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The Breakout Collection + The Recoil Collection

Classified → Covert

Average profit +0.82$

Invest 59.62$

Average return 60.44$

ROI +1.4%

Chance of profit 10%

With float: invest at least 139.48 $, profit at most −79.04 $

float premium: at least 74 $

Hard to build: not enough fitting lots for a single contract

Check:

To calculator I have items + a third collection

Buy on Sell on

How to build

Less than 1% of lots fit: not enough for a contract, the price is understated

×1

Glock-18 | Water Elemental

Minimal Wear

buy 0.0700–0.0746

21.90 $

at 21.90

Steam

×7

Sawed-Off | Kiss♥Love

Field-Tested

buy 0.1500–0.1634

25.93 $

at 3.70

Steam

×2

Sawed-Off | Kiss♥Love

Minimal Wear

buy 0.0700–0.0746

11.80 $

at 5.90

Steam

Set · 10 pcs 59.62 $ +0.82 (+1.4%)

What you get 4 outcomes

Profitable outcome 10%
Losing outcome 45%
About break-even 45%

at a loss

worst

AWP | Chromatic Aberration

Minimal Wear

float up to 0.097999

39.12 $ 45.00%

Steam

about break-even

USP-S | Printstream

Minimal Wear

float up to 0.118999

66.31 $ 45.00%

Steam

in profit

best

M4A1-S | Cyrex

Factory New

float up to 0.069999

224.57 $ 5.00%

Steam

in profit

P90 | Asiimov

Minimal Wear

float up to 0.128799

216.65 $ 5.00%

Steam

Craft variants

Variant 1 this one The Breakout Collection + The Recoil Collection

Variant 2 The eSports 2014 Summer Collection instead of The Recoil Collection Variant 3 The eSports 2014 Summer Collection instead of The Breakout Collection Variant 4 The Overpass 2024 Collection instead of The Recoil Collection Variant 5 The Shadow Collection instead of The Breakout Collection Variant 6 The Spy Tech Collection instead of The Breakout Collection

In a week, when the outcome can be sold from outcome price history

In a bad week −5.79 $ a worse week happens one time in ten

In a typical week −1.65 $ historical median

If you repeat 10 000 simulations over the outcome odds

Attempts: 10

I already have items Enter their float and the site will pick what to buy

Mix in a collection

Items of this craft's collections of the right rarity fit: The Breakout Collection and The Recoil Collection — and of the mixed-in collection: enter its items with float, your own or ones you want to buy. Its share in the set equals its share in the chances. Your own items are counted in the profit at market price, because you could sell them. The money needed to buy the rest is shown separately.

Third collection Add a third collection to the craft's two and see whether it gets more profitable

All splits of inputs across three collections are tried (1/1/8, 5/3/2 and the rest) and all outcome wears. The best set is shown for each collection. “Find the best” first quickly scores all collections and then calculates exactly the five best by the quick score.

How to read these numbers

Fees. Steam adds 15% to the seller's price, so the seller gets the listing price divided by 1,15. Multiplying by 0,85 is wrong.

The outcome can only be sold after a week. Inputs bought on Steam go into the contract right away. The outcome can also be crafted further without waiting, but Sell it is possible only after seven days. Over a week the price may change, so the amount shown remains an estimate at calculation time.

Prices are conservative. Sales are counted at the lower of the listing price and the sale price. Purchases are counted at the cheapest listing, which is a lower bound. You cannot buy ten at that price: each next listing costs more. «Check floats on Steam» shows the real purchase price.

The Breakout Collection + The Recoil Collection

How to build i Ways to build 1 way: the best first, then from the most accessible. Click a tab and the numbers below are recalculated for that way.

What you get 4 outcomes

More

How to build