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The 2021 Mirage Collection + The Train Collection

Consumer Grade → Industrial Grade

Average profit +0.23$

Invest 0.90$

Average return 1.13$

ROI +25.9%

Chance of profit 70%

With float: invest 1.15 $, profit −0.01 $

float premium: 0 $ (0.0%)

To build: easy

A more profitable set was dropped: +0.66 $ по средним

Check:

To calculator I have items + a third collection

Buy on Sell on

How to build

≈9% of lots fit ≈ enough for 46 contracts · easy (estimate)

×2

Souvenir SSG 08 | Prey

Minimal Wear

buy 0.0700–0.1191

0.12 $

at 0.06

souvenirSteam

×5

Souvenir PP-Bizon | Anolis

Factory New

buy 0.0000–0.0430

0.66 $

at 0.13

souvenirSteam

×3

Dual Berettas | Colony

Minimal Wear

buy 0.0700–0.1191

0.13 $

at 0.04

Steam

Set · 10 pcs 0.90 $ +0.23 (+25.9%)

What you get 10 outcomes

Profitable outcome 70%
Losing outcome 30%

in profit

CZ75-Auto | Midnight Palm

Factory New

float up to 0.058333

1.40 $ 17.50%

Steam

in profit

Dual Berettas | Drift Wood

Factory New

float up to 0.069999

1.56 $ 17.50%

Steam

in profit

best

FAMAS | CaliCamo

Factory New

float up to 0.069999

2.62 $ 17.50%

Steam

in profit

P90 | Verdant Growth

Factory New

float up to 0.054833

1.34 $ 17.50%

Steam

at a loss

M4A4 | Urban DDPAT

Minimal Wear

float up to 0.146333

0.91 $ 5.00%

Steam

at a loss

MAC-10 | Candy Apple

Factory New

float up to 0.034999

0.41 $ 5.00%

Steam

at a loss

worst

MAG-7 | Metallic DDPAT

Factory New

float up to 0.009333

0.11 $ 5.00%

Steam

at a loss

P250 | Metallic DDPAT

Factory New

float up to 0.009333

0.12 $ 5.00%

Steam

at a loss

P90 | Ash Wood

Factory New

float up to 0.052499

0.19 $ 5.00%

Steam

at a loss

SCAR-20 | Carbon Fiber

Factory New

float up to 0.013999

0.12 $ 5.00%

Steam

Craft variants

Variant 1 this one The 2021 Mirage Collection + The Train Collection

Variant 2 The Chop Shop Collection instead of The Train Collection Variant 3 only The Train Collection Variant 4 The Ancient Collection instead of The Train Collection Variant 5 The Lake Collection instead of The Train Collection Variant 6 The Anubis Collection instead of The Train Collection

In a week, when the outcome can be sold from outcome price history

In a bad week +0.01 $ a worse week happens one time in ten

In a typical week +0.12 $ historical median

If you repeat 10 000 simulations over the outcome odds

Attempts: 10

I already have items Enter their float and the site will pick what to buy

Mix in a collection

Items of this craft's collections of the right rarity fit: The 2021 Mirage Collection and The Train Collection — and of the mixed-in collection: enter its items with float, your own or ones you want to buy. Its share in the set equals its share in the chances. Your own items are counted in the profit at market price, because you could sell them. The money needed to buy the rest is shown separately.

Third collection Add a third collection to the craft's two and see whether it gets more profitable

All splits of inputs across three collections are tried (1/1/8, 5/3/2 and the rest) and all outcome wears. The best set is shown for each collection. “Find the best” first quickly scores all collections and then calculates exactly the five best by the quick score.

Similar 3 crafts almost like this one

One of three things counts as similar. The same set with a different wear of cheap outcomes: profit and investment differ by less than 0,5%. The same nine items with a different tenth: profit differs by no more than 10%, investment by 20%. The same main half, whose outcomes make the profit, with a different filler: profit lower by no more than a quarter, investment cheaper by no more than a quarter.

Craft 3146349 · The 2021 Mirage Collection + The Boreal Collection · profit 0.30$ · invest 0.44$
Souvenir PP-Bizon | Anolis (Field-Tested), G3SG1 | Green Cell (Factory New) instead of Souvenir PP-Bizon | Anolis (Factory New), Dual Berettas | Colony (Minimal Wear); Souvenir SSG 08 | Prey (Minimal Wear): 3 pcs instead of 2; Souvenir SSG 08 | Prey (Minimal Wear): float at most 0.080237 instead of 0.119170
Craft 3146722 · The 2021 Mirage Collection + The Harlequin Collection · profit 0.29$ · invest 0.42$
Souvenir PP-Bizon | Anolis (Field-Tested), CZ75-Auto | Honey Paisley (Factory New), FAMAS | Byproduct (Factory New) instead of Souvenir PP-Bizon | Anolis (Factory New), Dual Berettas | Colony (Minimal Wear); Souvenir SSG 08 | Prey (Minimal Wear): float at most 0.079491 instead of 0.119170
Craft 3146557 · The 2021 Mirage Collection + The Dust 2 Collection · profit 0.23$ · invest 0.88$
P90 | Sand Spray (Minimal Wear) instead of Dual Berettas | Colony (Minimal Wear)

How to read these numbers

Fees. Steam adds 15% to the seller's price, so the seller gets the listing price divided by 1,15. Multiplying by 0,85 is wrong.

The outcome can only be sold after a week. Inputs bought on Steam go into the contract right away. The outcome can also be crafted further without waiting, but Sell it is possible only after seven days. Over a week the price may change, so the amount shown remains an estimate at calculation time.

Prices are conservative. Sales are counted at the lower of the listing price and the sale price. Purchases are counted at the cheapest listing, which is a lower bound. You cannot buy ten at that price: each next listing costs more. «Check floats on Steam» shows the real purchase price.

The 2021 Mirage Collection + The Train Collection

How to build i Ways to build 5 ways: the best first, then from the most accessible. Click a tab and the numbers below are recalculated for that way.

What you get 10 outcomes

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How to build