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The Ancient Collection + The Vanguard Collection

Mil-Spec Grade → Restricted

Average profit +13.93$

Invest 16.64$

Average return 30.57$

ROI +83.7%

Chance of profit 55%

With float: invest at least 42.39 $, profit at most −11.82 $

float premium: at least 26 $

Hard to build: not enough fitting lots for a single contract

Check:

To calculator I have items + a third collection

Buy on Sell on

How to build

Less than 1% of lots fit: not enough for a contract, the price is understated

×1

Souvenir Tec-9 | Blast From the Past

Field-Tested

buy 0.1500–0.1628

2.93 $

at 2.93

souvenirSteam

×9

UMP-45 | Delusion

Minimal Wear

buy 0.0700–0.0744

13.71 $

at 1.52

Steam

Set · 10 pcs 16.64 $ +13.93 (+83.7%)

Profit on prices without sales: without them at least −3 $

Less than 1% of lots fit: not enough for a contract, the price is understated

×1

Souvenir Tec-9 | Blast From the Past

Field-Tested

buy 0.1500–0.1680

2.93 $

at 2.93

souvenirSteam

×2

Souvenir FAMAS | Dark Water

Minimal Wear

buy 0.1000–0.1039

8.05 $

at 4.03

souvenirSteam

×7

UMP-45 | Delusion

Minimal Wear

buy 0.0700–0.0762

10.67 $

at 1.52

Steam

Set · 10 pcs 21.64 $ +13.41 (+62.0%)

Profit on prices without sales: without them at least −18 $

Less than 1% of lots fit: not enough for a contract, the price is understated

×1

Souvenir Tec-9 | Blast From the Past

Field-Tested

buy 0.1500–0.1668

2.93 $

at 2.93

souvenirSteam

×5

Souvenir FAMAS | Dark Water

Minimal Wear

buy 0.1000–0.1036

20.13 $

at 4.03

souvenirSteam

×1

MP9 | Dart

Minimal Wear

buy 0.0700–0.0758

1.22 $

at 1.22

Steam

×3

UMP-45 | Delusion

Minimal Wear

buy 0.0700–0.0758

4.57 $

at 1.52

Steam

Set · 10 pcs 28.85 $ +12.94 (+44.9%)

Less than 1% of lots fit: not enough for a contract, the price is understated

×1

Souvenir Tec-9 | Blast From the Past

Field-Tested

buy 0.1500–0.1654

2.93 $

at 2.93

souvenirSteam

×1

Souvenir FAMAS | Dark Water

Minimal Wear

buy 0.1000–0.1033

4.03 $

at 4.03

souvenirSteam

×8

UMP-45 | Delusion

Minimal Wear

buy 0.0700–0.0753

12.19 $

at 1.52

Steam

Set · 10 pcs 19.14 $ +13.67 (+71.4%)

Profit on prices without sales: without them at least −33 $

Less than 1% of lots fit: not enough for a contract, the price is understated

×2

Souvenir Tec-9 | Blast From the Past

Field-Tested

buy 0.1500–0.1647

5.86 $

at 2.93

souvenirSteam

×7

Souvenir FAMAS | Dark Water

Minimal Wear

buy 0.1000–0.1032

28.18 $

at 4.03

souvenirSteam

×1

UMP-45 | Delusion

Minimal Wear

buy 0.0700–0.0751

1.52 $

at 1.52

Steam

Set · 10 pcs 35.56 $ +12.95 (+36.4%)

What you get 7 outcomes

Profitable outcome 55%
Losing outcome 45%

at a loss

Glock-18 | Grinder

Factory New

float up to 0.036099

9.00 $ 22.50%

Steam

in profit

best

M4A4 | Griffin

Factory New

float up to 0.055999

87.23 $ 22.50%

Steam

in profit

M4A1-S | Basilisk

Factory New

float up to 0.047599

28.82 $ 22.50%

Steam

at a loss

worst

Sawed-Off | Highwayman

Factory New

float up to 0.069999

5.28 $ 22.50%

price without deals

Steam

in profit

MAC-10 | Gold Brick

Factory New

float up to 0.048999

83.30 $ 3.33%

price without deals

Steam

in profit

USP-S | Ancient Visions

Factory New

float up to 0.031499

49.67 $ 3.33%

price without deals

Steam

in profit

XM1014 | Ancient Lore

Factory New

float up to 0.034999

42.14 $ 3.33%

price without deals

Steam

Craft variants

Variant 1 this one The Ancient Collection + The Vanguard Collection

Variant 2 The Train 2025 Collection instead of The Vanguard Collection Variant 3 only The Vanguard Collection Variant 4 The Wildfire Collection instead of The Ancient Collection Variant 5 The Winter Offensive Collection instead of The Ancient Collection Variant 6 The eSports 2013 Winter Collection instead of The Ancient Collection

In a week, when the outcome can be sold from outcome price history

In a bad week +7.57 $ a worse week happens one time in ten

In a typical week +11.23 $ historical median

If you repeat 10 000 simulations over the outcome odds

Attempts: 10

I already have items Enter their float and the site will pick what to buy

Mix in a collection

Items of this craft's collections of the right rarity fit: The Ancient Collection and The Vanguard Collection — and of the mixed-in collection: enter its items with float, your own or ones you want to buy. Its share in the set equals its share in the chances. Your own items are counted in the profit at market price, because you could sell them. The money needed to buy the rest is shown separately.

Third collection Add a third collection to the craft's two and see whether it gets more profitable

All splits of inputs across three collections are tried (1/1/8, 5/3/2 and the rest) and all outcome wears. The best set is shown for each collection. “Find the best” first quickly scores all collections and then calculates exactly the five best by the quick score.

Similar 1 craft almost like this one

One of three things counts as similar. The same set with a different wear of cheap outcomes: profit and investment differ by less than 0,5%. The same nine items with a different tenth: profit differs by no more than 10%, investment by 20%. The same main half, whose outcomes make the profit, with a different filler: profit lower by no more than a quarter, investment cheaper by no more than a quarter.

Craft 3152897 · The Arms Deal 3 Collection + The Vanguard Collection · profit 12.61$ · invest 17.08$
sells slowly rare inputs

P2000 | Red FragCam (Field-Tested) instead of Souvenir Tec-9 | Blast From the Past (Field-Tested); UMP-45 | Delusion (Minimal Wear): float at most 0.074990 instead of 0.074480

How to read these numbers

Fees. Steam adds 15% to the seller's price, so the seller gets the listing price divided by 1,15. Multiplying by 0,85 is wrong.

The outcome can only be sold after a week. Inputs bought on Steam go into the contract right away. The outcome can also be crafted further without waiting, but Sell it is possible only after seven days. Over a week the price may change, so the amount shown remains an estimate at calculation time.

Prices are conservative. Sales are counted at the lower of the listing price and the sale price. Purchases are counted at the cheapest listing, which is a lower bound. You cannot buy ten at that price: each next listing costs more. «Check floats on Steam» shows the real purchase price.

The Ancient Collection + The Vanguard Collection

How to build i Ways to build 5 ways: the best first, then from the most accessible. Click a tab and the numbers below are recalculated for that way.

What you get 7 outcomes

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How to build