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The 2021 Mirage Collection + The Italy Collection

Industrial Grade → Mil-Spec Grade

Average profit +13.22₽

Invest 67.44₽

Average return 80.66₽

ROI +19.6%

Chance of profit 40%

With float: invest at least 157.79 ₽, profit at most −77.13 ₽

float premium: at least 57 ₽

Hard to build: not enough fitting lots for a single contract

A more profitable set was dropped: +26.12 ₽ по средним

Check:

To calculator I have items + a third collection

Buy on Sell on

How to build

Less than 1% of lots fit: not enough for a contract, the price is understated

×1

Souvenir Dual Berettas | Drift Wood

Field-Tested

buy 0.1500–0.1660

23.98 ₽

at 23.98

souvenirSteam

×7

XM1014 | CaliCamo

Field-Tested

buy 0.1500–0.1660

29.26 ₽

at 4.18

Steam

×2

UMP-45 | Gunsmoke

Field-Tested

buy 0.1500–0.1660

14.20 ₽

at 7.10

Steam

Set · 10 pcs 67.44 ₽ +13.22 (+19.6%)

Profit on prices without sales: without them at least −49 ₽

Less than 1% of lots fit: not enough for a contract, the price is understated

×7

Souvenir Dual Berettas | Drift Wood

Field-Tested

buy 0.1500–0.1660

167.86 ₽

at 23.98

souvenirSteam

×1

XM1014 | CaliCamo

Field-Tested

buy 0.1500–0.1660

4.18 ₽

at 4.18

Steam

×2

UMP-45 | Gunsmoke

Field-Tested

buy 0.1500–0.1660

14.20 ₽

at 7.10

Steam

Set · 10 pcs 186.24 ₽ +24.27 (+13.0%)

Profit on prices without sales: without them at least −41 ₽

Less than 1% of lots fit: not enough for a contract, the price is understated

×6

Souvenir Dual Berettas | Drift Wood

Field-Tested

buy 0.1500–0.1660

143.88 ₽

at 23.98

souvenirSteam

×2

XM1014 | CaliCamo

Field-Tested

buy 0.1500–0.1660

8.36 ₽

at 4.18

Steam

×2

UMP-45 | Gunsmoke

Field-Tested

buy 0.1500–0.1660

14.20 ₽

at 7.10

Steam

Set · 10 pcs 166.44 ₽ +22.43 (+13.5%)

Profit on prices without sales: without them at least −32 ₽

Less than 1% of lots fit: not enough for a contract, the price is understated

×5

Souvenir Dual Berettas | Drift Wood

Field-Tested

buy 0.1500–0.1660

119.90 ₽

at 23.98

souvenirSteam

×3

XM1014 | CaliCamo

Field-Tested

buy 0.1500–0.1660

12.54 ₽

at 4.18

Steam

×2

UMP-45 | Gunsmoke

Field-Tested

buy 0.1500–0.1660

14.20 ₽

at 7.10

Steam

Set · 10 pcs 146.64 ₽ +20.59 (+14.0%)

What you get 7 outcomes

Profitable outcome 40%
Losing outcome 60%

in profit

Glock-18 | Candy Apple

Minimal Wear

float up to 0.074999

130.43 ₽ 30.00%

Steam

at a loss

MP7 | Anodized Navy

Factory New

float up to 0.019999

55.82 ₽ 30.00%

Steam

at a loss

worst

Sawed-Off | Full Stop

Minimal Wear

float up to 0.149999

17.37 ₽ 30.00%

Steam

in profit

M249 | Humidor

Minimal Wear

float up to 0.124999

231.79 ₽ 2.50%

price without deals

Steam

in profit

MP9 | Music Box

Minimal Wear

float up to 0.137499

230.75 ₽ 2.50%

Steam

in profit

SG 553 | Desert Blossom

Minimal Wear

float up to 0.122499

252.69 ₽ 2.50%

price without deals

Steam

in profit

best

USP-S | Purple DDPAT

Minimal Wear

float up to 0.137499

551.80 ₽ 2.50%

Steam

Craft variants

Variant 1 this one The 2021 Mirage Collection + The Italy Collection

Variant 2 The Ancient Collection instead of The Italy Collection Variant 3 The Train 2025 Collection instead of The Italy Collection Variant 4 only The 2021 Mirage Collection Variant 5 The Overpass 2024 Collection instead of The Italy Collection Variant 6 The 2021 Vertigo Collection instead of The Italy Collection

In a week, when the outcome can be sold from outcome price history

In a bad week +3.25 ₽ a worse week happens one time in ten

In a typical week +9.77 ₽ historical median

If you repeat 10 000 simulations over the outcome odds

Attempts: 10

I already have items Enter their float and the site will pick what to buy

Mix in a collection

Items of this craft's collections of the right rarity fit: The 2021 Mirage Collection and The Italy Collection — and of the mixed-in collection: enter its items with float, your own or ones you want to buy. Its share in the set equals its share in the chances. Your own items are counted in the profit at market price, because you could sell them. The money needed to buy the rest is shown separately.

Third collection Add a third collection to the craft's two and see whether it gets more profitable

All splits of inputs across three collections are tried (1/1/8, 5/3/2 and the rest) and all outcome wears. The best set is shown for each collection. “Find the best” first quickly scores all collections and then calculates exactly the five best by the quick score.

Similar 2 crafts almost like this one

One of three things counts as similar. The same set with a different wear of cheap outcomes: profit and investment differ by less than 0,5%. The same nine items with a different tenth: profit differs by no more than 10%, investment by 20%. The same main half, whose outcomes make the profit, with a different filler: profit lower by no more than a quarter, investment cheaper by no more than a quarter.

Craft 3173217 · The Graphic Design Collection + The Italy Collection · profit 13.72₽ · invest 57.81₽
MP7 | Astrolabe (Field-Tested) instead of Souvenir Dual Berettas | Drift Wood (Field-Tested); Glock-18 | Candy Apple: Factory New instead of Minimal Wear; XM1014 | CaliCamo (Field-Tested): float at most 0.162368 instead of 0.166011; UMP-45 | Gunsmoke (Field-Tested): float at most 0.162368 instead of 0.166011
Craft 3173219 · The Graphic Design Collection + The Italy Collection · profit 12.83₽ · invest 59.61₽
rare inputs

SSG 08 | Halftone Whorl (Minimal Wear) instead of Souvenir Dual Berettas | Drift Wood (Field-Tested); Glock-18 | Candy Apple: Factory New instead of Minimal Wear; XM1014 | CaliCamo (Field-Tested): float at most 0.161579 instead of 0.166011; UMP-45 | Gunsmoke (Field-Tested): float at most 0.161579 instead of 0.166011

How to read these numbers

Fees. Steam adds 15% to the seller's price, so the seller gets the listing price divided by 1,15. Multiplying by 0,85 is wrong.

The outcome can only be sold after a week. Inputs bought on Steam go into the contract right away. The outcome can also be crafted further without waiting, but Sell it is possible only after seven days. Over a week the price may change, so the amount shown remains an estimate at calculation time.

Prices are conservative. Sales are counted at the lower of the listing price and the sale price. Purchases are counted at the cheapest listing, which is a lower bound. You cannot buy ten at that price: each next listing costs more. «Check floats on Steam» shows the real purchase price.

The 2021 Mirage Collection + The Italy Collection

How to build i Ways to build 5 ways: the best first, then from the most accessible. Click a tab and the numbers below are recalculated for that way.

What you get 7 outcomes

More

How to build