to all crafts

The Breakout Collection + The Vanguard Collection

Mil-Spec Grade → Restricted

Average profit +601.97₽

Invest 845.32₽

Average return 1 447.29₽

ROI +71.2%

Chance of profit 30%

With float: invest at least 1 945.60 ₽, profit at most −498.30 ₽

float premium: at least 1 102 ₽

Hard to build: not enough fitting lots for a single contract

A more profitable set was dropped: +976.52 ₽ по средним

Check:

To calculator I have items + a third collection

Buy on Sell on

How to build

Less than 1% of lots fit: not enough for a contract, the price is understated

×2

P2000 | Ivory

Minimal Wear

buy 0.0700–0.0754

78.32 ₽

at 39.16

Steam

×2

Negev | Desert-Strike

Factory New

buy 0.0000–0.0047

105.84 ₽

at 52.92

Steam

×2

MAG-7 | Firestarter

Field-Tested

buy 0.1500–0.1657

161.56 ₽

at 80.78

Steam

×4

UMP-45 | Delusion

Minimal Wear

buy 0.0700–0.0754

499.60 ₽

at 124.90

Steam

Set · 10 pcs 845.32 ₽ +601.97 (+71.2%)

Less than 1% of lots fit: not enough for a contract, the price is understated

×1

P2000 | Ivory

Minimal Wear

buy 0.0700–0.0750

39.16 ₽

at 39.16

Steam

×3

MP9 | Dart

Minimal Wear

buy 0.0700–0.0750

299.85 ₽

at 99.95

Steam

×6

UMP-45 | Delusion

Minimal Wear

buy 0.0700–0.0750

749.40 ₽

at 124.90

Steam

Set · 10 pcs 1 088.41 ₽ +976.52 (+89.7%)

Less than 1% of lots fit: not enough for a contract, the price is understated

×5

Negev | Desert-Strike

Factory New

buy 0.0000–0.0043

264.60 ₽

at 52.92

Steam

×3

MAG-7 | Firestarter

Field-Tested

buy 0.1500–0.1643

242.34 ₽

at 80.78

Steam

×2

UMP-45 | Delusion

Minimal Wear

buy 0.0700–0.0749

249.80 ₽

at 124.90

Steam

Set · 10 pcs 756.74 ₽ +484.68 (+64.0%)

Less than 1% of lots fit: not enough for a contract, the price is understated

×1

P2000 | Ivory

Minimal Wear

buy 0.0700–0.0748

39.16 ₽

at 39.16

Steam

×1

Negev | Desert-Strike

Factory New

buy 0.0000–0.0042

52.92 ₽

at 52.92

Steam

×2

MAG-7 | Firestarter

Field-Tested

buy 0.1500–0.1640

161.56 ₽

at 80.78

Steam

×6

UMP-45 | Delusion

Minimal Wear

buy 0.0700–0.0748

749.40 ₽

at 124.90

Steam

Set · 10 pcs 1 003.04 ₽ +856.01 (+85.3%)

What you get 8 outcomes

Profitable outcome 30%
Losing outcome 70%

at a loss

Glock-18 | Grinder

Factory New

float up to 0.040124

737.92 ₽ 15.00%

Steam

in profit

best

M4A4 | Griffin

Factory New

float up to 0.069999

7 150.71 ₽ 15.00%

Steam

in profit

M4A1-S | Basilisk

Factory New

float up to 0.059499

2 362.15 ₽ 15.00%

Steam

at a loss

worst

Sawed-Off | Highwayman

Minimal Wear

float up to 0.087499

194.94 ₽ 15.00%

price without deals

Steam

at a loss

PP-Bizon | Osiris

Factory New

float up to 0.043749

262.97 ₽ 10.00%

Steam

at a loss

CZ75-Auto | Tigris

Minimal Wear

float up to 0.087499

207.25 ₽ 10.00%

Steam

at a loss

Nova | Koi

Factory New

float up to 0.026249

259.08 ₽ 10.00%

Steam

at a loss

P250 | Supernova

Factory New

float up to 0.034999

246.01 ₽ 10.00%

Steam

float markup by input how many times more the lots with the needed float cost

P2000 | Ivory (Minimal Wear) × 2 7% of the wear range fits at least ×2.21 78.32 → 173.09 ₽

Negev | Desert-Strike (Factory New) × 2 7% of the wear range fits at least ×2.21 105.84 → 233.91 ₽

MAG-7 | Firestarter (Field-Tested) × 2 7% of the wear range fits at least ×2.21 161.56 → 357.05 ₽

UMP-45 | Delusion (Minimal Wear) × 4 7% of the wear range fits at least ×2.37 499.60 → 1 181.55 ₽

The markup is taken from a check of Steam 25–26.09.2026 listings. It shows how many times the needed number of cheapest listings with a fitting float cost more than the cheapest listing of this wear. It depends on the width of the float window and on the number of items.

