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The 2018 Nuke Collection + The Falchion Collection

Mil-Spec Grade → Restricted

Average profit +3 312.42₸

Invest 6 381.52₸

Average return 9 693.95₸

ROI +51.9%

Chance of profit 32%

With float: invest at least 15 537.33 ₸, profit at most −5 843.39 ₸

float premium: at least 9 045 ₸

To build: medium

A more profitable set was dropped: +3 321.29 ₸ по средним

Check:

To calculator I have items + a third collection

Buy on Sell on

How to build

≈1% of lots fit: not enough for a contract, the price is understated

×4

P250 | Exchanger

Minimal Wear

buy 0.0700–0.0813

939.81 ₸

at 234.95

Steam

×5

MP5-SD | Co-Processor

Factory New

buy 0.0000–0.0043

5 034.19 ₸

at 1 006.84

Steam

×1

UMP-45 | Riot

Factory New

buy 0.0000–0.0043

407.53 ₸

at 407.53

Steam

Set · 10 pcs 6 381.52 ₸ +3 312.42 (+51.9%)

What you get 8 outcomes

Profitable outcome 32%
Losing outcome 68%

at a loss

AUG | Random Access

Factory New

float up to 0.034999

5 751.35 ₸ 30.00%

Steam

in profit

best

Glock-18 | Nuclear Garden

Factory New

float up to 0.048999

24 171.80 ₸ 30.00%

Steam

at a loss

MAG-7 | Core Breach

Factory New

float up to 0.069999

6 073.96 ₸ 30.00%

Steam

at a loss

FAMAS | Neural Net

Factory New

float up to 0.041999

2 732.16 ₸ 2.00%

Steam

in profit

P2000 | Handgun

Factory New

float up to 0.069999

8 274.93 ₸ 2.00%

price without deals

Steam

at a loss

M4A4 | Evil Daimyo

Factory New

float up to 0.036399

3 683.35 ₸ 2.00%

Steam

at a loss

MP9 | Ruby Poison Dart

Factory New

float up to 0.034999

2 321.67 ₸ 2.00%

Steam

at a loss

worst

Negev | Loudmouth

Field-Tested

float up to 0.175699

433.03 ₸ 2.00%

Steam

Craft variants

Variant 1 this one The 2018 Nuke Collection + The Falchion Collection

Variant 2 The Train 2025 Collection instead of The Falchion Collection Variant 3 The Train 2025 Collection instead of The 2018 Nuke Collection Variant 4 The Vanguard Collection instead of The Falchion Collection Variant 5 The Gamma 2 Collection instead of The Falchion Collection Variant 6 The Overpass Collection instead of The Falchion Collection

In a week, when the outcome can be sold from outcome price history

In a bad week +1 789.28 ₸ a worse week happens one time in ten

In a typical week +2 673.44 ₸ historical median

If you repeat 10 000 simulations over the outcome odds

Attempts: 10

I already have items Enter their float and the site will pick what to buy

Mix in a collection

Items of this craft's collections of the right rarity fit: The 2018 Nuke Collection and The Falchion Collection — and of the mixed-in collection: enter its items with float, your own or ones you want to buy. Its share in the set equals its share in the chances. Your own items are counted in the profit at market price, because you could sell them. The money needed to buy the rest is shown separately.

Third collection Add a third collection to the craft's two and see whether it gets more profitable

All splits of inputs across three collections are tried (1/1/8, 5/3/2 and the rest) and all outcome wears. The best set is shown for each collection. “Find the best” first quickly scores all collections and then calculates exactly the five best by the quick score.

Similar 16 crafts almost like this one

One of three things counts as similar. The same set with a different wear of cheap outcomes: profit and investment differ by less than 0,5%. The same nine items with a different tenth: profit differs by no more than 10%, investment by 20%. The same main half, whose outcomes make the profit, with a different filler: profit lower by no more than a quarter, investment cheaper by no more than a quarter.

Craft 3145160 · The 2018 Nuke Collection + The Sport & Field Collection · profit 3 473.91₸ · invest 6 280.41₸
sells slowly pricier variants exist

P250 | Small Game (Factory New) instead of UMP-45 | Riot (Factory New)
Craft 3144964 · The 2018 Nuke Collection + The Operation Broken Fang Collection · profit 3 430.76₸ · invest 6 906.36₸
sells slowly rare inputs

P90 | Cocoa Rampage (Factory New) instead of UMP-45 | Riot (Factory New); MP5-SD | Co-Processor (Factory New): float at most 0.004248 instead of 0.004336
Craft 3144655 · The 2018 Nuke Collection + The CS20 Collection · profit 3 425.90₸ · invest 6 190.12₸
sells slowly rare inputs

SCAR-20 | Assault (Factory New) instead of UMP-45 | Riot (Factory New); MP5-SD | Co-Processor (Factory New): float at most 0.004267 instead of 0.004336
Craft 3145008 · The 2018 Nuke Collection + The Phoenix Collection · profit 3 407.55₸ · invest 6 231.38₸
sells slowly rare inputs

