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The Shadow Collection + The Vanguard Collection

StatTrak™ Classified → Covert

Prices by float: ночной проверки нет, числа ниже — оценка с учётом float

Average profit at most · with float −191 645.60₸

Invest at least 535 803.38₸

Average return 344 157.84₸

ROI −35.8%

Chance of profit 45%

With float: invest at least 535 803.38 ₸, profit at most −191 645.60 ₸

float premium: at least 313 423 ₸

Hard to build: not enough fitting lots for a single contract

Sell on CSFloat: without them the profit is −146 070.44 ₸

Check:

To calculator I have items + a third collection

Buy on Sell on

How to build

0% of lots fit: not enough for a contract, the price is understated

×1

StatTrak™ SSG 08 | Big Iron

Minimal Wear

buy 0.0700–0.0760

19 801.65 ₸

at 19 801.65

Steam

×2

StatTrak™ SCAR-20 | Cardiac

Minimal Wear

buy 0.0700–0.0760

24 002.88 ₸

at 12 001.44

Steam

×7

StatTrak™ SCAR-20 | Cardiac

Factory New

buy 0.0000–0.0052

172 543.31 ₸

at 24 649.04

Steam

Set · 10 pcs 216 347.85 ₸ +127 809.98 (+59.1%)

Profit on prices without sales: without them at least −65 258 ₸

Less than 1% of lots fit: not enough for a contract, the price is understated

×3

StatTrak™ G3SG1 | Flux

Minimal Wear

buy 0.0700–0.0774

60 933.76 ₸

at 20 311.25

Steam

×1

StatTrak™ SSG 08 | Big Iron

Factory New

buy 0.0000–0.0065

39 016.47 ₸

at 39 016.47

Steam

×6

StatTrak™ SCAR-20 | Cardiac

Factory New

buy 0.0000–0.0065

147 894.27 ₸

at 24 649.04

Steam

Set · 10 pcs 247 844.50 ₸ +74 301.87 (+30.0%)

Profit on prices without sales: without them at least −110 056 ₸

Less than 1% of lots fit: not enough for a contract, the price is understated

×3

StatTrak™ G3SG1 | Flux

Minimal Wear

buy 0.0700–0.0771

60 933.76 ₸

at 20 311.25

Steam

×2

StatTrak™ SSG 08 | Big Iron

Factory New

buy 0.0000–0.0062

78 032.94 ₸

at 39 016.47

Steam

×5

StatTrak™ SCAR-20 | Cardiac

Factory New

buy 0.0000–0.0062

123 245.22 ₸

at 24 649.04

Steam

Set · 10 pcs 262 211.93 ₸ +52 597.29 (+20.1%)

Profit on prices without sales: without them at least −154 855 ₸

Less than 1% of lots fit: not enough for a contract, the price is understated

×3

StatTrak™ G3SG1 | Flux

Minimal Wear

buy 0.0700–0.0768

60 933.76 ₸

at 20 311.25

Steam

×3

StatTrak™ SSG 08 | Big Iron

Factory New

buy 0.0000–0.0059

117 049.41 ₸

at 39 016.47

Steam

×4

StatTrak™ SCAR-20 | Cardiac

Factory New

buy 0.0000–0.0059

98 596.18 ₸

at 24 649.04

Steam

Set · 10 pcs 276 579.35 ₸ +30 892.71 (+11.2%)

Profit on prices without sales: without them at least −199 653 ₸

Less than 1% of lots fit: not enough for a contract, the price is understated

×3

StatTrak™ G3SG1 | Flux

Minimal Wear

buy 0.0700–0.0765

60 933.76 ₸

at 20 311.25

Steam

×4

StatTrak™ SSG 08 | Big Iron

Factory New

buy 0.0000–0.0056

156 065.88 ₸

at 39 016.47

Steam

×3

StatTrak™ SCAR-20 | Cardiac

Factory New

buy 0.0000–0.0056

73 947.13 ₸

at 24 649.04

Steam

Set · 10 pcs 290 946.78 ₸ +9 188.13 (+3.2%)

What you get 4 outcomes

Profitable outcome 50%
Losing outcome 45%
About break-even 5%

in profit

best

StatTrak™ AK-47 | Wasteland Rebel

Factory New

float up to 0.069999

621 044.07 ₸ 45.00%

sell on CSFloat

Steam

at a loss

worst

StatTrak™ P2000 | Fire Elemental

Factory New

float up to 0.018461

108 521.81 ₸ 45.00%

price without deals

Steam

about break-even

StatTrak™ M4A1-S | Golden Coil

Factory New

float up to 0.030769

240 081.27 ₸ 5.00%

price without deals

Steam

in profit

StatTrak™ USP-S | Kill Confirmed

Factory New

float up to 0.030769

399 602.63 ₸ 5.00%

price without deals

Steam

Craft variants

Variant 1 this one The Shadow Collection + The Vanguard Collection

Variant 2 The eSports 2014 Summer Collection instead of The Vanguard Collection Variant 3 only The Vanguard Collection Variant 4 The eSports 2014 Summer Collection instead of The Shadow Collection Variant 5 The Wildfire Collection instead of The Shadow Collection Variant 6 The Winter Offensive Collection instead of The Shadow Collection

