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The Danger Zone Collection + The Dead Hand Collection

Restricted → Classified

Prices by float: ночной проверки нет, числа ниже — оценка с учётом float

Average profit at most · with float −4 126.66₸

Invest at least 7 050.65₸

Average return 2 924.05₸

ROI −58.5%

Chance of profit 0%

With float: invest at least 7 050.65 ₸, profit at most −4 126.66 ₸

float premium: at least 4 133 ₸

Hard to build: not enough fitting lots for a single contract

Check:

To calculator I have items + a third collection

Buy on Sell on

How to build

Less than 1% of lots fit: not enough for a contract, the price is understated

×9

MAC-10 | Pipe Down

Field-Tested

buy 0.1500–0.1704

2 321.89 ₸

at 257.99

Steam

×1

MP7 | Amberline

Field-Tested

buy 0.1500–0.1704

437.07 ₸

at 437.07

Steam

Set · 10 pcs 2 758.97 ₸ +165.08 (+6.0%)

What you get 6 outcomes

Profitable outcome 33%
Losing outcome 33%
About break-even 33%

in profit

Desert Eagle | Mecha Industries

Minimal Wear

float up to 0.112499

3 999.66 ₸ 30.00%

Steam

about break-even

MP5-SD | Phosphor

Minimal Wear

float up to 0.149999

3 301.32 ₸ 30.00%

Steam

at a loss

worst

UMP-45 | Momentum

Minimal Wear

float up to 0.093749

2 494.36 ₸ 30.00%

Steam

in profit

best

AK-47 | Crane Flight

Field-Tested

float up to 0.187499

6 689.14 ₸ 3.33%

Steam

about break-even

P250 | Kintsugi

Field-Tested

float up to 0.187499

3 046.17 ₸ 3.33%

Steam

at a loss

P90 | Deathgaze

Field-Tested

float up to 0.187499

2 985.44 ₸ 3.33%

Steam

Craft variants

Variant 1 this one The Danger Zone Collection + The Dead Hand Collection

Variant 2 The Horizon Collection instead of The Dead Hand Collection Variant 3 The Shadow Collection instead of The Danger Zone Collection Variant 4 The Shadow Collection instead of The Dead Hand Collection Variant 5 The Phoenix Collection instead of The Danger Zone Collection Variant 6 The Horizon Collection instead of The Danger Zone Collection

In a week, when the outcome can be sold from outcome price history

In a bad week −174.38 ₸ a worse week happens one time in ten

In a typical week +67.63 ₸ historical median

If you repeat 10 000 simulations over the outcome odds

Attempts: 10

I already have items Enter their float and the site will pick what to buy

Mix in a collection

Items of this craft's collections of the right rarity fit: The Danger Zone Collection and The Dead Hand Collection — and of the mixed-in collection: enter its items with float, your own or ones you want to buy. Its share in the set equals its share in the chances. Your own items are counted in the profit at market price, because you could sell them. The money needed to buy the rest is shown separately.

Third collection Add a third collection to the craft's two and see whether it gets more profitable

All splits of inputs across three collections are tried (1/1/8, 5/3/2 and the rest) and all outcome wears. The best set is shown for each collection. “Find the best” first quickly scores all collections and then calculates exactly the five best by the quick score.

Similar 6 crafts almost like this one

One of three things counts as similar. The same set with a different wear of cheap outcomes: profit and investment differ by less than 0,5%. The same nine items with a different tenth: profit differs by no more than 10%, investment by 20%. The same main half, whose outcomes make the profit, with a different filler: profit lower by no more than a quarter, investment cheaper by no more than a quarter.

Craft 3163376 · The Danger Zone Collection + The Harlequin Collection · profit 171.82₸ · invest 2 683.07₸
USP-S | Sleeping Potion (Battle-Scarred) instead of MP7 | Amberline (Field-Tested); MP5-SD | Phosphor: Field-Tested instead of Minimal Wear; MAC-10 | Pipe Down (Field-Tested): float at most 0.180913 instead of 0.170454
Craft 3163916 · The Danger Zone Collection + The Spectrum 2 Collection · profit 168.84₸ · invest 2 901.01₸
rare inputs

UMP-45 | Exposure (Minimal Wear) instead of MP7 | Amberline (Field-Tested); MAC-10 | Pipe Down (Field-Tested): float at most 0.165403 instead of 0.170454
Craft 3163276 · The Danger Zone Collection + The Gamma Collection · profit 165.15₸ · invest 2 921.20₸
rare inputs

Sawed-Off | Limelight (Field-Tested) instead of MP7 | Amberline (Field-Tested)
Craft 3163945 · The Danger Zone Collection + The Spectrum Collection · profit 165.04₸ · invest 3 043.93₸
rare inputs

MAC-10 | Last Dive (Minimal Wear) instead of MP7 | Amberline (Field-Tested); MAC-10 | Pipe Down (Field-Tested): float at most 0.162193 instead of 0.170454
Craft 3163217 · The Danger Zone Collection + The Gallery Collection · profit 158.59₸ · invest 2 641.76₸
P90 | Randy Rush (Field-Tested) instead of MP7 | Amberline (Field-Tested); MAC-10 | Pipe Down (Field-Tested): float at most 0.165441 instead of 0.170454
Craft 3163397 · The Danger Zone Collection + The Horizon Collection · profit 155.88₸ · invest 2 761.26₸
Nova | Toy Soldier (Field-Tested) instead of MP7 | Amberline (Field-Tested)

How to read these numbers

Fees. Steam adds 15% to the seller's price, so the seller gets the listing price divided by 1,15. Multiplying by 0,85 is wrong.

The outcome can only be sold after a week. Inputs bought on Steam go into the contract right away. The outcome can also be crafted further without waiting, but Sell it is possible only after seven days. Over a week the price may change, so the amount shown remains an estimate at calculation time.

Prices are conservative. Sales are counted at the lower of the listing price and the sale price. Purchases are counted at the cheapest listing, which is a lower bound. You cannot buy ten at that price: each next listing costs more. «Check floats on Steam» shows the real purchase price.

The Danger Zone Collection + The Dead Hand Collection

How to build i Ways to build 2 ways: the best first, then from the most accessible. Click a tab and the numbers below are recalculated for that way.

What you get 6 outcomes

More

How to build