 ways: the best first, then from the most accessible. Click a tab and the numbers below are recalculated for that way.

What you get 6 outcomes

More

How to build