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The Alpha Collection + The Vanguard Collection

Mil-Spec Grade → Restricted

Average profit +5.93$

Invest 23.47$

Average return 29.40$

ROI +25.3%

Chance of profit 55%

With float: invest at least 57.15 $, profit at most −27.74 $

float premium: at least 28 $

To build: no data

Check:

To calculator I have items + a third collection

Buy on Sell on

How to build

Share of fitting lots unknown: the price is understated

×1

PP-Bizon | Rust Coat

Well-Worn

buy 0.3800–0.3850

9.76 $

at 9.76

Steam

×9

UMP-45 | Delusion

Minimal Wear

buy 0.0700–0.0757

13.71 $

at 1.52

Steam

Set · 10 pcs 23.47 $ +5.93 (+25.3%)

What you get 6 outcomes

Profitable outcome 55%
Losing outcome 45%

at a loss

Glock-18 | Grinder

Factory New

float up to 0.040124

9.00 $ 22.50%

Steam

in profit

best

M4A4 | Griffin

Factory New

float up to 0.069999

87.23 $ 22.50%

Steam

in profit

M4A1-S | Basilisk

Factory New

float up to 0.059499

28.82 $ 22.50%

Steam

at a loss

worst

Sawed-Off | Highwayman

Minimal Wear

float up to 0.087499

2.38 $ 22.50%

price without deals

Steam

in profit

FAMAS | Spitfire

Minimal Wear

float up to 0.124749

73.54 $ 5.00%

price without deals

Steam

in profit

SCAR-20 | Emerald

Factory New

float up to 0.006999

29.28 $ 5.00%

price without deals

Steam

Craft variants

Variant 1 this one The Alpha Collection + The Vanguard Collection

Variant 2 The Train 2025 Collection instead of The Vanguard Collection Variant 3 only The Vanguard Collection Variant 4 The Wildfire Collection instead of The Alpha Collection Variant 5 The Winter Offensive Collection instead of The Alpha Collection Variant 6 The eSports 2013 Winter Collection instead of The Alpha Collection

In a week, when the outcome can be sold from outcome price history

In a bad week −0.34 $ a worse week happens one time in ten

In a typical week +3.37 $ historical median

If you repeat 10 000 simulations over the outcome odds

Attempts: 10

I already have items Enter their float and the site will pick what to buy

Mix in a collection

Items of this craft's collections of the right rarity fit: The Alpha Collection and The Vanguard Collection — and of the mixed-in collection: enter its items with float, your own or ones you want to buy. Its share in the set equals its share in the chances. Your own items are counted in the profit at market price, because you could sell them. The money needed to buy the rest is shown separately.

Third collection Add a third collection to the craft's two and see whether it gets more profitable

All splits of inputs across three collections are tried (1/1/8, 5/3/2 and the rest) and all outcome wears. The best set is shown for each collection. “Find the best” first quickly scores all collections and then calculates exactly the five best by the quick score.

How to read these numbers

Fees. Steam adds 15% to the seller's price, so the seller gets the listing price divided by 1,15. Multiplying by 0,85 is wrong.

The outcome can only be sold after a week. Inputs bought on Steam go into the contract right away. The outcome can also be crafted further without waiting, but Sell it is possible only after seven days. Over a week the price may change, so the amount shown remains an estimate at calculation time.

Prices are conservative. Sales are counted at the lower of the listing price and the sale price. Purchases are counted at the cheapest listing, which is a lower bound. You cannot buy ten at that price: each next listing costs more. «Check floats on Steam» shows the real purchase price.

The Alpha Collection + The Vanguard Collection

How to build i Ways to build 1 way: the best first, then from the most accessible. Click a tab and the numbers below are recalculated for that way.

What you get 6 outcomes

More

How to build