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The Breakout Collection + The Train 2025 Collection

Mil-Spec Grade → Restricted

Prices by float: ночной проверки нет, числа ниже — оценка с учётом float

Average profit at most · with float −145.71₴

Invest at least 270.90₴

Average return 125.19₴

ROI −53.8%

Chance of profit 0%

With float: invest at least 270.90 ₴, profit at most −145.71 ₴

float premium: at least 163 ₴

To build: no data

Check:

To calculator I have items + a third collection

Buy on Sell on

How to build

Share of fitting lots unknown: the price is understated

×1

Negev | Desert-Strike

Minimal Wear

buy 0.0700–0.0744

19.18 ₴

at 19.18

Steam

×1

UMP-45 | Late Night Transit

Battle-Scarred

buy 0.4500–0.4804

6.47 ₴

at 6.47

Steam

×8

FAMAS | 2A2F

Field-Tested

buy 0.1500–0.1627

83.20 ₴

at 10.40

Steam

Set · 10 pcs 108.85 ₴ +16.33 (+15.0%)

Share of fitting lots unknown: the price is understated

×2

Negev | Desert-Strike

Minimal Wear

buy 0.0700–0.0755

38.37 ₴

at 19.18

Steam

×1

UMP-45 | Late Night Transit

Battle-Scarred

buy 0.4500–0.4884

6.47 ₴

at 6.47

Steam

×7

FAMAS | 2A2F

Field-Tested

buy 0.1500–0.1660

72.80 ₴

at 10.40

Steam

Set · 10 pcs 117.64 ₴ +4.85 (+4.1%)

What you get 7 outcomes

Profitable outcome 32%
Losing outcome 38%
About break-even 30%

in profit

best

MAC-10 | Derailment

Minimal Wear

float up to 0.149999

225.49 ₴ 30.00%

Steam

at a loss

worst

Zeus x27 | Charged Up

Field-Tested

float up to 0.214285

89.70 ₴ 30.00%

Steam

about break-even

Tec-9 | Whiteout

Field-Tested

float up to 0.261428

126.01 ₴ 30.00%

Steam

at a loss

PP-Bizon | Osiris

Minimal Wear

float up to 0.107142

110.48 ₴ 2.50%

Steam

at a loss

CZ75-Auto | Tigris

Field-Tested

float up to 0.214285

109.11 ₴ 2.50%

Steam

in profit

Nova | Koi

Factory New

float up to 0.064285

142.49 ₴ 2.50%

Steam

at a loss

P250 | Supernova

Minimal Wear

float up to 0.085714

102.01 ₴ 2.50%

Steam

Craft variants

Variant 1 this one The Breakout Collection + The Train 2025 Collection

Variant 2 only The Train 2025 Collection Variant 3 The eSports 2013 Collection instead of The Breakout Collection Variant 4 The eSports 2014 Summer Collection instead of The Breakout Collection Variant 5 The Vanguard Collection instead of The Breakout Collection Variant 6 The Winter Offensive Collection instead of The Breakout Collection

In a week, when the outcome can be sold from outcome price history

In a bad week +1.57 ₴ a worse week happens one time in ten

In a typical week +10.46 ₴ historical median

If you repeat 10 000 simulations over the outcome odds

Attempts: 10

I already have items Enter their float and the site will pick what to buy

Mix in a collection

Items of this craft's collections of the right rarity fit: The Breakout Collection and The Train 2025 Collection — and of the mixed-in collection: enter its items with float, your own or ones you want to buy. Its share in the set equals its share in the chances. Your own items are counted in the profit at market price, because you could sell them. The money needed to buy the rest is shown separately.

Third collection Add a third collection to the craft's two and see whether it gets more profitable

All splits of inputs across three collections are tried (1/1/8, 5/3/2 and the rest) and all outcome wears. The best set is shown for each collection. “Find the best” first quickly scores all collections and then calculates exactly the five best by the quick score.

Similar 3 crafts almost like this one

One of three things counts as similar. The same set with a different wear of cheap outcomes: profit and investment differ by less than 0,5%. The same nine items with a different tenth: profit differs by no more than 10%, investment by 20%. The same main half, whose outcomes make the profit, with a different filler: profit lower by no more than a quarter, investment cheaper by no more than a quarter.

Craft 3160780 · The Chroma 3 Collection + The Train 2025 Collection · profit 16.93₴ · invest 103.67₴
Sawed-Off | Fubar (Battle-Scarred) instead of Negev | Desert-Strike (Minimal Wear); UMP-45 | Late Night Transit (Battle-Scarred): float at most 0.482664 instead of 0.480401; FAMAS | 2A2F (Field-Tested): float at most 0.163659 instead of 0.162713
Craft 3181784 · The Snakebite Collection + The Train 2025 Collection · profit 16.39₴ · invest 104.62₴
M249 | O.S.I.P.R. (Minimal Wear) instead of Negev | Desert-Strike (Minimal Wear); UMP-45 | Late Night Transit (Battle-Scarred): float at most 0.488743 instead of 0.480401; FAMAS | 2A2F (Field-Tested): float at most 0.166201 instead of 0.162713
Craft 3179469 · The Prisma Collection + The Train 2025 Collection · profit 16.01₴ · invest 106.26₴
MAC-10 | Whitefish (Field-Tested) instead of Negev | Desert-Strike (Minimal Wear); UMP-45 | Late Night Transit (Battle-Scarred): float at most 0.477788 instead of 0.480401; FAMAS | 2A2F (Field-Tested): float at most 0.161620 instead of 0.162713

How to read these numbers

Fees. Steam adds 15% to the seller's price, so the seller gets the listing price divided by 1,15. Multiplying by 0,85 is wrong.

The outcome can only be sold after a week. Inputs bought on Steam go into the contract right away. The outcome can also be crafted further without waiting, but Sell it is possible only after seven days. Over a week the price may change, so the amount shown remains an estimate at calculation time.

Prices are conservative. Sales are counted at the lower of the listing price and the sale price. Purchases are counted at the cheapest listing, which is a lower bound. You cannot buy ten at that price: each next listing costs more. «Check floats on Steam» shows the real purchase price.

The Breakout Collection + The Train 2025 Collection

How to build i Ways to build 2 ways: the best first, then from the most accessible. Click a tab and the numbers below are recalculated for that way.

What you get 7 outcomes

More

How to build