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The 2021 Mirage Collection + The Ascent Collection

Industrial Grade → Mil-Spec Grade

Average profit +8.73₴

Invest 25.37₴

Average return 34.09₴

ROI +34.4%

Chance of profit 28%

With float: invest at least 60.51 ₴, profit at most −26.42 ₴

float premium: at least 28 ₴

To build: medium

A more profitable set was dropped: +10.00 ₴ по средним

Check:

To calculator I have items + a third collection

Buy on Sell on

How to build

Less than 1% of lots fit: the price is understated

×1

Souvenir Dual Berettas | Drift Wood

Field-Tested

buy 0.1500–0.1658

13.19 ₴

at 13.19

souvenirSteam

×9

Negev | Sour Grapes

Field-Tested

buy 0.1500–0.1658

12.18 ₴

at 1.35

Steam

Set · 10 pcs 25.37 ₴ +8.73 (+34.4%)

Profit on prices without sales: without them at least −3 ₴

Less than 1% of lots fit: not enough for a contract, the price is understated

×2

Souvenir Dual Berettas | Drift Wood

Field-Tested

buy 0.1500–0.1665

26.38 ₴

at 13.19

souvenirSteam

×7

Negev | Sour Grapes

Field-Tested

buy 0.1500–0.1665

9.47 ₴

at 1.35

Steam

×1

XM1014 | Gum Wall Camo

Minimal Wear

buy 0.0700–0.0780

2.75 ₴

at 2.75

Steam

Set · 10 pcs 38.60 ₴ +8.54 (+22.1%)

What you get 9 outcomes

Profitable outcome 28%
Losing outcome 72%

at a loss

Desert Eagle | Mint Fan

Minimal Wear

float up to 0.128571

23.07 ₴ 18.00%

Steam

in profit

FAMAS | Yeti Camo

Minimal Wear

float up to 0.149999

33.54 ₴ 18.00%

Steam

at a loss

worst

P2000 | Royal Baroque

Minimal Wear

float up to 0.128571

19.39 ₴ 18.00%

Steam

at a loss

MP9 | Cobalt Paisley

Minimal Wear

float up to 0.139285

22.32 ₴ 18.00%

Steam

at a loss

P90 | Reef Grief

Minimal Wear

float up to 0.128571

22.70 ₴ 18.00%

Steam

in profit

M249 | Humidor

Minimal Wear

float up to 0.107142

127.48 ₴ 2.50%

price without deals

Steam

in profit

MP9 | Music Box

Minimal Wear

float up to 0.117857

126.91 ₴ 2.50%

Steam

in profit

SG 553 | Desert Blossom

Minimal Wear

float up to 0.104999

138.98 ₴ 2.50%

price without deals

Steam

in profit

best

USP-S | Purple DDPAT

Minimal Wear

float up to 0.117857

303.48 ₴ 2.50%

Steam

Craft variants

Variant 1 this one The 2021 Mirage Collection + The Ascent Collection

Variant 2 The Ancient Collection instead of The Ascent Collection Variant 3 The Train 2025 Collection instead of The Ascent Collection Variant 4 only The 2021 Mirage Collection Variant 5 The Overpass 2024 Collection instead of The Ascent Collection Variant 6 The 2021 Vertigo Collection instead of The Ascent Collection

In a week, when the outcome can be sold from outcome price history

In a bad week +4.56 ₴ a worse week happens one time in ten

In a typical week +7.13 ₴ historical median

If you repeat 10 000 simulations over the outcome odds

Attempts: 10

I already have items Enter their float and the site will pick what to buy

Mix in a collection

Items of this craft's collections of the right rarity fit: The 2021 Mirage Collection and The Ascent Collection — and of the mixed-in collection: enter its items with float, your own or ones you want to buy. Its share in the set equals its share in the chances. Your own items are counted in the profit at market price, because you could sell them. The money needed to buy the rest is shown separately.

Third collection Add a third collection to the craft's two and see whether it gets more profitable

All splits of inputs across three collections are tried (1/1/8, 5/3/2 and the rest) and all outcome wears. The best set is shown for each collection. “Find the best” first quickly scores all collections and then calculates exactly the five best by the quick score.

How to read these numbers

Fees. Steam adds 15% to the seller's price, so the seller gets the listing price divided by 1,15. Multiplying by 0,85 is wrong.

The outcome can only be sold after a week. Inputs bought on Steam go into the contract right away. The outcome can also be crafted further without waiting, but Sell it is possible only after seven days. Over a week the price may change, so the amount shown remains an estimate at calculation time.

Prices are conservative. Sales are counted at the lower of the listing price and the sale price. Purchases are counted at the cheapest listing, which is a lower bound. You cannot buy ten at that price: each next listing costs more. «Check floats on Steam» shows the real purchase price.

The 2021 Mirage Collection + The Ascent Collection

How to build i Ways to build 2 ways: the best first, then from the most accessible. Click a tab and the numbers below are recalculated for that way.

What you get 9 outcomes

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How to build