Average float of the set

average normalized 0.087499900

outcomes come out up to 0.040124, 0.069999, 0.059499, 0.087499, 0.043749, 0.087499, 0.026249, 0.034999

How to read float

«No higher than» — is a guarantee. The limits are calculated together: take all items with the float at the upper bound and you get exactly the result shown. With a lower float the result will be better.

f′ — the same float, brought to 0–1 by the skin's own range. CSFloat counts the same way.

I already have items

Craft variants

Variant 1 this one The Breakout Collection + The Vanguard Collection

Variant 2 The Train 2025 Collection instead of The Vanguard Collection Variant 3 only The Vanguard Collection Variant 4 The Wildfire Collection instead of The Breakout Collection Variant 5 The Winter Offensive Collection instead of The Breakout Collection Variant 6 The eSports 2013 Winter Collection instead of The Breakout Collection

In a week, when the outcome can be sold from outcome price history

In a bad week +304.51 ₽ a worse week happens one time in ten

In a typical week +467.03 ₽ historical median

If you repeat 10 000 simulations over the outcome odds

Attempts: 10

I already have items Enter their float and the site will pick what to buy

Mix in a collection

Items of this craft's collections of the right rarity fit: The Breakout Collection and The Vanguard Collection — and of the mixed-in collection: enter its items with float, your own or ones you want to buy. Its share in the set equals its share in the chances. Your own items are counted in the profit at market price, because you could sell them. The money needed to buy the rest is shown separately.

Third collection Add a third collection to the craft's two and see whether it gets more profitable

All splits of inputs across three collections are tried (1/1/8, 5/3/2 and the rest) and all outcome wears. The best set is shown for each collection. “Find the best” first quickly scores all collections and then calculates exactly the five best by the quick score.

Similar 11 crafts almost like this one

One of three things counts as similar. The same set with a different wear of cheap outcomes: profit and investment differ by less than 0,5%. The same nine items with a different tenth: profit differs by no more than 10%, investment by 20%. The same main half, whose outcomes make the profit, with a different filler: profit lower by no more than a quarter, investment cheaper by no more than a quarter.

Craft 3174529 · The Horizon Collection + The Vanguard Collection · profit 772.97₽ · invest 945.56₽
sells slowly rare inputs

Dual Berettas | Shred (Factory New) instead of P2000 | Ivory (Minimal Wear), Negev | Desert-Strike (Factory New); Sawed-Off | Highwayman: Factory New instead of Minimal Wear; MAG-7 | Firestarter (Field-Tested): float at most 0.162072 instead of 0.165707; UMP-45 | Delusion (Minimal Wear): float at most 0.074199 instead of 0.075463
Craft 3161526 · The Chroma Collection + The Vanguard Collection · profit 718.15₽ · invest 970.60₽
sells slowly rare inputs

SCAR-20 | Grotto (Factory New) instead of P2000 | Ivory (Minimal Wear), Negev | Desert-Strike (Factory New); Sawed-Off | Highwayman: Factory New instead of Minimal Wear; MAG-7 | Firestarter (Field-Tested): float at most 0.162072 instead of 0.165707; UMP-45 | Delusion (Minimal Wear): float at most 0.074199 instead of 0.075463
Craft 3181188 · The Safehouse Collection + The Vanguard Collection · profit 693.77₽ · invest 922.75₽
rare inputs

FAMAS | Teardown (Minimal Wear), Five-SeveN | Silver Quartz (Factory New) instead of P2000 | Ivory (Minimal Wear), Negev | Desert-Strike (Factory New); MAG-7 | Firestarter (Field-Tested): float at most 0.163123 instead of 0.165707; UMP-45 | Delusion (Minimal Wear): 5 pcs instead of 4; UMP-45 | Delusion (Minimal Wear): float at most 0.074564 instead of 0.075463
Craft 3174530 · The Horizon Collection + The Vanguard Collection · profit 682.33₽ · invest 915.00₽
rare inputs

Glock-18 | Warhawk (Field-Tested), Dual Berettas | Shred (Factory New) instead of P2000 | Ivory (Minimal Wear), Negev | Desert-Strike (Factory New); MAG-7 | Firestarter (Field-Tested): float at most 0.163724 instead of 0.165707; UMP-45 | Delusion (Minimal Wear): float at most 0.074773 instead of 0.075463
Craft 3160792 · The Chroma 3 Collection + The Vanguard Collection · profit 643.39₽ · invest 813.63₽
rare inputs

