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The Dead Hand Collection + The Falchion Collection

Restricted → Classified

Average profit +4 422.18₸

Invest 8 887.92₸

Average return 13 310.10₸

ROI +49.8%

Chance of profit 70%

With float: invest at least 21 973.63 ₸, profit at most −8 663.53 ₸

float premium: at least 12 482 ₸

To build: medium

A more profitable set was dropped: +6 320.57 ₸ по средним

Check:

To calculator I have items + a third collection

Buy on Sell on

How to build

Less than 1% of lots fit: not enough for a contract, the price is understated

×8

MP9 | Urban Sovereign

Minimal Wear

buy 0.0700–0.0818

6 455.23 ₸

at 806.90

Steam

×1

Galil AR | Galigator

Factory New

buy 0.0000–0.0034

1 994.96 ₸

at 1 994.96

Steam

×1

Negev | Loudmouth

Field-Tested

buy 0.1500–0.1613

437.73 ₸

at 437.73

Steam

Set · 10 pcs 8 887.92 ₸ +4 422.18 (+49.8%)

What you get 6 outcomes

Profitable outcome 70%
Losing outcome 0%
About break-even 30%

in profit

best

AK-47 | Crane Flight

Factory New

float up to 0.069999

26 667.64 ₸ 30.00%

Steam

about break-even

worst

P250 | Kintsugi

Factory New

float up to 0.069999

9 775.53 ₸ 30.00%

Steam

in profit

P90 | Deathgaze

Factory New

float up to 0.069999

10 767.26 ₸ 30.00%

Steam

in profit

CZ75-Auto | Yellow Jacket

Factory New

float up to 0.069999

11 350.21 ₸ 3.33%

price without deals

Steam

in profit

MP7 | Nemesis

Factory New

float up to 0.022399

11 578.98 ₸ 3.33%

Steam

in profit

SG 553 | Cyrex

Factory New

float up to 0.069999

11 375.98 ₸ 3.33%

Steam

Craft variants

Variant 1 this one The Dead Hand Collection + The Falchion Collection

Variant 2 The Train 2025 Collection instead of The Dead Hand Collection Variant 3 The Horizon Collection instead of The Dead Hand Collection Variant 4 The Shadow Collection instead of The Falchion Collection Variant 5 The Operation Broken Fang Collection instead of The Dead Hand Collection Variant 6 The Shadow Collection instead of The Dead Hand Collection

In a week, when the outcome can be sold from outcome price history

In a bad week +2 466.67 ₸ a worse week happens one time in ten

In a typical week +3 969.29 ₸ historical median

If you repeat 10 000 simulations over the outcome odds

Attempts: 10

I already have items Enter their float and the site will pick what to buy

Mix in a collection

Items of this craft's collections of the right rarity fit: The Dead Hand Collection and The Falchion Collection — and of the mixed-in collection: enter its items with float, your own or ones you want to buy. Its share in the set equals its share in the chances. Your own items are counted in the profit at market price, because you could sell them. The money needed to buy the rest is shown separately.

Third collection Add a third collection to the craft's two and see whether it gets more profitable

All splits of inputs across three collections are tried (1/1/8, 5/3/2 and the rest) and all outcome wears. The best set is shown for each collection. “Find the best” first quickly scores all collections and then calculates exactly the five best by the quick score.

Similar 2 crafts almost like this one

One of three things counts as similar. The same set with a different wear of cheap outcomes: profit and investment differ by less than 0,5%. The same nine items with a different tenth: profit differs by no more than 10%, investment by 20%. The same main half, whose outcomes make the profit, with a different filler: profit lower by no more than a quarter, investment cheaper by no more than a quarter.

Craft 3164796 · The Dead Hand Collection + The Shadow Collection · profit 4 118.62₸ · invest 9 579.97₸
sells slowly rare inputs

M249 | Nebula Crusader (Minimal Wear) instead of Negev | Loudmouth (Field-Tested); MP9 | Urban Sovereign (Minimal Wear): float at most 0.077088 instead of 0.081823; Galil AR | Galigator (Factory New): float at most 0.006202 instead of 0.003467
Craft 3164966 · The Dead Hand Collection + The Vanguard Collection · profit 3 991.70₸ · invest 9 516.83₸
sells slowly rare inputs

Sawed-Off | Highwayman (Minimal Wear) instead of Negev | Loudmouth (Field-Tested); MP9 | Urban Sovereign (Minimal Wear): float at most 0.077088 instead of 0.081823; Galil AR | Galigator (Factory New): float at most 0.006202 instead of 0.003467

How to read these numbers

Fees. Steam adds 15% to the seller's price, so the seller gets the listing price divided by 1,15. Multiplying by 0,85 is wrong.

The outcome can only be sold after a week. Inputs bought on Steam go into the contract right away. The outcome can also be crafted further without waiting, but Sell it is possible only after seven days. Over a week the price may change, so the amount shown remains an estimate at calculation time.

Prices are conservative. Sales are counted at the lower of the listing price and the sale price. Purchases are counted at the cheapest listing, which is a lower bound. You cannot buy ten at that price: each next listing costs more. «Check floats on Steam» shows the real purchase price.

The Dead Hand Collection + The Falchion Collection

How to build i Ways to build 1 way: the best first, then from the most accessible. Click a tab and the numbers below are recalculated for that way.

What you get 6 outcomes

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How to build