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The 2021 Mirage Collection + The Harlequin Collection

Consumer Grade → Industrial Grade

Prices by float: ночной проверки нет, числа ниже — оценка с учётом float

Average profit at most · with float −12.31₴

Invest at least 44.33₴

Average return 32.01₴

ROI −27.8%

Chance of profit 40%

With float: invest at least 44.33 ₴, profit at most −12.31 ₴

float premium: at least 20 ₴

To build: medium

A more profitable set was dropped: +21.71 ₴ по средним

Check:

To calculator I have items + a third collection

Buy on Sell on

How to build

Less than 1% of lots fit: not enough for a contract, the price is understated

×2

Souvenir MAG-7 | Navy Sheen

Field-Tested

buy 0.1500–0.1589

4.00 ₴

at 2.00

souvenirSteam

×2

Souvenir SSG 08 | Prey

Minimal Wear

buy 0.0700–0.0782

5.40 ₴

at 2.70

souvenirSteam

×1

CZ75-Auto | Honey Paisley

Factory New

buy 0.0000–0.0027

1.62 ₴

at 1.62

Steam

×5

FAMAS | Byproduct

Factory New

buy 0.0000–0.0027

8.11 ₴

at 1.62

Steam

Set · 10 pcs 19.14 ₴ +12.87 (+67.2%)

Less than 1% of lots fit: the price is understated

×3

Souvenir MAG-7 | Navy Sheen

Field-Tested

buy 0.1500–0.1624

6.01 ₴

at 2.00

souvenirSteam

×2

CZ75-Auto | Honey Paisley

Factory New

buy 0.0000–0.0037

3.24 ₴

at 1.62

Steam

×5

FAMAS | Byproduct

Factory New

buy 0.0000–0.0037

8.11 ₴

at 1.62

Steam

Set · 10 pcs 17.36 ₴ +8.67 (+49.9%)

Less than 1% of lots fit: not enough for a contract, the price is understated

×2

Souvenir PP-Bizon | Anolis

Field-Tested

buy 0.1500–0.1611

4.00 ₴

at 2.00

souvenirSteam

×3

MP9 | Bee-Tron

Minimal Wear

buy 0.0700–0.0780

4.06 ₴

at 1.35

Steam

×5

CZ75-Auto | Honey Paisley

Factory New

buy 0.0000–0.0034

8.11 ₴

at 1.62

Steam

Set · 10 pcs 16.18 ₴ +3.88 (+24.0%)

Less than 1% of lots fit: not enough for a contract, the price is understated

×5

Souvenir SSG 08 | Prey

Minimal Wear

buy 0.0700–0.0787

13.50 ₴

at 2.70

souvenirSteam

×4

Souvenir PP-Bizon | Anolis

Factory New

buy 0.0000–0.0032

23.63 ₴

at 5.91

souvenirSteam

×1

MP9 | Bee-Tron

Minimal Wear

buy 0.0700–0.0780

1.35 ₴

at 1.35

Steam

Set · 10 pcs 38.48 ₴ +23.41 (+60.8%)

