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The 2021 Mirage Collection + The Italy Collection

Industrial Grade → Mil-Spec Grade

Prices by float: ночной проверки нет, числа ниже — оценка с учётом float

Average profit · with float −0.34$

Invest 1.22$

Average return 0.88$

ROI −28.2%

Chance of profit 40%

With float: invest 1.22 $, profit −0.34 $

float premium: 0 $ (0.0%)

To build: easy

Check:

To calculator I have items + a third collection

Buy on Sell on

How to build

≈14% of lots fit ≈ enough for 15 contracts · easy (estimate)

×1

Souvenir FAMAS | CaliCamo

Battle-Scarred

any lot

0.29 $

at 0.29

souvenirSteam

×9

XM1014 | CaliCamo

Field-Tested

buy 0.1500–0.2666

0.46 $

at 0.05

Steam

Set · 10 pcs 0.75 $ +0.13 (+17.8%)

What you get 7 outcomes

Profitable outcome 40%
Losing outcome 60%

in profit

Glock-18 | Candy Apple

Minimal Wear

float up to 0.149999

1.59 $ 30.00%

Steam

at a loss

MP7 | Anodized Navy

Factory New

float up to 0.039999

0.68 $ 30.00%

Steam

at a loss

worst

Sawed-Off | Full Stop

Field-Tested

float up to 0.299999

0.15 $ 30.00%

Steam

in profit

M249 | Humidor

Field-Tested

float up to 0.249999

2.32 $ 2.50%

Steam

in profit

MP9 | Music Box

Field-Tested

float up to 0.274999

3.03 $ 2.50%

Steam

in profit

SG 553 | Desert Blossom

Field-Tested

float up to 0.244999

2.81 $ 2.50%

Steam

in profit

best

USP-S | Purple DDPAT

Field-Tested

float up to 0.274999

3.25 $ 2.50%

Steam

Craft variants

Variant 1 this one The 2021 Mirage Collection + The Italy Collection

Variant 2 The Ancient Collection instead of The Italy Collection Variant 3 The Train 2025 Collection instead of The Italy Collection Variant 4 only The 2021 Mirage Collection Variant 5 The Overpass 2024 Collection instead of The Italy Collection Variant 6 The 2021 Vertigo Collection instead of The Italy Collection

In a week, when the outcome can be sold from outcome price history

In a bad week +0.01 $ a worse week happens one time in ten

In a typical week +0.09 $ historical median

If you repeat 10 000 simulations over the outcome odds

Attempts: 10

I already have items Enter their float and the site will pick what to buy

Mix in a collection

Items of this craft's collections of the right rarity fit: The 2021 Mirage Collection and The Italy Collection — and of the mixed-in collection: enter its items with float, your own or ones you want to buy. Its share in the set equals its share in the chances. Your own items are counted in the profit at market price, because you could sell them. The money needed to buy the rest is shown separately.

Third collection Add a third collection to the craft's two and see whether it gets more profitable

All splits of inputs across three collections are tried (1/1/8, 5/3/2 and the rest) and all outcome wears. The best set is shown for each collection. “Find the best” first quickly scores all collections and then calculates exactly the five best by the quick score.

Similar 4 crafts almost like this one

One of three things counts as similar. The same set with a different wear of cheap outcomes: profit and investment differ by less than 0,5%. The same nine items with a different tenth: profit differs by no more than 10%, investment by 20%. The same main half, whose outcomes make the profit, with a different filler: profit lower by no more than a quarter, investment cheaper by no more than a quarter.

Craft 3146793 · The 2021 Mirage Collection + The Italy Collection · profit 0.14$ · invest 0.75$
Souvenir Dual Berettas | Drift Wood (Field-Tested) instead of Souvenir FAMAS | CaliCamo (Battle-Scarred); M249 | Humidor: Minimal Wear instead of Field-Tested; SG 553 | Desert Blossom: Minimal Wear instead of Field-Tested; XM1014 | CaliCamo (Field-Tested): float at most 0.179999 instead of 0.266666
Craft 3173220 · The Graphic Design Collection + The Italy Collection · profit 0.14$ · invest 0.60$
rare inputs

MP7 | Astrolabe (Battle-Scarred) instead of Souvenir FAMAS | CaliCamo (Battle-Scarred); XM1014 | CaliCamo (Field-Tested): float at most 0.267874 instead of 0.266666
Craft 3173221 · The Graphic Design Collection + The Italy Collection · profit 0.14$ · invest 0.60$
rare inputs

MP7 | Astrolabe (Battle-Scarred) instead of Souvenir FAMAS | CaliCamo (Battle-Scarred); XM1014 | CaliCamo (Field-Tested): float at most 0.282249 instead of 0.266666
Craft 3146794 · The 2021 Mirage Collection + The Italy Collection · profit 0.13$ · invest 0.75$
Souvenir Dual Berettas | Drift Wood (Field-Tested) instead of Souvenir FAMAS | CaliCamo (Battle-Scarred); SG 553 | Desert Blossom: Minimal Wear instead of Field-Tested; XM1014 | CaliCamo (Field-Tested): float at most 0.183673 instead of 0.266666

How to read these numbers

Fees. Steam adds 15% to the seller's price, so the seller gets the listing price divided by 1,15. Multiplying by 0,85 is wrong.

The outcome can only be sold after a week. Inputs bought on Steam go into the contract right away. The outcome can also be crafted further without waiting, but Sell it is possible only after seven days. Over a week the price may change, so the amount shown remains an estimate at calculation time.

Prices are conservative. Sales are counted at the lower of the listing price and the sale price. Purchases are counted at the cheapest listing, which is a lower bound. You cannot buy ten at that price: each next listing costs more. «Check floats on Steam» shows the real purchase price.

The 2021 Mirage Collection + The Italy Collection

How to build i Ways to build 4 ways: the best first, then from the most accessible. Click a tab and the numbers below are recalculated for that way.

What you get 7 outcomes

More

How to build