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The 2018 Inferno Collection + The Fever Collection

Mil-Spec Grade → Restricted

Prices by float: ночной проверки нет, числа ниже — оценка с учётом float

Average profit at most · with float −1.43$

Invest at least 3.24$

Average return 1.81$

ROI −44.1%

Chance of profit 7%

With float: invest at least 3.24 $, profit at most −1.43 $

float premium: at least 1 $

To build: medium

A more profitable set was dropped: +0.99 $ по средним

Check:

To calculator I have items + a third collection

Buy on Sell on

How to build

≈4% of lots fit: the price is understated

×1

SSG 08 | Hand Brake

Field-Tested

buy 0.1500–0.2032

0.55 $

at 0.55

Steam

×9

MAG-7 | Resupply

Minimal Wear

buy 0.0700–0.0885

0.78 $

at 0.09

Steam

Set · 10 pcs 1.33 $ +0.48 (+36.1%)

Less than 1% of lots fit: not enough for a contract, the price is understated

×2

SSG 08 | Hand Brake

Field-Tested

buy 0.1500–0.1737

1.10 $

at 0.55

Steam

×1

Sawed-Off | Brake Light

Factory New

buy 0.0000–0.0072

0.74 $

at 0.74

Steam

×7

MAG-7 | Resupply

Minimal Wear

buy 0.0700–0.0802

0.61 $

at 0.09

Steam

Set · 10 pcs 2.44 $ +0.76 (+31.1%)

Less than 1% of lots fit: not enough for a contract, the price is understated

×3

SSG 08 | Hand Brake

Field-Tested

buy 0.1500–0.1748

1.65 $

at 0.55

Steam

×3

Sawed-Off | Brake Light

Factory New

buy 0.0000–0.0042

2.21 $

at 0.74

Steam

×4

MAG-7 | Resupply

Minimal Wear

buy 0.0700–0.0793

0.35 $

at 0.09

Steam

Set · 10 pcs 4.20 $ +1.08 (+25.8%)

Less than 1% of lots fit: not enough for a contract, the price is understated

×4

SSG 08 | Hand Brake

Field-Tested

buy 0.1500–0.1760

2.20 $

at 0.55

Steam

×5

Sawed-Off | Brake Light

Factory New

buy 0.0000–0.0034

3.68 $

at 0.74

Steam

×1

MAG-7 | Resupply

Minimal Wear

buy 0.0700–0.0783

0.09 $

at 0.09

Steam

Set · 10 pcs 5.96 $ +1.41 (+23.6%)

What you get 8 outcomes

Profitable outcome 46%
Losing outcome 54%

in profit

Desert Eagle | Serpent Strike

Factory New

float up to 0.056999

1.86 $ 18.00%

Steam

at a loss

worst

Galil AR | Control

Minimal Wear

float up to 0.079899

0.92 $ 18.00%

Steam

at a loss

Nova | Rising Sun

Minimal Wear

float up to 0.099999

1.00 $ 18.00%

Steam

at a loss

P90 | Wave Breaker

Minimal Wear

float up to 0.095054

0.96 $ 18.00%

Steam

in profit

Zeus x27 | Tosai

Factory New

float up to 0.069999

1.69 $ 18.00%

Steam

in profit

AK-47 | Safety Net

Factory New

float up to 0.059999

11.62 $ 3.33%

Steam

in profit

best

MP7 | Fade

Factory New

float up to 0.024999

12.82 $ 3.33%

pricier variants exist lots by number

Steam

in profit

P250 | Vino Primo

Minimal Wear

float up to 0.099999

3.37 $ 3.33%

Steam

Craft variants

Variant 1 this one The 2018 Inferno Collection + The Fever Collection

Variant 2 The Train 2025 Collection instead of The Fever Collection Variant 3 The Train 2025 Collection instead of The 2018 Inferno Collection Variant 4 The 2018 Nuke Collection instead of The Fever Collection Variant 5 The Glove Collection instead of The Fever Collection Variant 6 The Vanguard Collection instead of The Fever Collection

In a week, when the outcome can be sold from outcome price history

In a bad week +0.22 $ a worse week happens one time in ten

In a typical week +0.36 $ historical median

If you repeat 10 000 simulations over the outcome odds

Attempts: 10

I already have items Enter their float and the site will pick what to buy

Mix in a collection

Items of this craft's collections of the right rarity fit: The 2018 Inferno Collection and The Fever Collection — and of the mixed-in collection: enter its items with float, your own or ones you want to buy. Its share in the set equals its share in the chances. Your own items are counted in the profit at market price, because you could sell them. The money needed to buy the rest is shown separately.

Third collection Add a third collection to the craft's two and see whether it gets more profitable

All splits of inputs across three collections are tried (1/1/8, 5/3/2 and the rest) and all outcome wears. The best set is shown for each collection. “Find the best” first quickly scores all collections and then calculates exactly the five best by the quick score.

