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The Dead Hand Collection + The Train Collection

Mil-Spec Grade → Restricted

Average profit +19.71₽

Invest 123.01₽

Average return 142.72₽

ROI +16.0%

Chance of profit 90%

With float: invest at least 291.93 ₽, profit at most −149.21 ₽

float premium: at least 145 ₽

Hard to build: not enough fitting lots for a single contract

Check:

To calculator I have items + a third collection

Buy on Sell on

How to build

Less than 1% of lots fit: not enough for a contract, the price is understated

×7

M4A4 | Zubastick

Field-Tested

buy 0.1500–0.1657

62.44 ₽

at 8.92

Steam

×2

M249 | Bock Blocks

Minimal Wear

buy 0.0700–0.0754

37.52 ₽

at 18.76

Steam

×1

Sawed-Off | Amber Fade

Minimal Wear

buy 0.0700–0.0754

23.05 ₽

at 23.05

Steam

Set · 10 pcs 123.01 ₽ +19.71 (+16.0%)

What you get 6 outcomes

Profitable outcome 72%
Losing outcome 10%
About break-even 18%

in profit

Desert Eagle | Firebreathing

Minimal Wear

float up to 0.149999

185.92 ₽ 18.00%

Steam

in profit

Galil AR | Galigator

Minimal Wear

float up to 0.149999

154.72 ₽ 18.00%

Steam

in profit

best

M4A1-S | Electrum

Minimal Wear

float up to 0.149999

247.29 ₽ 18.00%

Steam

in profit

MP7 | Amberline

Minimal Wear

float up to 0.149999

154.15 ₽ 18.00%

Steam

about break-even

MP9 | Urban Sovereign

Minimal Wear

float up to 0.149999

144.71 ₽ 18.00%

Steam

at a loss

worst

Tec-9 | Red Quartz

Factory New

float up to 0.059999

45.06 ₽ 10.00%

Steam

Craft variants

Variant 1 this one The Dead Hand Collection + The Train Collection

Variant 2 The Train 2025 Collection instead of The Train Collection Variant 3 The Vanguard Collection instead of The Dead Hand Collection Variant 4 The Prisma Collection instead of The Train Collection Variant 5 The Vanguard Collection instead of The Train Collection Variant 6 The Glove Collection instead of The Train Collection

In a week, when the outcome can be sold from outcome price history

In a bad week +4.07 ₽ a worse week happens one time in ten

In a typical week +16.93 ₽ historical median

If you repeat 10 000 simulations over the outcome odds

Attempts: 10

I already have items Enter their float and the site will pick what to buy

Mix in a collection

Items of this craft's collections of the right rarity fit: The Dead Hand Collection and The Train Collection — and of the mixed-in collection: enter its items with float, your own or ones you want to buy. Its share in the set equals its share in the chances. Your own items are counted in the profit at market price, because you could sell them. The money needed to buy the rest is shown separately.

Third collection Add a third collection to the craft's two and see whether it gets more profitable

All splits of inputs across three collections are tried (1/1/8, 5/3/2 and the rest) and all outcome wears. The best set is shown for each collection. “Find the best” first quickly scores all collections and then calculates exactly the five best by the quick score.

Similar 2 crafts almost like this one

One of three things counts as similar. The same set with a different wear of cheap outcomes: profit and investment differ by less than 0,5%. The same nine items with a different tenth: profit differs by no more than 10%, investment by 20%. The same main half, whose outcomes make the profit, with a different filler: profit lower by no more than a quarter, investment cheaper by no more than a quarter.

Craft 3155779 · The Breakout Collection + The Dead Hand Collection · profit 20.88₽ · invest 139.12₽
rare inputs

P2000 | Ivory (Minimal Wear) instead of Sawed-Off | Amber Fade (Minimal Wear); M4A4 | Zubastick (Field-Tested): float at most 0.167405 instead of 0.165761; M249 | Bock Blocks (Minimal Wear): float at most 0.076054 instead of 0.075482
Craft 3160967 · The Chroma Collection + The Dead Hand Collection · profit 20.30₽ · invest 146.39₽
rare inputs

XM1014 | Quicksilver (Minimal Wear) instead of Sawed-Off | Amber Fade (Minimal Wear); M4A4 | Zubastick (Field-Tested): float at most 0.168991 instead of 0.165761; M249 | Bock Blocks (Minimal Wear): float at most 0.076605 instead of 0.075482

How to read these numbers

Fees. Steam adds 15% to the seller's price, so the seller gets the listing price divided by 1,15. Multiplying by 0,85 is wrong.

The outcome can only be sold after a week. Inputs bought on Steam go into the contract right away. The outcome can also be crafted further without waiting, but Sell it is possible only after seven days. Over a week the price may change, so the amount shown remains an estimate at calculation time.

Prices are conservative. Sales are counted at the lower of the listing price and the sale price. Purchases are counted at the cheapest listing, which is a lower bound. You cannot buy ten at that price: each next listing costs more. «Check floats on Steam» shows the real purchase price.

The Dead Hand Collection + The Train Collection

How to build i Ways to build 1 way: the best first, then from the most accessible. Click a tab and the numbers below are recalculated for that way.

What you get 6 outcomes

More

How to build