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The 2021 Dust 2 Collection + The Train 2025 Collection

Mil-Spec Grade → Restricted

Average profit +39.23$

Invest 32.86$

Average return 72.09$

ROI +119.4%

Chance of profit 40%

With float: invest at least 81.18 $, profit at most −9.10 $

float premium: at least 48 $

To build: medium

Check:

To calculator I have items + a third collection

Buy on Sell on

How to build

≈2% of lots fit: the price is understated

×1

Souvenir P250 | Black & Tan

Factory New

buy 0.0000–0.0075

11.12 $

at 11.12

souvenirSteam

×9

XM1014 | Run Run Run

Factory New

buy 0.0000–0.0075

21.74 $

at 2.42

Steam

Set · 10 pcs 32.86 $ +39.23 (+119.4%)

What you get 6 outcomes

Profitable outcome 40%
Losing outcome 60%

at a loss

worst

MAC-10 | Derailment

Factory New

float up to 0.007446

11.03 $ 30.00%

Steam

at a loss

Zeus x27 | Charged Up

Factory New

float up to 0.010638

15.18 $ 30.00%

Steam

in profit

best

Tec-9 | Whiteout

Factory New

float up to 0.069999

213.34 $ 30.00%

Steam

in profit

M4A4 | Red DDPAT

Factory New

float up to 0.005319

177.40 $ 3.33%

price without deals

Steam

in profit

MAC-10 | Case Hardened

Factory New

float up to 0.010638

78.52 $ 3.33%

price without deals pricier variants exist lots by number

Steam

in profit

USP-S | Orange Anolis

Factory New

float up to 0.003936

75.16 $ 3.33%

Steam

Craft variants

Variant 1 this one The 2021 Dust 2 Collection + The Train 2025 Collection

Variant 2 only The Train 2025 Collection Variant 3 The eSports 2013 Collection instead of The 2021 Dust 2 Collection Variant 4 The eSports 2014 Summer Collection instead of The 2021 Dust 2 Collection Variant 5 The Vanguard Collection instead of The 2021 Dust 2 Collection Variant 6 The Winter Offensive Collection instead of The 2021 Dust 2 Collection

In a week, when the outcome can be sold from outcome price history

In a bad week +25.37 $ a worse week happens one time in ten

In a typical week +34.41 $ historical median

If you repeat 10 000 simulations over the outcome odds

Attempts: 10

I already have items Enter their float and the site will pick what to buy

Mix in a collection

Items of this craft's collections of the right rarity fit: The 2021 Dust 2 Collection and The Train 2025 Collection — and of the mixed-in collection: enter its items with float, your own or ones you want to buy. Its share in the set equals its share in the chances. Your own items are counted in the profit at market price, because you could sell them. The money needed to buy the rest is shown separately.

Third collection Add a third collection to the craft's two and see whether it gets more profitable

All splits of inputs across three collections are tried (1/1/8, 5/3/2 and the rest) and all outcome wears. The best set is shown for each collection. “Find the best” first quickly scores all collections and then calculates exactly the five best by the quick score.

Similar 1 craft almost like this one

One of three things counts as similar. The same set with a different wear of cheap outcomes: profit and investment differ by less than 0,5%. The same nine items with a different tenth: profit differs by no more than 10%, investment by 20%. The same main half, whose outcomes make the profit, with a different filler: profit lower by no more than a quarter, investment cheaper by no more than a quarter.

Craft 3157815 · The Cache Collection + The Train 2025 Collection · profit 39.43$ · invest 38.02$
sells slowly rare inputs

XM1014 | Bone Machine (Factory New) instead of Souvenir P250 | Black & Tan (Factory New); XM1014 | Run Run Run (Factory New): float at most 0.007752 instead of 0.007568

How to read these numbers

Fees. Steam adds 15% to the seller's price, so the seller gets the listing price divided by 1,15. Multiplying by 0,85 is wrong.

The outcome can only be sold after a week. Inputs bought on Steam go into the contract right away. The outcome can also be crafted further without waiting, but Sell it is possible only after seven days. Over a week the price may change, so the amount shown remains an estimate at calculation time.

Prices are conservative. Sales are counted at the lower of the listing price and the sale price. Purchases are counted at the cheapest listing, which is a lower bound. You cannot buy ten at that price: each next listing costs more. «Check floats on Steam» shows the real purchase price.

The 2021 Dust 2 Collection + The Train 2025 Collection

How to build i Ways to build 3 ways: the best first, then from the most accessible. Click a tab and the numbers below are recalculated for that way.

What you get 6 outcomes

More

How to build