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The Dead Hand Collection + The Recoil Collection

Mil-Spec Grade → Restricted

Prices by float: ночной проверки нет, числа ниже — оценка с учётом float

Average profit at most · with float −170.44₽

Invest at least 487.92₽

Average return 317.47₽

ROI −34.9%

Chance of profit 16%

With float: invest at least 487.92 ₽, profit at most −170.44 ₽

float premium: at least 268 ₽

Hard to build: not enough fitting lots for a single contract

A more profitable set was dropped: +138.06 ₽ по средним

Check:

To calculator I have items + a third collection

Buy on Sell on

How to build

Less than 1% of lots fit: not enough for a contract, the price is understated

×8

M249 | Bock Blocks

Minimal Wear

buy 0.0700–0.0768

150.08 ₽

at 18.76

Steam

×1

Negev | Drop Me

Minimal Wear

buy 0.0700–0.0768

14.80 ₽

at 14.80

Steam

×1

Galil AR | Destroyer

Factory New

buy 0.0000–0.0059

31.13 ₽

at 31.13

Steam

Set · 10 pcs 196.01 ₽ +121.46 (+62.0%)

Less than 1% of lots fit: not enough for a contract, the price is understated

×7

M249 | Bock Blocks

Minimal Wear

buy 0.0700–0.0768

131.32 ₽

at 18.76

Steam

×2

Negev | Drop Me

Minimal Wear

buy 0.0700–0.0768

29.60 ₽

at 14.80

Steam

×1

Galil AR | Destroyer

Factory New

buy 0.0000–0.0059

31.13 ₽

at 31.13

Steam

Set · 10 pcs 192.05 ₽ +104.87 (+54.6%)

Less than 1% of lots fit: not enough for a contract, the price is understated

×6

M249 | Bock Blocks

Minimal Wear

buy 0.0700–0.0768

112.56 ₽

at 18.76

Steam

×3

Negev | Drop Me

Minimal Wear

buy 0.0700–0.0768

44.40 ₽

at 14.80

Steam

×1

Galil AR | Destroyer

Factory New

buy 0.0000–0.0059

31.13 ₽

at 31.13

Steam

Set · 10 pcs 188.09 ₽ +88.27 (+46.9%)

Less than 1% of lots fit: not enough for a contract, the price is understated

×5

M249 | Bock Blocks

Minimal Wear

buy 0.0700–0.0768

93.80 ₽

at 18.76

Steam

×4

Negev | Drop Me

Minimal Wear

buy 0.0700–0.0768

59.20 ₽

at 14.80

Steam

×1

Galil AR | Destroyer

Factory New

buy 0.0000–0.0059

31.13 ₽

at 31.13

Steam

Set · 10 pcs 184.13 ₽ +71.67 (+38.9%)

What you get 10 outcomes

Profitable outcome 88%
Losing outcome 12%

in profit

Desert Eagle | Firebreathing

Factory New

float up to 0.069999

437.74 ₽ 16.00%

Steam

in profit

Galil AR | Galigator

Factory New

float up to 0.069999

364.60 ₽ 16.00%

Steam

in profit

best

M4A1-S | Electrum

Factory New

float up to 0.069999

581.10 ₽ 16.00%

Steam

in profit

MP7 | Amberline

Factory New

float up to 0.069999

317.53 ₽ 16.00%

Steam

in profit

MP9 | Urban Sovereign

Factory New

float up to 0.069999

360.93 ₽ 16.00%

Steam

in profit

Dual Berettas | Flora Carnivora

Factory New

float up to 0.069999

247.59 ₽ 4.00%

Steam

at a loss

M249 | Downtown

Factory New

float up to 0.045499

120.01 ₽ 4.00%

Steam

at a loss

P90 | Vent Rush

Factory New

float up to 0.048999

121.78 ₽ 4.00%

Steam

in profit

R8 Revolver | Crazy 8

Factory New

float up to 0.069999

285.33 ₽ 4.00%

Steam

at a loss

worst

SG 553 | Dragon Tech

Factory New

float up to 0.048999

105.09 ₽ 4.00%

Steam

Craft variants

Variant 1 this one The Dead Hand Collection + The Recoil Collection

Variant 2 The Train 2025 Collection instead of The Dead Hand Collection Variant 3 The Train 2025 Collection instead of The Recoil Collection Variant 4 The Prisma Collection instead of The Recoil Collection Variant 5 The Vanguard Collection instead of The Recoil Collection Variant 6 The Vanguard Collection instead of The Dead Hand Collection

In a week, when the outcome can be sold from outcome price history

In a bad week +87.07 ₽ a worse week happens one time in ten

In a typical week +116.76 ₽ historical median

If you repeat 10 000 simulations over the outcome odds

Attempts: 10

I already have items Enter their float and the site will pick what to buy

Mix in a collection

Items of this craft's collections of the right rarity fit: The Dead Hand Collection and The Recoil Collection — and of the mixed-in collection: enter its items with float, your own or ones you want to buy. Its share in the set equals its share in the chances. Your own items are counted in the profit at market price, because you could sell them. The money needed to buy the rest is shown separately.

