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The 2021 Mirage Collection + The Train 2025 Collection

Mil-Spec Grade → Restricted

Prices by float: ночной проверки нет, числа ниже — оценка с учётом float

Average profit at most · with float +2.15$

Invest at least 65.39$

Average return 67.54$

ROI +3.3%

Chance of profit 33%

With float: invest at least 65.39 $, profit at most +2.15 $

float premium: at least 39 $

To build: medium

Check:

To calculator I have items + a third collection

Buy on Sell on

How to build

≈2% of lots fit: the price is understated

×1

Souvenir SG 553 | Desert Blossom

Factory New

buy 0.0000–0.0075

3.81 $

at 3.81

souvenirSteam

×9

XM1014 | Run Run Run

Factory New

buy 0.0000–0.0075

21.74 $

at 2.42

Steam

Set · 10 pcs 25.54 $ +42.00 (+164.4%)

What you get 6 outcomes

Profitable outcome 40%
Losing outcome 60%

at a loss

worst

MAC-10 | Derailment

Factory New

float up to 0.007446

11.03 $ 30.00%

Steam

at a loss

Zeus x27 | Charged Up

Factory New

float up to 0.010638

15.18 $ 30.00%

Steam

in profit

best

Tec-9 | Whiteout

Factory New

float up to 0.069999

213.34 $ 30.00%

Steam

in profit

AUG | Sand Storm

Factory New

float up to 0.005319

31.76 $ 3.33%

Steam

in profit

Glock-18 | Pink DDPAT

Factory New

float up to 0.067872

103.30 $ 3.33%

price without deals

Steam

in profit

XM1014 | Elegant Vines

Factory New

float up to 0.003936

39.30 $ 3.33%

price without deals

Steam

Craft variants

Variant 1 this one The 2021 Mirage Collection + The Train 2025 Collection

Variant 2 only The Train 2025 Collection Variant 3 The eSports 2013 Collection instead of The 2021 Mirage Collection Variant 4 The eSports 2014 Summer Collection instead of The 2021 Mirage Collection Variant 5 The Vanguard Collection instead of The 2021 Mirage Collection Variant 6 The Winter Offensive Collection instead of The 2021 Mirage Collection

In a week, when the outcome can be sold from outcome price history

In a bad week +29.12 $ a worse week happens one time in ten

In a typical week +36.93 $ historical median

If you repeat 10 000 simulations over the outcome odds

Attempts: 10

I already have items Enter their float and the site will pick what to buy

Mix in a collection

Items of this craft's collections of the right rarity fit: The 2021 Mirage Collection and The Train 2025 Collection — and of the mixed-in collection: enter its items with float, your own or ones you want to buy. Its share in the set equals its share in the chances. Your own items are counted in the profit at market price, because you could sell them. The money needed to buy the rest is shown separately.

Third collection Add a third collection to the craft's two and see whether it gets more profitable

All splits of inputs across three collections are tried (1/1/8, 5/3/2 and the rest) and all outcome wears. The best set is shown for each collection. “Find the best” first quickly scores all collections and then calculates exactly the five best by the quick score.

Similar 4 crafts almost like this one

One of three things counts as similar. The same set with a different wear of cheap outcomes: profit and investment differ by less than 0,5%. The same nine items with a different tenth: profit differs by no more than 10%, investment by 20%. The same main half, whose outcomes make the profit, with a different filler: profit lower by no more than a quarter, investment cheaper by no more than a quarter.

Craft 3178270 · The Overpass Collection + The Train 2025 Collection · profit 46.45$ · invest 31.42$
sells slowly rare inputs

Souvenir XM1014 | VariCamo Blue (Factory New) instead of Souvenir SG 553 | Desert Blossom (Factory New); XM1014 | Run Run Run (Factory New): float at most 0.007568 instead of 0.007547
Craft 3182428 · The Train 2025 Collection + The eSports 2013 Collection · profit 44.30$ · invest 26.73$
sells slowly rare inputs

MAG-7 | Memento (Factory New) instead of Souvenir SG 553 | Desert Blossom (Factory New); XM1014 | Run Run Run (Factory New): float at most 0.006439 instead of 0.007547
Craft 3155568 · The Bravo Collection + The Train 2025 Collection · profit 42.74$ · invest 27.68$
sells slowly rare inputs

UMP-45 | Bone Pile (Minimal Wear) instead of Souvenir SG 553 | Desert Blossom (Factory New); XM1014 | Run Run Run (Factory New): float at most 0.004379 instead of 0.007547
Craft 3182446 · The Train 2025 Collection + The eSports 2014 Summer Collection · profit 42.19$ · invest 25.35$
sells slowly rare inputs pricier variants exist

XM1014 | Red Python (Minimal Wear) instead of Souvenir SG 553 | Desert Blossom (Factory New); XM1014 | Run Run Run (Factory New): float at most 0.006312 instead of 0.007547

How to read these numbers

Fees. Steam adds 15% to the seller's price, so the seller gets the listing price divided by 1,15. Multiplying by 0,85 is wrong.

The outcome can only be sold after a week. Inputs bought on Steam go into the contract right away. The outcome can also be crafted further without waiting, but Sell it is possible only after seven days. Over a week the price may change, so the amount shown remains an estimate at calculation time.

Prices are conservative. Sales are counted at the lower of the listing price and the sale price. Purchases are counted at the cheapest listing, which is a lower bound. You cannot buy ten at that price: each next listing costs more. «Check floats on Steam» shows the real purchase price.

The 2021 Mirage Collection + The Train 2025 Collection

How to build i Ways to build 3 ways: the best first, then from the most accessible. Click a tab and the numbers below are recalculated for that way.

What you get 6 outcomes

More

How to build