Similar 10 crafts almost like this one

One of three things counts as similar. The same set with a different wear of cheap outcomes: profit and investment differ by less than 0,5%. The same nine items with a different tenth: profit differs by no more than 10%, investment by 20%. The same main half, whose outcomes make the profit, with a different filler: profit lower by no more than a quarter, investment cheaper by no more than a quarter.

Craft 3168034 · The Fever Collection + The Revolution Collection · profit 0.49$ · invest 1.14$
SCAR-20 | Fragments (Factory New) instead of SSG 08 | Hand Brake (Field-Tested); Galil AR | Control: Factory New instead of Minimal Wear; P90 | Wave Breaker: Factory New instead of Minimal Wear; MAG-7 | Resupply (Minimal Wear): float at most 0.080932 instead of 0.088526
Craft 3159814 · The Chroma 3 Collection + The Fever Collection · profit 0.48$ · invest 1.09$
Sawed-Off | Fubar (Battle-Scarred) instead of SSG 08 | Hand Brake (Field-Tested); Galil AR | Control: Factory New instead of Minimal Wear; MAG-7 | Resupply (Minimal Wear): float at most 0.077955 instead of 0.088526
Craft 3161730 · The Clutch Collection + The Fever Collection · profit 0.48$ · invest 1.01$
P2000 | Urban Hazard (Minimal Wear) instead of SSG 08 | Hand Brake (Field-Tested); Galil AR | Control: Factory New instead of Minimal Wear; MAG-7 | Resupply (Minimal Wear): float at most 0.076086 instead of 0.088526
Craft 3168271 · The Fever Collection + The Spectrum Collection · profit 0.47$ · invest 1.32$
rare inputs

Sawed-Off | Zander (Minimal Wear) instead of SSG 08 | Hand Brake (Field-Tested); Galil AR | Control: Factory New instead of Minimal Wear; P90 | Wave Breaker: Factory New instead of Minimal Wear; MAG-7 | Resupply (Minimal Wear): float at most 0.078491 instead of 0.088526
Craft 3167982 · The Fever Collection + The Radiant Collection · profit 0.47$ · invest 0.95$
MP9 | Shredded (Field-Tested) instead of SSG 08 | Hand Brake (Field-Tested); Zeus x27 | Tosai: Minimal Wear instead of Factory New; MAG-7 | Resupply (Minimal Wear): float at most 0.081947 instead of 0.088526
Craft 3151770 · The Arabesque Collection + The Fever Collection · profit 0.46$ · invest 1.23$
Sawed-Off | Lunar Wyrm (Field-Tested) instead of SSG 08 | Hand Brake (Field-Tested)
Craft 3158688 · The Chroma 2 Collection + The Fever Collection · profit 0.46$ · invest 1.09$
Negev | Man-o'-war (Minimal Wear) instead of SSG 08 | Hand Brake (Field-Tested); Galil AR | Control: Factory New instead of Minimal Wear; MAG-7 | Resupply (Minimal Wear): float at most 0.086137 instead of 0.088526
Craft 3168196 · The Fever Collection + The Snakebite Collection · profit 0.45$ · invest 1.11$
M249 | O.S.I.P.R. (Minimal Wear) instead of SSG 08 | Hand Brake (Field-Tested); Galil AR | Control: Factory New instead of Minimal Wear; MAG-7 | Resupply (Minimal Wear): float at most 0.078968 instead of 0.088526
Craft 3161731 · The Clutch Collection + The Fever Collection · profit 0.45$ · invest 1.01$
MP9 | Black Sand (Field-Tested) instead of SSG 08 | Hand Brake (Field-Tested); Galil AR | Control: Factory New instead of Minimal Wear; MAG-7 | Resupply (Minimal Wear): float at most 0.077999 instead of 0.088526
Craft 3167992 · The Fever Collection + The Recoil Collection · profit 0.45$ · invest 1.16$
Galil AR | Destroyer (Factory New) instead of SSG 08 | Hand Brake (Field-Tested); Galil AR | Control: Factory New instead of Minimal Wear; P90 | Wave Breaker: Factory New instead of Minimal Wear; MAG-7 | Resupply (Minimal Wear): float at most 0.080932 instead of 0.088526

How to read these numbers

Fees. Steam adds 15% to the seller's price, so the seller gets the listing price divided by 1,15. Multiplying by 0,85 is wrong.

The outcome can only be sold after a week. Inputs bought on Steam go into the contract right away. The outcome can also be crafted further without waiting, but Sell it is possible only after seven days. Over a week the price may change, so the amount shown remains an estimate at calculation time.

Prices are conservative. Sales are counted at the lower of the listing price and the sale price. Purchases are counted at the cheapest listing, which is a lower bound. You cannot buy ten at that price: each next listing costs more. «Check floats on Steam» shows the real purchase price.

The 2018 Inferno Collection + The Fever Collection

How to build i Ways to build 5 ways: the best first, then from the most accessible. Click a tab and the numbers below are recalculated for that way.

What you get 8 outcomes

More

How to build