Third collection Add a third collection to the craft's two and see whether it gets more profitable

All splits of inputs across three collections are tried (1/1/8, 5/3/2 and the rest) and all outcome wears. The best set is shown for each collection. “Find the best” first quickly scores all collections and then calculates exactly the five best by the quick score.

Similar 5 crafts almost like this one

One of three things counts as similar. The same set with a different wear of cheap outcomes: profit and investment differ by less than 0,5%. The same nine items with a different tenth: profit differs by no more than 10%, investment by 20%. The same main half, whose outcomes make the profit, with a different filler: profit lower by no more than a quarter, investment cheaper by no more than a quarter.

Craft 3159699 · The Chroma 3 Collection + The Dead Hand Collection · profit 154.42₽ · invest 241.45₽
rare inputs

Sawed-Off | Fubar (Battle-Scarred), M249 | Spectre (Factory New) instead of Negev | Drop Me (Minimal Wear), Galil AR | Destroyer (Factory New); M249 | Bock Blocks (Minimal Wear): 7 pcs instead of 8; M249 | Bock Blocks (Minimal Wear): float at most 0.075768 instead of 0.076829
Craft 3164666 · The Dead Hand Collection + The Radiant Collection · profit 148.30₽ · invest 277.99₽
MP9 | Shredded (Minimal Wear), M4A1-S | Rose Hex (Factory New) instead of Negev | Drop Me (Minimal Wear), Galil AR | Destroyer (Factory New); M249 | Bock Blocks (Minimal Wear): 7 pcs instead of 8; M249 | Bock Blocks (Minimal Wear): float at most 0.079773 instead of 0.076829
Craft 3154480 · The Boreal Collection + The Dead Hand Collection · profit 129.97₽ · invest 209.66₽
XM1014 | Copperflage (Minimal Wear), MP5-SD | Gold Leaf (Factory New) instead of Negev | Drop Me (Minimal Wear), Galil AR | Destroyer (Factory New); M249 | Bock Blocks (Minimal Wear): 7 pcs instead of 8; M249 | Bock Blocks (Minimal Wear): float at most 0.079773 instead of 0.076829
Craft 3164402 · The Dead Hand Collection + The Harlequin Collection · profit 128.75₽ · invest 300.20₽
Zeus x27 | Earth Mandala (Minimal Wear), UMP-45 | Warm Blooded (Factory New) instead of Negev | Drop Me (Minimal Wear), Galil AR | Destroyer (Factory New); M249 | Bock Blocks (Minimal Wear): 7 pcs instead of 8; M249 | Bock Blocks (Minimal Wear): float at most 0.079773 instead of 0.076829
Craft 3160966 · The Chroma Collection + The Dead Hand Collection · profit 119.37₽ · invest 391.07₽
rare inputs

XM1014 | Quicksilver (Minimal Wear), SCAR-20 | Grotto (Factory New) instead of Negev | Drop Me (Minimal Wear), Galil AR | Destroyer (Factory New); M249 | Bock Blocks (Minimal Wear): 6 pcs instead of 8; M249 | Bock Blocks (Minimal Wear): float at most 0.080473 instead of 0.076829

How to read these numbers

Fees. Steam adds 15% to the seller's price, so the seller gets the listing price divided by 1,15. Multiplying by 0,85 is wrong.

The outcome can only be sold after a week. Inputs bought on Steam go into the contract right away. The outcome can also be crafted further without waiting, but Sell it is possible only after seven days. Over a week the price may change, so the amount shown remains an estimate at calculation time.

Prices are conservative. Sales are counted at the lower of the listing price and the sale price. Purchases are counted at the cheapest listing, which is a lower bound. You cannot buy ten at that price: each next listing costs more. «Check floats on Steam» shows the real purchase price.

The Dead Hand Collection + The Recoil Collection

How to build i Ways to build 5 ways: the best first, then from the most accessible. Click a tab and the numbers below are recalculated for that way.

What you get 10 outcomes

More

How to build