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The 2018 Inferno Collection + The Ascent Collection

Mil-Spec Grade → Restricted

Average profit +2.61$

Invest 5.86$

Average return 8.48$

ROI +44.6%

Chance of profit 53%

With float: invest at least 13.76 $, profit at most −5.28 $

float premium: at least 7 $

To build: easy

A more profitable set was dropped: +2.96 $ по средним

Check:

To calculator I have items + a third collection

Buy on Sell on

How to build

Less than 1% of lots fit: the price is understated

×2

Sawed-Off | Brake Light

Factory New

buy 0.0000–0.0027

1.47 $

at 0.74

Steam

×6

P2000 | Royal Baroque

Minimal Wear

buy 0.0700–0.0856

2.66 $

at 0.44

Steam

×2

P90 | Reef Grief

Factory New

buy 0.0000–0.0027

1.73 $

at 0.87

Steam

Set · 10 pcs 5.86 $ +2.61 (+44.6%)

Less than 1% of lots fit: not enough for a contract, the price is understated

×7

Sawed-Off | Brake Light

Factory New

buy 0.0000–0.0038

5.15 $

at 0.74

Steam

×2

FAMAS | Yeti Camo

Field-Tested

buy 0.1500–0.1626

0.44 $

at 0.22

Steam

×1

P2000 | Royal Baroque

Minimal Wear

buy 0.0700–0.0782

0.44 $

at 0.44

Steam

Set · 10 pcs 6.03 $ +2.19 (+36.3%)

Less than 1% of lots fit: not enough for a contract, the price is understated

×2

SSG 08 | Hand Brake

Field-Tested

buy 0.1500–0.1736

1.10 $

at 0.55

Steam

×7

Sawed-Off | Brake Light

Factory New

buy 0.0000–0.0036

5.15 $

at 0.74

Steam

×1

P2000 | Royal Baroque

Field-Tested

buy 0.1500–0.1618

0.20 $

at 0.20

Steam

Set · 10 pcs 6.44 $ +1.67 (+25.9%)

Less than 1% of lots fit: not enough for a contract, the price is understated

×6

Sawed-Off | Brake Light

Factory New

buy 0.0000–0.0035

4.41 $

at 0.74

Steam

×1

P2000 | Royal Baroque

Field-Tested

buy 0.1500–0.1618

0.20 $

at 0.20

Steam

×3

P2000 | Royal Baroque

Minimal Wear

buy 0.0700–0.0787

1.33 $

at 0.44

Steam

Set · 10 pcs 5.94 $ +2.33 (+39.1%)

Less than 1% of lots fit: not enough for a contract, the price is understated

×3

Sawed-Off | Brake Light

Factory New

buy 0.0000–0.0035

2.21 $

at 0.74

Steam

×6

P2000 | Royal Baroque

Minimal Wear

buy 0.0700–0.0795

2.66 $

at 0.44

Steam

×1

P90 | Reef Grief

Factory New

buy 0.0000–0.0035

0.87 $

at 0.87

Steam

Set · 10 pcs 5.73 $ +2.69 (+46.9%)

What you get 5 outcomes

Profitable outcome 53%
Losing outcome 47%

in profit

best

AK-47 | Midnight Laminate

Factory New

float up to 0.069999

14.60 $ 40.00%

Steam

at a loss

USP-S | Royal Guard

Factory New

float up to 0.055999

5.14 $ 40.00%

Steam

in profit

AK-47 | Safety Net

Factory New

float up to 0.055999

11.62 $ 6.67%

Steam

in profit

MP7 | Fade

Factory New

float up to 0.023333

12.82 $ 6.67%

pricier variants exist lots by number

Steam

at a loss

worst

P250 | Vino Primo

Minimal Wear

float up to 0.093333

3.37 $ 6.67%

Steam

Craft variants

Variant 1 this one The 2018 Inferno Collection + The Ascent Collection

Variant 2 The Train 2025 Collection instead of The Ascent Collection Variant 3 The Train 2025 Collection instead of The 2018 Inferno Collection Variant 4 The Gamma 2 Collection instead of The 2018 Inferno Collection Variant 5 The Glove Collection instead of The 2018 Inferno Collection Variant 6 The 2018 Nuke Collection instead of The Ascent Collection

In a week, when the outcome can be sold from outcome price history

In a bad week +1.55 $ a worse week happens one time in ten

In a typical week +2.25 $ historical median

If you repeat 10 000 simulations over the outcome odds

Attempts: 10

I already have items Enter their float and the site will pick what to buy

Mix in a collection

Items of this craft's collections of the right rarity fit: The 2018 Inferno Collection and The Ascent Collection — and of the mixed-in collection: enter its items with float, your own or ones you want to buy. Its share in the set equals its share in the chances. Your own items are counted in the profit at market price, because you could sell them. The money needed to buy the rest is shown separately.

Third collection Add a third collection to the craft's two and see whether it gets more profitable

All splits of inputs across three collections are tried (1/1/8, 5/3/2 and the rest) and all outcome wears. The best set is shown for each collection. “Find the best” first quickly scores all collections and then calculates exactly the five best by the quick score.

Similar 10 crafts almost like this one

One of three things counts as similar. The same set with a different wear of cheap outcomes: profit and investment differ by less than 0,5%. The same nine items with a different tenth: profit differs by no more than 10%, investment by 20%. The same main half, whose outcomes make the profit, with a different filler: profit lower by no more than a quarter, investment cheaper by no more than a quarter.

