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The 2021 Mirage Collection + The Lake Collection

Consumer Grade → Industrial Grade

Average profit +1.34₴

Invest 21.54₴

Average return 22.88₴

ROI +6.2%

Chance of profit 60%

With float: invest at least 49.47 ₴, profit at most −26.58 ₴

float premium: at least 21 ₴

To build: medium

A more profitable set was dropped: +6.03 ₴ по средним

Check:

To calculator I have items + a third collection

Buy on Sell on

How to build

Less than 1% of lots fit: not enough for a contract, the price is understated

×3

Souvenir MAG-7 | Navy Sheen

Field-Tested

buy 0.1500–0.1645

6.01 ₴

at 2.00

souvenirSteam

×3

Souvenir SSG 08 | Prey

Minimal Wear

buy 0.0700–0.0784

8.10 ₴

at 2.70

souvenirSteam

×4

SG 553 | Waves Perforated

Minimal Wear

buy 0.0700–0.0788

7.44 ₴

at 1.86

Steam

Set · 10 pcs 21.54 ₴ +1.34 (+6.2%)

What you get 9 outcomes

Profitable outcome 60%
Losing outcome 40%

in profit

CZ75-Auto | Midnight Palm

Minimal Wear

float up to 0.074468

31.44 ₴ 15.00%

Steam

in profit

Dual Berettas | Drift Wood

Minimal Wear

float up to 0.089361

34.33 ₴ 15.00%

Steam

in profit

FAMAS | CaliCamo

Minimal Wear

float up to 0.089361

36.08 ₴ 15.00%

Steam

in profit

best

P90 | Verdant Growth

Factory New

float up to 0.069999

60.54 ₴ 15.00%

Steam

at a loss

AWP | Safari Mesh

Field-Tested

float up to 0.170212

7.28 ₴ 8.00%

Steam

at a loss

PP-Bizon | Night Ops

Minimal Wear

float up to 0.089361

2.88 ₴ 8.00%

Steam

at a loss

Desert Eagle | Mudder

Field-Tested

float up to 0.170212

4.45 ₴ 8.00%

Steam

at a loss

worst

FAMAS | Cyanospatter

Field-Tested

float up to 0.170212

2.36 ₴ 8.00%

Steam

at a loss

XM1014 | Blue Steel

Minimal Wear

float up to 0.148936

7.54 ₴ 8.00%

Steam

Craft variants

Variant 1 this one The 2021 Mirage Collection + The Lake Collection

Variant 2 The Safehouse Collection instead of The 2021 Mirage Collection Variant 3 The Train Collection instead of The 2021 Mirage Collection Variant 4 The Chop Shop Collection instead of The Lake Collection Variant 5 The Ancient Collection instead of The Lake Collection Variant 6 The Train Collection instead of The Lake Collection

In a week, when the outcome can be sold from outcome price history

In a bad week −3.18 ₴ a worse week happens one time in ten

In a typical week −0.41 ₴ historical median

If you repeat 10 000 simulations over the outcome odds

Attempts: 10

I already have items Enter their float and the site will pick what to buy

Mix in a collection

Items of this craft's collections of the right rarity fit: The 2021 Mirage Collection and The Lake Collection — and of the mixed-in collection: enter its items with float, your own or ones you want to buy. Its share in the set equals its share in the chances. Your own items are counted in the profit at market price, because you could sell them. The money needed to buy the rest is shown separately.

Third collection Add a third collection to the craft's two and see whether it gets more profitable

All splits of inputs across three collections are tried (1/1/8, 5/3/2 and the rest) and all outcome wears. The best set is shown for each collection. “Find the best” first quickly scores all collections and then calculates exactly the five best by the quick score.

How to read these numbers

Fees. Steam adds 15% to the seller's price, so the seller gets the listing price divided by 1,15. Multiplying by 0,85 is wrong.

The outcome can only be sold after a week. Inputs bought on Steam go into the contract right away. The outcome can also be crafted further without waiting, but Sell it is possible only after seven days. Over a week the price may change, so the amount shown remains an estimate at calculation time.

Prices are conservative. Sales are counted at the lower of the listing price and the sale price. Purchases are counted at the cheapest listing, which is a lower bound. You cannot buy ten at that price: each next listing costs more. «Check floats on Steam» shows the real purchase price.

The 2021 Mirage Collection + The Lake Collection

How to build i Ways to build 1 way: the best first, then from the most accessible. Click a tab and the numbers below are recalculated for that way.

What you get 9 outcomes

More

How to build