UMP-45 | Corporal (Minimal Wear) instead of UMP-45 | Riot (Factory New); MP5-SD | Co-Processor (Factory New): float at most 0.000772 instead of 0.004336
Craft 3145015 · The 2018 Nuke Collection + The Prisma 2 Collection · profit 3 400.62₸ · invest 6 169.99₸
sells slowly

R8 Revolver | Bone Forged (Factory New) instead of UMP-45 | Riot (Factory New); MP5-SD | Co-Processor (Factory New): float at most 0.004248 instead of 0.004336
Craft 3144805 · The 2018 Nuke Collection + The Gallery Collection · profit 3 335.45₸ · invest 6 308.48₸
sells slowly rare inputs

SCAR-20 | Trail Blazer (Factory New) instead of UMP-45 | Riot (Factory New); MP5-SD | Co-Processor (Factory New): float at most 0.004338 instead of 0.004336
Craft 3145055 · The 2018 Nuke Collection + The Recoil Collection · profit 3 329.95₸ · invest 6 144.33₸
sells slowly

Galil AR | Destroyer (Factory New) instead of UMP-45 | Riot (Factory New)
Craft 3145065 · The 2018 Nuke Collection + The Revolution Collection · profit 3 329.34₸ · invest 6 133.27₸
sells slowly

SCAR-20 | Fragments (Factory New) instead of UMP-45 | Riot (Factory New); MP5-SD | Co-Processor (Factory New): float at most 0.004393 instead of 0.004336
Craft 3145145 · The 2018 Nuke Collection + The Spectrum Collection · profit 3 323.30₸ · invest 6 216.44₸
sells slowly rare inputs

Sawed-Off | Zander (Minimal Wear) instead of UMP-45 | Riot (Factory New); MP5-SD | Co-Processor (Factory New): float at most 0.001864 instead of 0.004336
Craft 3144732 · The 2018 Nuke Collection + The Dead Hand Collection · profit 3 269.59₸ · invest 6 317.18₸
sells slowly

Sawed-Off | Fusion (Factory New) instead of UMP-45 | Riot (Factory New); MP5-SD | Co-Processor (Factory New): float at most 0.004505 instead of 0.004336
Craft 3144830 · The 2018 Nuke Collection + The Genesis Collection · profit 3 252.05₸ · invest 6 335.18₸
sells slowly

MAG-7 | MAGnitude (Factory New) instead of UMP-45 | Riot (Factory New); MP5-SD | Co-Processor (Factory New): float at most 0.004505 instead of 0.004336
Craft 3144973 · The 2018 Nuke Collection + The Operation Riptide Collection · profit 3 230.39₸ · invest 7 126.43₸
sells slowly rare inputs

G3SG1 | Keeping Tabs (Factory New) instead of UMP-45 | Riot (Factory New); MP5-SD | Co-Processor (Factory New): float at most 0.004155 instead of 0.004336
Craft 3144782 · The 2018 Nuke Collection + The Fever Collection · profit 3 229.70₸ · invest 6 257.75₸
sells slowly rare inputs

MAG-7 | Resupply (Factory New) instead of UMP-45 | Riot (Factory New); MP5-SD | Co-Processor (Factory New): float at most 0.004505 instead of 0.004336
Craft 3145174 · The 2018 Nuke Collection + The Spy Tech Collection · profit 3 198.18₸ · invest 6 912.98₸
sells slowly rare inputs

R8 Revolver | Monarch (Factory New) instead of UMP-45 | Riot (Factory New); MP5-SD | Co-Processor (Factory New): float at most 0.004505 instead of 0.004336
Craft 3145222 · The 2018 Nuke Collection + The Wildfire Collection · profit 3 175.39₸ · invest 6 909.32₸
sells slowly rare inputs

MAC-10 | Lapis Gator (Factory New) instead of UMP-45 | Riot (Factory New); MP5-SD | Co-Processor (Factory New): float at most 0.004130 instead of 0.004336
Craft 3144565 · The 2018 Nuke Collection + The Arabesque Collection · profit 3 147.60₸ · invest 6 897.44₸
sells slowly

Sawed-Off | Lunar Wyrm (Factory New) instead of UMP-45 | Riot (Factory New); MP5-SD | Co-Processor (Factory New): float at most 0.004505 instead of 0.004336

How to read these numbers

Fees. Steam adds 15% to the seller's price, so the seller gets the listing price divided by 1,15. Multiplying by 0,85 is wrong.

The outcome can only be sold after a week. Inputs bought on Steam go into the contract right away. The outcome can also be crafted further without waiting, but Sell it is possible only after seven days. Over a week the price may change, so the amount shown remains an estimate at calculation time.

Prices are conservative. Sales are counted at the lower of the listing price and the sale price. Purchases are counted at the cheapest listing, which is a lower bound. You cannot buy ten at that price: each next listing costs more. «Check floats on Steam» shows the real purchase price.

The 2018 Nuke Collection + The Falchion Collection

How to build i Ways to build 1 way: the best first, then from the most accessible. Click a tab and the numbers below are recalculated for that way.

What you get 8 outcomes

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How to build