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The 2018 Nuke Collection + The Harlequin Collection

Mil-Spec Grade → Restricted

Average profit +299.67₴

Invest 315.56₴

Average return 615.23₴

ROI +95.0%

Chance of profit 70%

With float: invest at least 778.36 ₴, profit at most −163.13 ₴

float premium: at least 456 ₴

To build: medium

Check:

To calculator I have items + a third collection

Buy on Sell on

How to build

≈1% of lots fit: not enough for a contract, the price is understated

×4

P250 | Exchanger

Minimal Wear

buy 0.0700–0.0813

94.47 ₴

at 23.62

Steam

×6

UMP-45 | Warm Blooded

Factory New

buy 0.0000–0.0057

221.09 ₴

at 36.85

Steam

Set · 10 pcs 315.56 ₴ +299.67 (+95.0%)

≈1% of lots fit: not enough for a contract, the price is understated

×4

P250 | Exchanger

Minimal Wear

buy 0.0700–0.0813

94.47 ₴

at 23.62

Steam

×1

MP5-SD | Co-Processor

Factory New

buy 0.0000–0.0054

101.20 ₴

at 101.20

Steam

×5

UMP-45 | Warm Blooded

Factory New

buy 0.0000–0.0054

184.24 ₴

at 36.85

Steam

Set · 10 pcs 379.91 ₴ +307.57 (+81.0%)

≈1% of lots fit: not enough for a contract, the price is understated

×4

P250 | Exchanger

Minimal Wear

buy 0.0700–0.0813

94.47 ₴

at 23.62

Steam

×2

MP5-SD | Co-Processor

Factory New

buy 0.0000–0.0051

202.41 ₴

at 101.20

Steam

×4

UMP-45 | Warm Blooded

Factory New

buy 0.0000–0.0051

147.40 ₴

at 36.85

Steam

Set · 10 pcs 444.27 ₴ +315.48 (+71.0%)

≈1% of lots fit: not enough for a contract, the price is understated

×4

P250 | Exchanger

Minimal Wear

buy 0.0700–0.0813

94.47 ₴

at 23.62

Steam

×3

MP5-SD | Co-Processor

Factory New

buy 0.0000–0.0048

303.61 ₴

at 101.20

Steam

×3

UMP-45 | Warm Blooded

Factory New

buy 0.0000–0.0048

110.55 ₴

at 36.85

Steam

Set · 10 pcs 508.62 ₴ +323.38 (+63.6%)

≈1% of lots fit: not enough for a contract, the price is understated

×4

P250 | Exchanger

Minimal Wear

buy 0.0700–0.0813

94.47 ₴

at 23.62

Steam

×4

MP5-SD | Co-Processor

Factory New

buy 0.0000–0.0045

404.81 ₴

at 101.20

Steam

×2

UMP-45 | Warm Blooded

Factory New

buy 0.0000–0.0045

73.70 ₴

at 36.85

Steam

Set · 10 pcs 572.97 ₴ +331.28 (+57.8%)

What you get 5 outcomes

Profitable outcome 70%
Losing outcome 0%
About break-even 30%

in profit

AWP | Exothermic

Factory New

float up to 0.048999

392.77 ₴ 30.00%

Steam

about break-even

worst

USP-S | Sleeping Potion

Factory New

float up to 0.048999

357.49 ₴ 30.00%

Steam

in profit

AUG | Random Access

Factory New

float up to 0.034999

578.10 ₴ 13.33%

Steam

in profit

best

Glock-18 | Nuclear Garden

Factory New

float up to 0.048999

2 429.64 ₴ 13.33%

Steam

in profit

MAG-7 | Core Breach

Factory New

float up to 0.069999

610.53 ₴ 13.33%

Steam

Craft variants

Variant 1 this one The 2018 Nuke Collection + The Harlequin Collection

Variant 2 The Train 2025 Collection instead of The Harlequin Collection Variant 3 The Train 2025 Collection instead of The 2018 Nuke Collection Variant 4 The Vanguard Collection instead of The Harlequin Collection Variant 5 The Gamma 2 Collection instead of The Harlequin Collection Variant 6 The Overpass Collection instead of The Harlequin Collection

In a week, when the outcome can be sold from outcome price history

In a bad week +211.78 ₴ a worse week happens one time in ten

In a typical week +261.38 ₴ historical median

If you repeat 10 000 simulations over the outcome odds

Attempts: 10

I already have items Enter their float and the site will pick what to buy

Mix in a collection

Items of this craft's collections of the right rarity fit: The 2018 Nuke Collection and The Harlequin Collection — and of the mixed-in collection: enter its items with float, your own or ones you want to buy. Its share in the set equals its share in the chances. Your own items are counted in the profit at market price, because you could sell them. The money needed to buy the rest is shown separately.

Third collection Add a third collection to the craft's two and see whether it gets more profitable

All splits of inputs across three collections are tried (1/1/8, 5/3/2 and the rest) and all outcome wears. The best set is shown for each collection. “Find the best” first quickly scores all collections and then calculates exactly the five best by the quick score.

Similar 3 crafts almost like this one

One of three things counts as similar. The same set with a different wear of cheap outcomes: profit and investment differ by less than 0,5%. The same nine items with a different tenth: profit differs by no more than 10%, investment by 20%. The same main half, whose outcomes make the profit, with a different filler: profit lower by no more than a quarter, investment cheaper by no more than a quarter.

Craft 3145112 · The 2018 Nuke Collection + The Shadow Collection · profit 299.53₴ · invest 317.50₴
sells slowly rare inputs

XM1014 | Scumbria (Minimal Wear), MAC-10 | Rangeen (Factory New) instead of UMP-45 | Warm Blooded (Factory New); MAG-7 | Core Breach: Minimal Wear instead of Factory New; P250 | Exchanger (Minimal Wear): float at most 0.074575 instead of 0.081304
Craft 3144807 · The 2018 Nuke Collection + The Gallery Collection · profit 270.49₴ · invest 262.13₴
rare inputs

SCAR-20 | Trail Blazer (Minimal Wear), SCAR-20 | Trail Blazer (Factory New) instead of UMP-45 | Warm Blooded (Factory New); MAG-7 | Core Breach: Minimal Wear instead of Factory New; P250 | Exchanger (Minimal Wear): float at most 0.074060 instead of 0.081304
Craft 3144806 · The 2018 Nuke Collection + The Gallery Collection · profit 242.05₴ · invest 246.69₴
rare inputs

M249 | Hypnosis (Minimal Wear), SCAR-20 | Trail Blazer (Factory New) instead of UMP-45 | Warm Blooded (Factory New); MAG-7 | Core Breach: Minimal Wear instead of Factory New; P250 | Exchanger (Minimal Wear): float at most 0.077020 instead of 0.081304

How to read these numbers

Fees. Steam adds 15% to the seller's price, so the seller gets the listing price divided by 1,15. Multiplying by 0,85 is wrong.

The outcome can only be sold after a week. Inputs bought on Steam go into the contract right away. The outcome can also be crafted further without waiting, but Sell it is possible only after seven days. Over a week the price may change, so the amount shown remains an estimate at calculation time.

Prices are conservative. Sales are counted at the lower of the listing price and the sale price. Purchases are counted at the cheapest listing, which is a lower bound. You cannot buy ten at that price: each next listing costs more. «Check floats on Steam» shows the real purchase price.

The 2018 Nuke Collection + The Harlequin Collection

How to build i Ways to build 5 ways: the best first, then from the most accessible. Click a tab and the numbers below are recalculated for that way.

What you get 5 outcomes

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How to build