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The Dead Hand Collection + The Shadow Collection

Restricted → Classified

Average profit +9.18$

Invest 21.36$

Average return 30.54$

ROI +43.0%

Chance of profit 40%

With float: invest at least 52.32 $, profit at most −21.78 $

float premium: at least 30 $

Hard to build: not enough fitting lots for a single contract

Check:

To calculator I have items + a third collection

Buy on Sell on

How to build

Less than 1% of lots fit: not enough for a contract, the price is understated

×8

MP9 | Urban Sovereign

Minimal Wear

buy 0.0700–0.0770

14.39 $

at 1.80

Steam

×1

Galil AR | Galigator

Factory New

buy 0.0000–0.0062

4.45 $

at 4.45

Steam

×1

M249 | Nebula Crusader

Minimal Wear

buy 0.0700–0.0770

2.52 $

at 2.52

Steam

Set · 10 pcs 21.36 $ +9.18 (+43.0%)

Less than 1% of lots fit: not enough for a contract, the price is understated

×7

MP9 | Urban Sovereign

Minimal Wear

buy 0.0700–0.0770

12.59 $

at 1.80

Steam

×1

Galil AR | Galigator

Factory New

buy 0.0000–0.0062

4.45 $

at 4.45

Steam

×2

M249 | Nebula Crusader

Minimal Wear

buy 0.0700–0.0770

5.04 $

at 2.52

Steam

Set · 10 pcs 22.08 $ +8.49 (+38.5%)

Less than 1% of lots fit: not enough for a contract, the price is understated

×6

MP9 | Urban Sovereign

Minimal Wear

buy 0.0700–0.0770

10.79 $

at 1.80

Steam

×1

Galil AR | Galigator

Factory New

buy 0.0000–0.0062

4.45 $

at 4.45

Steam

×3

M249 | Nebula Crusader

Minimal Wear

buy 0.0700–0.0770

7.56 $

at 2.52

Steam

Set · 10 pcs 22.80 $ +7.81 (+34.2%)

Less than 1% of lots fit: not enough for a contract, the price is understated

×5

MP9 | Urban Sovereign

Minimal Wear

buy 0.0700–0.0770

9.00 $

at 1.80

Steam

×1

Galil AR | Galigator

Factory New

buy 0.0000–0.0062

4.45 $

at 4.45

Steam

×4

M249 | Nebula Crusader

Minimal Wear

buy 0.0700–0.0770

10.08 $

at 2.52

Steam

Set · 10 pcs 23.52 $ +7.12 (+30.3%)

Profit on prices without sales: without them at least −0 $

Less than 1% of lots fit: not enough for a contract, the price is understated

×4

MP9 | Urban Sovereign

Minimal Wear

buy 0.0700–0.0770

7.20 $

at 1.80

Steam

×1

Galil AR | Galigator

Factory New

buy 0.0000–0.0062

4.45 $

at 4.45

Steam

×5

M249 | Nebula Crusader

Minimal Wear

buy 0.0700–0.0770

12.59 $

at 2.52

Steam

Set · 10 pcs 24.24 $ +6.43 (+26.5%)

What you get 6 outcomes

Profitable outcome 40%
Losing outcome 30%
About break-even 30%

in profit

best

AK-47 | Crane Flight

Factory New

float up to 0.069999

59.46 $ 30.00%

Steam

at a loss

worst

P250 | Kintsugi

Factory New

float up to 0.069999

21.79 $ 30.00%

Steam

about break-even

P90 | Deathgaze

Factory New

float up to 0.069999

24.01 $ 30.00%

Steam

in profit

AK-47 | Frontside Misty

Minimal Wear

float up to 0.079499

30.50 $ 3.33%

Steam

in profit

G3SG1 | Flux

Factory New

float up to 0.062999

46.68 $ 3.33%

price without deals

Steam

in profit

SSG 08 | Big Iron

Factory New

float up to 0.044799

29.19 $ 3.33%

Steam

Craft variants

Variant 1 this one The Dead Hand Collection + The Shadow Collection

Variant 2 The Train 2025 Collection instead of The Dead Hand Collection Variant 3 only The Shadow Collection Variant 4 The Wildfire Collection instead of The Dead Hand Collection Variant 5 The Shattered Web Collection instead of The Dead Hand Collection Variant 6 The Spectrum 2 Collection instead of The Dead Hand Collection

In a week, when the outcome can be sold from outcome price history

In a bad week +4.75 $ a worse week happens one time in ten

In a typical week +8.33 $ historical median

If you repeat 10 000 simulations over the outcome odds

Attempts: 10

I already have items Enter their float and the site will pick what to buy

Mix in a collection

Items of this craft's collections of the right rarity fit: The Dead Hand Collection and The Shadow Collection — and of the mixed-in collection: enter its items with float, your own or ones you want to buy. Its share in the set equals its share in the chances. Your own items are counted in the profit at market price, because you could sell them. The money needed to buy the rest is shown separately.

Third collection Add a third collection to the craft's two and see whether it gets more profitable

All splits of inputs across three collections are tried (1/1/8, 5/3/2 and the rest) and all outcome wears. The best set is shown for each collection. “Find the best” first quickly scores all collections and then calculates exactly the five best by the quick score.

Similar 2 crafts almost like this one

One of three things counts as similar. The same set with a different wear of cheap outcomes: profit and investment differ by less than 0,5%. The same nine items with a different tenth: profit differs by no more than 10%, investment by 20%. The same main half, whose outcomes make the profit, with a different filler: profit lower by no more than a quarter, investment cheaper by no more than a quarter.

Craft 3164177 · The Dead Hand Collection + The Falchion Collection · profit 9.86$ · invest 19.82$
sells slowly rare inputs

Negev | Loudmouth (Field-Tested) instead of M249 | Nebula Crusader (Minimal Wear); MP9 | Urban Sovereign (Minimal Wear): float at most 0.081823 instead of 0.077088; Galil AR | Galigator (Factory New): float at most 0.003467 instead of 0.006202
Craft 3164966 · The Dead Hand Collection + The Vanguard Collection · profit 8.90$ · invest 21.22$
sells slowly rare inputs

Sawed-Off | Highwayman (Minimal Wear) instead of M249 | Nebula Crusader (Minimal Wear)

How to read these numbers

Fees. Steam adds 15% to the seller's price, so the seller gets the listing price divided by 1,15. Multiplying by 0,85 is wrong.

The outcome can only be sold after a week. Inputs bought on Steam go into the contract right away. The outcome can also be crafted further without waiting, but Sell it is possible only after seven days. Over a week the price may change, so the amount shown remains an estimate at calculation time.

Prices are conservative. Sales are counted at the lower of the listing price and the sale price. Purchases are counted at the cheapest listing, which is a lower bound. You cannot buy ten at that price: each next listing costs more. «Check floats on Steam» shows the real purchase price.

The Dead Hand Collection + The Shadow Collection

How to build i Ways to build 5 ways: the best first, then from the most accessible. Click a tab and the numbers below are recalculated for that way.

What you get 6 outcomes

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How to build