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The 2021 Mirage Collection + The Safehouse Collection

Consumer Grade → Industrial Grade

Prices by float: ночной проверки нет, числа ниже — оценка с учётом float

Average profit · with float −1.55₽

Invest 92.08₽

Average return 90.53₽

ROI −1.7%

Chance of profit 70%

With float: invest 92.08 ₽, profit −1.55 ₽

float premium: 0 ₽ (0.1%)

To build: easy

A more profitable set was dropped: +53.31 ₽ по средним

Check:

To calculator I have items + a third collection

Buy on Sell on

How to build

≈9% of lots fit ≈ enough for 46 contracts · easy (estimate)

×2

Souvenir SSG 08 | Prey

Minimal Wear

buy 0.0700–0.1191

9.82 ₽

at 4.91

souvenirSteam

×5

Souvenir PP-Bizon | Anolis

Factory New

buy 0.0000–0.0430

53.70 ₽

at 10.74

souvenirSteam

×3

Dual Berettas | Contractor

Minimal Wear

buy 0.0700–0.1191

9.84 ₽

at 3.28

Steam

Set · 10 pcs 73.36 ₽ +17.17 (+23.4%)

≈22% of lots fit ≈ enough for 82 contracts · easy (estimate)

×1

Souvenir SSG 08 | Prey

Minimal Wear

buy 0.0700–0.1283

4.91 ₽

at 4.91

souvenirSteam

×7

Souvenir PP-Bizon | Anolis

Factory New

buy 0.0000–0.0510

75.18 ₽

at 10.74

souvenirSteam

×2

Dual Berettas | Contractor

Minimal Wear

buy 0.0700–0.1283

6.56 ₽

at 3.28

Steam

Set · 10 pcs 86.65 ₽ +14.84 (+17.1%)

≈9% of lots fit ≈ enough for 59 contracts · easy (estimate)

×2

Souvenir SSG 08 | Prey

Minimal Wear

buy 0.0700–0.1199

9.82 ₽

at 4.91

souvenirSteam

×3

Souvenir PP-Bizon | Anolis

Factory New

buy 0.0000–0.0436

32.22 ₽

at 10.74

souvenirSteam

×5

Dual Berettas | Contractor

Minimal Wear

buy 0.0700–0.1199

16.40 ₽

at 3.28

Steam

Set · 10 pcs 58.44 ₽ +10.19 (+17.4%)

≈9% of lots fit ≈ enough for 60 contracts · easy (estimate)

×2

Souvenir SSG 08 | Prey

Minimal Wear

buy 0.0700–0.1195

9.82 ₽

at 4.91

souvenirSteam

×4

Souvenir PP-Bizon | Anolis

Factory New

buy 0.0000–0.0433

42.96 ₽

at 10.74

souvenirSteam

×4

Dual Berettas | Contractor

Minimal Wear

buy 0.0700–0.1195

13.12 ₽

at 3.28

Steam

Set · 10 pcs 65.90 ₽ +13.68 (+20.8%)

What you get 10 outcomes

Profitable outcome 70%
Losing outcome 30%

in profit

CZ75-Auto | Midnight Palm

Factory New

float up to 0.058333

114.79 ₽ 17.50%

Steam

in profit

Dual Berettas | Drift Wood

Factory New

float up to 0.069999

127.91 ₽ 17.50%

Steam

in profit

best

FAMAS | CaliCamo

Factory New

float up to 0.069999

214.82 ₽ 17.50%

Steam

in profit

P90 | Verdant Growth

Factory New

float up to 0.054833

110.08 ₽ 17.50%

Steam

at a loss

worst

AUG | Condemned

Minimal Wear

float up to 0.146333

12.42 ₽ 5.00%

Steam

at a loss

G3SG1 | VariCamo

Factory New

float up to 0.069999

20.73 ₽ 5.00%

Steam

at a loss

Galil AR | VariCamo

Factory New

float up to 0.069999

17.95 ₽ 5.00%

Steam

at a loss

M249 | Gator Mesh

Factory New

float up to 0.069999

17.87 ₽ 5.00%

Steam

at a loss

MP9 | Orange Peel

Minimal Wear

float up to 0.146333

13.35 ₽ 5.00%

Steam

at a loss

USP-S | Forest Leaves

Minimal Wear

float up to 0.146333

13.32 ₽ 5.00%

Steam

Craft variants

Variant 1 this one The 2021 Mirage Collection + The Safehouse Collection

Variant 2 The Train Collection instead of The 2021 Mirage Collection Variant 3 only The Safehouse Collection Variant 4 The Chop Shop Collection instead of The Safehouse Collection Variant 5 The Ancient Collection instead of The Safehouse Collection Variant 6 The Train Collection instead of The Safehouse Collection

In a week, when the outcome can be sold from outcome price history

In a bad week −1.70 ₽ a worse week happens one time in ten

In a typical week +7.64 ₽ historical median

If you repeat 10 000 simulations over the outcome odds

Attempts: 10

I already have items Enter their float and the site will pick what to buy

Mix in a collection

Items of this craft's collections of the right rarity fit: The 2021 Mirage Collection and The Safehouse Collection — and of the mixed-in collection: enter its items with float, your own or ones you want to buy. Its share in the set equals its share in the chances. Your own items are counted in the profit at market price, because you could sell them. The money needed to buy the rest is shown separately.

Third collection Add a third collection to the craft's two and see whether it gets more profitable

All splits of inputs across three collections are tried (1/1/8, 5/3/2 and the rest) and all outcome wears. The best set is shown for each collection. “Find the best” first quickly scores all collections and then calculates exactly the five best by the quick score.

How to read these numbers

Fees. Steam adds 15% to the seller's price, so the seller gets the listing price divided by 1,15. Multiplying by 0,85 is wrong.

The outcome can only be sold after a week. Inputs bought on Steam go into the contract right away. The outcome can also be crafted further without waiting, but Sell it is possible only after seven days. Over a week the price may change, so the amount shown remains an estimate at calculation time.

Prices are conservative. Sales are counted at the lower of the listing price and the sale price. Purchases are counted at the cheapest listing, which is a lower bound. You cannot buy ten at that price: each next listing costs more. «Check floats on Steam» shows the real purchase price.

The 2021 Mirage Collection + The Safehouse Collection

How to build i Ways to build 5 ways: the best first, then from the most accessible. Click a tab and the numbers below are recalculated for that way.

What you get 10 outcomes

More

How to build