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The 2018 Inferno Collection + The Wildfire Collection

Mil-Spec Grade → Restricted

Average profit +99.02₽

Invest 579.78₽

Average return 678.80₽

ROI +17.1%

Chance of profit 64%

With float: invest at least 1 421.36 ₽, profit at most −742.56 ₽

float premium: at least 836 ₽

To build: medium

Check:

To calculator I have items + a third collection

Buy on Sell on

How to build

Less than 1% of lots fit: not enough for a contract, the price is understated

×2

SSG 08 | Hand Brake

Field-Tested

buy 0.1500–0.1736

90.00 ₽

at 45.00

Steam

×7

Sawed-Off | Brake Light

Factory New

buy 0.0000–0.0040

421.89 ₽

at 60.27

Steam

×1

SSG 08 | Necropos

Field-Tested

buy 0.1500–0.1747

67.89 ₽

at 67.89

Steam

Set · 10 pcs 579.78 ₽ +99.02 (+17.1%)

Less than 1% of lots fit: not enough for a contract, the price is understated

×1

SSG 08 | Hand Brake

Field-Tested

buy 0.1500–0.1660

45.00 ₽

at 45.00

Steam

×7

Sawed-Off | Brake Light

Factory New

buy 0.0000–0.0040

421.89 ₽

at 60.27

Steam

×2

SSG 08 | Necropos

Field-Tested

buy 0.1500–0.1782

135.78 ₽

at 67.89

Steam

Set · 10 pcs 602.67 ₽ +94.10 (+15.6%)

≈1% of lots fit: not enough for a contract, the price is understated

×4

Sawed-Off | Brake Light

Factory New

buy 0.0000–0.0033

241.08 ₽

at 60.27

Steam

×2

SSG 08 | Necropos

Field-Tested

buy 0.1500–0.1782

135.78 ₽

at 67.89

Steam

×4

Tec-9 | Jambiya

Minimal Wear

buy 0.0700–0.0872

389.16 ₽

at 97.29

Steam

Set · 10 pcs 766.02 ₽ +2.63 (+0.3%)

≈1% of lots fit: not enough for a contract, the price is understated

×6

Sawed-Off | Brake Light

Factory New

buy 0.0000–0.0033

361.62 ₽

at 60.27

Steam

×3

SSG 08 | Necropos

Field-Tested

buy 0.1500–0.1817

203.67 ₽

at 67.89

Steam

×1

Tec-9 | Jambiya

Minimal Wear

buy 0.0700–0.0802

97.29 ₽

at 97.29

Steam

Set · 10 pcs 662.58 ₽ +70.13 (+10.6%)

What you get 8 outcomes

Profitable outcome 64%
Losing outcome 36%

in profit

AK-47 | Safety Net

Factory New

float up to 0.052499

952.88 ₽ 30.00%

Steam

in profit

MP7 | Fade

Factory New

float up to 0.021874

1 050.88 ₽ 30.00%

pricier variants exist lots by number

Steam

at a loss

worst

P250 | Vino Primo

Minimal Wear

float up to 0.087499

276.12 ₽ 30.00%

Steam

in profit

best

FAMAS | Valence

Factory New

float up to 0.069999

2 414.61 ₽ 2.00%

Steam

in profit

Five-SeveN | Triumvirate

Factory New

float up to 0.053374

991.27 ₽ 2.00%

Steam

at a loss

Glock-18 | Royal Legion

Minimal Wear

float up to 0.087499

437.50 ₽ 2.00%

Steam

at a loss

MAG-7 | Praetorian

Factory New

float up to 0.039374

468.99 ₽ 2.00%

Steam

at a loss

MP7 | Impire

Factory New

float up to 0.034999

520.64 ₽ 2.00%

Steam

Craft variants

Variant 1 this one The 2018 Inferno Collection + The Wildfire Collection

Variant 2 The Train 2025 Collection instead of The Wildfire Collection Variant 3 The 2018 Nuke Collection instead of The Wildfire Collection Variant 4 The Glove Collection instead of The Wildfire Collection Variant 5 The Vanguard Collection instead of The Wildfire Collection Variant 6 The Anubis Collection instead of The Wildfire Collection

In a week, when the outcome can be sold from outcome price history

In a bad week −20.29 ₽ a worse week happens one time in ten

In a typical week +31.27 ₽ historical median

If you repeat 10 000 simulations over the outcome odds

Attempts: 10

I already have items Enter their float and the site will pick what to buy

Mix in a collection

Items of this craft's collections of the right rarity fit: The 2018 Inferno Collection and The Wildfire Collection — and of the mixed-in collection: enter its items with float, your own or ones you want to buy. Its share in the set equals its share in the chances. Your own items are counted in the profit at market price, because you could sell them. The money needed to buy the rest is shown separately.

Third collection Add a third collection to the craft's two and see whether it gets more profitable

All splits of inputs across three collections are tried (1/1/8, 5/3/2 and the rest) and all outcome wears. The best set is shown for each collection. “Find the best” first quickly scores all collections and then calculates exactly the five best by the quick score.

Similar 1 craft almost like this one

One of three things counts as similar. The same set with a different wear of cheap outcomes: profit and investment differ by less than 0,5%. The same nine items with a different tenth: profit differs by no more than 10%, investment by 20%. The same main half, whose outcomes make the profit, with a different filler: profit lower by no more than a quarter, investment cheaper by no more than a quarter.

Craft 3144415 · The 2018 Inferno Collection + The Vanguard Collection · profit 101.52₽ · invest 576.70₽
rare inputs pricier variants exist

UMP-45 | Delusion (Field-Tested) instead of SSG 08 | Necropos (Field-Tested); Sawed-Off | Brake Light (Factory New): float at most 0.003211 instead of 0.004032

How to read these numbers

Fees. Steam adds 15% to the seller's price, so the seller gets the listing price divided by 1,15. Multiplying by 0,85 is wrong.

The outcome can only be sold after a week. Inputs bought on Steam go into the contract right away. The outcome can also be crafted further without waiting, but Sell it is possible only after seven days. Over a week the price may change, so the amount shown remains an estimate at calculation time.

Prices are conservative. Sales are counted at the lower of the listing price and the sale price. Purchases are counted at the cheapest listing, which is a lower bound. You cannot buy ten at that price: each next listing costs more. «Check floats on Steam» shows the real purchase price.

The 2018 Inferno Collection + The Wildfire Collection

How to build i Ways to build 5 ways: the best first, then from the most accessible. Click a tab and the numbers below are recalculated for that way.

What you get 8 outcomes

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How to build