Sawed-Off | Fubar (Battle-Scarred), M249 | Spectre (Factory New) instead of P2000 | Ivory (Minimal Wear), Negev | Desert-Strike (Factory New); MAG-7 | Firestarter (Field-Tested): float at most 0.165407 instead of 0.165707; UMP-45 | Delusion (Minimal Wear): float at most 0.075359 instead of 0.075463
Craft 3179838 · The Radiant Collection + The Vanguard Collection · profit 636.08₽ · invest 817.26₽
rare inputs

MP9 | Shredded (Minimal Wear), M4A1-S | Rose Hex (Factory New) instead of P2000 | Ivory (Minimal Wear), Negev | Desert-Strike (Factory New); Sawed-Off | Highwayman: Factory New instead of Minimal Wear; MAG-7 | Firestarter (Field-Tested): 1 pcs instead of 2; MAG-7 | Firestarter (Field-Tested): float at most 0.161814 instead of 0.165707; UMP-45 | Delusion (Minimal Wear): float at most 0.074109 instead of 0.075463
Craft 3156445 · The Breakout Collection + The Vanguard Collection · profit 635.22₽ · invest 872.84₽
sells slowly rare inputs

nothing instead of P2000 | Ivory (Minimal Wear); Sawed-Off | Highwayman: Factory New instead of Minimal Wear; CZ75-Auto | Tigris: Factory New instead of Minimal Wear; Negev | Desert-Strike (Factory New): 4 pcs instead of 2; Negev | Desert-Strike (Factory New): float at most 0.003674 instead of 0.004780; MAG-7 | Firestarter (Field-Tested): float at most 0.162072 instead of 0.165707; UMP-45 | Delusion (Minimal Wear): float at most 0.074199 instead of 0.075463
Craft 3178619 · The Phoenix Collection + The Vanguard Collection · profit 633.11₽ · invest 849.32₽
rare inputs

UMP-45 | Corporal (Minimal Wear) instead of P2000 | Ivory (Minimal Wear), Negev | Desert-Strike (Factory New); MAG-7 | Firestarter (Field-Tested): float at most 0.167853 instead of 0.165707; UMP-45 | Delusion (Minimal Wear): float at most 0.076209 instead of 0.075463
Craft 3178101 · The Overpass 2024 Collection + The Vanguard Collection · profit 616.43₽ · invest 782.96₽
rare inputs

Glock-18 | Teal Graf (Factory New) instead of P2000 | Ivory (Minimal Wear), Negev | Desert-Strike (Factory New); Sawed-Off | Highwayman: Factory New instead of Minimal Wear; MAG-7 | Firestarter (Field-Tested): float at most 0.165757 instead of 0.165707; UMP-45 | Delusion (Minimal Wear): 3 pcs instead of 4; UMP-45 | Delusion (Minimal Wear): float at most 0.075480 instead of 0.075463
Craft 3178102 · The Overpass 2024 Collection + The Vanguard Collection · profit 614.56₽ · invest 759.01₽
rare inputs

Nova | Wurst Hölle (Field-Tested), Glock-18 | Teal Graf (Factory New) instead of P2000 | Ivory (Minimal Wear), Negev | Desert-Strike (Factory New); MAG-7 | Firestarter (Field-Tested): float at most 0.162964 instead of 0.165707; UMP-45 | Delusion (Minimal Wear): 3 pcs instead of 4; UMP-45 | Delusion (Minimal Wear): float at most 0.074509 instead of 0.075463
Craft 3178103 · The Overpass 2024 Collection + The Vanguard Collection · profit 596.16₽ · invest 738.84₽
rare inputs

Glock-18 | Teal Graf (Factory New) instead of P2000 | Ivory (Minimal Wear), Negev | Desert-Strike (Factory New); MAG-7 | Firestarter (Field-Tested): 3 pcs instead of 2; MAG-7 | Firestarter (Field-Tested): float at most 0.162624 instead of 0.165707; UMP-45 | Delusion (Minimal Wear): 2 pcs instead of 4; UMP-45 | Delusion (Minimal Wear): float at most 0.074391 instead of 0.075463

How to read these numbers

Fees. Steam adds 15% to the seller's price, so the seller gets the listing price divided by 1,15. Multiplying by 0,85 is wrong.

The outcome can only be sold after a week. Inputs bought on Steam go into the contract right away. The outcome can also be crafted further without waiting, but Sell it is possible only after seven days. Over a week the price may change, so the amount shown remains an estimate at calculation time.

Prices are conservative. Sales are counted at the lower of the listing price and the sale price. Purchases are counted at the cheapest listing, which is a lower bound. You cannot buy ten at that price: each next listing costs more. «Check floats on Steam» shows the real purchase price.

The Breakout Collection + The Vanguard Collection

How to build i Ways to build 5 ways: the best first, then from the most accessible. Click a tab and the numbers below are recalculated for that way.

What you get 8 outcomes

More

How to build