Craft 3153581 · The Ascent Collection + The Revolver Case Collection · profit 2.56$ · invest 5.47$
sells slowly rare inputs

SCAR-20 | Outbreak (Factory New) instead of Sawed-Off | Brake Light (Factory New); P2000 | Royal Baroque (Minimal Wear): 5 pcs instead of 6; P2000 | Royal Baroque (Minimal Wear): float at most 0.079277 instead of 0.085662; P90 | Reef Grief (Factory New): float at most 0.004216 instead of 0.002707
Craft 3153346 · The Ascent Collection + The Horizon Collection · profit 2.43$ · invest 6.55$
rare inputs

Dual Berettas | Shred (Factory New) instead of Sawed-Off | Brake Light (Factory New); P2000 | Royal Baroque (Minimal Wear): 5 pcs instead of 6; P2000 | Royal Baroque (Minimal Wear): float at most 0.079277 instead of 0.085662; P90 | Reef Grief (Factory New): float at most 0.004216 instead of 0.002707
Craft 3153348 · The Ascent Collection + The Horizon Collection · profit 2.39$ · invest 5.91$
rare inputs

R8 Revolver | Survivalist (Minimal Wear), Dual Berettas | Shred (Factory New) instead of Sawed-Off | Brake Light (Factory New); P2000 | Royal Baroque (Minimal Wear): float at most 0.074659 instead of 0.085662; P90 | Reef Grief (Factory New): float at most 0.004077 instead of 0.002707
Craft 3153117 · The Ascent Collection + The Chroma 3 Collection · profit 2.35$ · invest 5.15$
rare inputs

M249 | Spectre (Factory New) instead of Sawed-Off | Brake Light (Factory New); P2000 | Royal Baroque (Minimal Wear): 5 pcs instead of 6; P2000 | Royal Baroque (Minimal Wear): float at most 0.079277 instead of 0.085662; P90 | Reef Grief (Factory New): 1 pcs instead of 2; P90 | Reef Grief (Factory New): float at most 0.004071 instead of 0.002707
Craft 3153078 · The Ascent Collection + The CS20 Collection · profit 2.15$ · invest 5.01$
rare inputs

SCAR-20 | Assault (Factory New) instead of Sawed-Off | Brake Light (Factory New); P2000 | Royal Baroque (Minimal Wear): 5 pcs instead of 6; P2000 | Royal Baroque (Minimal Wear): float at most 0.079277 instead of 0.085662; P90 | Reef Grief (Factory New): 1 pcs instead of 2; P90 | Reef Grief (Factory New): float at most 0.000572 instead of 0.002707
Craft 3153209 · The Ascent Collection + The Falchion Collection · profit 2.11$ · invest 5.53$
UMP-45 | Riot (Minimal Wear), P90 | Elite Build (Minimal Wear) instead of Sawed-Off | Brake Light (Factory New); P2000 | Royal Baroque (Minimal Wear): float at most 0.074127 instead of 0.085662; P90 | Reef Grief (Factory New): float at most 0.003611 instead of 0.002707
Craft 3153520 · The Ascent Collection + The Prisma Collection · profit 2.08$ · invest 5.33$
P90 | Off World (Minimal Wear), MP7 | Mischief (Field-Tested) instead of Sawed-Off | Brake Light (Factory New); P2000 | Royal Baroque (Minimal Wear): float at most 0.074840 instead of 0.085662; P90 | Reef Grief (Factory New): float at most 0.004235 instead of 0.002707
Craft 3153264 · The Ascent Collection + The Gamma 2 Collection · profit 2.04$ · invest 5.30$
rare inputs

P90 | Grim (Minimal Wear), UMP-45 | Briefing (Minimal Wear) instead of Sawed-Off | Brake Light (Factory New); P2000 | Royal Baroque (Minimal Wear): float at most 0.074999 instead of 0.085662; P90 | Reef Grief (Factory New): float at most 0.004374 instead of 0.002707
Craft 3153617 · The Ascent Collection + The Shadow Collection · profit 1.97$ · invest 5.11$
rare inputs

SCAR-20 | Green Marine (Minimal Wear) instead of Sawed-Off | Brake Light (Factory New); P2000 | Royal Baroque (Minimal Wear): 5 pcs instead of 6; P2000 | Royal Baroque (Minimal Wear): float at most 0.075833 instead of 0.085662; P90 | Reef Grief (Factory New): float at most 0.005104 instead of 0.002707
Craft 3153124 · The Ascent Collection + The Chroma Collection · profit 1.96$ · invest 6.70$
rare inputs

SCAR-20 | Grotto (Factory New) instead of Sawed-Off | Brake Light (Factory New); P2000 | Royal Baroque (Minimal Wear): 5 pcs instead of 6; P2000 | Royal Baroque (Minimal Wear): float at most 0.079277 instead of 0.085662; P90 | Reef Grief (Factory New): 3 pcs instead of 2; P90 | Reef Grief (Factory New): float at most 0.004372 instead of 0.002707

How to read these numbers

Fees. Steam adds 15% to the seller's price, so the seller gets the listing price divided by 1,15. Multiplying by 0,85 is wrong.

The outcome can only be sold after a week. Inputs bought on Steam go into the contract right away. The outcome can also be crafted further without waiting, but Sell it is possible only after seven days. Over a week the price may change, so the amount shown remains an estimate at calculation time.

Prices are conservative. Sales are counted at the lower of the listing price and the sale price. Purchases are counted at the cheapest listing, which is a lower bound. You cannot buy ten at that price: each next listing costs more. «Check floats on Steam» shows the real purchase price.

The 2018 Inferno Collection + The Ascent Collection

How to build i Ways to build 5 ways: the best first, then from the most accessible. Click a tab and the numbers below are recalculated for that way.

What you get 5 outcomes

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How to build