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The Vanguard Collection + The eSports 2013 Collection

StatTrak™ Mil-Spec Grade → Restricted

Average profit +6.41$

Invest 22.48$

Average return 28.89$

ROI +28.5%

Chance of profit 60%

With float: invest at least 52.89 $, profit at most −24.00 $

float premium: at least 29 $

Hard to build: not enough fitting lots for a single contract

A more profitable set was dropped: +11.60 $ по средним

Check:

To calculator I have items + a third collection

Buy on Sell on

How to build

Less than 1% of lots fit: not enough for a contract, the price is understated

×2

StatTrak™ MAG-7 | Firestarter

Field-Tested

buy 0.1500–0.1628

2.38 $

at 1.19

Steam

×6

StatTrak™ UMP-45 | Delusion

Minimal Wear

buy 0.0700–0.0744

10.68 $

at 1.78

Steam

×2

StatTrak™ FAMAS | Doomkitty

Minimal Wear

buy 0.0800–0.0839

9.42 $

at 4.71

Steam

Set · 10 pcs 22.48 $ +6.41 (+28.5%)

Less than 1% of lots fit: not enough for a contract, the price is understated

×1

StatTrak™ UMP-45 | Delusion

Field-Tested

buy 0.1500–0.1645

1.12 $

at 1.12

Steam

×8

StatTrak™ UMP-45 | Delusion

Minimal Wear

buy 0.0700–0.0758

14.24 $

at 1.78

Steam

×1

StatTrak™ FAMAS | Doomkitty

Minimal Wear

buy 0.0800–0.0850

4.71 $

at 4.71

Steam

Set · 10 pcs 20.07 $ +5.14 (+25.6%)

Profit on prices without sales: without them at least −2 $

Less than 1% of lots fit: not enough for a contract, the price is understated

×2

StatTrak™ MAG-7 | Firestarter

Field-Tested

buy 0.1500–0.1662

2.38 $

at 1.19

Steam

×3

StatTrak™ UMP-45 | Delusion

Minimal Wear

buy 0.0700–0.0756

5.34 $

at 1.78

Steam

×5

StatTrak™ FAMAS | Doomkitty

Minimal Wear

buy 0.0800–0.0849

23.55 $

at 4.71

Steam

Set · 10 pcs 31.27 $ +8.67 (+27.7%)

Profit on prices without sales: without them at least −4 $

Less than 1% of lots fit: not enough for a contract, the price is understated

×1

StatTrak™ MAG-7 | Firestarter

Field-Tested

buy 0.1500–0.1642

1.19 $

at 1.19

Steam

×1

StatTrak™ MAG-7 | Memento

Minimal Wear

buy 0.0700–0.0749

4.20 $

at 4.20

Steam

×8

StatTrak™ FAMAS | Doomkitty

Minimal Wear

buy 0.0800–0.0843

37.68 $

at 4.71

Steam

Set · 10 pcs 43.07 $ +11.60 (+26.9%)

Profit on prices without sales: without them at least −0 $

Less than 1% of lots fit: not enough for a contract, the price is understated

×2

StatTrak™ MAG-7 | Firestarter

Field-Tested

buy 0.1500–0.1641

2.38 $

at 1.19

Steam

×5

StatTrak™ UMP-45 | Delusion

Minimal Wear

buy 0.0700–0.0749

8.90 $

at 1.78

Steam

×3

StatTrak™ FAMAS | Doomkitty

Minimal Wear

buy 0.0800–0.0842

14.13 $

at 4.71

Steam

Set · 10 pcs 25.41 $ +7.16 (+28.2%)

What you get 7 outcomes

Profitable outcome 60%
Losing outcome 40%

at a loss

StatTrak™ Glock-18 | Grinder

Factory New

float up to 0.039166

9.28 $ 20.00%

price without deals

Steam

in profit

StatTrak™ M4A4 | Griffin

Factory New

float up to 0.066666

30.31 $ 20.00%

Steam

in profit

StatTrak™ M4A1-S | Basilisk

Factory New

float up to 0.056666

53.30 $ 20.00%

Steam

at a loss

worst

StatTrak™ Sawed-Off | Highwayman

Minimal Wear

float up to 0.083333

6.12 $ 20.00%

price without deals

Steam

in profit

StatTrak™ Galil AR | Orange DDPAT

Minimal Wear

float up to 0.121666

44.90 $ 6.67%

Steam

in profit

best

StatTrak™ P250 | Splash

Factory New

float up to 0.069999

96.62 $ 6.67%

Steam

in profit

StatTrak™ Sawed-Off | Orange DDPAT

Minimal Wear

float up to 0.121666

59.79 $ 6.67%

price without deals

Steam

Craft variants

Variant 1 this one The Vanguard Collection + The eSports 2013 Collection

Variant 2 only The Vanguard Collection Variant 3 The Winter Offensive Collection instead of The eSports 2013 Collection

In a week, when the outcome can be sold from outcome price history

In a bad week +2.68 $ a worse week happens one time in ten

In a typical week +5.70 $ historical median

If you repeat 10 000 simulations over the outcome odds

Attempts: 10

I already have items Enter their float and the site will pick what to buy

Mix in a collection

Items of this craft's collections of the right rarity fit: The Vanguard Collection and The eSports 2013 Collection — and of the mixed-in collection: enter its items with float, your own or ones you want to buy. Its share in the set equals its share in the chances. Your own items are counted in the profit at market price, because you could sell them. The money needed to buy the rest is shown separately.

Third collection Add a third collection to the craft's two and see whether it gets more profitable

All splits of inputs across three collections are tried (1/1/8, 5/3/2 and the rest) and all outcome wears. The best set is shown for each collection. “Find the best” first quickly scores all collections and then calculates exactly the five best by the quick score.

How to read these numbers

Fees. Steam adds 15% to the seller's price, so the seller gets the listing price divided by 1,15. Multiplying by 0,85 is wrong.

The outcome can only be sold after a week. Inputs bought on Steam go into the contract right away. The outcome can also be crafted further without waiting, but Sell it is possible only after seven days. Over a week the price may change, so the amount shown remains an estimate at calculation time.

Prices are conservative. Sales are counted at the lower of the listing price and the sale price. Purchases are counted at the cheapest listing, which is a lower bound. You cannot buy ten at that price: each next listing costs more. «Check floats on Steam» shows the real purchase price.

The Vanguard Collection + The eSports 2013 Collection

How to build i Ways to build 5 ways: the best first, then from the most accessible. Click a tab and the numbers below are recalculated for that way.

What you get 7 outcomes

More

How to build