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The 2018 Inferno Collection + The Vanguard Collection

Mil-Spec Grade → Restricted

Prices by float: ночной проверки нет, числа ниже — оценка с учётом float

Average profit at most · with float −405.06₴

Invest at least 778.07₴

Average return 373.01₴

ROI −52.1%

Chance of profit 2%

With float: invest at least 778.07 ₴, profit at most −405.06 ₴

float premium: at least 460 ₴

To build: medium

Check:

To calculator I have items + a third collection

Buy on Sell on

How to build

Less than 1% of lots fit: not enough for a contract, the price is understated

×2

SSG 08 | Hand Brake

Field-Tested

buy 0.1500–0.1736

49.50 ₴

at 24.75

Steam

×7

Sawed-Off | Brake Light

Factory New

buy 0.0000–0.0032

232.03 ₴

at 33.15

Steam

×1

UMP-45 | Delusion

Field-Tested

buy 0.1500–0.1763

35.64 ₴

at 35.64

Steam

Set · 10 pcs 317.18 ₴ +55.83 (+17.6%)

≈1% of lots fit: not enough for a contract, the price is understated

×8

Sawed-Off | Brake Light

Factory New

buy 0.0000–0.0029

265.18 ₴

at 33.15

Steam

×1

UMP-45 | Delusion

Field-Tested

buy 0.1500–0.1763

35.64 ₴

at 35.64

Steam

×1

G3SG1 | Murky

Minimal Wear

buy 0.0700–0.0832

41.03 ₴

at 41.03

Steam

Set · 10 pcs 341.85 ₴ +40.72 (+11.9%)

What you get 7 outcomes

Profitable outcome 65%
Losing outcome 35%

in profit

AK-47 | Safety Net

Factory New

float up to 0.061764

524.07 ₴ 30.00%

Steam

in profit

MP7 | Fade

Factory New

float up to 0.025735

577.97 ₴ 30.00%

pricier variants exist lots by number

Steam

at a loss

P250 | Vino Primo

Minimal Wear

float up to 0.102941

151.86 ₴ 30.00%

Steam

in profit

Glock-18 | Grinder

Factory New

float up to 0.043676

405.84 ₴ 2.50%

Steam

at a loss

M4A4 | Griffin

Minimal Wear

float up to 0.082352

299.55 ₴ 2.50%

Steam

in profit

best

M4A1-S | Basilisk

Factory New

float up to 0.069999

1 299.15 ₴ 2.50%

Steam

at a loss

worst

Sawed-Off | Highwayman

Minimal Wear

float up to 0.102941

107.21 ₴ 2.50%

price without deals

Steam

Craft variants

Variant 1 this one The 2018 Inferno Collection + The Vanguard Collection

Variant 2 The Train 2025 Collection instead of The Vanguard Collection Variant 3 only The Vanguard Collection Variant 4 The Wildfire Collection instead of The 2018 Inferno Collection Variant 5 The Winter Offensive Collection instead of The 2018 Inferno Collection Variant 6 The eSports 2013 Winter Collection instead of The 2018 Inferno Collection

In a week, when the outcome can be sold from outcome price history

In a bad week −10.64 ₴ a worse week happens one time in ten

In a typical week +18.89 ₴ historical median

If you repeat 10 000 simulations over the outcome odds

Attempts: 10

I already have items Enter their float and the site will pick what to buy

Mix in a collection

Items of this craft's collections of the right rarity fit: The 2018 Inferno Collection and The Vanguard Collection — and of the mixed-in collection: enter its items with float, your own or ones you want to buy. Its share in the set equals its share in the chances. Your own items are counted in the profit at market price, because you could sell them. The money needed to buy the rest is shown separately.

Third collection Add a third collection to the craft's two and see whether it gets more profitable

All splits of inputs across three collections are tried (1/1/8, 5/3/2 and the rest) and all outcome wears. The best set is shown for each collection. “Find the best” first quickly scores all collections and then calculates exactly the five best by the quick score.

Similar 1 craft almost like this one

One of three things counts as similar. The same set with a different wear of cheap outcomes: profit and investment differ by less than 0,5%. The same nine items with a different tenth: profit differs by no more than 10%, investment by 20%. The same main half, whose outcomes make the profit, with a different filler: profit lower by no more than a quarter, investment cheaper by no more than a quarter.

Craft 3144425 · The 2018 Inferno Collection + The Wildfire Collection · profit 54.46₴ · invest 318.87₴
rare inputs pricier variants exist

SSG 08 | Necropos (Field-Tested) instead of UMP-45 | Delusion (Field-Tested); Sawed-Off | Brake Light (Factory New): float at most 0.004032 instead of 0.003211

How to read these numbers

Fees. Steam adds 15% to the seller's price, so the seller gets the listing price divided by 1,15. Multiplying by 0,85 is wrong.

The outcome can only be sold after a week. Inputs bought on Steam go into the contract right away. The outcome can also be crafted further without waiting, but Sell it is possible only after seven days. Over a week the price may change, so the amount shown remains an estimate at calculation time.

Prices are conservative. Sales are counted at the lower of the listing price and the sale price. Purchases are counted at the cheapest listing, which is a lower bound. You cannot buy ten at that price: each next listing costs more. «Check floats on Steam» shows the real purchase price.

The 2018 Inferno Collection + The Vanguard Collection

How to build i Ways to build 3 ways: the best first, then from the most accessible. Click a tab and the numbers below are recalculated for that way.

What you get 7 outcomes

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How to build