In a week, when the outcome can be sold from outcome price history

In a bad week +116 197.04 ₸ a worse week happens one time in ten

In a typical week +126 534.32 ₸ historical median

If you repeat 10 000 simulations over the outcome odds

Attempts: 10

I already have items Enter their float and the site will pick what to buy

Mix in a collection

Items of this craft's collections of the right rarity fit: The Shadow Collection and The Vanguard Collection — and of the mixed-in collection: enter its items with float, your own or ones you want to buy. Its share in the set equals its share in the chances. Your own items are counted in the profit at market price, because you could sell them. The money needed to buy the rest is shown separately.

Third collection Add a third collection to the craft's two and see whether it gets more profitable

All splits of inputs across three collections are tried (1/1/8, 5/3/2 and the rest) and all outcome wears. The best set is shown for each collection. “Find the best” first quickly scores all collections and then calculates exactly the five best by the quick score.

Similar 4 crafts almost like this one

One of three things counts as similar. The same set with a different wear of cheap outcomes: profit and investment differ by less than 0,5%. The same nine items with a different tenth: profit differs by no more than 10%, investment by 20%. The same main half, whose outcomes make the profit, with a different filler: profit lower by no more than a quarter, investment cheaper by no more than a quarter.

Craft 3124172 · The Genesis Collection + The Vanguard Collection · profit 135 806.00₸ · invest 209 000.76₸
marketplace price sells slowly rare inputs

StatTrak™ Glock-18 | Mirror Mosaic (Minimal Wear) instead of StatTrak™ SSG 08 | Big Iron (Minimal Wear); StatTrak™ SCAR-20 | Cardiac (Minimal Wear): float at most 0.080705 instead of 0.076019; StatTrak™ SCAR-20 | Cardiac (Factory New): float at most 0.009367 instead of 0.005267
Craft 3129536 · The Operation Riptide Collection + The Vanguard Collection · profit 126 927.63₸ · invest 211 270.22₸
marketplace price sells slowly rare inputs

StatTrak™ MAC-10 | Toybox (Minimal Wear) instead of StatTrak™ SSG 08 | Big Iron (Minimal Wear); StatTrak™ SCAR-20 | Cardiac (Minimal Wear): float at most 0.080705 instead of 0.076019; StatTrak™ SCAR-20 | Cardiac (Factory New): float at most 0.009367 instead of 0.005267
Craft 3110952 · The Chroma 2 Collection + The Vanguard Collection · profit 126 914.94₸ · invest 203 976.16₸
marketplace price sells slowly rare inputs

StatTrak™ Five-SeveN | Monkey Business (Field-Tested) instead of StatTrak™ SSG 08 | Big Iron (Minimal Wear); StatTrak™ SCAR-20 | Cardiac (Minimal Wear): float at most 0.078976 instead of 0.076019; StatTrak™ SCAR-20 | Cardiac (Factory New): float at most 0.007854 instead of 0.005267
Craft 3134332 · The Vanguard Collection + The Wildfire Collection · profit 124 231.75₸ · invest 216 845.16₸
marketplace price sells slowly rare inputs

StatTrak™ Nova | Hyper Beast (Minimal Wear) instead of StatTrak™ SSG 08 | Big Iron (Minimal Wear); StatTrak™ SCAR-20 | Cardiac (Minimal Wear): float at most 0.075211 instead of 0.076019; StatTrak™ SCAR-20 | Cardiac (Factory New): float at most 0.004559 instead of 0.005267

How to read these numbers

Fees. Steam adds 15% to the seller's price, so the seller gets the listing price divided by 1,15. Multiplying by 0,85 is wrong.

The outcome can only be sold after a week. Inputs bought on Steam go into the contract right away. The outcome can also be crafted further without waiting, but Sell it is possible only after seven days. Over a week the price may change, so the amount shown remains an estimate at calculation time.

Prices are conservative. Sales are counted at the lower of the listing price and the sale price. Purchases are counted at the cheapest listing, which is a lower bound. You cannot buy ten at that price: each next listing costs more. «Check floats on Steam» shows the real purchase price.

The Shadow Collection + The Vanguard Collection

How to build i Ways to build 5 ways: the best first, then from the most accessible. Click a tab and the numbers below are recalculated for that way.

What you get 4 outcomes

More

How to build