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The 2021 Mirage Collection + The Safehouse Collection

Mil-Spec Grade → Restricted

Average profit +4.51$

Invest 9.91$

Average return 14.43$

ROI +45.5%

Chance of profit 100%

With float: invest at least 24.28 $, profit at most −9.86 $

float premium: at least 14 $

To build: medium

A more profitable set was dropped: +11.58 $ по средним

Check:

To calculator I have items + a third collection

Buy on Sell on

How to build

≈1% of lots fit: the price is understated

×1

Souvenir SG 553 | Desert Blossom

Factory New

buy 0.0000–0.0055

3.81 $

at 3.81

souvenirSteam

×9

Five-SeveN | Silver Quartz

Factory New

buy 0.0000–0.0055

6.11 $

at 0.68

Steam

Set · 10 pcs 9.91 $ +4.51 (+45.5%)

Profit on prices without sales: without them at least −6 $

≈1% of lots fit: not enough for a contract, the price is understated

×3

Souvenir SG 553 | Desert Blossom

Factory New

buy 0.0000–0.0066

11.42 $

at 3.81

souvenirSteam

×7

Five-SeveN | Silver Quartz

Factory New

buy 0.0000–0.0054

4.75 $

at 0.68

Steam

Set · 10 pcs 16.17 $ +6.28 (+38.8%)

What you get 4 outcomes

Profitable outcome 100%
Losing outcome 0%

in profit

worst

M4A1-S | Nitro

Factory New

float up to 0.069999

11.97 $ 90.00%

Steam

in profit

AUG | Sand Storm

Factory New

float up to 0.006756

31.76 $ 3.33%

Steam

in profit

best

Glock-18 | Pink DDPAT

Factory New

float up to 0.069999

103.30 $ 3.33%

price without deals

Steam

in profit

XM1014 | Elegant Vines

Factory New

float up to 0.004999

39.30 $ 3.33%

price without deals

Steam

Craft variants

Variant 1 this one The 2021 Mirage Collection + The Safehouse Collection

Variant 2 The Train 2025 Collection instead of The Safehouse Collection Variant 3 The Train 2025 Collection instead of The 2021 Mirage Collection Variant 4 The Vanguard Collection instead of The Safehouse Collection Variant 5 The Vanguard Collection instead of The 2021 Mirage Collection Variant 6 The Glove Collection instead of The Safehouse Collection

In a week, when the outcome can be sold from outcome price history

In a bad week +1.88 $ a worse week happens one time in ten

In a typical week +3.30 $ historical median

If you repeat 10 000 simulations over the outcome odds

Attempts: 10

I already have items Enter their float and the site will pick what to buy

Mix in a collection

Items of this craft's collections of the right rarity fit: The 2021 Mirage Collection and The Safehouse Collection — and of the mixed-in collection: enter its items with float, your own or ones you want to buy. Its share in the set equals its share in the chances. Your own items are counted in the profit at market price, because you could sell them. The money needed to buy the rest is shown separately.

Third collection Add a third collection to the craft's two and see whether it gets more profitable

All splits of inputs across three collections are tried (1/1/8, 5/3/2 and the rest) and all outcome wears. The best set is shown for each collection. “Find the best” first quickly scores all collections and then calculates exactly the five best by the quick score.

Similar 1 craft almost like this one

One of three things counts as similar. The same set with a different wear of cheap outcomes: profit and investment differ by less than 0,5%. The same nine items with a different tenth: profit differs by no more than 10%, investment by 20%. The same main half, whose outcomes make the profit, with a different filler: profit lower by no more than a quarter, investment cheaper by no more than a quarter.

Craft 3181199 · The Safehouse Collection + The eSports 2014 Summer Collection · profit 4.70$ · invest 9.72$
outcome without sales rare inputs pricier variants exist

XM1014 | Red Python (Minimal Wear) instead of Souvenir SG 553 | Desert Blossom (Factory New); Five-SeveN | Silver Quartz (Factory New): float at most 0.004660 instead of 0.005506

How to read these numbers

Fees. Steam adds 15% to the seller's price, so the seller gets the listing price divided by 1,15. Multiplying by 0,85 is wrong.

The outcome can only be sold after a week. Inputs bought on Steam go into the contract right away. The outcome can also be crafted further without waiting, but Sell it is possible only after seven days. Over a week the price may change, so the amount shown remains an estimate at calculation time.

Prices are conservative. Sales are counted at the lower of the listing price and the sale price. Purchases are counted at the cheapest listing, which is a lower bound. You cannot buy ten at that price: each next listing costs more. «Check floats on Steam» shows the real purchase price.

The 2021 Mirage Collection + The Safehouse Collection

How to build i Ways to build 3 ways: the best first, then from the most accessible. Click a tab and the numbers below are recalculated for that way.

What you get 4 outcomes

More

How to build