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The Dead Hand Collection + The Harlequin Collection

Mil-Spec Grade → Restricted

Average profit +1.57$

Invest 3.66$

Average return 5.23$

ROI +42.9%

Chance of profit 86%

With float: invest at least 8.62 $, profit at most −3.38 $

float premium: at least 5 $

To build: medium

A more profitable set was dropped: +1.78 $ по средним

Check:

To calculator I have items + a third collection

Buy on Sell on

How to build

Less than 1% of lots fit: not enough for a contract, the price is understated

×7

M249 | Bock Blocks

Minimal Wear

buy 0.0700–0.0797

1.60 $

at 0.23

Steam

×1

Zeus x27 | Earth Mandala

Minimal Wear

buy 0.0700–0.0788

0.43 $

at 0.43

Steam

×2

UMP-45 | Warm Blooded

Factory New

buy 0.0000–0.0077

1.63 $

at 0.82

Steam

Set · 10 pcs 3.66 $ +1.57 (+42.9%)

What you get 7 outcomes

Profitable outcome 72%
Losing outcome 14%
About break-even 14%

in profit

best

AWP | Exothermic

Factory New

float up to 0.048999

8.71 $ 15.00%

Steam

in profit

USP-S | Sleeping Potion

Factory New

float up to 0.048999

7.93 $ 15.00%

Steam

in profit

Desert Eagle | Firebreathing

Factory New

float up to 0.069999

5.34 $ 14.00%

Steam

in profit

Galil AR | Galigator

Factory New

float up to 0.069999

4.45 $ 14.00%

Steam

in profit

M4A1-S | Electrum

Factory New

float up to 0.069999

7.09 $ 14.00%

Steam

at a loss

worst

MP7 | Amberline

Factory New

float up to 0.069999

3.87 $ 14.00%

Steam

about break-even

MP9 | Urban Sovereign

Factory New

float up to 0.069999

4.40 $ 14.00%

Steam

Craft variants

Variant 1 this one The Dead Hand Collection + The Harlequin Collection

Variant 2 The Train 2025 Collection instead of The Dead Hand Collection Variant 3 The Train 2025 Collection instead of The Harlequin Collection Variant 4 The Prisma Collection instead of The Dead Hand Collection Variant 5 The Vanguard Collection instead of The Dead Hand Collection Variant 6 The Spy Tech Collection instead of The Dead Hand Collection

In a week, when the outcome can be sold from outcome price history

In a bad week +1.00 $ a worse week happens one time in ten

In a typical week +1.42 $ historical median

If you repeat 10 000 simulations over the outcome odds

Attempts: 10

I already have items Enter their float and the site will pick what to buy

Mix in a collection

Items of this craft's collections of the right rarity fit: The Dead Hand Collection and The Harlequin Collection — and of the mixed-in collection: enter its items with float, your own or ones you want to buy. Its share in the set equals its share in the chances. Your own items are counted in the profit at market price, because you could sell them. The money needed to buy the rest is shown separately.

Third collection Add a third collection to the craft's two and see whether it gets more profitable

All splits of inputs across three collections are tried (1/1/8, 5/3/2 and the rest) and all outcome wears. The best set is shown for each collection. “Find the best” first quickly scores all collections and then calculates exactly the five best by the quick score.

Similar 5 crafts almost like this one

One of three things counts as similar. The same set with a different wear of cheap outcomes: profit and investment differ by less than 0,5%. The same nine items with a different tenth: profit differs by no more than 10%, investment by 20%. The same main half, whose outcomes make the profit, with a different filler: profit lower by no more than a quarter, investment cheaper by no more than a quarter.

Craft 3159699 · The Chroma 3 Collection + The Dead Hand Collection · profit 1.88$ · invest 2.95$
rare inputs

Sawed-Off | Fubar (Battle-Scarred), M249 | Spectre (Factory New) instead of Zeus x27 | Earth Mandala (Minimal Wear), UMP-45 | Warm Blooded (Factory New); M249 | Bock Blocks (Minimal Wear): float at most 0.075768 instead of 0.079773
Craft 3164666 · The Dead Hand Collection + The Radiant Collection · profit 1.81$ · invest 3.39$
MP9 | Shredded (Minimal Wear), M4A1-S | Rose Hex (Factory New) instead of Zeus x27 | Earth Mandala (Minimal Wear), UMP-45 | Warm Blooded (Factory New)
Craft 3154480 · The Boreal Collection + The Dead Hand Collection · profit 1.59$ · invest 2.56$
XM1014 | Copperflage (Minimal Wear), MP5-SD | Gold Leaf (Factory New) instead of Zeus x27 | Earth Mandala (Minimal Wear), UMP-45 | Warm Blooded (Factory New)
Craft 3164678 · The Dead Hand Collection + The Recoil Collection · profit 1.48$ · invest 2.39$
Negev | Drop Me (Minimal Wear), Galil AR | Destroyer (Factory New) instead of Zeus x27 | Earth Mandala (Minimal Wear), UMP-45 | Warm Blooded (Factory New); M249 | Bock Blocks (Minimal Wear): 8 pcs instead of 7; M249 | Bock Blocks (Minimal Wear): float at most 0.076829 instead of 0.079773
Craft 3160966 · The Chroma Collection + The Dead Hand Collection · profit 1.46$ · invest 4.77$
rare inputs

XM1014 | Quicksilver (Minimal Wear), SCAR-20 | Grotto (Factory New) instead of Zeus x27 | Earth Mandala (Minimal Wear), UMP-45 | Warm Blooded (Factory New); M249 | Bock Blocks (Minimal Wear): 6 pcs instead of 7; M249 | Bock Blocks (Minimal Wear): float at most 0.080473 instead of 0.079773

How to read these numbers

Fees. Steam adds 15% to the seller's price, so the seller gets the listing price divided by 1,15. Multiplying by 0,85 is wrong.

The outcome can only be sold after a week. Inputs bought on Steam go into the contract right away. The outcome can also be crafted further without waiting, but Sell it is possible only after seven days. Over a week the price may change, so the amount shown remains an estimate at calculation time.

Prices are conservative. Sales are counted at the lower of the listing price and the sale price. Purchases are counted at the cheapest listing, which is a lower bound. You cannot buy ten at that price: each next listing costs more. «Check floats on Steam» shows the real purchase price.

The Dead Hand Collection + The Harlequin Collection

How to build i Ways to build 3 ways: the best first, then from the most accessible. Click a tab and the numbers below are recalculated for that way.

What you get 7 outcomes

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How to build