What you get 9 outcomes

Profitable outcome 40%
Losing outcome 60%

at a loss

MP5-SD | Picnic

Factory New

float up to 0.069999

10.87 ₴ 12.00%

Steam

at a loss

MP7 | Coral Paisley

Factory New

float up to 0.060666

12.63 ₴ 12.00%

Steam

at a loss

worst

SSG 08 | Calligrafaux

Minimal Wear

float up to 0.093333

7.13 ₴ 12.00%

Steam

at a loss

Tec-9 | Banana Leaf

Factory New

float up to 0.055999

8.33 ₴ 12.00%

Steam

at a loss

XM1014 | XoooM

Factory New

float up to 0.055999

7.66 ₴ 12.00%

Steam

in profit

CZ75-Auto | Midnight Palm

Factory New

float up to 0.046666

63.13 ₴ 10.00%

Steam

in profit

Dual Berettas | Drift Wood

Factory New

float up to 0.055999

70.35 ₴ 10.00%

Steam

in profit

best

FAMAS | CaliCamo

Factory New

float up to 0.055999

118.15 ₴ 10.00%

Steam

in profit

P90 | Verdant Growth

Factory New

float up to 0.043866

60.54 ₴ 10.00%

Steam

float markup by input how many times more the lots with the needed float cost

Souvenir MAG-7 | Navy Sheen (Field-Tested) × 2 4% of the wear range fits at least ×2.21 4.00 → 8.85 ₴

Souvenir SSG 08 | Prey (Minimal Wear) × 2 10% of the wear range fits at least ×2.21 5.40 → 11.94 ₴

CZ75-Auto | Honey Paisley (Factory New) × 1 4% of the wear range fits at least ×2.16 1.62 → 3.50 ₴

FAMAS | Byproduct (Factory New) × 5 4% of the wear range fits at least ×2.47 8.11 → 20.04 ₴

The markup is taken from a check of Steam 25–26.09.2026 listings. It shows how many times the needed number of cheapest listings with a fitting float cost more than the cheapest listing of this wear. It depends on the width of the float window and on the number of items.

Average float of the set

average normalized 0.093333233

outcomes come out up to 0.069999, 0.060666, 0.093333, 0.055999, 0.055999, 0.046666, 0.055999, 0.055999, 0.043866

How to read float

«No higher than» — is a guarantee. The limits are calculated together: take all items with the float at the upper bound and you get exactly the result shown. With a lower float the result will be better.

f′ — the same float, brought to 0–1 by the skin's own range. CSFloat counts the same way.

I already have items

Craft variants

Variant 1 this one The 2021 Mirage Collection + The Harlequin Collection

Variant 2 The Train Collection instead of The 2021 Mirage Collection Variant 3 The Lake Collection instead of The 2021 Mirage Collection Variant 4 The Chop Shop Collection instead of The Harlequin Collection Variant 5 The Ancient Collection instead of The Harlequin Collection Variant 6 The Train Collection instead of The Harlequin Collection

In a week, when the outcome can be sold from outcome price history

In a bad week +6.67 ₴ a worse week happens one time in ten

In a typical week +9.71 ₴ historical median

If you repeat 10 000 simulations over the outcome odds

Attempts: 10

I already have items Enter their float and the site will pick what to buy

Mix in a collection

Items of this craft's collections of the right rarity fit: The 2021 Mirage Collection and The Harlequin Collection — and of the mixed-in collection: enter its items with float, your own or ones you want to buy. Its share in the set equals its share in the chances. Your own items are counted in the profit at market price, because you could sell them. The money needed to buy the rest is shown separately.

Third collection Add a third collection to the craft's two and see whether it gets more profitable

All splits of inputs across three collections are tried (1/1/8, 5/3/2 and the rest) and all outcome wears. The best set is shown for each collection. “Find the best” first quickly scores all collections and then calculates exactly the five best by the quick score.

How to read these numbers

Fees. Steam adds 15% to the seller's price, so the seller gets the listing price divided by 1,15. Multiplying by 0,85 is wrong.

The outcome can only be sold after a week. Inputs bought on Steam go into the contract right away. The outcome can also be crafted further without waiting, but Sell it is possible only after seven days. Over a week the price may change, so the amount shown remains an estimate at calculation time.

Prices are conservative. Sales are counted at the lower of the listing price and the sale price. Purchases are counted at the cheapest listing, which is a lower bound. You cannot buy ten at that price: each next listing costs more. «Check floats on Steam» shows the real purchase price.

The 2021 Mirage Collection + The Harlequin Collection

How to build i Ways to build 4 ways: the best first, then from the most accessible. Click a tab and the numbers below are recalculated for that way.

What you get 9 outcomes

More

How to build