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The 2018 Inferno Collection + The eSports 2013 Winter Collection

Mil-Spec Grade → Restricted

Prices by float: ночной проверки нет, числа ниже — оценка с учётом float

Average profit at most · with float −10.04$

Invest at least 21.36$

Average return 11.31$

ROI −47.0%

Chance of profit 5%

With float: invest at least 21.36 $, profit at most −10.04 $

float premium: at least 13 $

To build: medium

Check:

To calculator I have items + a third collection

Buy on Sell on

How to build

Less than 1% of lots fit: not enough for a contract, the price is understated

×1

SSG 08 | Hand Brake

Field-Tested

buy 0.1500–0.1660

0.55 $

at 0.55

Steam

×8

Sawed-Off | Brake Light

Factory New

buy 0.0000–0.0036

5.88 $

at 0.74

Steam

×1

PP-Bizon | Water Sigil

Minimal Wear

buy 0.0700–0.0841

2.29 $

at 2.29

Steam

Set · 10 pcs 8.72 $ +2.60 (+29.8%)

What you get 5 outcomes

Profitable outcome 95%
Losing outcome 0%
About break-even 5%

in profit

AK-47 | Safety Net

Factory New

float up to 0.041999

11.62 $ 30.00%

Steam

in profit

MP7 | Fade

Factory New

float up to 0.017499

12.82 $ 30.00%

pricier variants exist lots by number

Steam

in profit

P250 | Vino Primo

Factory New

float up to 0.069999

12.84 $ 30.00%

Steam

in profit

best

AK-47 | Blue Laminate

Factory New

float up to 0.046599

26.59 $ 5.00%

Steam

about break-even

worst

P90 | Blind Spot

Factory New

float up to 0.034999

9.90 $ 5.00%

price without deals

Steam

Craft variants

Variant 1 this one The 2018 Inferno Collection + The eSports 2013 Winter Collection

Variant 2 The Train 2025 Collection instead of The eSports 2013 Winter Collection Variant 3 The 2018 Nuke Collection instead of The eSports 2013 Winter Collection Variant 4 The Glove Collection instead of The eSports 2013 Winter Collection Variant 5 The Vanguard Collection instead of The eSports 2013 Winter Collection Variant 6 The Anubis Collection instead of The eSports 2013 Winter Collection

In a week, when the outcome can be sold from outcome price history

In a bad week +0.06 $ a worse week happens one time in ten

In a typical week +1.18 $ historical median

If you repeat 10 000 simulations over the outcome odds

Attempts: 10

I already have items Enter their float and the site will pick what to buy

Mix in a collection

Items of this craft's collections of the right rarity fit: The 2018 Inferno Collection and The eSports 2013 Winter Collection — and of the mixed-in collection: enter its items with float, your own or ones you want to buy. Its share in the set equals its share in the chances. Your own items are counted in the profit at market price, because you could sell them. The money needed to buy the rest is shown separately.

Third collection Add a third collection to the craft's two and see whether it gets more profitable

All splits of inputs across three collections are tried (1/1/8, 5/3/2 and the rest) and all outcome wears. The best set is shown for each collection. “Find the best” first quickly scores all collections and then calculates exactly the five best by the quick score.

Similar 1 craft almost like this one

One of three things counts as similar. The same set with a different wear of cheap outcomes: profit and investment differ by less than 0,5%. The same nine items with a different tenth: profit differs by no more than 10%, investment by 20%. The same main half, whose outcomes make the profit, with a different filler: profit lower by no more than a quarter, investment cheaper by no more than a quarter.

Craft 3144420 · The 2018 Inferno Collection + The Vertigo Collection · profit 2.42$ · invest 8.65$
sells slowly rare inputs pricier variants exist

Souvenir P90 | Glacier Mesh (Field-Tested) instead of PP-Bizon | Water Sigil (Minimal Wear); Sawed-Off | Brake Light (Factory New): float at most 0.003701 instead of 0.003656

How to read these numbers

Fees. Steam adds 15% to the seller's price, so the seller gets the listing price divided by 1,15. Multiplying by 0,85 is wrong.

The outcome can only be sold after a week. Inputs bought on Steam go into the contract right away. The outcome can also be crafted further without waiting, but Sell it is possible only after seven days. Over a week the price may change, so the amount shown remains an estimate at calculation time.

Prices are conservative. Sales are counted at the lower of the listing price and the sale price. Purchases are counted at the cheapest listing, which is a lower bound. You cannot buy ten at that price: each next listing costs more. «Check floats on Steam» shows the real purchase price.

The 2018 Inferno Collection + The eSports 2013 Winter Collection

How to build i Ways to build 2 ways: the best first, then from the most accessible. Click a tab and the numbers below are recalculated for that way.

What you get 5 outcomes

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How to build